Looking ahead without viewing the public %'s
The Indians and O's look pretty good tomorrow imo
The Indians and O's look pretty good tomorrow imo
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Matt Cain line seems somewhat low too but I might just be missing somethingComment -
Heres a quick pitching report for the month of june in the past. These pitchers have an awesome track record in the month of june as we see here. I feel as if the lines speak for themselves
Nolasco, Ricky • 11-5
The Florida starter has a sound repeatable delivery and throws a few different fastballs that match almost perfectly with tightly-spun curveball that he will throw on any count. Watch for Nolasco on the road since he and Marlins mates are 15-4 when he toes the rubber and 11-2 away from home when the money line is +125 to -125 the last two seasons.
Weaver, Jered • 10-5
It’s been a crazy campaign for the Anaheim ace, being the first pitcher since 1884 (that’s correct 127 years ago) to start the year with six straight wins and lose the next four times. With any run support, Weaver should return to winning ways this month.Comment -
this may be why cain and the giants line seems off.
Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants
The injury-ravaged Giants are reeling right now, and Matt Cain isn’t doing them any favors.
Cain has been rocked in his last two starts, allowing 17 hits and nine earned runs over 12 innings. He’s been laboring for an extended period, having posted just one victory since April 20th.
We’re still able to find considerable value fading Cain for a couple of reasons.
Most still consider him to be an elite pitcher in the National League, and while that may be the case, he’s not in solid form right now.
The Giants are struggling, and will continue to do so until they get healthy, or get into a groove at the plate, but they’re still the defending World Series champs. For the time being, they’ll continue to be priced accordingly.
Look to fade Cain on the road, where his ERA stands north of 4.00, and opponents are hitting .262 against him this season.
Alexi Ogando, Texas Rangers
Ogando has had only two bad starts in his first season as a major league starting pitcher, and one of those came in his most recent outing.
Even though he allowed five earned runs over six innings against the Royals on Friday, Ogando didn’t actually pitch all that poorly. He recorded four strikeouts compared to one walk, and gave up only seven hits.
In five May starts, Ogando was tagged for only 26 hits and nine earned runs in 34 1/3 innings of work. He also recorded a strong 26:7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Rangers have won each of his last four trips to the hill.
The second part of this equation is the team itself. Texas is getting back to full strength, having welcomed both Josh Hamilton and Nelson Cruz back to the lineup in the past week. They appear poised to go on a run, and Ogando should be a big part of their success.Comment -
i personally dont know but i been hearing things bout Cain, maybe ask tatdaddy he a sf fan. I read somewhere his velocity hasnt been right, i know he been roughed up his last few starts. Simple as a few bad outings or something more?
Sf coming back home after a tough series kicking Cards asses. If Cain isnt himself and cant go deep id worry about the vaunted pen being a little worn.
Col so cold but think they the only side id play (if any) in this game. To many factors point their way for line to be higher. Sf off long trip with no rest, Col chillin out West with a day off after a great start by their used to be ace, Cain issues? Even if not, col has seen Cain plenty while SF gotta see a kid they never have seen before. Sure there a good chance sf grind out a 3-1 type win if Cain is right and the pen on top of its game, just think that may be a lot to ask.Comment -
at least it is his second start! i didnt really watch any of the series with col so i didnt see the kid pitch but he did Blank Cards for 7 in Col, that seems harder to do than pitch well in a pitchers park against a less potent offense (well usually, id expect that offense back 2marro).Comment -
Ok im on Col unless i get a convincing argument not to be. Hell only reason i can see not to back them is they are cold, but SF the team traveling home right now from the stl heat. Gotta take the should be fresher club at + anything i think.Comment -
Yo, sorry I said something to talk you out of hedging your STL play. I was just being observant, in general I still think you should keep the majority of your initial leans. I owe ya a winner!Comment -
Best of luck with your picksComment -
this is all uselessmaybe this will help out tomorrows capping.. just a little early homework nocoin.
MLB: Milwaukee has won just four of its last 16 road games and is 7-23 in the club’s last 30 contests in Florida.
MLB: The White Sox have lost 11 of their last 12 meetings with the Tigers.
MLB: Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay.
MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games.
MLB: Texas has won nine of its last 11 meetings with the Indians.Comment -
Leaning Marlins, Reds, O's, Mets and Giants so far.Comment -
here is what i got on my mind at the moment.
col +115. already been discussed.
LAD+120. their offense seems to be getting better, combine that with getting out of C R and facing Arroyo i like this price.
D-Bags-165 maybe rl?
tex or tex/cle un 8. i know you will hate tex play but cle has really been sliding, no way i will play both so maybe you can talk me into laying off tex.
STL-160. you knew i would go there. approaching this series like this, figure on a split (at worst) in the 1st 2 so ill take my stl win in one of them then decide on 2nd game (assuming i get a W tonight) and either play stl in rubber match or fade if they going for sweep. Cubs are beat to shit, Cards need to bounce back after sf beating them like they stole something all series.
would like to play Brew Crew but i can already hear you quoting their road record to me!
