1 MLB Play Thursday So Far

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    1 MLB Play Thursday So Far
    Rangers -1.5 +130 (Bookmaker)

    YTD: 129-167-11, -38.89
  • xyzky
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-07
    • 1577

    #2
    Interesting...I was thinking that LAA was the only live dog today (especially, considering Lee's stats in TX)...
    Comment
    • Shark
      SBR MVP
      • 01-14-10
      • 1789

      #3
      good luck on that LT.
      Comment
      • HoulihansTX
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-12-09
        • 30566

        #4
        Yea I thought the better play was Angels on the RL, and Thats my play.
        Comment
        • swaindexter
          SBR MVP
          • 02-27-07
          • 1228

          #5
          LT, like the Texas play (-1.5 +130) a ton here today. Good luck on your wagers...............
          Comment
          • Rookie-Capper
            SBR MVP
            • 03-21-09
            • 4567

            #6
            going with lee is always a good idea
            Comment
            • xyzky
              SBR MVP
              • 08-23-07
              • 1577

              #7
              Originally posted by Rookie-Capper
              going with lee is always a good idea
              My cokk going into a hot chick is always a good idea until some until her husband walks in...
              Comment
              • pauloctopus
                SBR Rookie
                • 07-11-10
                • 36

                #8
                Originally posted by xyzky
                My cokk going into a hot chick is always a good idea until some until her husband walks in...
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  No more plays today.
                  Comment
                  • bbenson011
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-17-10
                    • 454

                    #10
                    like the play as well, go Texas!
                    Comment
                    • joe.park
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-23-10
                      • 150

                      #11
                      Like the play. Nice value here.
                      Comment
                      • sweethook
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-21-07
                        • 12667

                        #12
                        i like lee tonight also GL.
                        Comment
                        • Vesuvius
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-19-08
                          • 3886

                          #13
                          GL LT! Put 40 units on Yankees RL tonight, win it all back!
                          Comment
                          • poker_dummy101
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-03-08
                            • 6395

                            #14
                            on the rangers and the under.. heres to a 2-0 final
                            Comment
                            • pat venditto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-07-07
                              • 14347

                              #15
                              Lt continues to make -ev plays according to the market. Well played.
                              Comment
                              • MJFtheGenius
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-31-07
                                • 7257

                                #16
                                This play makes no sense
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pat venditto
                                  Lt continues to make -ev plays according to the market. Well played.
                                  WRONG, +130 will beat the closing number here, there are even +115s out there now. Then again, I have beaten closers quite a bit this year with negative results, so its just been one ****** up year.
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                    This play makes no sense
                                    Why? I got +130 on a play that will close at around +115 with one of the top two or three pitchers in baseball. Makes perfect sense to me.
                                    Comment
                                    • MJFtheGenius
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-31-07
                                      • 7257

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Why? I got +130 on a play that will close at around +115 with one of the top two or three pitchers in baseball. Makes perfect sense to me.
                                      Thats what counts I guess

                                      Good luck Sal
                                      Comment
                                      • THEGREAT30
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-04-08
                                        • 8970

                                        #20
                                        no way, I think LA wins straight up
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned, even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny.

                                          The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
                                          Comment
                                          • MJFtheGenius
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-31-07
                                            • 7257

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits;5597221[B
                                            ]It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned[/b], even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny. The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
                                            Comment
                                            • Holtgetsback
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-04-10
                                              • 4655

                                              #23
                                              I figured you would be on the UNDER in this one with me LT.
                                              Comment
                                              • Goat Milk
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 25850

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                It's pretty obvious I am on the right side as far as the market is concerned, even the ML has risen from -157 to -176 at Pinny.

                                                The frustrating part is that I am doing nothing different than what I have always done, and as you can see from my records, I continue to win at everything except MLB the last two years, and I won at MLB consistently before then. I wish I knew what has changed the last two years, because there is no logical reason to be down as much as i am those years while beating closers more often than not.
                                                LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement.

                                                I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                  LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement.

                                                  I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
                                                  You are missing the point, the fact is I beat the closing line BEFORE the movement, which should be everyone's goal and is NOT the same thing as making a play based on line movement AFTER the fact. You are correct that guys that bet solely on line movement after the fact will get killed because they are getting the worst of the line.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                                    Well I am actually on the Run Line, but it's the same concept as I beat the line move.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • poker_dummy101
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-03-08
                                                      • 6395

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by MJFtheGenius

                                                      youve been here over 3 years and still dont understand the goal is to beat the closing number?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • make$take$
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 06-15-10
                                                        • 333

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                        LT so because A ML shifts 20 cents that means you are on the right side? You know the types of gamblers that will be terrible at NBA next year? The ones that make their picks off line movement. I will say this to everyone now. The NBA has completely changed. If you do not know your shit in ball then do not gamble NBA next year if you solely look at markets and line movement to make your bets. This will be the only time I say this. I have been gambling NBA longer than most on this site trust me.
                                                        specifically said right side of market. Nothing worse than someone trying to tell u how things work when they dont get it themselves
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Goat Milk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 25850

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits

                                                          You are missing the point, the fact is I beat the closing line BEFORE the movement, which should be everyone's goal and is NOT the same thing as making a play based on line movement AFTER the fact. You are correct that guys that bet solely on line movement after the fact will get killed because they are getting the worst of the line.
                                                          ok cool didn't know you were talking about that. i am just saying that i know you are a big time believer in looking at the market, but that will not work in NBA next year the league has changed overnight, books will make serious mistakes but only the real sharp ones who study this game insight and out will be able to take advantage.

                                                          Everyone that follows "sharp money" or "late money" next year in NBA is gonna get buried at the beginning of the season.
                                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MJFtheGenius
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-31-07
                                                            • 7257

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by poker_dummy101
                                                            youve been here over 3 years and still dont understand the goal is to beat the closing number?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                                              There is a reason smaller books often toss bettors that consistently beat their closing lines in high volume sports. Venture over to the Think Tank and do a search on the subject.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MJFtheGenius
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-31-07
                                                                • 7257

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                There is a reason smaller books often toss bettors that consistently beat their closing lines in high volume sports. Venture over to the Think Tank and do a search on the subject.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Whippit
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-29-10
                                                                  • 3065

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i guess line's moving in wrong direction this year
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MJFtheGenius
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-31-07
                                                                    • 7257

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lets play a game called I WIN
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Rich Boy
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-01-09
                                                                      • 9714

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Its still a small sample you have LT. Keep doing what your doing and you will be fine.

                                                                      I know its tough when your losing, ive been there, but edges will always come out on top
                                                                      Comment
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