I might take PIT, BAL and SEA on Tuesday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    I might take PIT, BAL and SEA on Tuesday
    Gambling gods, help me.

  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #2
    1-2 if lucky
    Comment
    • ACCBlitz
      Restricted User
      • 07-30-10
      • 595

      #3
      Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
      1-2 if lucky
      Agree
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
        1-2 if lucky
        Here's my rationale:

        Bucco backers were a day off on the lefty to get the job done vs. Cincy. I think Maholm continues to do well against the Reds here (PIT has beaten them twice this year with Maholm on the bump, and he's allowed just 2 ER in 13.2 IP). Leake's given up 17 hits in 14.1 IP vs. PIT this year, and 19 ER in his last 31.2 IP.

        Guthrie has pitched very well for the O's lately (1.31 ERA in his last three starts). Let's face it: Baltimore is favored for a reason here, with Trevor Bell opposing Guthrie.

        Seattle is the longshot, but I really like this Vargas kid. I know the M's have been awful in the first games of series and I know Lewis has shut them down this year. This is just a gut lean and nothing more.

        Mind you, none of these are plays -- yet. I don't like this card much at all.
        Comment
        • lunchbawks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-31-10
          • 12873

          #5
          balti is your best shot IMO.
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #6
            That's also what I think, Balty might squeeze you a win but that's all.

            Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.

            Texas is just too much for Seattle.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              I like the White Sox early, and Latos late. Square plays, but what's not to like about fading the Tigers and Dodgers right now?
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.
                I think Leake's hitting a rookie wall.
                Comment
                • Pauulzcappin
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-23-10
                  • 20295

                  #9
                  You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                    You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
                    I'm not sure how Leake did what he did for the first two months of the season.

                    If the Bucs and Mets weren't so cold right now, I'd fade the hell out of both Leake and Lowe tomorrow.
                    Comment
                    • Salmon Steak
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-05-10
                      • 2110

                      #11
                      I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Salmon Steak
                        I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
                        Tonight? Horrible.

                        I'm done with line watching. Waste of time.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Thinking about making a huge play on the Fighting Latos at -115 tomorrow night.
                          Comment
                          • Pauulzcappin
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-23-10
                            • 20295

                            #14
                            Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.

                            Considering it myself.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                              Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.

                              Considering it myself.
                              The Padres are everything that's right about a whole being greater than the sum of its parts in baseball.

                              The Dodgers are the exact opposite.

                              That's probably why I'll fade Detroit early, too.
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #16
                                Gimme a hit of that crack
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by paco
                                  Gimme a hit of that crack
                                  What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
                                  Comment
                                  • paco
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-07-09
                                    • 62873

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
                                    I have to work that game

                                    From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
                                    Comment
                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-23-10
                                      • 20295

                                      #19
                                      Porcello and Buerhle didn't have very good outings last time. Maybe over is the way to go?
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by paco
                                        I have to work that game

                                        From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
                                        They'll probably win one tomorrow -- just not sure which.

                                        Buehrle's an enigma.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-23-10
                                          • 20295

                                          #21
                                          Yeah, guy can go five and give up 6 but he can also make a cg shutout.

                                          But I'm going to have to feed my addiction, so I'm trying to find an angle.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            I see Lilly's throwing for the Dodgers, eh?
                                            Comment
                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-23-10
                                              • 20295

                                              #23
                                              I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
                                                If Lilly came to be an ace, this team's got more problems than we know about....

                                                I wish Padilla was pitching -- probably make a bigger play there. If it's Lilly, I'll still go with SD, but not as big.
                                                Comment
                                                • Pauulzcappin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-23-10
                                                  • 20295

                                                  #25
                                                  If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                    If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
                                                    Bills and Kerfax.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beanbag
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-10
                                                      • 2364

                                                      #27
                                                      seattle? wtf? I would never put money on that shitty team
                                                      Comment
                                                      • paco
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-07-09
                                                        • 62873

                                                        #28
                                                        Lilly,
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Muddy
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                            • 621

                                                            #30
                                                            Soooo... Seattle huh.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Muddy
                                                              Soooo... Seattle huh.
                                                              I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • $Burm$
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-03-09
                                                                • 3019

                                                                #32
                                                                no coin, i hope u played ur leans this time...u always start these threads but then seem to go the other way..hopefully u cashed the O's at least
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Muddy
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-16-09
                                                                  • 621

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
                                                                  Yeah I know. I was just hinting that we should take Seattle as you surprised a few people in this thread.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by paco
                                                                    Gimme a hit of that crack
                                                                    Good sheet.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35


                                                                      Why didn't I just leave the stupid KC/OAK total alone?

                                                                      Comment
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