Nc '11

[No coincidences]

Like I said...

I love how you wait until I've had a few bad days to troll in my thread.

Where were you when I got into the +25U range?

I'm still in the black for the year and killing it in the NBA playoffs. If you can give me a link to your thread with documented plays, I'd love to see it....

[BigDan]

tough weekend brother, glad i spent a lot more time getting fukked up than gambling as i wasnt so hot myself (just didnt play a whole lot luckily). Im sure you will right the ship soon.

Already played for Monday.

Lad+177. Didnt put a lot of thought into it just saw a line that seems kinda high, still hung over so maybe im crazy but ill take Lilly at that price most days. Lee has not been himself going back a good 3-4 starts now, walking way more than usual. Philly off long trip, Lad has been playing decent ball recently.

Min+145. Not that i think twinks have turned a corner, just been liking this fade cle train and at this price why not ride it till the wheels fall off?

Didnt put much work into these just think i got lines that wont do anything but go my way later so worst case i can always bail.

[No coincidences]

You read my mind pal.

MIN +140 (4U)

I'd go more if I trusted the Twins' bullpen.

[No coincidences]

Other leans:

SD -107
BAL -110
CHW -106

[Avenger]

Holy cow! 2-9?

I hate to say it, but are you tailing GG?

I can't post in his thread anymore, but I've been selectively fading him. I won't post how or else everyone will do it, and it's not 100%, but at least it's + units.

Clue: If he's on Danks tomorrow (70% he will be) I'll take my chances with Pineda. Pineda and King Felix seem untouchable, I see Felix for regression but not Pineda. (of course, now I posted it, opposite will come true, Murphy's law). And Danks suck is for real. I was looking at his last 8 games, they've all been horrible WHIPs. Haven't watched him on TV but obviously something is wrong with his game, it's not a fix.

BTW: I know he owned Mariners last year, but has the Mariner's roster changed? I'm going to hedge my Mariner's bet with an under bet. Mariner's bats are horrible and should regress even with Danks and Pineda should keep WSox bats at bay.

Just my opinion, take it or leave it.

[No coincidences]

Holy cow! 2-9?

I hate to say it, but are you tailing GG?

I can't post in his thread anymore, but I've been selectively fading him. I won't post how or else everyone will do it, and it's not 100%, but at least it's + units.

Clue: If he's on Danks tomorrow (70% he will be) I'll take my chances with Pineda. Pineda and King Felix seem untouchable, I see Felix for regression but not Pineda. (of course, now I posted it, opposite will come true, Murphy's law). And Danks suck is for real. I was looking at his last 8 games, they've all been horrible WHIPs. Haven't watched him on TV but obviously something is wrong with his game, it's not a fix.

BTW: I know he owned Mariners last year, but has the Mariner's roster changed? I'm going to hedge my Mariner's bet with an under bet. Mariner's bats are horrible and should regress even with Danks and Pineda should keep WSox bats at bay.

Just my opinion, take it or leave it.

A little tip -- avoid your strategy post-ASB and thank me later.

You might be getting away with fading GG now, but the books will get their money back.

As for the 2-9, yeah, I had too many plays. Easy to say that in retrospect. Then again, I've had 9-0 days. Baseball's a long season with a lot of twists and turns. Shit happens.

[vyomguy]

like a's and nats tomorrow...what do u think?

[No coincidences]

like a's and nats tomorrow...what do u think?

It's hard not to take the A's given how bad the O's are against lefties, but Oakland's coming off a horrible series at Boston. I don't know about that one -- I'll look into it more tomorrow.

[No coincidences]

Look at this before you take the Dodgers "Dan" -- even though they have hot bats right now....

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5353/teamId/19/cliff-lee

[BigDan]

yea i saw the numbers before i bet them nc. Very limited number of abs. line just seems to high imho, probably means Lee will be himself again and shut them down but +177? maybe im getting sucked in but it not like phi is ripping the cover off the ball at the moment.

[BigDan]

It's hard not to take the A's given how bad the O's are against lefties, but Oakland's coming off a horrible series at Boston. I don't know about that one -- I'll look into it more tomorrow.

hoping for a good under ump in this one. if i trusted anyone on bal i would be all over Matusz at this price, the kid was great the last 2 months of last season ( bal was 10-1 in his starts in aug/sept against all solid teams), didnt see anything from him in his 1st start back that makes me think he wont continue to shine.

[axa]

Very good call on Minnesota. Congrats

[No coincidences]

Tonight:

MIN +140 (4U)
CIN -135 (2U)
KC +109 (1U)
CHW -105 (1U)
WAS +172 (1U)
BAL -106 (1U)

I won't be around until tomorrow, so BOL guys.

