No Run in the 1st Inning.

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  • DaProfessor23
    SBR MVP
    • 12-07-08
    • 1180

    #841
    Sea/Bal
    Comment
    • clamchowder
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-26-11
      • 471

      #842
      Originally posted by stc9357
      Thank you 70kgman welcome to the thread. Alright I'm going with my first instinct which is usually correct no amt. of statistics can quantify that.

      Parlay: SEA/BAL no score 1st inn (-110) x WAS/ATL no score 1st inn (-130) (2x): Payout of 4.75 Units

      SEA/BAL no score 1st inn (-110) (5x)
      I'm glad you hopped back on Sea/Bal No score 1st inning. Now, I don't feel like shit..
      Comment
      • Nova0387
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-28-09
        • 332

        #843
        Thnx Stc n Even my man Wiz...We been makin a killin' off these games (well atleast I have) I did lay off the Atl game just because i wasn't sure but glad you still hit the parlay stc!
        Comment
        • BadLuckSanta
          SBR MVP
          • 06-30-10
          • 2756

          #844
          been tailing this thread for the past 2 days silently. awesome info here.

          thank you
          Comment
          • pacers101
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-07-11
            • 603

            #845
            wow clean sweep for 7pm,layed off the kc game but i parlayed pit, atl, & sea and took atl single as well, good job everyone
            Comment
            • pacers101
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-07-11
              • 603

              #846
              Originally posted by 70kgman
              SEA/BAL - Run in 1st inning? - NO (-120)
              (Projected 1st inning run probability = 36.00%)

              -------------------

              Britton - 1st inning - 0.00 ERA / 0.43 WHIP / allowed 1st inning run 0 of 7 starts
              Vargas - 1st inning - 1.29 ERA / 0.57 WHIP / allowed 1st inning run 1 of 7 starts

              Baltimore 1st inning OBA = .255 (last in American league) / 5 straight games without a 1st inning run

              Seattle 1st inning OBA = .273 (3rd worst in American league) / 6 straight games without a 1st inning run
              is there a site you get this info or do you compile the stats yourself. i would love to find stuff like this. thanks
              Comment
              • 70kgman
                SBR MVP
                • 01-31-10
                • 4354

                #847
                Originally posted by pacers101
                is there a site you get this info or do you compile the stats yourself. i would love to find stuff like this. thanks
                Combination of both. Some stats are available on mlb.com's sortable stats section, other stuff I keep track of manually on a day to day basis.
                Comment
                • DaProfessor23
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-07-08
                  • 1180

                  #848
                  Originally posted by 70kgman
                  Combination of both. Some stats are available on mlb.com's sortable stats section, other stuff I keep track of manually on a day to day basis.
                  thanks for the extra info on todays game. keep those stats coming
                  Comment
                  • playr101
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-16-10
                    • 2029

                    #849
                    good wins today...

                    -playr101
                    Comment
                    • mac miller
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-27-11
                      • 749

                      #850
                      god damn ...up 5u this week so i reached my goal but damn i feel left out on this now since im doin less plays! haha regardless good job everyone its great to see everyone working together on this thread and making good profit! lets keep this goin!
                      Comment
                      • mac miller
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-27-11
                        • 749

                        #851
                        Todays record
                        2-0 +8 UNITS
                        Comment
                        • Nova0387
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-28-09
                          • 332

                          #852
                          Originally posted by mac miller
                          god damn ...up 5u this week so i reached my goal but damn i feel left out on this now since im doin less plays! haha regardless good job everyone its great to see everyone working together on this thread and making good profit! lets keep this goin!
                          Already! Don't sell yourself short though...If your goal is 5u or even 6 a week I would set that and then with the remaining 2-3 units go for another 5-6 and rain this wave while we got it good! (JMO) but ya def glad we're working together and getting this bread!
                          Comment
                          • mac miller
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-27-11
                            • 749

                            #853
                            Originally posted by Nova0387
                            Already! Don't sell yourself short though...If your goal is 5u or even 6 a week I would set that and then with the remaining 2-3 units go for another 5-6 and rain this wave while we got it good! (JMO) but ya def glad we're working together and getting this bread!
                            haha i hit my goal on tuesday this week already.. got greedy and went for the 10u on a 5u bet.. lost it on wed, and now already back at 5 units again lol
                            Comment
                            • Boxing Champ
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-11-11
                              • 3358

                              #854
                              It seems like the juice on these Yes's and No's went up a lot. -150? -170? Do you guys think books are catching on??
                              Comment
                              • ScoreLess_1st
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 05-05-11
                                • 32

                                #855
                                been playin 1st run bets off and on for a few years, never seen anything over -150 before. Now you see Shields/Masterson at -170. Sounds like the jig is up
                                Comment
                                • Boxing Champ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-11-11
                                  • 3358

                                  #856
                                  Originally posted by ScoreLess_1st
                                  been playin 1st run bets off and on for a few years, never seen anything over -150 before. Now you see Shields/Masterson at -170. Sounds like the jig is up
                                  That's what I've noticed too....
                                  If that's the case..all that juice is gonna negate all your winnings over time...
                                  Line setters at these sportsbooks are pretty sharp...

