Pirates/Nationals

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  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #1
    Pirates/Nationals
    I'll be on the following plays, don't have all the lines yet, but will be on these:

    Pirates +1.5 (120)
    Pirates ML +188
    Pirates -1.5 +?
    Pirates TT O?
    Pirates 1H +0.5
    Pirates 1H ML +?
    Pirates 1H -0.5 +?

    I already placed the money-line and run-line but don't have prices for the others, but will be on them all in some form.

    Just a few reasons why I like the Bucs tomorrow,

    1. Buc have won 5 of last 6 in Washington
    2. Bucs are 3-1 in Karstens' 4 starts this season
    3. Bucs have taken 7 of last 10 vs. Nats
    4. Nats are 2-7 in their last 9 overall
    5. Getting close to 2:1 on my money against a kid making his MLB debut
  • JumpoffJoeBeezy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-17-08
    • 928

    #2
    A lot of pressure on this kid to perform well.. Especially in his debut. I like your thinking, and I like the Pirates.
    Comment
    • mizzoujohn
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-16-10
      • 155

      #3
      wish it were on espn or espn2!
      Comment
      • Whippit
        Restricted User
        • 04-29-10
        • 3065

        #4
        don't let pirates record fool you brah

        this team is really effin bad....worse than balty
        Comment
        • Whippit
          Restricted User
          • 04-29-10
          • 3065

          #5
          pirates offense may be worse than anything strasburg's seen in AA
          Comment
          • sharpmoney
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-17-10
            • 528

            #6
            Like the play. Lets see how this kid does in his debut.
            sbr
            Comment
            • mtneer1212
              SBR MVP
              • 06-22-08
              • 4993

              #7
              There can't be any value in the National side........ I think you either play the Pirates, or watch the game.
              Comment
              • WeinketoWarrick
                SBR MVP
                • 05-30-09
                • 1698

                #8
                still think the kid gets it done.
                Comment
                • stealthyburrito
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-12-09
                  • 21562

                  #9
                  be prepared to lose a lot of money tomorrow ice
                  Comment
                  • Shortstop
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 01-02-09
                    • 27281

                    #10
                    This kid hasn't thrown one pitch yet in the show and the Nationals are a -210 favorite?

                    I'll take the Pirates +188, thank you very much!

                    Regardless of the outcome, the Nationals are a square play Tuesday night...
                    Comment
                    • eatdust11
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-16-09
                      • 683

                      #11
                      Interesting outlook... I'll sit on the sidelines for this one.
                      Comment
                      • hhsilver
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-07-07
                        • 7375

                        #12
                        I wonder if there has ever been a line like this for an mlb pitching debut.
                        Comment
                        • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-17-08
                          • 928

                          #13
                          Oh for the record.. I was looking up Major League Pitching debut statistics.. Particularly of elite pitchers just for shits n giggles.. Since 2002..

                          Lackey: lost
                          Peavy: lost
                          Cliff Lee: lost
                          Haren: lost
                          Greinke: ND
                          Volquez: lost
                          Cain: lost
                          Felix H: lost

                          Obviously pitchers have made great debuts too.. I don't know.. The point is, he can definitely lose and its definitely worth the price to take a stab at the Pirates.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            i like it ice
                            Comment
                            • bigsmitty
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-12-10
                              • 3026

                              #15
                              Nice observations Joe-don't know how the hell you got two points from me but give one to your LA friend in the pic. I like the theory Ice, definitely value in PITT my only thought is that it's not hockey where you can catch the kid with his head down...what if he is really that freaking good-which he seems to be? I'm off the game but cheers and good luck all.
                              Comment
                              • Jive
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-10-10
                                • 1405

                                #16
                                I think one thing to keep in mind is that Strasburg won't have that full element of surprise that most rookies get to enjoy. He's had 5 or 6 games on TV this spring, so I'm sure the Pirates hitters will have had a good look at him. Of course watching on TV is not the same as seeing the ball flying at you while at the plate, but I do think it gives them a little bit of an advantage that most teams don't have going against virgin pitchers. They will know his tendencies, angles, etc.

                                The formula looks like this to me:

                                Virgin pitcher who has been seen several times + Nats pathetic defense + rumored pitch count + Nats struggling pen (save 2 guys) + Pirates recent history vs Washington + RIDICULOUS line = no chance in heck I'm putting a penny on the Nationals.

