Plays worth a look Friday

stevex · 07-16-10, 01:09 AM

Love the + money on Florida at home. Only thing I disagree with you is the Arizona pick. San Diego at -115 favs at home....seems like to good to be true with there bullpen.

stevex

lunchbawks · 07-16-10, 01:11 AM

Baltimore should be a loser.

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by stevex

Love the + money on Florida at home. Only thing I disagree with you is the Arizona pick. San Diego at -115 favs at home....seems like to good to be true with there bullpen.

stevex

A) That's why you only take FF.
B) Haren's been outstanding vs. SD, going 4-0 in his last 4 starts since June '09 and 2-0 in SD.

2daBank · 07-16-10, 01:16 AM

think i like the over 6.5 in arz/sd......think you making to much of the det line, it does make sense, ppl wont be looking at det pitiful road record they will be pounding det just because they are solid and playing cle.....playing hou breaks my rules of taking a side with two absolute shit teams....havnt looked at tor/bal yet, pretty much just passed it up because didnt wanna lay the juice.....no clue what they gonna set the total at in chi town but it gotta be over or pass....

DeluxeLiner · 07-16-10, 02:34 AM

Took the Pirates...I like bad teams at home against bad teams. Can't fathom laying chalk on Houston on the road plus I got bucs at +110 (good value I think)

Love the Florida play.

I am so confused about the Arizona/SD game. Haren is not doing as well as he has in the past and Arizona is getting worse every year, plus the bull pen is terrible, plus they are freaking terrible on the road. I'd be more keen on taking Arizona at even with this lineup and starters if the game were in Arizona. But it is curious that the line has moved from +105 to +100 even though I know the public has got to be pounding SD for the above reasons. SD has solid pitching to say the least, no offense, but a good first half record (and a solid home record) plus Garland has pitched overall better than Haren w/ a 2.62 home ERA and good ERA against the D-bags in his two starts against them this year. Haren's start against SD was at home and gave up 1 run in 7 innings, but he has a 4.38 road ERA. I agree that betting first five is a good idea, but eh I find this game intriguing.

Pauulzcappin · 07-16-10, 02:37 AM

I really like the over, especially when it's Friday at Wrigley

WiseGrumpy · 07-16-10, 02:39 AM

Always like to see what are you leans ... and I LOVE the OVER.

Pauulzcappin · 07-16-10, 02:43 AM

Ok, here's some other stuff that caught my attention while looking at the card, haven't capped any game yet...

Rangers to smash Red Sox since this guy Doubront can't seem to go for more than 5something innings, their bullpen was used a bit today and suck, add that to Texas bats waking up and you have a good mix.

I am probably gonna jump on the Astros too, Duke coming back from DL after getting lit up 3/4 starts before going there.

Kinda like the + money on White Sox, just riding their streak.

Might go for Yankees' runline since Shields had 4 very underachieving starts on the last 4 games and fat man Sabathia has been lights out.

That's what I initially lean.

TT77 · 07-16-10, 02:48 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Baltimore +145. Road Ricky (2-4, 5.28 ERA) should never be -165 -- especially when we're talking about a mediocre Toronto squad facing an Oriole team that showed some life in Texas. Wieters is out. Bergesen is a rollercoaster ride, but if his sinker's working, the O's can win this one.

Florida +120. Nats stink away from D.C., even with Strasburg pitching. Nolasco's starting to hit his stride (4-0 L4), and he's been known to go on runs. I'll take the better team at home for + money.

Just some intial leans for Friday -- thoughts?

o's and fish

Pauulzcappin · 07-16-10, 02:58 AM

Wind will be bllowing from SW to NE(home to center field) at 10 mph. That means playable fly balls will be carried away from the outfield and into the crowd.

