MexicanStallion's MLB Thread Part II

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  • MexicanStallion
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-08
    • 20429

    #71
    May 31st
    Cincinnati Reds (+154)
    1.50 to win 2.31

    Tampa Bay Rays (-125)
    1.25 to win 1.00

    Comment
    • fadeCOVERS4me
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-27-10
      • 386

      #72
      2day on cin myself
      Comment
      • MexicanStallion
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-08
        • 20429

        #73
        Originally posted by MexicanStallion
        May 30th
        Cincinnati Reds (-178)
        8.90 to win 5.00

        Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+115)
        2.00 to win 2.30


        May 30th
        0-2 (-10.90 Units)

        Season: 11-4 (+9.46 Units)

        Moneyline: 8-3 (+6.68 Units)
        Totals: 1-0 (+1.00 Units)
        Runline: 1-1 (-0.12 Units)
        Alt Runline: 1-0 (+1.90 Units)
        Comment
        • MexicanStallion
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-08-08
          • 20429

          #74
          Originally posted by MexicanStallion
          May 31st
          Cincinnati Reds (+154)
          1.50 to win 2.31

          Tampa Bay Rays (-125)
          1.25 to win 1.00

          May 31st
          0-2 (-2.75 Units)

          Season: 11-6 (+6.71 Units)

          Moneyline: 8-5 (+3.93 Units)
          Totals: 1-0 (+1.00 Units)
          Runline: 1-1 (-0.12 Units)
          Alt Runline: 1-0 (+1.90 Units)
          Comment
          • MexicanStallion
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-08-08
            • 20429

            #75
            “Johnny Cueto Stops the Bleeding Tonight”

            The Cincinnati Reds will play in St. Louis against the Cardinals for the second game of the series Tuesday. The Reds are looking to rebound after a poor effort Monday where they lost 12-4. Bronson Arroyo put the Reds down in a hole early and the bullpen finished off any hopes of coming back late.

            The Cincinnati Reds (30-22) are tied with the St. Louis Cardinals (30-22) for the Central Division lead. Losing Sunday to Houston took away momentum for the Reds going into this St. Louis series. The Reds have lost two straight. The last time the Reds lost two straight was May 19th and 20th against Atlanta. The last time the Reds lost at least three straight was April 14th and 15th, where they had lost 5 straight. They have minimized their losing streaks, which is one factor for the Reds rebounding tonight and taking game 2 against the Cardinals.

            Johnny Cueto had a superb May. Cueto had 5 starts going 4-0 with a 1.59 era. He had pitched 34 innings allowing 6 runs. He had a 37/7 strikeout to walk ratio. I expect Cueto to continue his good pitching into June. He truly has turned the corner in his pitching this year. Cueto has always had the stuff to get major league hitters out. One factor working against Cueto was his lack of concentration. He ended up with one inning late that would burn him. He would roll along and get too comfortable then get touched up for 3-4 runs in one inning. This year Cueto has avoided that one bad inning. Cueto is going to his fastball more and laying off the slider. He fell in love with his slider, but had troubles putting away batters. April was a rough month for Cueto where he was 1-1 with a 5.33 era. He had two starts against St. Louis though going 11 innings and 4 runs allowed. Considering how April was poor and he had success against the Cardinals, he should pitch well tonight. He defeated them April 30th for this first win on the season. Cueto should give the Reds 6+ innings tonight allowing 1-2 runs.

            The hitting was lackluster last night after falling behind early. The Reds are expecting to get Joey Votto back tonight after missing 6 straight games from a stiff neck. Having Votto back will be a huge boost to the team. Miguel Cairo played great in Votto’s place, but the two are completely different players. Votto’s bat and presence will boost the Reds tonight. If he were to miss his seventh straight game, then Cairo will get the nod one more time. In Votto’s absence he hit safely in all 6 games going 12/28(.429) raising his average from .182 to .295. He scored 8 runs and had 3 rbis. The Reds bats were shutout on Sunday against Houston, but that was just one game. Along with Cairo, in the past week, Ramon Hernandez(.444), Johnny Gomes(.429), Brandon Phillips(.367) and Drew Stubbs(.364) are hitting great. In the past week they have each drove in 4 runs.

