Grumpy MLB 2010 plays

JACK MATZ · 08-19-10, 02:51 AM

Grumpy, are you the best fuckin poster or what. Man you put in alot of time.
I don't have alot of time anymore to cap, so your post along with the other greats ( Paco, Lakerboy, Dex, LT, NoCoin, MT, ECT... ) are awesome. Helps make my decisions so much eaiser.
Thanks. Keep up the great work!!!

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 03:05 AM

Originally posted by JACK MATZ

Grumpy, are you the best fuckin poster or what. Man you put in alot of time.
I don't have alot of time anymore to cap, so your post along with the other greats ( Paco, Lakerboy, Dex, LT, NoCoin, MT, ECT... ) are awesome. Helps make my decisions so much eaiser.
Thanks. Keep up the great work!!!

Thnx a lot for the awesome words mate!

JACK MATZ · 08-19-10, 03:13 AM

Sent ya some points too. GL

peterpan19 · 08-19-10, 03:34 AM

well done...anything for today so far ?

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 04:56 AM

I have many picks for today but having some connection issues so I can't really write my write-ups, will try to do everything as soon as possible.
And thnx for the points!

Meyhem · 08-19-10, 04:58 AM

rocked it today grumps, good shit

Mikail · 08-19-10, 04:58 AM

Good luck today WiseGrumpy.

Popular · 08-19-10, 04:59 AM

I've been following you for a while grump.. Your some kind of amazing.. Thanks for the hard work

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 05:16 AM

BET #16

21.35 units to win 17.5 units

8/19/10 9:40pm MLB Baseball 961 Cincinnati Reds -122* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (T Wood - L must Start J Saunders - L must Start)

10 units to win 13.5 units

8/19/10 9:40pm MLB Baseball 961 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +135* vs Arizona Diamondbacks (T Wood - L must Start J Saunders - L must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 05:17 AM

BET #17

14.7 units to win 10 units

8/19/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 970 Boston Red Sox -147* vs Los Angeles Angels (E Santana - R must Start J Beckett - R must Start)

10 units to win 14 units

8/19/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 970 Boston Red Sox -1½ +140* vs Los Angeles Angels (E Santana - R must Start J Beckett - R must Start)

Mikail · 08-19-10, 05:17 AM

Wow! Is this a monster play?

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 05:19 AM

BET #18

11.17 units to win 7.5 units

8/19/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 972 Minnesota Twins -149* vs Chicago White Sox (M Buehrle - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)

5.25 units to win 5 units

8/19/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 972 Minnesota Twins -1 -105* vs Chicago White Sox (M Buehrle - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)

5 units to win 7.25 units

8/19/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 972 Minnesota Twins -1½ +145* vs Chicago White Sox (M Buehrle - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 05:20 AM

10.36 units to win 7 units

8/19/10 2:20pm MLB Baseball 953 San Diego Padres -148* vs Chicago Cubs (M Latos - R must Start C Zambrano - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 05:21 AM

12.5 units to win 13.12 units

8/19/10 8:05pm MLB Baseball 959 New York Mets/Houston Astros Under 8 +105* (P Misch - L must Start B Norris - R must Start)

fly fisher · 08-19-10, 07:11 AM

Thanks for the picks Grumpy. Got em in, now can get ready to go to work. Good luck today.

Bbr · 08-19-10, 07:21 AM

Love the Cincy play ALOT. GL today mate.

inthehouse · 08-19-10, 07:43 AM

Kick ass picks Grumps. Keep it up man!

c0mmand0r · 08-19-10, 07:53 AM

i don't like the monster play on red sox tonight. i take angels+1,5 ..bullpen power today and beckett isn't in good condition.

reds again, mh..grml..k i trust you.

twins, i'm absolutely with you.

WIZARDOFBEANTOWN · 08-19-10, 07:54 AM

good luck grumpy

dynamitappletini · 08-19-10, 07:54 AM

I simply love that you have your plays out that early.

You've done all the work and can relax and I don't have to stay up the whole night

Thank you as always.

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:03 AM

GL everyone will have some more soon, and I have all the write-ups at my other thread as well. About the RedSox, 9-0 going for 10-0 today.
Again, I have hot girls on all my picks but for som odd reason they vanish ...

I.L.S · 08-19-10, 08:09 AM

I like TX today...
GL mate

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:13 AM

12.5 units to win 10 units

8/19/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 957 San Francisco Giants/Philadelphia Phillies Over 8 -125* (J Sanchez - L must Start C Hamels - L must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:24 AM

7.87 units to win 7.5 units

8/19/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 968 Baltimore Orioles +1½ -105* vs Texas Rangers (C Lewis - R must Start B Matusz - L must Start)

3 units to win 4.65 units

8/19/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 968 Baltimore Orioles +155* vs Texas Rangers (C Lewis - R must Start B Matusz - L must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:30 AM

Reds -122:

Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
Reds are 4-0 in Woods last 4 road starts.
Reds are 5-0 in Woods last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

Reds are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.

Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.

I had a bet on the first two games and I think this might be the best spot for the Reds and they will complete the sweep. they are hitting well, they put up runs easily, the pitching isn't perfect but it's good enough. To add to all that AZ relief is has the worst ERA in the league that means that the sec the Reds get to the pen, we can expect runs coming ...

Reds sweep.

* MONSTER play.

