Nc '11

[No coincidences]

Tuesday may be my biggest card of the year so far. I see a ton of plays I like.

Heavy leans (and likely plays):

NYM -126
SD +106
BAL -105
OAK -118
DET -110

Also, possible plays on TOR, LAD, CHW and SF.

A few notes:

Brian Anderson faces John Lackey on Tuesday. I know the Red Sox are hot, but Lackey is Lackey (15-plus ERA so far this year) and Anderson is 3-0 in his last four starts vs. Boston, allowing just 7 ER in 24 IP.

A.J. Burnett may be off to a solid start, but he's allowed 18 ER in his last 16 IP vs. his former mates in Toronto and 15 ER in his last 7 IP against the Jays. Drabek's been outstanding so far this year, but can he quiet the Yankee bats? It'll be interesting, too, to see if A-Rod plays tomorrow.

[No coincidences]

Assuming the Tigers hang on, I'll be 3-3, +1.9U today and 53-53, +2.7U season.

[mlb]

Feel like tomorrow could be a day where a lot of public plays get burned ... just a thought with all of the low spreads

[CanuckG]

No Coincidences it has been a bit slow for me too the past couple days but I also like tomorrows card. Here's hoping we rake it in tomorrow...I feel it.

[blackeyeshamus]

good luck, no coincidences, my friend.
good work. way to get up and win games!
liking your leans, but I'm still thinking...

[No coincidences]

Feel like tomorrow could be a day where a lot of public plays get burned ... just a thought with all of the low spreads

Could be. I'll look at public % later when they're more accurate.

No Coincidences it has been a bit slow for me too the past couple days but I also like tomorrows card. Here's hoping we rake it in tomorrow...I feel it.

good luck, no coincidences, my friend.
good work. way to get up and win games!
liking your leans, but I'm still thinking...

[stevex]

Keep up the good work man!

[JamesBrown]

I was thinking about taking OAK today as well. What are your NBA leans tonight?

[No coincidences]

I was thinking about taking OAK today as well. What are your NBA leans tonight?

Not sure. Still looking at the card. I think Portland can and will cover. And why are the Magic now -9.5 after losing Game 1 SU? Public like Hawks, but I think the line is telling.

[miyakuza]

I like Oakland and Mets. Line is driving up on Mets and public is on Astros.

I Like Royals simply because Chen opened at -140 before Indians even won yesterday.

TB also looks good.

[lyon804]

NC, you reckon Atlanta will get shut out again? There offense is really clicking thus far....

[No coincidences]

NC, you reckon Atlanta will get shut out again? There offense is really clicking thus far....

Yeah -- their offense has stunk. Someone needs to send out an APB for Uggla.

On the other hand, how good is Kimbrel?

[pacocn]

NC Padres have been rained out have u listed your final plays yet?

[No coincidences]

Alright, here we go....

OAK -111 (3U)
DET -113 (3U)
BAL -113 (1U)
NYM -137 (1U)
CHW -101 (1U)
TOR +104 (1U)
NYY/TOR over 9 (1U)
TEX/LAA under 10 (1U)
MIN/BAL under 8.5 (1U)
StL/WASH over 8.5 (1U)
NYM/HOU under 7.5 (1U)

I'm also on a 3U parlay with the Magic ML, Celtics ML and Rangers ML. Pays +133.

[pacocn]

coin i did a 8pt teaser w/ Boston +1.5, Orlando -1.5,
and Portland + 11.5 and i figure Crawford may be
worth an additional pt.

[No coincidences]

coin i did a 8pt teaser w/ Boston +1.5, Orlando -1.5,
and Portland + 11.5 and i figure Crawford may be
worth an additional pt.

I like it, but have no idea what to think about that Portland/Dallas game anymore.

[pacocn]

nc if u had to narrow it down is it safe to say your two favorite plays
are the 3x?

[JamesBrown]

The more I look at it, the more I love Balt today. On it pretty large, myself. Cheers

[No coincidences]

I'm getting nowhere making so many plays. Really pissed that Texas didn't show up tonight -- cost me that big 3U parlay. Of all the teams I could take, I picked them. Getting shut down by Palmer.

