Once your on the site click on the rules tab...there's actually 2 systems....a 5 run system and the under .470 system
on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units
Collapse
X
-
choundSBR High Roller
- 05-27-10
- 158
#666Comment -
choundSBR High Roller
- 05-27-10
- 158
#667Its rl if your playing the dog...ml if fav......on the 5 run you wait 2 games unless the team scores 5 or more again then wait 2 more then play against themComment -
airattackersSBR High Roller
- 02-24-12
- 130
#668@chound.. what is the .470, is it win %..Comment -
airattackersSBR High Roller
- 02-24-12
- 130
#669@chound..thanks i found what i was looking for..Comment -
show me the $SBR High Roller
- 03-25-12
- 203
#670please just post the plays for tomorrow without all the calculations.gracias.
Comment -
The HOFFSBR MVP
- 07-02-08
- 4847
#671Friday plays:
Tampa Bay -175 is a play
LA Angels are from -140 to -150 (most likely a play)Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#672
Wait for On3's official posting.
TB is for sure so get on it as always early before public pounds it as usual.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#673covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/matchups/g4_summary_13.html
Here is the link for TB's game. I am very surprised they are that big of a favorite the way MIN has been playing lately. Be-careful as always!
covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/matchups/g4_summary_24.html
Heres the link for LAA. I have fresh lines, so im happy its not too much on these plays.... I do not like the stats at all.
Good Luck
*remember LA is not an official play yet.Comment -
sstrunks52005SBR Sharp
- 07-15-11
- 251
#674For anyone else looking at Cisco's system...
he has tampa bay +1.5. is that a mistake? maybe it should be -1.5?Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#676System record 20-0-0; 5-0-0
Units +16
1 unit = $20
4/20
#21 -- minnesota @ TB -179 (A) -- o/u 8
#22 -- baltimore @ LAA -150 (A) -- o/u 9
Game 1 win = 12-8; 3-2
Game 2 win = 6-2; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-0; 0-0
Labby Line (regular)
10-37-37-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
Labby Line (filter)
10-10-15-15
TB to win 47
LAA to win 47
LAA to win 25 (filtered)Comment -
eric14tsuiSBR High Roller
- 10-19-10
- 187
#677Thanks again On3. I looked at the system of 5 run chase, quite interesting.Comment -
Douchebag50SBR Rookie
- 11-12-11
- 37
#678Thanks for the early amounts postComment -
BradfordmillerSBR Hustler
- 05-11-11
- 57
#679Thanks for all your efforts on3.Comment -
thelimit0310SBR MVP
- 01-24-11
- 1233
#680therizz
I just sent you on PM! Please check it out and get back to me as soon as you can! Thanks buddy!Comment -
JMobileSBR Posting Legend
- 08-21-10
- 19074
#681Marking my spot here.Comment -
positivebankrollSBR High Roller
- 08-18-10
- 222
#682System record 20-0-0; 5-0-0
Units +16
1 unit = $20
4/20
#21 -- minnesota @ TB -179 (A) -- o/u 8
#22 -- baltimore @ LAA -150 (A) -- o/u 9
Game 1 win = 12-8; 3-2
Game 2 win = 6-2; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-0; 0-0
Labby Line (regular)
10-37-37-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
Labby Line (filter)
10-10-15-15
TB to win 47
LAA to win 47
LAA to win 25 (filtered)Comment -
daddyvSBR High Roller
- 10-05-10
- 241
#683unfiltered and filtered playsComment -
positivebankrollSBR High Roller
- 08-18-10
- 222
#685thanks daddyvComment -
thompson182SBR Rookie
- 05-25-09
- 20
#686I was looking at a way to lower the losses for the Martingalers out there and one thing I was curious to try was mixing the first games moneyline and runline. You can use scalpulator to fix the lines where if your team wins the first game by one run you lose basically .1 of a unit. However, for the chases that lose all 3 the loss would be drastically less. The first games won by more than 1 run would be the same either way.Comment -
WVU9494SBR Sharp
- 11-14-11
- 333
#687Can you give an example of an A bet using this, I don't follow. I use the martingale at $100 per unit and taking 3 or 4 loses in a month would kill this system, while its running good you are golden.Comment -
darkmatter117SBR High Roller
- 04-10-12
- 104
#688I was looking at a way to lower the losses for the Martingalers out there and one thing I was curious to try was mixing the first games moneyline and runline. You can use scalpulator to fix the lines where if your team wins the first game by one run you lose basically .1 of a unit. However, for the chases that lose all 3 the loss would be drastically less. The first games won by more than 1 run would be the same either way.Comment -
soul786SBR MVP
- 03-09-12
- 1697
#689Count another win on the filtered play. LAA winComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#690TB only play tomorrow -B level correct?
