Dexter's 2012 MLB Plays

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  • smoovethug
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-08-07
    • 62

    #1121
    Dex I'm curious as to what you do when/if two of your autobets occur in the same game. Say an A1-A3 with an umpire from A4. Do you play both the side and total? I can't imagine that this happens often though right? Always appreciate your insight, keep your head up through this rough patch.
    Comment
    • ifiwaspresident
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-22-12
      • 119

      #1122
      Originally posted by Dexter
      so you're superstitious as well i take it?
      Absolutely not...except when it comes to sports betting. Oh, and when I'm in a casino. Oh, and pre game routines when I was younger. Oh, and only on days that end in Y. Wait, what was the question again?

      Actually, the incredulity in my tone was geared more toward the notion that being superstitious and a cerebral approach to wagering could not be mutually exclusive. I guess if we have any superstitions then we are unable to understand the variance at play or the "that's the way the cookie crumbles" theory. It was a silly statement he made and I gave it a response that was one word more than it deserved.
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #1123
        Originally posted by smoovethug
        Dex I'm curious as to what you do when/if two of your autobets occur in the same game. Say an A1-A3 with an umpire from A4. Do you play both the side and total? I can't imagine that this happens often though right? Always appreciate your insight, keep your head up through this rough patch.
        A1 can never be on the same game as A2 or A3 (since the WHIP of one of the pitchers is >1.80 or <1.00. I can have side and total on A1 with an A4 umpire. It may have happened a handful of times last year. If i have A3 with an Under A4, i will likely make a 12u play....if i have an A3 with an A4over ump, i have decided to let the 10u ride and not factor in the over ump (that happened once this year, and Holbrook beat A3). Vice Versa with A2 and A4. Thanks Smoove.
        Comment
        • Atlfan12
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-25-12
          • 205

          #1124
          Under Braves 8.5 even when Delgado is pitching and a new starter for the Rays? I trust your system, just don't really trust Delgado so much. BOL though
          Comment
          • Atlfan12
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-25-12
            • 205

            #1125
            Nevermind didn't realize he was pitching so well in May. He is just so young. BOL
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #1126
              Originally posted by Atlfan12
              Nevermind didn't realize he was pitching so well in May. He is just so young. BOL
              yeah, he is actually pitching well right now. he doesnt miss bats all that much, so eventually he'll get blown up. hope its not today.
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #1127
                Originally posted by ifiwaspresident
                Absolutely not...except when it comes to sports betting. Oh, and when I'm in a casino. Oh, and pre game routines when I was younger. Oh, and only on days that end in Y. Wait, what was the question again?

                Actually, the incredulity in my tone was geared more toward the notion that being superstitious and a cerebral approach to wagering could not be mutually exclusive. I guess if we have any superstitions then we are unable to understand the variance at play or the "that's the way the cookie crumbles" theory. It was a silly statement he made and I gave it a response that was one word more than it deserved.
                haha - that was good...
                Comment
                • CHAZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-09-09
                  • 4978

                  #1128
                  GL today dex! I see we are on opposite sides in the ARI game though.

                  Yikes lol
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #1129
                    Originally posted by Dexter
                    Saturday 5/19:

                    (2u) Under Braves 8.5 (A4-Barksdale)
                    Originally posted by Dexter

                    (1u) Under Giants 7
                    (3u) Bluejays -1.5/+100
                    (4u) Under Diamondbacks 8.5 (A4-Gibson)
                    (1u) Marlins -110
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #1130
                      (1u) Rangers -1.5/-110
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #1131
                        Sunday 5/20:

                        (2u) Under Tigers 9 (A4-Iassogna)
                        (2u) Under Angels 6.5 (A4-Eddings)
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #1132
                          Monday 5/21:

                          (1u) Under Cubs 7

                          Prior week and YTD results posted tomorrow night - just got home and off to bed.
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #1133
                            Originally posted by Dexter
                            Week 6: 10-13 (-13.95u)

                            A1: 1-1 (-1.2u)

                            A2: 1-0
                            A3: 0-2
                            A4: 4-4-1
                            Dan Iassogna: 2-0
                            Tim Welke: 0-2
                            Sam Holbrook: 0-0-1
                            Scott Barry: 1-1
                            Greg Gibson: 1-0
                            Lance Barksdale: 0-1
                            _____________________________
                            YTD: 49-67 (-39.7u)

                            A1: 2-4 (-8.4u)
                            A2: 1-0
                            A3: 4-5
                            A4: 28-33
                            Sam Holbrook_5-0
                            Kerwin Danley_2-4
                            Scott Barry_2-3
                            Tim Welke_3-6
                            Mark Wegner_1-5
                            Lance Barksdale_2-5
                            Doug Eddings_3-4

                            Dan Iassogna_5-2
                            Greg Gibson_4-3
                            Week 7: 12-13 (-9u)

                            A1: 0-2 (-7.8u)
                            A4: 9-7

                            Mark Wegner_1-1
                            Sam Holbrook_0-2
                            Kerwin Danley_1-1
                            Greg Gibson_0-2
                            Lance Barksdale_2-0
                            Dan Iassogna_2-0

                            Tim Welke_0-1
                            Doug Eddings_2-0
                            Scott Barry_1-0

                            ____________________________
                            YTD: 61-80 (-48.7u)

                            A1: 2-6 (-16.2u)

                            A2: 1-0
                            A3: 4-5
                            A4: 37-40
                            Sam Holbrook_5-2
                            Kerwin Danley_3-5
                            Scott Barry_3-3
                            Tim Welke_3-7
                            Mark Wegner_2-6
                            Lance Barksdale_4-5
                            Doug Eddings_5-4
                            Dan Iassogna_7-2
                            Greg Gibson_4-5
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #1134
                              Originally posted by Dexter
                              Monday 5/21:

                              (1u) Under Cubs 7
                              (1u) Giants -110
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #1135
                                im getting bored - miss the excitement of an A3.
                                Comment
                                • BXbomber11
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-09-11
                                  • 532

                                  #1136
                                  keep on grindin dex
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #1137
                                    Originally posted by BXbomber11
                                    keep on grindin dex
                                    i hate "grinding"...haha. but if anyone is getting anything from this thread right now, its the lesson of not chasing.

