Bucco backers were a day off on the lefty to get the job done vs. Cincy. I think Maholm continues to do well against the Reds here (PIT has beaten them twice this year with Maholm on the bump, and he's allowed just 2 ER in 13.2 IP). Leake's given up 17 hits in 14.1 IP vs. PIT this year, and 19 ER in his last 31.2 IP.
Guthrie has pitched very well for the O's lately (1.31 ERA in his last three starts). Let's face it: Baltimore is favored for a reason here, with Trevor Bell opposing Guthrie.
Seattle is the longshot, but I really like this Vargas kid. I know the M's have been awful in the first games of series and I know Lewis has shut them down this year. This is just a gut lean and nothing more.
Mind you, none of these are plays -- yet. I don't like this card much at all.
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#5
balti is your best shot IMO.
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#6
That's also what I think, Balty might squeeze you a win but that's all.
Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.
Texas is just too much for Seattle.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#7
I like the White Sox early, and Latos late. Square plays, but what's not to like about fading the Tigers and Dodgers right now?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#8
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.
I think Leake's hitting a rookie wall.
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#9
You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#10
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
I'm not sure how Leake did what he did for the first two months of the season.
If the Bucs and Mets weren't so cold right now, I'd fade the hell out of both Leake and Lowe tomorrow.
Comment
Salmon Steak
SBR MVP
03-05-10
2110
#11
I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#12
Originally posted by Salmon Steak
I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
Tonight? Horrible.
I'm done with line watching. Waste of time.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#13
Thinking about making a huge play on the Fighting Latos at -115 tomorrow night.
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#14
Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.
Considering it myself.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#15
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.
Considering it myself.
The Padres are everything that's right about a whole being greater than the sum of its parts in baseball.
The Dodgers are the exact opposite.
That's probably why I'll fade Detroit early, too.
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#16
Gimme a hit of that crack
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#17
Originally posted by paco
Gimme a hit of that crack
What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#18
Originally posted by No coincidences
What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
I have to work that game
From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#19
Porcello and Buerhle didn't have very good outings last time. Maybe over is the way to go?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#20
Originally posted by paco
I have to work that game
From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
They'll probably win one tomorrow -- just not sure which.
Buehrle's an enigma.
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#21
Yeah, guy can go five and give up 6 but he can also make a cg shutout.
But I'm going to have to feed my addiction, so I'm trying to find an angle.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#22
I see Lilly's throwing for the Dodgers, eh?
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#23
I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#24
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
If Lilly came to be an ace, this team's got more problems than we know about....
I wish Padilla was pitching -- probably make a bigger play there. If it's Lilly, I'll still go with SD, but not as big.
Comment
Pauulzcappin
SBR Posting Legend
04-23-10
20295
#25
If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#26
Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
Bills and Kerfax.
Comment
beanbag
SBR MVP
01-21-10
2364
#27
seattle? wtf? I would never put money on that shitty team
Comment
paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#28
Lilly,
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#29
Comment
Muddy
SBR Wise Guy
09-16-09
621
#30
Soooo... Seattle huh.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#31
Originally posted by Muddy
Soooo... Seattle huh.
I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
Comment
$Burm$
Restricted User
12-03-09
3019
#32
no coin, i hope u played ur leans this time...u always start these threads but then seem to go the other way..hopefully u cashed the O's at least
Comment
Muddy
SBR Wise Guy
09-16-09
621
#33
Originally posted by No coincidences
I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
Yeah I know. I was just hinting that we should take Seattle as you surprised a few people in this thread.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#34
Originally posted by paco
Gimme a hit of that crack
Good sheet.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#35
Why didn't I just leave the stupid KC/OAK total alone?