Going to tail the system this year, but be MUCH much more conservative and labby away....
Lets do this fellas!
Comment
Maleku
SBR Wise Guy
01-18-11
610
#1122
Originally posted by stevex
Going to tail the system this year, but be MUCH much more conservative and labby away....
Lets do this fellas!
Hiya Steve!
Been a long time man... we used to chat it up in the SBP threads. How have you been?
I consider you to be a guru when it comes to labbys... can you throw down an example of how you will run your labby being that there will potentially be lots of games going off on the same day with this system?
Enlighten us because I can not figure out the most beneficial way to do this.
Cheers.
Comment
spankmythighs
SBR MVP
01-26-10
2884
#1123
I like this system alot but I think I will tail the top 10 or 12 projected teams in MLB to win after a shut-out. For ex. Texas, Boston, NYY, Phili, Reds, Angels, St. Louis, Cleveland, Giants, Ari, Atl ,and Detroit.
sbr
Comment
TeamNookMum
SBR High Roller
04-15-09
249
#1124
what do you on days when the system conflicts, as in you have to play both sides, one team from each system
Comment
DustyDiamond
SBR Wise Guy
12-19-09
772
#1125
As far as I know yes, both sides are played, where this is a 6 game chase, there is lots of time to make up for the known loss. However, I think most people only play the fade system.
Comment
cmdyrds
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-09
522
#1126
does anyone know if there has been any modifications to this system since last year?
Comment
domi
SBR Hustler
02-29-12
77
#1127
Did any one try this system in the nhl ?
Comment
bauerranch
SBR Wise Guy
08-01-10
611
#1128
Checking in for this year- good luck
Comment
DustyDiamond
SBR Wise Guy
12-19-09
772
#1129
Originally posted by cmdyrds
does anyone know if there has been any modifications to this system since last year?
I'm thinking the only mod was to not start a new series once Sept 1st hits. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
Comment
cmdyrds
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-09
522
#1130
Originally posted by DustyDiamond
I'm thinking the only mod was to not start a new series once Sept 1st hits. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
thank you
Comment
on3
SBR MVP
08-23-10
2197
#1131
just checking in. BOL everyone.
Comment
Maleku
SBR Wise Guy
01-18-11
610
#1132
With 7 system loses, did the "FOLLOW" system show profit or loss last year?
Comment
greenhippo
SBR Hall of Famer
02-15-12
9091
#1133
7 system losses = a shit ton of unit losses, even on a 4 game chase, losing 7 series is a loss of 105 units. Going to take a lot to make up for that.
Comment
nitsuj378
SBR High Roller
12-16-10
123
#1134
Just curious. Are we going to keep using this thread from last season for the upcoming season or is someone going to start a new one?
Comment
pagodo
SBR Wise Guy
05-09-11
669
#1135
Hi all, checking in for 2012
I'm starting a new thread for the year and moving some useful info to its first page:
Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
Last edited by pagodo; 03-26-12, 05:31 AM.
Reason: linked
Comment
PokerDave
SBR Hustler
02-07-11
50
#1136
BOL ALL, I'm on board
Comment
biblos
SBR Wise Guy
10-14-09
783
#1137
Clear rules
Hi.Anyone can post more clear rules about Shutout system?
Comment
biblos
SBR Wise Guy
10-14-09
783
#1138
JJ
Is a James Jones system right?
Comment
bateeeman22
SBR High Roller
02-22-13
100
#1139
Originally posted by black666
Not the best day yesterday - but you gotta fight through the hard times .. at least the RedSox won.
I'm halfway done with my backtesting program .. let's hope I get some results this weekend on how the systems really did in the last couple of season.
Anyway..today's games:
System 1 (Fade a team that has been shutout - 6 game chase):
fade Giants game 2
fade Padres game 1
System 2 (Tail a team that shut another out - 5 game chase):
tail Tigers game 4
tail Pirates game 2
tail Braves game 1
what is mean by "fade" and "tail"? english is not my native language so please don't cut me off!