There appears to be a lot of big mismatches tomorrow and want to play a lot of my own bets, but patience is virtue. Going to stay discipline and stick with the system so labby lines dont get too heavy.Comment -
sstrunks52005SBR Sharp
- 07-15-11
- 251
-
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#692System record 21-0-0; 6-0-0
Units +15.5
1 unit = $20
4/21
#21 -- minnesota @ TB -193 (B)
Game 1 win = 13-9; 4-2
Game 2 win = 6-2; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-0; 0-0
Labby Line (regular)
10-37-x-42
10-10-10-52
10-10-10-10
Labby Line (filter)
x-10-15-x
TB to win 62Comment -
domiSBR Hustler
- 02-29-12
- 77
#693Thanks on3 good systemComment -
WVU9494SBR Sharp
- 11-14-11
- 333
#694Who is ciscoComment -
WVU9494SBR Sharp
- 11-14-11
- 333
#696So you are saying in 2 years of data taking the run line on a C game only resulted in 3 more loses?
If you are doing a $100 martinggale, this would save you about $600 per loss. And about $6000 per season assuming 10 losses. If you add 2 losses in a a season using a run line on game c instead of the ml that is approx $1200 per loss or $2400. Per the data you compiled its a no brainier to go this way and I think a significant change to the way the system should be played. If you have data from other seasons on this it would help too.
What is a -1 r/l?
My reservation with that is that there are many instances per season where the team we're chasing will win Game 1 or 2 by a run and lose the others. If you take the money line these would be series wins, but if not you end up with a series loss (a push and two losses). Based on my backtests so far, Game 3 is where I would take the run line. In the 2006 and 2007 seasons, playing the R/L on C bets would only add three losses (one in 2006, two in 2007). Considering that you can often get these at +money, it's a great tradeoff. At some books you can also take the -1 R/L, which would mean three more pushes in those two seasons but no additional series losses.Comment -
WVU9494SBR Sharp
- 11-14-11
- 333
#697I am going to use this for C games from this point forward. I am hoping for a 200-10 season (140-8 nonfiltered, and 60-2 filtered). Using a $100 martinggale on unfiltered and $300 on filtered. This would be a nice $18k profit. Let's do this!!!!Comment -
GndiasSBR MVP
- 11-23-11
- 1607
#698looks good...hope it works, i am doing the same thing but with smaller figuresComment -
petters72SBR High Roller
- 05-16-09
- 188
#699......Comment -
darkmatter117SBR High Roller
- 04-10-12
- 104
#700
I can't remember where I saw it, but if your book doesn't offer a -1 R/L and you don't want to use 5dimes, there is also a way to bet the ML and -1.5 R/L in such a way that it amounts to a -1. Maybe someone else can explain this, but I think it's as simple as betting "to win" the desired amount on the ML, and then betting "to risk" that same amount on the R/L. So if the team wins by a run it amounts to a push (win X on ML, lose X on -1.5 R/L). I hope that helps.Last edited by darkmatter117; 04-21-12, 04:48 PM.Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code