                                A couple of Nationals have hit Karstens well in limited ABs. That plus the fact that the Pirates stink are the only pluses for Washington. Even Karstens has done quite well in the 2 games he has started (4 runs in 12+ innings).

                                I am definitely rooting for Strasburg and the Nationals, but I can't see why someone would lay that much money on Washington. I hope all of you on Washington cash bigtime, but I think it is risky business to take either side in this game.
                                Comment
                                • southmadejd
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-27-09
                                  • 1059

                                  #17
                                  Hey guys, lets not forget that no matter how well Strassburg is doing, I don't think they are going to pitch him over 5 innings. He hasn't really been going over 6 innings in the minors and these are going to be much more high stress pitches. So that still leaves 4 innings for the Nats relievers to close out. I personally like the play or at least like the Pirates +1/2
                                  Comment
                                  • iceminers26
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-13-08
                                    • 15600

                                    #18
                                    Final Plays Bucs/Nats

                                    Pirates +1.5 (120) 8 units
                                    Pirates ML +188 5 units
                                    Pirates -1.5 +315 2 units
                                    Pirates TT O3.5 +105 4 units
                                    Pirates 1H +0.5 (120) 3 units
                                    Pirates 1H ML +185 2 units
                                    Pirates 1H -0.5 +225 1 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • iceminers26
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-13-08
                                      • 15600

                                      #19
                                      2 Props I'm playing

                                      S.Strasburg earned runs allowed over 2½ +180 2 units

                                      S.Strasburg allows a home run +180 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Shortstop
                                        This kid hasn't thrown one pitch yet in the show and the Nationals are a -210 favorite?

                                        I'll take the Pirates +188, thank you very much!

                                        Regardless of the outcome, the Nationals are a square play Tuesday night...




                                        Comment
                                        • baazigar
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-09-08
                                          • 1589

                                          #21
                                          forget the strasburg hype. the nationals still have better hitters and they've hit karsten well.
                                          nationals RL is good
                                          Comment
                                          • iceminers26
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-13-08
                                            • 15600

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by iceminers26
                                            2 Props I'm playing S.Strasburg earned runs allowed over 2½ +180 2 units S.Strasburg allows a home run +180 2 units
                                            1-0 +3.60

                                            8 more plays to go
                                            Comment
                                            • iceminers26
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-13-08
                                              • 15600

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by iceminers26
                                              Final Plays Bucs/Nats Pirates +1.5 (120) 8 units Pirates ML +188 5 units Pirates -1.5 +315 2 units Pirates TT O3.5 +105 4 units Pirates 1H +0.5 (120) 3 units Pirates 1H ML +185 2 units Pirates 1H -0.5 +225 1 unit
                                              Bank 3 more plays, the 3, 1H plays

                                              4-0 +12.55 units

                                              5 plays to go
                                              Comment
                                              • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-17-08
                                                • 928

                                                #24
                                                Woooo! Beauty call, Ice!
                                                Comment
                                                • iceminers26
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-13-08
                                                  • 15600

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                  Woooo! Beauty call, Ice!
                                                  Only halfway home, need the Bucs offense to get it going.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-17-08
                                                    • 928

                                                    #26
                                                    I meant for the first five..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Rixsaw
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-23-08
                                                      • 4532

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Shortstop
                                                      This kid hasn't thrown one pitch yet in the show and the Nationals are a -210 favorite? I'll take the Pirates +188, thank you very much! Regardless of the outcome, the Nationals are a square play Tuesday night...
                                                      You are completely right and completely wrong my friend, Nationals are a DUMBASS play not a square play. How can anyone put -200 on an unproven pitcher? I don't even care if they were playing Houston. I have a small play on Pitt just for shit a giggle myself.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iceminers26
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-13-08
                                                        • 15600

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                                        I meant for the first five..
                                                        thanks bud

                                                        that was a ****in bomb by Dunn, 3-2 Nats
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iceminers26
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-13-08
                                                          • 15600

                                                          #29
                                                          oh christ Buccos, b2b dingers, 4-2 Nats
                                                          Comment
                                                          • iceminers26
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-13-08
                                                            • 15600

                                                            #30
                                                            The kid did me in, have to tip your cap to with that debut effort.

                                                            Ended up dropping 8 units on the game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jive
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-10-10
                                                              • 1405

                                                              #31
                                                              Very nice start for the kind, and the defense didn't screw him and the bullpen didn't vomit it away.
                                                              Comment
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