Det is tempting also but much like when tigers are hot i either ride or get out of the way, i feel basically the same about the chisox so seriously doubt i play this.
Nice to have a day off work and be able to look at the whole card for once in the last few weeks. Hopefully we arnt bumping heads on to many of these, if so talk me out of mine. Or try at least, you know i can be stubborn
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Really don't see much worth playing tonight -- might make a few small plays, or just try to pass altogether.Comment -
I can't argue against any of those, even though my leans are the other way on some. A lot of short home prices that typically yield a good result for the visitor (a -120/-130 home fave is kind of like a -2/-3 home fave in hoops -- those typically don't cash). Even though I have leans on Cincy, Baltimore, Florida and SF, my gut's telling me to stay away.here is what i got on my mind at the moment.
col +115. already been discussed.
LAD+120. their offense seems to be getting better, combine that with getting out of C R and facing Arroyo i like this price.
D-Bags-165 maybe rl?
tex or tex/cle un 8. i know you will hate tex play but cle has really been sliding, no way i will play both so maybe you can talk me into laying off tex.
STL-160. you knew i would go there. approaching this series like this, figure on a split (at worst) in the 1st 2 so ill take my stl win in one of them then decide on 2nd game (assuming i get a W tonight) and either play stl in rubber match or fade if they going for sweep. Cubs are beat to shit, Cards need to bounce back after sf beating them like they stole something all series.
would like to play Brew Crew but i can already hear you quoting their road record to me!
Det is tempting also but much like when tigers are hot i either ride or get out of the way, i feel basically the same about the chisox so seriously doubt i play this.
Nice to have a day off work and be able to look at the whole card for once in the last few weeks. Hopefully we arnt bumping heads on to many of these, if so talk me out of mine. Or try at least, you know i can be stubborn
I think the Texas line speaks for itself. Masterson's been struggling lately. I still think Ogando's due for a correction, but I wouldn't necessarily bet against them tonight.
I wouldn't touch the Cards with a gun to my head right now, which means they'll probably easily cash.
Not sure what to think about DET/CHW and ARI/WAS.
Want to take Twins and Yanks, but I think those lines are setups also.
Keep me posted.Comment -
You know i mean this in the best way possible but i think this actually went into my capping on this one.
Cle whole staff has been on a serious down turn the last month it seems. that what scares me about the under and steers me more toward liking Tex. Tribe as a whole are already in correction mode i believe.
I swear they must really want to get that NYY money back from all the short lines on oak series with this freaking number, w/o looking how often are Spanks this big of dogs? Cant be to often???
I think kc is the right side but you gotta be kinda retarded to lay that kind of juice with those fuksticks.
you might wanna use my Cards logic (knowing you wouldnt touch them) with twinks and spanks cause i wouldnt touch either so they probably solid.
d-bags just playing to well to for me to think they cant get a W or 2 in this series so let the chase begin, just cant decide whether to do this on the ml or be greedy and save juice on the rls. Didnt even realize that G's picks was playing this series till today but always happy to jump on one of his series after it has taken a loss in the 1st game.
det owns chisox like chisox own bosox. Feel like this line a little inflated due to the red sox beat down that chw just put down. still am not crazy about this one cause i feel real tempted based almost solely off price which usually bothers me.Comment -
I Dont Have A Rubberband...But If I Did...
well that almost completely talked me off of tex, then i saw the rubberband man himself didnt "endorse" this play and now i have no damn clue.
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You'd pressume that Arroyo is due a good start here pretty soon. It's just a little dangerous to play that game when betting on games.
I do really like Baltimore and San Fran though
Any thoughts on NYM, NC? I hate to back those guys but it's a tempting line imoComment -
would def either be on mets or pass, i hardly ever mess with the mets for or against though.Comment -
No Coin friend, I wonder if it still marks Aguná today?Comment -
D-Backs, Red Sox, Yankees - Angels OVER 7.5, Cardinals and Astros are my plays tonight. Also just added Phillies (-1.5).Comment -
Ended up playing all of these. Couldnt really narrow it down, actually wanted to play a few more
Colorado Rockies +115
Detroit Tigers +125
Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Florida Marlins Under 8 (-120)
Los Angeles Dodgers +112
St. Louis Cardinals -167
Texas Rangers -119
im going to get fukked up, not gonna watch any of this stuff unless Cards game on at the bar. GL everyone.Comment -
Alright, I'm caving....
For now:
NYM -102 (1U)
CLE -102 (1U)
BAL -126 (1U)
OAK RL -117 (1U)Comment -
Leans for me are:
Mets
Florida
Rockies
Baltimore
Angels
...That's all for now...Comment -
Ended up playing all of these. Couldnt really narrow it down, actually wanted to play a few more
Colorado Rockies +115
Detroit Tigers +125
Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Florida Marlins Under 8 (-120)
Los Angeles Dodgers +112
St. Louis Cardinals -167
Texas Rangers -119
im going to get fukked up, not gonna watch any of this stuff unless Cards game on at the bar. GL everyone.
Hope everything cashes except the Dodgers and Rangers.
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