Interesting...I was thinking that LAA was the only live dog today (especially, considering Lee's stats in TX)...
Comment
Shark
SBR MVP
01-14-10
1789
#3
good luck on that LT.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#4
Yea I thought the better play was Angels on the RL, and Thats my play.
Comment
swaindexter
SBR MVP
02-27-07
1228
#5
LT, like the Texas play (-1.5 +130) a ton here today. Good luck on your wagers...............
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Rookie-Capper
SBR MVP
03-21-09
4567
#6
going with lee is always a good idea
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xyzky
SBR MVP
08-23-07
1577
#7
Originally posted by Rookie-Capper
going with lee is always a good idea
My cokk going into a hot chick is always a good idea until some until her husband walks in...
Comment
pauloctopus
SBR Rookie
07-11-10
36
#8
Originally posted by xyzky
My cokk going into a hot chick is always a good idea until some until her husband walks in...
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#9
No more plays today.
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bbenson011
Restricted User
05-17-10
454
#10
like the play as well, go Texas!
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joe.park
SBR High Roller
03-23-10
150
#11
Like the play. Nice value here.
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sweethook
SBR Posting Legend
11-21-07
12667
#12
i like lee tonight also GL.
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Vesuvius
SBR MVP
02-19-08
3886
#13
GL LT! Put 40 units on Yankees RL tonight, win it all back!
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poker_dummy101
Restricted User
11-03-08
6395
#14
on the rangers and the under.. heres to a 2-0 final
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pat venditto
SBR Posting Legend
05-07-07
14347
#15
Lt continues to make -ev plays according to the market. Well played.
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MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#16
This play makes no sense
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#17
Originally posted by pat venditto
Lt continues to make -ev plays according to the market. Well played.
WRONG, +130 will beat the closing number here, there are even +115s out there now. Then again, I have beaten closers quite a bit this year with negative results, so its just been one ****** up year.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#18
Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
This play makes no sense
Why? I got +130 on a play that will close at around +115 with one of the top two or three pitchers in baseball. Makes perfect sense to me.
Comment
MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#19
Originally posted by LT Profits
Why? I got +130 on a play that will close at around +115 with one of the top two or three pitchers in baseball. Makes perfect sense to me.
Thats what counts I guess
Good luck Sal
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THEGREAT30
SBR Hall of Famer
10-04-08
8970
#20
no way, I think LA wins straight up
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#21
It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned, even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny.
The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
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MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#22
Originally posted by LT Profits;5597221[B
]It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned[/b], even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny. The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
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Holtgetsback
SBR MVP
01-04-10
4655
#23
I figured you would be on the UNDER in this one with me LT.
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#24
Originally posted by LT Profits
It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned, even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny.
The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement.
I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#25
Originally posted by Goat Milk
LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement.
I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
You are missing the point, the fact is I beat the closing line BEFORE the movement, which should be everyone's goal and is NOT the same thing as making a play based on line movement AFTER the fact. You are correct that guys that bet solely on line movement after the fact will get killed because they are getting the worst of the line.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#26
Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
Well I am actually on the Run Line, but it's the same concept as I beat the line move.
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poker_dummy101
Restricted User
11-03-08
6395
#27
Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
youve been here over 3 years and still dont understand the goal is to beat the closing number?
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make$take$
SBR Sharp
06-15-10
333
#28
Originally posted by Goat Milk
LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement. I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
specifically said right side of market. Nothing worse than someone trying to tell u how things work when they dont get it themselves
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#29
Originally posted by LT Profits
You are missing the point, the fact is I beat the closing line BEFORE the movement, which should be everyone's goal and is NOT the same thing as making a play based on line movement AFTER the fact. You are correct that guys that bet solely on line movement after the fact will get killed because they are getting the worst of the line.
ok cool didn't know you were talking about that. i am just saying that i know you are a big time believer in looking at the market, but that will not work in NBA next year the league has changed overnight, books will make serious mistakes but only the real sharp ones who study this game insight and out will be able to take advantage.
Everyone that follows "sharp money" or "late money" next year in NBA is gonna get buried at the beginning of the season.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#30
Originally posted by poker_dummy101
youve been here over 3 years and still dont understand the goal is to beat the closing number?
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#31
Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
There is a reason smaller books often toss bettors that consistently beat their closing lines in high volume sports. Venture over to the Think Tank and do a search on the subject.
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MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#32
Originally posted by LT Profits
There is a reason smaller books often toss bettors that consistently beat their closing lines in high volume sports. Venture over to the Think Tank and do a search on the subject.
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Whippit
Restricted User
04-29-10
3065
#33
i guess line's moving in wrong direction this year
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MJFtheGenius
SBR Hall of Famer
05-31-07
7257
#34
Lets play a game called I WIN
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Rich Boy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-09
9714
#35
Its still a small sample you have LT. Keep doing what your doing and you will be fine.
I know its tough when your losing, ive been there, but edges will always come out on top