            The Reds have never faced Waters before. He his pitching is first season in the majors filling in for Brad Penny and Kyle Lohse. In his last start he pitched 5 shutout innings against the San Diego Padres. The Padres lead the West Division, but they are the third worst National League hitting team with a .248 average and fifth worst in runs scored with 222 runs. If Walters shuts down the Reds tonight he deserves credit for shutting down a good hitting team. I expect the Reds to get a run or two early off him and let the bullpens decide the outcome.

            The Reds bullpen is struggling right now. Arthur Rhodes has been the anchor of the bullpen, but had to leave Saturday’s game because of a cramp. Mike Lincoln and Carlos Fisher have been really struggling lately. Nick Masset has pitched okay lately, but overall for the season below average. The Reds should get bullpen help soon, but until then the safest play on the board will be First Five Innings ML (+105)

            Johnny Cueto (5-1 3.25) vs. P.J. Walters (1-0 2.00)
            Cincinnati Reds First 5 innings ML (+105)
            Cincinnati Reds ML (+110)
            Comment
            • MexicanStallion
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-08-08
              • 20429

              #76
              June 1st
              Cincinnati Reds First 5 IN (+105)
              2.00 to win 2.10

              Cincinnati Reds (+110)
              2.00 to win 2.20
              Comment
              • MexicanStallion
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-08-08
                • 20429

                #77
                Chicago Cubs (-144)
                4.32 to win 3.00

                Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105)
                1.50 to win 1.58

                Orioles/Yankees Under 10 (-105)
                2.10 to win 2.00

                Tampa Bay Rays (-147)
                5.88 to win 4.00

                Boston Red Sox (-154)
                3.08 to win 2.00

                Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+130)
                1.00 to win 1.30

                New York Mets (-103)
                1.55 to win 1.50

                San Francisco Giants (-123)
                1.23 to win 1.00
                Comment
                • MexicanStallion
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-08
                  • 20429

                  #78
                  So much for Part II. May as well chase tomorrow, lose, and end the thread.
                  Comment
                  • robert_wrath
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-16-09
                    • 2122

                    #79
                    Yesterday was a Ruff Day to call Bases.
                    Comment
                    • MexicanStallion
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-08-08
                      • 20429

                      #80
                      Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                      June 1st
                      Cincinnati Reds First 5 IN (+105)
                      2.00 to win 2.10

                      Cincinnati Reds (+110)
                      2.00 to win 2.20
                      Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                      Chicago Cubs (-144)
                      4.32 to win 3.00

                      Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105)
                      1.50 to win 1.58

                      Orioles/Yankees Under 10 (-105)
                      2.10 to win 2.00

                      Tampa Bay Rays (-147)
                      5.88 to win 4.00

                      Boston Red Sox (-154)
                      3.08 to win 2.00

                      Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+130)
                      1.00 to win 1.30

                      New York Mets (-103)
                      1.55 to win 1.50

                      San Francisco Giants (-123)
                      1.23 to win 1.00
                      June 1st
                      7-3 (+8.05 Units)

                      Season: 18-9 (+14.76 Units)

                      Moneyline: 12-7 (+8.08 Units)
                      Totals: 2-0 (+3.00 Units)
                      Runline: 2-2 (-0.32 Units)
                      Alt Runline: 1-0 (+1.90 Units)
                      First Five: 1-0 (+2.10 Units)
                      Comment
                      • MexicanStallion
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-08
                        • 20429

                        #81
                        Originally posted by robert_wrath
                        Yesterday was a Ruff Day to call Bases.
                        Surprisingly I had a pretty good day. All the bullpens that blew it late went in my favor. A shame Chicago lost or it would have been a really good day. On to Wednesday now.
                        Comment
                        • MexicanStallion
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-08-08
                          • 20429

                          #82
                          “Rookie versus Ace”

                          The Cincinnati Reds will play in St. Louis against the Cardinals for the third game of the series Wednesday. The Reds are looking to win the series after their come from behind victory. Last night marked the 18th come from behind victory when the Reds won 9-8.