[No coincidences]

Phil Coke's fvcking Cy Young when I fade him and of course tonight, he's back to being a joke again.

[No coincidences]

5-5, -0.6U today
58-58, +2.1U season



Wednesday leans (really have to narrow these down):

SF +110
TB -126
SEA -104
NYM -136
BAL -133
CLE -109
NYY/TOR under 9.5
BOS/OAK over 7.5
TB/CHW over 8.5
PIT/FLA under 8

[blackeyeshamus]

thanks for the hard work and insight, no coincidences!
so deep in the bucket right now, my friend- I am proceeding
with extreme caution on the bases. so happy to cash oakland athletics, man!
c'mon positive unit count! one drop in the bucket at a time...
gonna get back to the plus side! anyway, thanks.
and good luck to you all around!
thinking matt cain and the giants maybe...

[Love The Action]

Just stopped by your thread and am shocked you didn't play the Bos/Oak under last night. That play was screaming under with over 75% of all bets on the over, but all books holding steady at 7.5 and juicing the over heavy. There was big money on the under and I cashed it too.

Keep up the good work. You might want to revisit keeping your plays around the 5 per day number. I think that is what you were doing at the beginning of the season and you were killing it. Good luck bud!

[axa]

Again positive record! So difficult this year!

[pacocn]

no coin looks like 88 percent of the public (early) on on
the Under in the Cain vs. De la Rosa match up. The line has remained
at 8.5 and the Under is getting heavily juiced. I am going to play the Over 8.5
wish me luck.

[lyon804]

Yeah -- their offense has stunk. Someone needs to send out an APB for Uggla.

On the other hand, how good is Kimbrel?

Yeah, he is studley as most of there pitching is... Last nite was typical Braves baseball when they do hit. It was a 2-1 game Braves lead going to the 9th and Braves erupt for 8 runs in the 9th. Obviously they didn't need that many runs and kept on hitting line drives and bombs. There offense is deceiving as last yr they were considered one of the better offense based on RS. But they have many games where they score 2 runs or less and go on 1-3 2-5 streaks then all of sudden break out and score 12 runs in a game when 4-5 runs would have been good.

[No coincidences]

Sorry guys -- just checking in....

Afternoon:

SF +107 (1U)
WASH +134 (1U)
WASH under 8.5 (1U)
BOS -101 (1U)
BOS/OAK over 7.5 (1U)
SEA -106 (1U)
SEA/DET over 7.5 (1U)

Was going to play the CHC/SD under, but the movement freaked me out. From 8.5 to 7?

[mlb]

No Coin, yesterday u were on the over for that same matchup! i know a rain out next game double header is a completely new situation just frustrating I'm sure! At least its Washington who has all the early runs... I am on Boston as well .. good luck

[No coincidences]

I admittedly took SEA based on line movement. They are so bad.

Of course last night, I was on the Tigers.

[Allure]

I admittedly took SEA based on line movement. They are so bad.

Of course last night, I was on the Tigers.

Same here with Baltimore. Had them on Monday and they didn't show up at all. Didn't want to chase them and passed them yesterday.. yeah you might know how that game ended.

[No coincidences]

61-62, +1.1U

Tonight:

TB -130 (2U)
PIT +136 (1U)
NYM -148 (1U)
CIN/ARI over 9 (1U)
NYY/TOR under 9.5 (1U)

The Mets have to win at some point, don't they?

And did you notice who started the COL rally today? My nemesis himself. Wigginton has cost me so much money I'm afraid to total it up. He's like a .240 hitter, but he always comes up big when I'm on the other side.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

If you have not already locked it the Mets bet...it might be good to take them off the board...no harm in reigning in the number of total bets. BOL regardless!!!

[No coincidences]

May add the Dodgers, Royals and StL/WAS under later.

I'm out of control.

[No coincidences]

Vintage Muts in the first inning.

[stevex]

It's painful to even watch the Mets at this point.

Imagine being a fan of them?