                                  P.S..Do you guys think Books read these threads???
                                  Last edited by Boxing Champ; 05-13-11, 12:12 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • itzjustme
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-20-11
                                    • 27

                                    #857
                                    .

                                    depends on the game who plays to predict under.over in 1st
                                    Comment
                                    • Boxing Champ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-11-11
                                      • 3358

                                      #858
                                      What??

                                      Originally posted by itzjustme
                                      depends on the game who plays to predict under.over in 1st
                                      Comment
                                      • TheAntFather
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-14-11
                                        • 3021

                                        #859
                                        Great job Mac, Stc and 70k. I was kinda skeptical of the Sea V. Bal No Score 1st Inning because 2 Lefties starting. And they always bite me in da a**. But, those stats show otherwise. Thanks.
                                        Comment
                                        • do5000
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 06-06-08
                                          • 853

                                          #860
                                          nice work guys, keep it going...
                                          Comment
                                          • mac miller
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-27-11
                                            • 749

                                            #861
                                            Morning guys,
                                            Although im done betting for the rest of the week im still gonna post unofficial plays... yes, i am gonna spend the whatever time i have to cap them because i see this thread to be successful for the whole season so i wanna keep this going. with that said my leans for today are:

                                            SFG V. CHI NO RUN
                                            SEA V. CLE NO RUN
                                            BAL V. TAM NO RUN
                                            PHI V. ATL NO RUN
                                            LAA V. TEX NO RUN
                                            CHI V. OAK NO RUN

                                            A LOT OF POTENTIAL PLAYS TODAY. LETS GET THIS!
                                            Comment
                                            • mac miller
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-27-11
                                              • 749

                                              #862
                                              Comment
                                              • ScoreLess_1st
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 05-05-11
                                                • 32

                                                #863
                                                Yesterday, almost every game had a scoreless 1st inning. Word to the wise, that will probably not happen again today. So go easy boys
                                                Comment
                                                • Recurring
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-11-10
                                                  • 343

                                                  #864
                                                  Either bookmaker got rid of these bets or banned me from making them. The option isn't there anymore.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stc9357
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-18-10
                                                    • 2005

                                                    #865
                                                    Originally posted by Recurring
                                                    Either bookmaker got rid of these bets or banned me from making them. The option isn't there anymore.
                                                    Time to move to 5dimes my friend.

                                                    Overall Record: (76-54-3) +44.68 Units, Win Percentage 58.46%
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Recurring
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-11-10
                                                      • 343

                                                      #866
                                                      Tony scares me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stc9357
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-18-10
                                                        • 2005

                                                        #867
                                                        Originally posted by Recurring
                                                        Tony scares me.
                                                        He won't do anything, I've only talked to him one time when I was 17 betting under my mothers name and he had to talk to her when I requested a payout didn't believe a woman would be betting.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stc9357
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-18-10
                                                          • 2005

                                                          #868
                                                          SFO/CUB no score 1st inn +115 (2x)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 70kgman
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-31-10
                                                            • 4354

                                                            #869
                                                            Don't know if this is a mistake or not by one of the books, but 5dimes has NO for the cubs game at +115, and DSI/Bookmaker has the YES at +120. Guaranteed money if you use both books.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BadLuckSanta
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-30-10
                                                              • 2756

                                                              #870
                                                              Stc how did you get that line??

                                                              My local has it at -150
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 70kgman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-31-10
                                                                • 4354

                                                                #871
                                                                5Dimes just took it down. Wonder if your bet gets cancelled stc?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stc9357
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-18-10
                                                                  • 2005

                                                                  #872
                                                                  Originally posted by 70kgman
                                                                  5Dimes just took it down. Wonder if your bet gets cancelled stc?
                                                                  It'll get cancelled thought something was wrong about to bet it again so I can still have the bet.

                                                                  SFO/CUB no score 1st inn -135 Upgrade to (3x)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stc9357
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-18-10
                                                                    • 2005

                                                                    #873
                                                                    Parlay: SFO +1½ (-230) x DJOKOVIC (-475) (2x) Payout of 1.47 Units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Recurring
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-11-10
                                                                      • 343

                                                                      #874
                                                                      Dempster era is 7.20.. Little worried about that for the first inning
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • stc9357
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 04-18-10
                                                                        • 2005

                                                                        #875
                                                                        Originally posted by Recurring
                                                                        Dempster era is 7.20.. Little worried about that for the first inning
                                                                        Bet it recurring, Bud Selig called me up and told me the under and no score was the play for this game.
                                                                        Comment
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