                          The Cincinnati Reds (31-22) lead the St. Louis Cardinals (30-23) by 1 game for the Central Division lead. The Reds avoided dropping three straight with their win last night and took over first place. Tonight the Reds are looking to extend their lead to two games or leave St. Louis tied for first place.

                          Sam LeCure will make his second start of his young career. On May 28th, LeCure beat the Houston Astros pitching a decent ball game. He went 6 innings, allowed 2 runs, and had 4 walks with 5 strikeouts. It was a great outing for your back end rotation spot, but it was the Houston Astros. They have been statistically the worst hitting team in the National League. The Cardinals are a completely different team. LeCure will need to pitch much sharper and throw more strikes tonight. If LeCure could duplicate his Houston outing, then the Reds would be in great shape and won’t have to burn through the bullpen.

                          The Reds received much needed bullpen help last night when they optioned Carlos Fisher to Triple A and put Mike Lincoln on the DL. They brought up fresh arms, Logan Ondrusek and Enerio Del Rosario. Last night Del Rosario won his first major league game after relieving Johnny Cueto. Cueto was hammered last night allowing 8 runs in 5 innings. Del Rosario allowed the 2 inherited runners, but had some bad luck with Rolen missing a play that was not charged an error. The bullpen went 4 shut out innings last night allowing 5 hits and 3 walks. That is not flawless, but it was a great job considering how the bullpen had been lately. Rhodes looked healthy and Masset threw the ball well. The bullpen should be ready tonight with Thursday being an off day. The fresh arms should take some pressure off Rhodes and Masset.

                          Joey Votto finally returned to the lineup after missing six games. He was a huge boost with his bat going 4/5 with a solo home run and scoring 3 runs. Scott Rolen had a huge night with his third multi-homerun game with 4 runs batted in. As long as the Reds bats stay hot they can beat anyone including Carpenter. Last night Votto and Rolen were huge, but everyone contributed at some point in the game with the Reds having 14 hits and scoring 9 runs. Rolen and Gomes have been rbi machines in the past 7 days with 17 runs batted in between them. They are 19/45(.422) combined. Phillips and Stubbs have scored 14 runs and are hitting 20/54(.370). The one downside tonight will be Ramon Hernandez will probably be out of the lineup tonight. With Ryan Hanigan on the DL, Hernandez needs to stay fresh, so by sitting tonight he will have two days off. Corky Miller should get the nod tonight which could also boost LeCure. Corky caught most of LeCure’s games in the minors this season, so he knows what he can do.

                          The bottom line is the Reds are worth a shot as dogs here tonight. Carpenter is the ace of the Cardinals staff, but he is beatable. The Reds lead the National League in several offense categories such as runs scored, batting average, and home runs. The over is worth a look here as well. It is only 8 runs. A small parlay would be worth a shot with a .5 unit to win over 2.3 units. The Reds get it done tonight. My prediction tonight is 5-4 Reds win.

                          Sam LeCure (1-0 3.00) vs. Chris Carpenter (6-1 2.93)
                          Cincinnati Reds ML (+200)
                          Comment
                          • Darremannen
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 07-18-09
                            • 174

                            #83
                            Hey MS, I am new here, I have sportsbetted for a cuple years with baseball(MLB) and I jut started a new tread here, I could say I live on sportsbetting and I hope we all guys here could have some nice work toghter against the booker.. Cheers mate for the job we are doing!
                            Record 12-6 +16.54units
                            http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/510691-long-mlb-tread-darremannen.html
                            Comment
                            • MexicanStallion
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-08
                              • 20429

