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  • Redscot
    SBR MVP
    • 05-16-11
    • 2571

    #4621
    Originally posted by rnoutlaw21
    Bet of the night .
    Comment
    • Redscot
      SBR MVP
      • 05-16-11
      • 2571

      #4622
      Never say never, who'd have thunk it, we got the push . Doing a great job LTA, another positive day, keep it rollin' my man
      Comment
      • rnoutlaw21
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-09-11
        • 107

        #4623
        Looks like a push!!! Thanks LTA, you are the man
        Comment
        • gunnersgun
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-31-11
          • 124

          #4624
          hahahahahahahah, puusssssshhhhhh omgomgomgomg never been so excited about a push lolololol
          Comment
          • Trivial
            SBR MVP
            • 11-22-09
            • 1328

            #4625
            Push. As good as a rain postponement. Whew.
            Comment
            • rnoutlaw21
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-09-11
              • 107

              #4626
              Originally posted by Redscot
              Bet of the night .
              I guess we all get lucky sometimes
              Comment
              • Redscot
                SBR MVP
                • 05-16-11
                • 2571

                #4627
                Originally posted by rnoutlaw21
                I guess we all get lucky sometimes
                Luck is a good thing, but that was a very solid bet....you deserve that one man
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #4628
                  Wow.
                  Comment
                  • CdeQ
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 08-10-11
                    • 16

                    #4629
                    I'll take the push, had it as a loser 6 innings ago. Great pitching on both sides.
                    Comment
                    • gunnersgun
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-31-11
                      • 124

                      #4630
                      i remember in the summer there was a sunday night game between the cards and the rockies with an over/under of 8.5, i had the over and 6 runs were put in in the first. 1200 double plays, stranded runners, miracle plays and blunders later, the game finished with 8 runs...tonight was redemption.
                      Comment
                      • badongkadong
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 32

                        #4631
                        Good call LTA
                        Comment
                        • kingsr
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-23-10
                          • 1983

                          #4632
                          Nuff said!

                          I'll take a push and a WIN all day everyday! Thanks LTA!
                          Comment
                          • Adm. Cowpollock
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-05-11
                            • 159

                            #4633
                            Thank LTA .... your analysis of Det Tex persuaded me into a play on Tex. I was going to sit it out, work preventing me from watching the 4 p.m. start but got in anyhow after sizing up your analysis and rain delay meant I could watch most of the game at the local. I had the under on Stl Mil at 7.5 -130 so just nabbed that one for a 2-0 evening that was just about a sweet as the honkers on the chickie bartender.

                            Thanks again time for bed I'm drunk.
                            Last edited by Adm. Cowpollock; 10-12-11, 11:16 PM.
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #4634
                              MLB Final Numbers for Regular Season 2011

                              418 - 378 = +38.03x

                              MLB 2011 Playoff Recap 10/12/11

                              1 - 0 - 1= +1x


                              We got some luck with that Cardinals push and we'll certainly take it. However, both of tonight's wagers beat the closer by significant margins and that makes them long term profitable propositions. We did our job and the players backed us up.

                              MLB 2011 Playoffs

                              13 - 6 = +7.112x

                              Lot of work to do...back to the grind.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #4635
                                MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/13/11

                                Play #1

                                Rangers/Tigers under (7)(+105) 1x (Locked)

                                I would rather take this play under 7 (+105) than under 7.5 (-125 or -130). I don't think we need to pay the juice and this is not a good spot to do so. I would rather take this at even odds because this game is either really low scoring with a deep performance by Verlander or this one flies over the posted total. You may want to contemplate the first five under on this one, especially if you can get 4, however, I'm rolling with the full game under. I expect Verlander to come out ultra-focused and prepared to pitch in this one with a strong rebound performance from his previous start. We cashed the first game of this series on the under, but it was a struggle and were actually aided a bit by the rain delay. However, Verlander is rested and ready to go in this one. Don't be surprised if you see Verlander throw 130+ pitches tomorrow because the Tigers season rests on his shoulders and Leyland really does not have any other dependable arms in the pen. On the other side, Wilson needs to be sharper than he has been in his previous starts but I think he shows up as he has always done. Both players have upper echelon advanced stats and solid histories against these lineups. The ump is Nelson who has a great strike rate of 63.8 and has generally had a slight under lean throughout his career, if not this year. The wind is projected to be blowing in from center at about 6 mph. However, we do need to keep our eye on possible rain. Regardless, we have an elimination game with two great pitchers on the mound...I love the under in this situation and I'm rolling that way for 1x. Good luck.
                                Comment
                                • Trivial
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-22-09
                                  • 1328

                                  #4636
                                  Thanks LTA. On it. Pinny is +103 which is the best I could find.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jago2008
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-18-11
                                    • 3047

                                    #4637
                                    LTA what do you think about the Texas ML @ +149?

