CappinTerps MLB Thread 2012

[CappinTerp]

wow bro, you are def on the contrarian angle here...everything points to under to me, so maybe just playing the opposite is the way to go (been a little cold last few days, lol)...been trying to decide between playing under or the twinks as i think decent value on them in this gm....gl today

This game may not come in but one very important thing.! The contrarian angle is not about finding a game and seeing 90 % on one side and go the other way, one must also look at the price.!! For example given the same pitchers and stats if this game was set at 8.5 I would have never looked at the game, the 9.5 made me suspicious. I hope this helps you guys...................gl

[2daBank]

This game may not come in but one very important thing.! The contrarian angle is not about finding a game and seeing 90 % on one side and go the other way, one must also look at the price.!! For example given the same pitchers and stats if this game was set at 8.5 I would have never looked at the game, the 9.5 made me suspicious. I hope this helps you guys...................gl

yea i certainly get what you saying (personally thought 8.5-9 at most should have been this total), generally when i get what i perceive to be a run of value i play it, not a fan of totals when weather is involved tho..

[CappinTerp]

yea i certainly get what you saying (personally thought 8.5-9 at most should have been this total), generally when i get what i perceive to be a run of value i play it, not a fan of totals when weather is involved tho..

What bothers me is for some reason I have been betting overs lately.....when my MO is for under s...good luck buddy.

[CappinTerp]

About time I got a little lucky, I would of been pissed if the game fell on 9. For Porcello got rocked for 12 hits in 3.2 innings and two Twins were thrown out at the plate in the 2nd inning. Time to move on.


MLB:98-102
YTD:+3.11

[CappinTerp]

phil. +105 3 units
lad. +170 2 units
sd.+125 1 unit.................................... ....gl

[2daBank]

About time I got a little lucky, I would of been pissed if the game fell on 9. For Porcello got rocked for 12 hits in 3.2 innings and two Twins were thrown out at the plate in the 2nd inning. Time to move on.


MLB:98-102
YTD:+3.11

yea twinks missing all those chances early killed my min+1.5 bet....congrats on the win bro..

[2daBank]

phil. +105 3 units
lad. +170 2 units
sd.+125 1 unit.................................... ....gl

i lean phi but ive learned my lesson fading the dickey..

if you have time i would love to hear your thoughts on lad/dbag gm as im seriously leaning toward zona rl..

[CappinTerp]

i lean phi but ive learned my lesson fading the dickey..

if you have time i would love to hear your thoughts on lad/dbag gm as im seriously leaning toward zona rl..

Must say this game is more of a gut feeling than looking at all the fundamentals. But LAD has won 3 of 4 were as ARZ. has lost 5 in a row.LAD are 13-8 last 21 at ARZ.,Miley got hammered last outing giving up 8 ER'S in 3.2 innings. This will be LAD'S 2nd look at Miley, he dominated them his last outing. A few other things but hope this helps.!.......Also I am a sucker for big prices. Have already hit games @ +190,200,220 and 200....we will see....good luck.!

[CappinTerp]

2daBank one more thing I forgot, being the 1st rookie in ARZ. history to be going to All-Star game will he put too much pressure on himself to have a good outing(to make up for last one) so that he will play.??

[CappinTerp]

At night lost damm PHIL., but won LAD and SD for 2-1 +1.65


MLB:100-102
YTD:+4.76

[fly fisher]

Must say this game is more of a gut feeling than looking at all the fundamentals. But LAD has won 3 of 4 were as ARZ. has lost 5 in a row.LAD are 13-8 last 21 at ARZ.,Miley got hammered last outing giving up 8 ER'S in 3.2 innings. This will be LAD'S 2nd look at Miley, he dominated them his last outing. A few other things but hope this helps.!.......Also I am a sucker for big prices. Have already hit games @ +190,200,220 and 200....we will see....good luck.!

Well the gut was right on the money on this one, great call and good winnings.

[CappinTerp]

Well the gut was right on the money on this one, great call and good winnings.

Thanks Fly. Where have you been and how is the family.?? Hope all is well out there.!!

[fly fisher]

been here, just been quiet. Just to save me some grief, I haven't posted much, just check to see who you and Dex play (I like both your styles so mostly play what you guys play) I also like to check what LT profits and Biff are playing as they are also no nonsense cool guys to follow their threads. Family is doing great, thanks for asking. I will send you a quick note but don't want to bore others. LOL.

[CappinTerp]

REVERSE: SF +135 and OVER 8.5 -110(same) 2 UNITS............................GL

[fly fisher]

I missed this one, but great reverse win

[befus]

I missed this one, but great reverse win

Damn.....me too.

[CappinTerp]

Hit the reverse for +9.40 units.!


MLB:102-102
YTD:+14.16

[CappinTerp]

det/kc ff under 5 110 2 units.....................gl

[CappinTerp]

REVERSE: SF +108 and OVER 8 -115(same) 2 UNITS..........................GL

[CappinTerp]

Looks like it's going to be a bad day here, but would really pissed if I bet the Brewers.

[CappinTerp]

Discipline,discipline,discipline......I am so pissed off about that DET/KC FF bet.! And this has nothing to do about money,I never bet FF and don't know why I did so yesterday. I feel like I went back 25 years when I would bet a game because it's on TV or it was an early start.! I am sorry to the guys that tailed this one and congrats to those who faded........anyway I just had to vent. 0-3 on the day for -6.50 units.

MLB:102-105
YTD:+7.66 UNITS

[CappinTerp]

tb/cle - under 9 -110 1 unit
phil/atl - under 9 -110 1 unit...............................gl

[CappinTerp]

SF +115 2 UNITS . This line looks low to me for Pitt. 9-2 last 11 and SF 2-6 last 8. Burnett has a home ERA of just 2.01 and Lincecum road ERA of of 8.45.!! Pitt. has won 11 straight games started by Burnett and you only have to lay -125 to bet PITT.??.....................GL

[CappinTerp]

Getting ready for the 2nd half of the baseball season if we can do just half of what we did last year it will be a very good year. On Sunday went 1-2 for -2.10 units.


MLB:103-107
YTD:+5.56 UNITS

[rumnblack]

Still ahead on the year, bol.

[CappinTerp]

Still ahead on the year, bol.

Thanks buddy best of luck to you.!

[CappinTerp]

MIA. -120 2 UNITS
MIL. -140 1 UNIT
TB. -103 1 UNIT.......................Can not remember last time I bet 3 games all laying chalk.!!........................gl

[CappinTerp]

Went 1-2 on Fri. for -2.43 units.


TOR./CLEV - UNDER 10 -125 2 UNITS......................GL


MLB:104-109
YTD:+3.13

[CappinTerp]

sea. +105 3 units...........................gl

[CappinTerp]

laa +123 1 unit...........................gl

[dowecheat'em&how]

nice hit on seattle thanks cap! keep em coming.........DWCH

[CappinTerp]

nice hit on seattle thanks cap! keep em coming.........DWCH

I WILL do my best buddy,went 1-2 on Sat. for - 0.35 units.


MLB:105-111
YTD:+2.78

[CappinTerp]

LAA -105 2 UNITS
HOU +208 3 UNITS - I KNOW I am spitting into the wind again with this pick but I just can not pass on this one.!!.............gl

[CappinTerp]

cubs -106 2 units................................... ...gl

[Bradfordmiller]

Thanks Cappin, nice hit on the Angels & cubs.
Houston kept it close but just couldnt quite pull out the win.
G/L today whatever you pick