                              #84
                              Originally posted by Darremannen
                              Hey MS, I am new here, I have sportsbetted for a cuple years with baseball(MLB) and I jut started a new tread here, I could say I live on sportsbetting and I hope we all guys here could have some nice work toghter against the booker.. Cheers mate for the job we are doing!
                              Thank you sir. I will check out your thread when I get the chance then.
                              Comment
                              • Grecdogg
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-12-10
                                • 757

                                #85
                                Good write up Mexi... ill give the reds a 2nd thought... was gonna pass on it but the ML looks nice ty
                                Comment
                                • JRswish
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-08-10
                                  • 257

                                  #86
                                  thanks for the writeup... I appreciate it when posters take the extra mile to justify their picks
                                  Comment
                                  • MexicanStallion
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-08
                                    • 20429

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Grecdogg
                                    Good write up Mexi... ill give the reds a 2nd thought... was gonna pass on it but the ML looks nice ty
                                    Thank you sir. Just doing the blogging for fun.

                                    Originally posted by JRswish
                                    thanks for the writeup... I appreciate it when posters take the extra mile to justify their picks
                                    Sure no problem. As I mentioned just doing the blogging for fun. All my blogs will be about the Reds, because I know that team. I know pretty much everything there is to know about the team. I rushed through this blog earlier, since I will be busier later.
                                    Comment
                                    • MexicanStallion
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-08
                                      • 20429

                                      #88
                                      June 2nd
                                      Pittsburgh Pirates (+125)
                                      1.50 to win 1.88

                                      Cincinnati Reds (+200)
                                      1.50 to win 3.00

                                      Comment
                                      • Laker_crazy
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 02-08-09
                                        • 9669

                                        #89
                                        Good luck on your plays Mexi...Good to see you back
                                        Comment
                                        • MexicanStallion
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-08
                                          • 20429

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Laker_crazy
                                          Good luck on your plays Mexi...Good to see you back
                                          Thank you sir. Hope today is profitable with two plays. A split will be profitable
                                          Comment
                                          • Laker_crazy
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-08-09
                                            • 9669

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                            Thank you sir. Hope today is profitable with two plays. A split will be profitable
                                            Like the reds bro but the pirates always remain a iffy with a bad bullpen.However as you said the split will also be profitable,i hope you get these both and rake in the moolah tonight.Good luck !
                                            Comment
                                            • MexicanStallion
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-08
                                              • 20429

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                              June 2nd
                                              Pittsburgh Pirates (+125)
                                              1.50 to win 1.88

                                              Cincinnati Reds (+200)
                                              1.50 to win 3.00
                                              June 2nd
                                              0-1-1 (-1.50 Units)

                                              Season: 18-10 (+13.26 Units)

                                              Moneyline: 12-8 (+6.58 Units)
                                              Totals: 2-0 (+3.00 Units)
                                              Runline: 2-2 (-0.32 Units)
                                              Alt Runline: 1-0 (+1.90 Units)
                                              First Five: 1-0 (+2.10 Units)
                                              Comment
                                              • MexicanStallion
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-08-08
                                                • 20429

                                                #93
                                                Shame the Reds had a bad break in the 7th with Rolen getting hit by Bruce's single. I think I would have nailed my prediction spot on, but caught a bad break late. On to Thursday.
                                                Comment
                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                  • 20429

                                                  #94
                                                  June 3rd
                                                  Oakland Athletics First Five (+110)
                                                  1.00 to win 1.10

                                                  Oakland Athletics (+112)
                                                  1.00 to win 1.12

                                                  Comment
                                                  • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-18-10
                                                    • 13389

                                                    #95
                                                    love the a's ff5gl let's cash the bitch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MexicanStallion
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-08-08
                                                      • 20429

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                      love the a's ff5gl let's cash the bitch
                                                      Hope we cash the early winner buddy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tcarn01
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-27-09
                                                        • 1993

                                                        #97
                                                        i am on it...BOL to you....stallion.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bondite
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-21-09
                                                          • 164

                                                          #98
                                                          MOney in da bank, thanks MS!! Love early winners!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MexicanStallion
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-08-08
                                                            • 20429

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                                            love the a's ff5gl let's cash the bitch
                                                            We cashed despite Anderson only going 2 innings.