Ima pound the over.

patswin · 07-16-10, 07:59 AM

Like det today also good luck

SolidDala · 07-16-10, 08:05 AM

like the over pick and FLA is good value..

paco · 07-16-10, 08:07 AM

Goodluck. I'm liking the Tribe with the money.

mike1814 · 07-16-10, 08:20 AM

i like the over whatever. i agree with this statement

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 08:22 AM

Liking:

Phillies/Cubs OVER ??. Blanton will give up at least 4 runs in the FF and Lilly should give up at least 3. So we have at least 7 runs in the FF. Then the pens!

Houston -115: It never hurts to fade the Pirates

Marlins +120: The Nats are getting back to what they were last year and they really suck on the road.

Yankees -1.5 (+100): No need to overthink this, especially with Shields taking the mound for the Rays.

NrmlCurvSurfr · 07-16-10, 08:26 AM

On Houston today. Good luck all!

Jay Price · 07-16-10, 08:28 AM

I took the Tribe as well.

PDW · 07-16-10, 08:35 AM

I like the over in the cubs game.

snowball22 · 07-16-10, 08:40 AM

Cubs over looks good. But they are Cubs. They could have 10 hits and 0 runs. You never know.

ger25pic25 · 07-16-10, 09:47 AM

i like cubs over and Florida! BOL with all your plays!

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by paco

Goodluck. I'm liking the Tribe with the money.

Why is Detroit such a big fave road here?

I figured if Cleveland would be around +115 -- not +132.

BeatingBaseball · 07-16-10, 10:01 AM

Phils+15
Jays +03 RL
Tex +32 RL
Phils +15
Haren FF -02
Westbrook FF +30

GL to all.

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 11:21 AM

Taking a look at five short dogs right now:

Marlins
Mets
White Sox
Phils
Rockies

2daBank · 07-16-10, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Why is Detroit such a big fave road here?

I figured if Cleveland would be around +115 -- not +132.

just perception, look at how one sided they being hit up.......why would the books make the line lower when they know ppl gonna slam det at whatever price....

brandong_4243 · 07-16-10, 11:27 AM

I like the yankees rl......doing it for george

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

just perception, look at how one sided they being hit up.......why would the books make the line lower when they know ppl gonna slam det at whatever price....

Hafner's questionable, no Choo, no Sizemore....

2daBank · 07-16-10, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Hafner's questionable, no Choo, no Sizemore....

lol, you dont gotta convince me not to play cle brother, just rather not bet det either...

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 04:13 PM

Shit call on my part with the afternoon over. Set up and I fell for it hook, line and sinker.

I'm liking the following and about to lock at least half of them in:

Mets
White Sox
Royals
Rangers
Marlins
Tigers
Astros

Toronto-Baltimore over 9
Yankees-Rays over 8.5

JDUB07 · 07-16-10, 04:18 PM

Astros are $$ in the bank tonight. Brett myers has been cash money all year. He has pitched at least 6 innings every game this entire season.

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 05:23 PM

Confirmed plays so far:

Detroit -145
Texas -124
Florida +107

Jays/Orioles over 9

2daBank · 07-16-10, 05:28 PM

NC you sure are playing a lot of totals for a guy who hates them

..really thought hard about the stros/pit under it looks real solid to me, was just a little scared about Duke.....gl tonight

darkenergy · 07-16-10, 05:28 PM

I love that Florida play NC, line already drop to +102 at 5dimes. I just book .5x, probably add more here.
GL.

I also like Pitt, and probably tail you on that UNDER Ass_tro/Pit game.

No coincidences · 07-16-10, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

NC you sure are playing a lot of totals for a guy who hates them

..really thought hard about the stros/pit under it looks real solid to me, was just a little scared about Duke.....gl tonight

Yeah -- just took two of them off. Fvck it. I hate totals.

$Burm$ · 07-16-10, 05:31 PM

has neone looked at this pitt/stros over yet?

publics is pounding the under, ik myers hasnt pitched less than into the 6th inning yet this year but he still isnt a dominant pitcher...also duke hasnt started a game in a month

"Myers is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA in three starts at PNC Park, and road struggles are nothing new to him. He's 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA at Minute Maid Park, but 1-6 with a 4.37 ERA away from home."

from espn preview