[No coincidences]

Tonight:

MIN +140 (4U)
CIN -135 (2U)
KC +109 (1U)
CHW -105 (1U)
WAS +172 (1U)
BAL -106 (1U)

I won't be around until tomorrow, so BOL guys.

Adding 2U to the White Sox. Now 3U.

[No coincidences]

Pulling KC.

MIN +140 (4U)
CHW -105 (3U)
CIN -135 (2U)
WAS +172 (1U)
BAL -106 (1U)

[angtank]

Good luck today!!!

[vyomguy]

white sox line seems weird...the obvious play is seattle...so that makes white sox the play.

[No coincidences]

white sox line seems weird...the obvious play is seattle...so that makes white sox the play.

Hope so. Putting a lot of faith in the White Sox and Twinks tonight.

[BigDan]

That what im talkin bout brother!!

You know im already looking to fade the tribe again 2marro (actually just mark me down to be fading them till all-star break at least).

[vyomguy]

good call on the twins....a's screwed me

[CanuckG]

Leaning Pirates/bo sox so far for tomorrow. gl.

[No coincidences]

Pulling KC.

MIN +140 (4U)
CHW -105 (3U)
CIN -135 (2U)
WAS +172 (1U)
BAL -106 (1U)

Should've just taken Nats FF after wearing their bullpen out Sunday.

In any event, a good Monday for once.

4-1, +9.3U today
199-207, +12.8U season

Canuck, I like Pittsburgh a lot. May take the White Sox and O's again too. Wish O'Sullivan hasn't been such garbage lately, because Kyle Drabek has been trash lately. And why not take the Twins again as well? I typically steer clear of BOS/NYY games.

Good to have you back my friend.

[No coincidences]

I'm going to lock PIT in now; don't think I'll get a better price tomorrow.

PIT +106 (3U)

I'd go bigger if Correia didn't have shaky numbers at home. Still might add to this on Tuesday.

[No coincidences]

May go to the gNats well again -- at least FF. I heart Zimm.

[suicidekings]

I'm going to lock PIT in now; don't think I'll get a better price tomorrow.

PIT +106 (3U)

I'd go bigger if Correia didn't have shaky numbers at home. Still might add to this on Tuesday.

I found this article recently regarding the early success of the Pittsburgh pitching staff. An interesting read, using sabermetric stats to look deeper into how they're expected to perform as the season goes on.

[BigDan]

O'Sullivan isnt starting for kc my friend. Vin Mazzaro gets the nod, with Wolf behind the plate i lean under and possibly kc as i dont think Drabek has done enough to warrant being road chalk.

gotta go to work, back later.

[gv12]

good luck today noco

[axa]

congrats on a great day

[hardball]

Looks like you had a solid day NoCoin

[No coincidences]

I found this article recently regarding the early success of the Pittsburgh pitching staff. An interesting read, using sabermetric stats to look deeper into how they're expected to perform as the season goes on.

Thanks SK. As most people know, I'm a big fan of Roy Halladay Jr. -- Charlie Morton.

[No coincidences]

O'Sullivan isnt starting for kc my friend. Vin Mazzaro gets the nod, with Wolf behind the plate i lean under and possibly kc as i dont think Drabek has done enough to warrant being road chalk.

gotta go to work, back later.

Interesting. Vin Mazzaro, the guy who gave up 100 runs in relief a while back? No way KC wins that one, right?



Thanks for the kind words guys.

[lyon804]

Should've just taken Nats FF after wearing their bullpen out Sunday.

In any event, a good Monday for once.

4-1, +9.3U today
199-207, +12.8U season

Canuck, I like Pittsburgh a lot. May take the White Sox and O's again too. Wish O'Sullivan hasn't been such garbage lately, because Kyle Drabek has been trash lately. And why not take the Twins again as well? I typically steer clear of BOS/NYY games.

Good to have you back my friend.

Great nite NC. Glad to see you positive in baseball at this point.

[No coincidences]

Great nite NC. Glad to see you positive in baseball at this point.

Thanks lyon. It's been a grind to say the least. Love all the action, but you know how it is when you're juggling this many games on a given night....

Alright fellas, here are tonight's leans:

PIT +103 (play)
LAA -168
BAL -106
KC +104
MIN +123
WAS FF +120
CHW +106

[No coincidences]

Disappointed to see the public kind of backing the Buccos tonight. Strangely enough, if this game were at Arizona, I'd feel even more comfortable about it and probably put even more on PIT.

[lunchbawks]

Small play on Rockies tonight? Why not?