2011 MLB Picks & Guide to a Winning Season

[DukeJohn]

MONEY MANAGEMENT:

All my MLB Free Picks use the following Money Management strategy:

Bankroll divided by 300 = 1 unit
If the line is -200 or higher then divide the unit size by 3

For Example:

• Your bankroll was $1500. Your unit size would be $5.
• However if the play was NY Yankees -280, then the unit size would be $1.66

HOW TO BET:

All favorites are to win and all dogs are risk. Using the above unit size.

• If the pick was NY Yankees -125 then the bet would be $6.25 to win $5.00
• If the pick was NY Yankees +160 then the be would be risking $5.00 to win $8.00

MLB is always a roller coaster ride of fun and excitement. Following my Sports Picks and betting on the MLB will be an adventure and surely add a huge level of interest and excitement to any game. Even if you never watch a game, put some money on it and it becomes valuable entertainment. :-)

I wish us all the best of luck,




MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record
0 - 0 0% :: ROI= +0.00% ::Units= +0.00
MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record
0 - 0 0% :: ROI= +0.00% ::Units= +0.00
MLB 2010 Record Final
255 - 170 60.00% :: ROI= +19.69% ::Units= +269.39
MLB 2009 Record Final
ROI = +26.11%

[DukeJohn]

April 1, 2011

No plays today, enjoy the day off.

[greva]

GL Duke.. Will be following this closely..

Always enjoy your picks..

[DukeJohn]

GL Duke.. Will be following this closely..

Always enjoy your picks..

[DukeJohn]

April 2, 2011

02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +120
02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS + 1.5 -145
02 – COLORADO ROCKIES -154
02 – COLORADO ROCKIES –1.5 +140

Best of Luck to us all,

[greva]

April 2, 2011 02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +120 02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS + 1.5 -145 02 – COLORADO ROCKIES -154 02 – COLORADO ROCKIES –1.5 +140 Best of Luck to us all,

Is that 2 unit plays?

[DukeJohn]

Is that 2 unit plays?

They are each 1 Unit plays, however one is the money line and the other is the runline

[greva]

They are each 1 Unit plays, however one is the money line and the other is the runline

Gotcha

Do you play listed pitchers or action??

[DukeJohn]

Gotcha

Do you play listed pitchers or action??

All plays are action however you will be forced to take listed on the runline.

[linedrivr]

Looks good. good luck this season pal.

[DukeJohn]

April 2, 2011

02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +120
02 – CLEVELAND INDIANS + 1.5 -145
02 – COLORADO ROCKIES -154
02 – COLORADO ROCKIES –1.5 +140

Cleveland just never got it going.




MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record
2 - 2 50.00% :: ROI= -0.02% ::Units= -0.05
MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record
3 - 3 50.00% :: ROI= -0.02% ::Units= -0.05
MLB 2010 Record Final
255 - 170 60.00% :: ROI= +19.69% ::Units= +269.39
MLB 2009 Record Final
ROI = +26.11%

[greva]

what are your personal systems duke? would be interesting to hear about those

[superbowl3056]

What are you thinking for today? Will be tailing for sure!

[DukeJohn]

April 3, 2011

• 03 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +115
• 03 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +1.5 -150
• 03 – FLORIDA MARLINS -130
• 03 – FLORIDA MARLINS -1.5 +160

Best of Luck to us all,

[jolmscheid]

Checking in Duke!!! Got your thread bookmarked!

[jolmscheid]

Good luck of course...another profitable venture about to begin I'm sure...

[DukeJohn]

what are your personal systems duke? would be interesting to hear about those

That, I am afraid I will not reveal. My personal systems are how I make a living at Sports Betting and although I am willing to use them to make a strategy that I can post for everyone, as I do. Actually spelling out what exactly I do personally, that is another story.

Now, I do put money down of these free picks too as I believe in this system, but it is untested, so I'm not putting my whole bankroll into it.

Anyway, best of luck to us both this season,

[DukeJohn]

Will be tailing for sure!

Checking in Duke!!! Got your thread bookmarked!

Good luck of course...another profitable venture about to begin I'm sure...

Thanks guys and it will be interesting to see how this all evolves. I was excited about the preliminary back testing, but it required so many hours of work, that I just gave up and decided to take it live.

