Durito v St. Andrew Bet

[AgainstAllOdds]

This is absolutly crazy...Would anyone like to bet this at matchbook? I will start the line and give +500 odds that Andrew hits this.

[pokernut9999]

This is absolutly crazy...Would anyone like to bet this at matchbook? I will start the line and give +500 odds that Andrew hits this.

I will take that bet $100 to win $500

[AgainstAllOdds]

I will take that bet $100 to win $500

I just put in the request for an xbet at Matchbook...All lines will be posted thier so as to remove the possibility of people getting stiffed.

[durito]

Guys, a fair line is approx +6657

[AgainstAllOdds]

Guys, a fair line is approx +6657

Shhhhh!...I heard someone say they would take +500.

[pokernut9999]

Maybe I am reading AAO post wrong ?

[BuddyBear]

I am booking this bet. I made arrangements with Durito. STA was offered an opportunity to get out of this bet and he hasn't yet. Bet is still on at +300

[pokernut9999]

Shhhhh!...I heard someone say they would take +500.

I thought you were saying he would win

My bad , when I reread your post I see you said give not take.

[AgainstAllOdds]

I am booking this bet. I made arrangements with Durito. STA was offered an opportunity to get out of this bet and he hasn't yet. Bet is still on at +300

Buddy...why not do it over matchbook...you can set your own line and the there is no possibilty of getting stiffed.

[AgainstAllOdds]

I thought you were saying he would win

My bad , when I reread your post I see you said give not take.

yes...I will give you 5-1 on your money(+500). Over matchbook...

[BuddyBear]

Buddy...why not do it over matchbook...you can set your own line and the there is no possibilty of getting stiffed.

Too risky to do it that way AAO. It's best we stick with the current format for safety and some peace of mind.

[pokernut9999]

yes...I will give you 5-1 on your money(+500). Over matchbook...

No , I thought you wanted +500 thinking he would win. I do not think he will hit 60%.

[pokernut9999]

Buddy...why not do it over matchbook...you can set your own line and the there is no possibilty of getting stiffed.

From what I read on MATCHBOOK rules on x bets , the creator tells them who wins. So nothing is a sure thing there.

[AgainstAllOdds]

From what I read on MATCHBOOK rules on x bets , the creator tells them who wins. So nothing is a sure thing there.

Wait wait, Im the creator...you guys really think Im gonna fuk people over on this? Thats absurd.

[St. Andrew]

I'm at work guys, just saw this. Durito, I accept your offer to cancel this bet, as I am not sure I will have time to cap (40) 2-team parlays before "garbage time" in the season (late Sept). But I will keep the thread up for as many plays as I can as long as I am still getting real matchups, just to prove that 60% is possible.

I am going to be on a business trip from late August til the first two weeks of Sept.

[BuddyBear]

[max_asdf]

backing down? o.O

[AgainstAllOdds]

damn you!

[pokernut9999]

Wait wait, Im the creator...you guys really think Im gonna fuk people over on this? Thats absurd.

Just as absurd as you saying we would stiff you.

[cobra_king]

Durito is a gentleman for letting Andrew out of this bet.

[AgainstAllOdds]

Just as absurd as you saying we would stiff you.

What are you even trying to argue about here? Im the creator(as I have been on many other occasions)...If you dont feel that I will provide the correct info to matchbook, then dont bet the line. I do this as a precaution so there is no doubt in anyones mind that they will get paid. That includes you,myself, buddy, durito, andrew and the 10 other guys that see the thread and maybe want to bet on it.

[pokernut9999]

Was just commenting that Matcbook is not a quarantee like you said .

[ryanXL977]

i likek st andy and all but there aint nobody in the world who can hit 60% of parlays, or 50% for that matter
or 40%

[max_asdf]

depends out of how many bets ryan.... out of 20 or 30 and I have until the end of the mlb season im pretty sure i can hit 50%.......

thats like 1 pick per week............ parlays dont even have to be on same day.

[ryanXL977]

if you can do that, i will be impressed. plus you will make cash. why not try to do it

[HedgeHog]

I'm at work guys, just saw this. Durito, I accept your offer to cancel this bet, as I am not sure I will have time to cap (40) 2-team parlays before "garbage time" in the season (late Sept). But I will keep the thread up for as many plays as I can as long as I am still getting real matchups, just to prove that 60% is possible.

I am going to be on a business trip from late August til the first two weeks of Sept.

Andy,

Looking forward to seeing your plays daily. I admire your enthusiasm, and no hard feelings.

[HedgeHog]

Durito is a gentleman for letting Andrew out of this bet.

So true. If a pool hustler has you sized up, he'd never let you off the hook. He'd just take your money and leave you with a lesson learned. Durito's a good guy.

PS Andy may indeed have a profitable system, but the odds for this contest were heavily against him.

[durito]

I'm at work guys, just saw this. Durito, I accept your offer to cancel this bet, as I am not sure I will have time to cap (40) 2-team parlays before "garbage time" in the season (late Sept). But I will keep the thread up for as many plays as I can as long as I am still getting real matchups, just to prove that 60% is possible.

I am going to be on a business trip from late August til the first two weeks of Sept.

It's most certainly possible. Rather though than trying to prove something that is nothing more than variance on the positive side, you should spend sometime reading ganchrow's posts and figure out why everyone is suggesting this is impossible.

[durito]

I will also point out that if you really could hit 60% at +140, and you use kelly to size your bets instead of "heavens gate". You would expect to turn your $1,000 bankroll into $177,849 in just 40 bets and $421,821,333 after just 100.

[ryanXL977]

nobody in the world can hit 50%, much less 60%
its just not possible
its impossible to hit 60% of straight up bets

[Dazzez]

nobody in the world can hit 50%, much less 60%
its just not possible
its impossible to hit 60% of straight up bets

I'll bet you I can hit 60% on my straight-up ML bets (or if you prefer, 50% on my parlays).

[cobra_king]

nobody in the world can hit 50%, much less 60%
its just not possible
its impossible to hit 60% of straight up bets

You might want to reconsider this stance or at the very least, the way you are presenting it.

[BuddyBear]

I will also point out that if you really could hit 60% at +140, and you use kelly to size your bets instead of "heavens gate". You would expect to turn your $1,000 bankroll into $177,849 in just 40 bets and $421,821,333 after just 100.

Life sure would be nice if things like this actually did happen

[TheLock]

Classy move by durito but I'd be lying if I said I'm not a little disappointed that this didn't go down.

[St. Andrew]

Classy move by durito but I'd be lying if I said I'm not a little disappointed that this didn't go down.

Lock, my 2-team parlay record before this bet with Durito was made was 17-12 (58%), which includes last night's loss. I would need a ton of luck and the best capping I have ever done in my like to hit 60% in 40 picks. But I give myself 50/50 that I could've done it. For that reason, I am going to continue posting my next 40 parlays (including tonight's, posted earlier) to see what would have happened with this bet.