RedSox -147 (-1.5 +140):

Very simple bet. The RedSox won ALL 9 games against the Angels this season, they won ALL the game by 2 runs or more. They are fighting hard to get to the post-season, they are getting some players back, they should keep winning.
With all that Santana is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA in seven starts versus Boston and Beckett's first win after being activated came against the Angels.

* MONSTER play.

Twins -149 (-1.5 +145):

Similar to the RedSox bet. The Twins own everyone, but they own the WhiteSox badly. They will have their best pitcher on the mound, Pavano which is 10-1 with a 2.63 ERA since June 9. He is also 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA in his last four starts against the White Sox. We can also be happy that we are betting against the pathetic pen that the WhiteSox has that always gives up a few runs lately. Buehrle is playing well, but the Twins beat the WhiteSox best, so they should do it again today, and today even easier than before.

* MONSTER play.

Padres -148:

Before game 1 I said the Padres will sweep the Cubs. This game is tricky. The Padres will have their best pitcher on the mound Latos but they will face some tricky stats. First of all they have NEVER swept the Cubs on the road. With that the ump favors the Cubs:

Cubs are 5-0 in Zambranos last 5 starts with Foster behind home plate.
Home team is 4-0 in Fosters last 4 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Foster behind home plate.

I'm love stats, but some of them are meant to be broken, today they will. But because of all the stats my bet on Latos is a lot smaller they I wanted it to be.

Astros Vs Mets UNDER 8 +105:

Same idea like yesterday ...

Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

With that Norris is pitching very well, and both teams can't hit.

Phillies Vs Giants OVER 8 -125:

Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 10-1-1 in Sanchezs last 12 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 7-1-1 in Sanchezs last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 13-3-1 in Sanchezs last 17 starts overall.
Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. Giants.
Over is 5-1 in Vanovers last 6 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Vanovers last 5 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.

The Phillies are hitting very well and they put a lot of runs very easily. This ump favors the OVER big time, and most of the times these two pitchers get a lot of run support. This should go well over.

Orioles +1.5 -105:

I love finding dogs that I think that will win with a good price for the +1.5, and this is one of them. The last time the teams met, Texas got swept by the terrible O's. Today Texas will face a different team - a better one.
Texas lost ALL 5 last starts by Lewis. Even though he is pitching well, Texas are not giving him any run support, and one of the best hitting teams in the league isn't hitting very well lately. With that Texas isn't that good on the road, they weren't all season long.
They will face Matusz that pitched very well in his last two home games and will try to avoid matching the most loses in the Majors by a pitcher this season.
I love the price and believe the O's can hand Texas another loss.

Carlito7 · 08-19-10, 08:36 AM

mate , lovin' your write ups!
maybe an idea : to put your units behind the write ups teams summary...just thinking along with ya, good luck tonight!

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:44 AM

Originally posted by Carlito7

mate , lovin' your write ups!
maybe an idea : to put your units behind the write ups teams summary...just thinking along with ya, good luck tonight!

You can always find my units on each play in my main thread mate.

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 08:45 AM

5 units to win 5.25 units

8/19/10 1:05pm MLB Baseball 965 Detroit Tigers +1½ +105* vs New York Yankees (R Porcello - R must Start P Hughes - R must Start)

2.5 units to win 5.5 units

8/19/10 1:05pm MLB Baseball 965 Detroit Tigers +220* vs New York Yankees (R Porcello - R must Start P Hughes - R must Start)

yankeerick · 08-19-10, 09:15 AM

bol today grump

c0mmand0r · 08-19-10, 09:37 AM

hope you make some money tonight grumpy, but i warning you all..don't use to much money for the red sox today!!

santana:
2010 season
12-8 (in 24 games, angels had the worst bullpen since may/june) , 3.99 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 130 Ks
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
beckett
2010 season
3-2 (in 13 games, a lot of no desicions) , 6.51 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 68 Ks

compare beckett vs. ANA and santana vs. BOS (for example: santana vs. scutero..scutero 0 RBIs, 0HRs in 18 at bats)

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2010_08_19_anamlb_bosmlb_1

it's the last h2h this year!! you can't set up weaver IN boston, because he sucks in fenway park (but he was good, since he underrated the rookie kalish, which had his first homer-a grand slam) and kazmir for me is the worst angels starter since 2 years.

the red sox used their closer papelbon yesterday. the angels doesn't had rodney and fuentes in none of the last 4 h2hs..today they come in.

torii hunter.. i expect a great game of him.

bigsmitty · 08-19-10, 09:38 AM

Thanks for your efforts Grump as always. Good luck today

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 10:22 AM

Thnx everyone.
btw, I'm heading back to the US on Sunday, I want to get to the +150 units on this thread (at least) by then ... I hope today will do it.

rkelly110 · 08-19-10, 10:27 AM

Agree with commandor, I'm leary of betting against teams that lost 2 or more games
in a row. Especially the 3rd game in the series. Angels fit that theory. If Boston wins
it will be by one run only.

GL all.

WiseGrumpy · 08-19-10, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by rkelly110

Agree with commandor, I'm leary of betting against teams that lost 2 or more games
in a row. Especially the 3rd game in the series. Angels fit that theory. If Boston wins
it will be by one run only.

GL all.

Even if the RedSox will lose 100-0 today a bet against them is dumb, and not to bet on them is dumb.
9-0 this season against the Angels, covered is ALL games. Simple as that.

dale0630 · 08-19-10, 10:41 AM

Thanks Grumpy for the plays...GL to all