                                    I haven't put 2gether all my argument and numbers yet, however C.J. Wilson's ability to create double play balls in the Detroit infield will not be the same as in Texas, he is unequivocally the biggest vulnerability to the Texas ML argument but I can see this being a close game, with perhaps Texas eeking out a victory for a WS birth, small unit play lean? Not sure yet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Exxpresso
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-29-10
                                      • 279

                                      #4638
                                      Thanks LTA for another great winner with Texas ML
                                      Comment
                                      • riffraff24
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-20-11
                                        • 7234

                                        #4639
                                        woooo! Thx buddy
                                        Comment
                                        • Ca$hfloW
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-16-09
                                          • 1196

                                          #4640
                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                          MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/13/11

                                          Play #1

                                          Rangers/Tigers under (7)(+105) 1x (Locked)

                                          I would rather take this play under 7 (+105) than under 7.5 (-125 or -130). I don't think we need to pay the juice and this is not a good spot to do so. I would rather take this at even odds because this game is either really low scoring with a deep performance by Verlander or this one flies over the posted total. You may want to contemplate the first five under on this one, especially if you can get 4, however, I'm rolling with the full game under. I expect Verlander to come out ultra-focused and prepared to pitch in this one with a strong rebound performance from his previous start. We cashed the first game of this series on the under, but it was a struggle and were actually aided a bit by the rain delay. However, Verlander is rested and ready to go in this one. Don't be surprised if you see Verlander throw 130+ pitches tomorrow because the Tigers season rests on his shoulders and Leyland really does not have any other dependable arms in the pen. On the other side, Wilson needs to be sharper than he has been in his previous starts but I think he shows up as he has always done. Both players have upper echelon advanced stats and solid histories against these lineups. The ump is Nelson who has a great strike rate of 63.8 and has generally had a slight under lean throughout his career, if not this year. The wind is projected to be blowing in from center at about 6 mph. However, we do need to keep our eye on possible rain. Regardless, we have an elimination game with two great pitchers on the mound...I love the under in this situation and I'm rolling that way for 1x. Good luck.
                                          On it with you, thanks.
                                          Comment
                                          • Exxpresso
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-29-10
                                            • 279

                                            #4641
                                            Hey LTA, what do you think about the under 8.5 in the Cards game ?
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #4642
                                              Originally posted by Exxpresso
                                              Hey LTA, what do you think about the under 8.5 in the Cards game ?
                                              No play for me. I think that number is pretty accurate. I have 8.3. I wouldn't be surprised to see it hit though....GL
                                              Comment
                                              • upscope
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-26-11
                                                • 2837

                                                #4643
                                                Originally posted by 815Sox
                                                Still cannot believe the Angels let Napoli go for basically nothing.

                                                And as I type this YES!!!!!!

                                                Where is your terrible celebration now Valverde...
                                                vernon wells is basically nothing??
                                                Comment
                                                • upscope
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-26-11
                                                  • 2837

                                                  #4644
                                                  LTA....U don't accept points??
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Exxpresso
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-29-10
                                                    • 279

                                                    #4645
                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                    No play for me. I think that number is pretty accurate. I have 8.3. I wouldn't be surprised to see it hit though....GL
                                                    Thanks for your answer. I lean Texas ML and Cardinals ML today. Do you have any leans on the side today ?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 815Sox
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-13-10
                                                      • 1078

                                                      #4646
                                                      Originally posted by upscope

                                                      vernon wells is basically nothing??
                                                      Compared to Mike Napoli? Meh. Wells is overpaid, old and hasn't really lived up to expectations. Most people thought that was a pretty bad trade.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #4647
                                                        Originally posted by Exxpresso
                                                        Thanks for your answer. I lean Texas ML and Cardinals ML today. Do you have any leans on the side today ?
                                                        No....i find no edge in those games. 50/50 coinflip at current prices..i would maybe think about verlander if it was cheaper....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rnoutlaw21
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-09-11
                                                          • 107

                                                          #4648
                                                          Randy Wolf has pretty good numbers against the cards hitters. Kind of like the Brewers at +125...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #4649
                                                            Originally posted by rnoutlaw21
                                                            Randy Wolf has pretty good numbers against the cards hitters. Kind of like the Brewers at +125...
                                                            Its your money...if you like it, go for it! To me, this game is a coinflip with a slight edge to the cards. Good luck if you play it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Trivial
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-22-09
                                                              • 1328

                                                              #4650
                                                              LTA. The only picks for tonight are DET/TEX under 7 and USC -3 in NCAAF? Just making sure. Thanks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 815Sox
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-13-10
                                                                • 1078

                                                                #4651
                                                                My mom just happens to be in Dallas right now for job training. I will try to get ahold of her before the game starts to see what the weather looks like. I will update the thread if I get any information from my "informant". So far the weather looks good.

                                                                Off-topic: Take a look at the Devils/Kings over. Low number at 5 IMO.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bleedtoledo
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-29-10
                                                                  • 513

                                                                  #4652
                                                                  Valverde and Benoit will not be available today.

                                                                  Verlander all or nothing.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BennyFang
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                                    • 1412

                                                                    #4653
                                                                    Originally posted by bleedtoledo
                                                                    Valverde and Benoit will not be available today.

                                                                    Verlander all or nothing.
                                                                    True....can't see that he is up to shoulder that kind of load either.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • upscope
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-26-11
                                                                      • 2837

                                                                      #4654
                                                                      Originally posted by 815Sox
                                                                      Compared to Mike Napoli? Meh. Wells is overpaid, old and hasn't really lived up to expectations. Most people thought that was a pretty bad trade.
                                                                      At the time they didn't. Scioscia was never going to use Napoli full time anyhow. Obv. in hindsight it was a terrible trade but I don't remember people complaining @ the time.

                                                                      I agree that Wells is overpaid but I wouldn't consider 32 old?? Napoli is 30 himself. Texas (via Tor) made out nicely but all I'm saying is Wells is a little better than "pretty much nothing?"
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #4655
                                                                        Originally posted by 815Sox
                                                                        My mom just happens to be in Dallas right now for job training. I will try to get ahold of her before the game starts to see what the weather looks like. I will update the thread if I get any information from my "informant". So far the weather looks good.

                                                                        Off-topic: Take a look at the Devils/Kings over. Low number at 5 IMO.
                                                                        Game is in detroit bud
                                                                        Comment
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