                                    i'll be heard from when its all said and done....
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #1138
                                      (1u) Under Rangers 6.5
                                      Comment
                                      • fitguy67
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-13-11
                                        • 5082

                                        #1139
                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                        i hate "grinding"...haha. but if anyone is getting anything from this thread right now, its the lesson of not chasing.

                                        i'll be heard from when its all said and done....



                                        sharp attitude, Dex...

                                        patience + discipline ==>grinding (as boring as it sounds)

                                        in contrast, chasing is caused by impatience...and it "usually works" (just like changing lanes without a shoulder check "usually works" and saves you some time while driving)...

                                        but eventually...stabs at "revenge" for previous losses (whether they be "all back at once" martingale stabs...or seemingly-tame-at-first-but-increasingly-wild "line clearing" stabs...or, just as common--convincing ourselves that we are somehow much more "confident" in subsequent plays...whatever)...all revenge-driven campaigns (aka. chasing) eventually fails due to the mathematically-inevitable mother of a losing streak...and it all ends with discipline going out the window...characteristically with a final "all in" stab or set of stabs (which of course oftentimes "works" and "saves us"...but again, if one continues to expect chasing to "work" every time just like "last time"...inevitably, it's just like relying on the side-view mirror for lane changes...and ends the same way)
                                        Comment
                                        • Zacharrr
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-28-08
                                          • 212

                                          #1140
                                          ya im waiting for A3 as well...
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #1141
                                            Tuesday 5/22:

                                            (2u) Over Rays 8 (A4-Holbrook)
                                            Comment
                                            • CHAZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 4978

                                              #1142
                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                              Tuesday 5/22:

                                              (2u) Over Rays 8 (A4-Holbrook)
                                              Any insight to this Dex or just another auto bet? Both Tampa and Toronto are very capable of putting runs on the board. What's holding me back though is this is the first time either pitcher has seen the other team. That definitely plays into the favor of the pitchers here.


                                              Comment
                                              • Dexter
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 25829

                                                #1143
                                                Originally posted by CHAZ
                                                Any insight to this Dex or just another auto bet? Both Tampa and Toronto are very capable of putting runs on the board. What's holding me back though is this is the first time either pitcher has seen the other team. That definitely plays into the favor of the pitchers here.


                                                nah - i really dont look into games too much (especially now when cold) when i have an auto play. but i would agree that its advanatage pitchers when the offenses have yet to face them. both bullpens have been far from dominant, and with these 2 pitchers going 6 max, the pens should decide the total.
                                                Comment
                                                • CHAZ
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-09
                                                  • 4978

                                                  #1144
                                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                                  both bullpens have been far from dominant, and with these 2 pitchers going 6 max, the pens should decide the total.
                                                  Good point about the 6 innings...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #1145
                                                    almost an a3 on hamels/jackson tomorrow. phillies bullpen is ranked 29th though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #1146
                                                      (1u) Under Phillies 6.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #1147
                                                        (3u) Over Indians 8.5 (A4-Barry)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #1148
                                                          Originally posted by fitguy67

                                                          in contrast, chasing is caused by impatience...and it "usually works" (just like changing lanes without a shoulder check "usually works" and saves you some time while driving)...
                                                          love your analogies fitguy - your posts are always an enjoyable read.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #1149
                                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                                            almost an a3 on hamels/jackson tomorrow. phillies bullpen is ranked 29th though.
                                                            and lance barksdale is behind the plate in this game.....likely wont be an A3, but will still hit it for 3 or 4u on the a4/barksdale
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-23-10
                                                              • 20295

                                                              #1150
                                                              I really like the over in the Indians game, Dex. Both unstable pitchers, sucky bullpen and an over ref.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #1151
                                                                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                                I really like the over in the Indians game, Dex. Both unstable pitchers, sucky bullpen and an over ref.
                                                                we should get plenty of walks in that one. i was going to be on it regardless of barry.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pauulzcappin
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-23-10
                                                                  • 20295

                                                                  #1152
                                                                  Took over 9 for 6u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #1153
                                                                    Wednesday 5/23:

                                                                    (3u) Under Phillies 6.5 (A4-Barksdale)
                                                                    (3u) Dodgers -110 (A1)
                                                                    (2u) Over Whitesox 7.5 (A4-Danley)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #1154
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      Tuesday 5/22:

                                                                      (2u) Over Rays 8 (A4-Holbrook)
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      (1u) Under Phillies 6.5
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      (3u) Over Indians 8.5 (A4-Barry)
                                                                      (2u) Over Yankees 9 (A4-Wegner)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dexter
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                                        • 25829

                                                                        #1155
                                                                        i cant believe what i just watched in the 9th inn of that tigers game - it is beyond amazing whats going on, but i guess i deserve that for going larger then normal on an over.
                                                                        Comment
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