[DukeJohn]

April 3, 2011

• 03 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +115
• 03 – CLEVELAND INDIANS +1.5 -150
• 03 – FLORIDA MARLINS -130
• 03 – FLORIDA MARLINS -1.5 +160

Florida got stomped early and just never recovered.

See ya tomorrow,




MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record
4 - 4 50.00% :: ROI= -0.07% ::Units= -0.20
MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record
6 - 6 50.00% :: ROI= +0.05% ::Units= +0.70
MLB 2010 Record Final
255 - 170 60.00% :: ROI= +19.69% ::Units= +269.39
MLB 2009 Record Final
ROI = +26.11%

[Iced]

So you're keeping a system record for system plays you're not even posting?

[DukeJohn]

So you're keeping a system record for system plays you're not even posting?

Yep, Always have and always will. If it bothers you, don't look at that line.

[Iced]

Yep, Always have and always will. If it bothers you, don't look at that line.

It doesn't bother me, just clarifying. You seem like an honest guy, I believe you.

[DukeJohn]

It doesn't bother me, just clarifying. You seem like an honest guy, I believe you.

Thank you for saying so. We posters are so used to being attacked, sometimes we jump the gun.

As for posting the record, it will let me compare the two at the end of the season and see how it progressed throughout the season. Although My Personal Record includes the Free Pick System, I would just need to subtract that out. Of course, right now I would be doing a little better without it but the season is so early. Usually what happens is my Personal Record will swing violently while the Free Picks will stay steady. However, being able to go back over the progression allows me to determine if I need to tighten or loosen the unit size in future seasons.

Not sure I explained it very well, but that is the long reason for posting both.

Best of Luck this season,

[Iced]

No problem Duke, sorry if I came off as being hostile. Your explanation was good, I understand it.

Thanks for the good luck wishes, hopefully you have another profitable season as well.

[DukeJohn]

April 4, 2011

No plays today, enjoy the day off.

[DukeJohn]

April 5, 2011

• 05 – TORONTO BLUE JAYS -118
• 05 – TORONTO BLUE JAYS –1.5 +175

Best of Luck to us all,

[DukeJohn]

April 5, 2011

• 05 – TORONTO BLUE JAYS -118
• 05 – TORONTO BLUE JAYS –1.5 +175

Horrible start for Toronto, but they tied it up and then won in the 10th

I actually made a mistake somehow. Not sure how because I record all the transaction numbers, but somehow I didn't get the runline of -1.5 bet down. Good thing since it would have lost. Although the record below will NOT reflect this little bonus mistake.

G'nite and see ya tomorrow,

MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record
5 - 5 50.00% :: ROI= -0.07% ::Units= -0.20
MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record
8 - 7 53.33% :: ROI= +0.21% ::Units= +3.80
MLB 2010 Record Final
255 - 170 60.00% :: ROI= +19.69% ::Units= +269.39
MLB 2009 Record Final
ROI = +26.11%

[DukeJohn]

April 6, 2011

No plays today, enjoy the day off.

[jolmscheid]

Looking forward to your next plays Duke!!

[DukeJohn]

Looking forward to your next plays Duke!!

However, it looks like it will be another day of no plays, but Friday I am looking closely at San Diego for now.

[DukeJohn]

April 7, 2011

No plays today, enjoy the day off. However, tomorrow there will be picks. The beginning of the season is always slow like this.

[DukeJohn]

April 8, 2011

• 08 – SAN DIEGO PADRES -108
• 08 – SAN DIEGO PADRES -1.5 +185

Best of Luck to us all,

[jolmscheid]

Thanks Duke!

[DukeJohn]

April 8, 2011

• 08 – SAN DIEGO PADRES -108 - SUSPENDED
• 08 – SAN DIEGO PADRES -1.5 +185 - SUSPENDED

Interesting, that the -1.5 play was also voided.




MLB 2011 Season – Free Picks System Record
5 - 5 50.00% :: ROI= -0.07% ::Units= -0.20
MLB 2011 Season – Personal All Systems Record
8 - 7 53.33% :: ROI= +0.21% ::Units= +3.80
MLB 2010 Record Final
255 - 170 60.00% :: ROI= +19.69% ::Units= +269.39
MLB 2009 Record Final
ROI = +26.11%

[DukeJohn]

April 9, 2011

No plays today, enjoy the day off.