Comment
snark
SBR Sharp
11-12-12
311
#1140
Tail = Bet on
Fade = Bet against
Comment
bateeeman22
SBR High Roller
02-22-13
100
#1141
Originally posted by snark
Tail = Bet on
Fade = Bet against
thank you
another question, what is the average stake layout for the both systems (6times in a row betting)?
I mean, what are the average stakes and odds for this 6 game chase?
1. game odd -140 stake 10 $
2. game odd x stake x
?
Comment
DustyDiamond
SBR Wise Guy
12-19-09
772
#1143
Someone took this system and is now selling it.. haha shutoutsystem.com unbelievable. This system was born here on SBR
Comment
Nick6570
SBR High Roller
04-15-09
163
#1144
Checking in for 2013
Comment
sunshine11
SBR MVP
04-13-14
2634
#1145
Originally posted by pagodo
Thank you so much, everyone, for the good vibes, I hope to see you all back in 2012
I'm looking closely at NHL stats and lines from previous seasons, but if I'll figure something out, I won't start posting in the hockey handicapping section sooner than mid-November as I have a lot of work ahead at my day job right now.
I'll put up a post or two about the strategy later in the week, for now here's a quick results' update with yesterday's Marlins' game 5 win accounted for.
--- System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase): Final 2011 results:
Game 1: 162-149
Game 2: 77-72
Game 3: 32-40
Game 4: 22-18
Game 5: 11-7
Game 6: 5-2
SYSTEM 1 = (309-2)
--- System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase): Final 2011 results:
Game 1: 160-151
Game 2: 79-72
Game 3: 36-36
Game 4: 16-20
Game 5: 8-12
Game 6: 8-4
SYSTEM 2 = (307-4)
---
6 game chase. you need to have you're head examined betting this system. A lot of #6 bets i see.
Comment
atthehalf
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-13
5074
#1146
If you're going to go with the full game then you're supposed to go +1.5 RL if the team getting shutout is an underdog their next game, and the ML if they are favored. if the juice is over -165 then utilize the favorite RL. Trust me. I know this-it's my system LOL! You can fact check that statement by going to my page and looking at the MLB threads that I started last year.
That stated this works better with the FF to cut down on the bullpen losses and get some pushes in the mix
Comment
atthehalf
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-13
5074
#1147
When two teams that have been shutout face one another you pass on that game and then whichever team wins you fade them the next game
Comment
atthehalf
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-13
5074
#1148
Only other tweaks that I recommend are to use only teams at or above .500 and if you convert to first fives if you end up with a push taking the favorite ML then that series is over. I only chase 4 games, and I increased the stake 2X and 3X and so on to cover the losses. Works much much better doing first fives gentlemen. Those push moves help the bottom line
Comment
atthehalf
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-13
5074
#1149
Ok so the Pale Hose won in my shutout system first five today so that would be kind of what I was talking about by leaning on the starters to go the first five frames and get rid of the bullpen issues that occur with full game moves. I made a move for the RL because the vig was obese..
Comment
sunshine11
SBR MVP
04-13-14
2634
#1150
Stfu spammer. GL with that. No system is foolproof or Vegas would be broke.
Comment
atthehalf
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-13
5074
#1151
Originally posted by sunshine11
Stfu spammer. GL with that. No system is foolproof or Vegas would be broke.
Yeah chasing for 6 full term games is a means to an end. The problem with doing the system for the full game are the late game losses incurred by bullpens and using it for teams under .500. The system as intended only called for 4 game chases and when I switched to first fives it worked wonderfully-especially since I rank my pitchers for fantasy purposes...with that said why don't you challenge the person who started the thread to a 25 move challenge to see if what you are doing is better than what he is doing? It's only fair. Can't go around insulting people without proving that what you are doing is better than what they are doing IMO. That's how disagreements were settled here at SBR in the old days of CK, Dexter, Tex, roagbettor, robem215, cnleaf, and the Underground. Ask samsncharge about the SBR Legend CK