Thank you 70kgman welcome to the thread. Alright I'm going with my first instinct which is usually correct no amt. of statistics can quantify that.
Parlay: SEA/BAL no score 1st inn (-110) x WAS/ATL no score 1st inn (-130) (2x): Payout of 4.75 Units
SEA/BAL no score 1st inn (-110) (5x)
I'm glad you hopped back on Sea/Bal No score 1st inning. Now, I don't feel like shit..
Comment
Nova0387
SBR Sharp
09-28-09
332
#843
Thnx Stc n Even my man Wiz...We been makin a killin' off these games (well atleast I have) I did lay off the Atl game just because i wasn't sure but glad you still hit the parlay stc!
Comment
BadLuckSanta
SBR MVP
06-30-10
2756
#844
been tailing this thread for the past 2 days silently. awesome info here.
thank you
Comment
pacers101
SBR Wise Guy
03-07-11
603
#845
wow clean sweep for 7pm,layed off the kc game but i parlayed pit, atl, & sea and took atl single as well, good job everyone
Comment
pacers101
SBR Wise Guy
03-07-11
603
#846
Originally posted by 70kgman
SEA/BAL - Run in 1st inning? - NO(-120)
(Projected 1st inning run probability = 36.00%)
-------------------
Britton - 1st inning - 0.00 ERA / 0.43 WHIP / allowed 1st inning run 0 of 7 starts
Vargas - 1st inning - 1.29 ERA / 0.57 WHIP / allowed 1st inning run 1 of 7 starts
Baltimore 1st inning OBA = .255 (last in American league) / 5 straight games without a 1st inning run
Seattle 1st inning OBA = .273 (3rd worst in American league) / 6 straight games without a 1st inning run
is there a site you get this info or do you compile the stats yourself. i would love to find stuff like this. thanks
Comment
70kgman
SBR MVP
01-31-10
4354
#847
Originally posted by pacers101
is there a site you get this info or do you compile the stats yourself. i would love to find stuff like this. thanks
Combination of both. Some stats are available on mlb.com's sortable stats section, other stuff I keep track of manually on a day to day basis.
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DaProfessor23
SBR MVP
12-07-08
1180
#848
Originally posted by 70kgman
Combination of both. Some stats are available on mlb.com's sortable stats section, other stuff I keep track of manually on a day to day basis.
thanks for the extra info on todays game. keep those stats coming
Comment
playr101
SBR MVP
01-16-10
2029
#849
good wins today...
-playr101
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mac miller
SBR Wise Guy
01-27-11
749
#850
god damn ...up 5u this week so i reached my goal but damn i feel left out on this now since im doin less plays! haha regardless good job everyone its great to see everyone working together on this thread and making good profit! lets keep this goin!
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mac miller
SBR Wise Guy
01-27-11
749
#851
Todays record 2-0 +8 UNITS
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Nova0387
SBR Sharp
09-28-09
332
#852
Originally posted by mac miller
god damn ...up 5u this week so i reached my goal but damn i feel left out on this now since im doin less plays! haha regardless good job everyone its great to see everyone working together on this thread and making good profit! lets keep this goin!
Already! Don't sell yourself short though...If your goal is 5u or even 6 a week I would set that and then with the remaining 2-3 units go for another 5-6 and rain this wave while we got it good! (JMO) but ya def glad we're working together and getting this bread!
Comment
mac miller
SBR Wise Guy
01-27-11
749
#853
Originally posted by Nova0387
Already! Don't sell yourself short though...If your goal is 5u or even 6 a week I would set that and then with the remaining 2-3 units go for another 5-6 and rain this wave while we got it good! (JMO) but ya def glad we're working together and getting this bread!
haha i hit my goal on tuesday this week already.. got greedy and went for the 10u on a 5u bet.. lost it on wed, and now already back at 5 units again lol
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Boxing Champ
SBR MVP
03-11-11
3358
#854
It seems like the juice on these Yes's and No's went up a lot. -150? -170? Do you guys think books are catching on??
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ScoreLess_1st
SBR Rookie
05-05-11
32
#855
been playin 1st run bets off and on for a few years, never seen anything over -150 before. Now you see Shields/Masterson at -170. Sounds like the jig is up
Comment
Boxing Champ
SBR MVP
03-11-11
3358
#856
Originally posted by ScoreLess_1st
been playin 1st run bets off and on for a few years, never seen anything over -150 before. Now you see Shields/Masterson at -170. Sounds like the jig is up
That's what I've noticed too....
If that's the case..all that juice is gonna negate all your winnings over time...
Line setters at these sportsbooks are pretty sharp...
P.S..Do you guys think Books read these threads???
depends on the game who plays to predict under.over in 1st
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Boxing Champ
SBR MVP
03-11-11
3358
#858
What??
Originally posted by itzjustme
depends on the game who plays to predict under.over in 1st
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TheAntFather
SBR MVP
03-14-11
3021
#859
Great job Mac, Stc and 70k. I was kinda skeptical of the Sea V. Bal No Score 1st Inning because 2 Lefties starting. And they always bite me in da a**. But, those stats show otherwise. Thanks.
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do5000
SBR Wise Guy
06-06-08
853
#860
nice work guys, keep it going...
Comment
mac miller
SBR Wise Guy
01-27-11
749
#861
Morning guys,
Although im done betting for the rest of the week im still gonna post unofficial plays... yes, i am gonna spend the whatever time i have to cap them because i see this thread to be successful for the whole season so i wanna keep this going. with that said my leans for today are:
SFG V. CHI NO RUN
SEA V. CLE NO RUN
BAL V. TAM NO RUN
PHI V. ATL NO RUN
LAA V. TEX NO RUN
CHI V. OAK NO RUN
He won't do anything, I've only talked to him one time when I was 17 betting under my mothers name and he had to talk to her when I requested a payout didn't believe a woman would be betting.
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stc9357
Restricted User
04-18-10
2005
#868
SFO/CUB no score 1st inn +115 (2x)
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70kgman
SBR MVP
01-31-10
4354
#869
Don't know if this is a mistake or not by one of the books, but 5dimes has NO for the cubs game at +115, and DSI/Bookmaker has the YES at +120. Guaranteed money if you use both books.
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BadLuckSanta
SBR MVP
06-30-10
2756
#870
Stc how did you get that line??
My local has it at -150
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70kgman
SBR MVP
01-31-10
4354
#871
5Dimes just took it down. Wonder if your bet gets cancelled stc?
Comment
stc9357
Restricted User
04-18-10
2005
#872
Originally posted by 70kgman
5Dimes just took it down. Wonder if your bet gets cancelled stc?
It'll get cancelled thought something was wrong about to bet it again so I can still have the bet.
SFO/CUB no score 1st inn -135 Upgrade to (3x)
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stc9357
Restricted User
04-18-10
2005
#873
Parlay: SFO +1½ (-230) x DJOKOVIC (-475) (2x) Payout of 1.47 Units
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Recurring
SBR Sharp
12-11-10
343
#874
Dempster era is 7.20.. Little worried about that for the first inning
Comment
stc9357
Restricted User
04-18-10
2005
#875
Originally posted by Recurring
Dempster era is 7.20.. Little worried about that for the first inning
Bet it recurring, Bud Selig called me up and told me the under and no score was the play for this game.