                                                            Originally posted by tcarn01
                                                            i am on it...BOL to you....stallion.
                                                            Hope you were on the first five as well. Cashed an early winner.
                                                            Originally posted by Bondite
                                                            MOney in da bank, thanks MS!! Love early winners!
                                                            No problem. Glad we cashed Oakland first five. Now looking forward to cashing for the full game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MexicanStallion
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-08-08
                                                              • 20429

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                                              June 3rd
                                                              Oakland Athletics First Five (+110)
                                                              1.00 to win 1.10

                                                              Oakland Athletics (+112)
                                                              1.00 to win 1.12
                                                              June 3rd
                                                              2-0 (+2.22 Units)

                                                              Season: 20-10 (+15.48 Units)

                                                              Moneyline: 13-8 (+7.70 Units)
                                                              Totals: 2-0 (+3.00 Units)
                                                              Runline: 2-2 (-0.32 Units)
                                                              Alt Runline: 1-0 (+1.90 Units)
                                                              First Five: 2-0 (+3.20 Units)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jspectyper
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-25-09
                                                                • 1842

                                                                #101
                                                                Got a good thing going here mex, any leans for saturday?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                                  • 20429

                                                                  #102
                                                                  June 5th
                                                                  New York Yankees (-131)
                                                                  1.31 to win 1.00
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MexicanStallion
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-08-08
                                                                    • 20429

                                                                    #103
                                                                    “Undefeated Streak On The Line”

                                                                    The Cincinnati Reds will play in Washington against the Nationals for the second game of the series Saturday. The Reds are looking to bounce back after a bad 4-2 loss on Friday. Drew Stubbs and Jonny Gomes had a costly error that allowed 2 unearned runs that finished of the Reds late in the game.

                                                                    The Cincinnati Reds (31-24) trail the St. Louis Cardinals (32-23) by 1 game for the Central Division lead. The Reds have hit a rut in their season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games with losses to Houston, St. Louis, and Washington. Tonight they are looking to avoid a 3 game losing streak. They have had one 3 game losing streak back in mid April where they dropped 5 games in a row. Mike Leake will try to stop the bleeding tonight.

                                                                    Mike Leake is on the mound tonight for the Cincinnati Reds. This will be Leake’s 11th start of his young career. Leake was sharper in May than in April. In April, Leake went 2-0 in four starts with a 3.25 era. In May, Leake went 2-0 in five starts with a 1.88 era. Leake has been consistent all season long with 9 out of 10 quality outings. The Reds have lost the past three games despite Leake going 19.1 innings allowing 2 earned runs. The offense has cooled off in his past starts. In the last two starts, the Reds have been shut out for 13.1 innings Leake had pitched. Tonight the Reds need to score for Leake and let him take care of business.

                                                                    The Cincinnati Reds have been hitting, but have stranded base runners the last few games. The Reds had 12 hits last night, but stranded 11 base runners. They hit into two double plays earlier in the game. They just didn’t deliver last night. Tonight will be a different story though. In the past 7 days, Phillips(.462), Hernandez(.400), Votto(.385), Stubbs(.375), and Rolen(.364) are hitting well. With 5 starts swinging hot bats, the Reds are going to put up a few runs early and especially if Atilano walks some base runners. None of the Reds have faced Atilano before, so there is no previous history to factor in.

                                                                    Luis Atilano is just like Mike Leake pitching in his first season in the major leagues. The two combined are entering tonight with 18 major league starts. Atilano has not been as consistent though. He went 3-1 in May with 6 starts, but had a 5.63 era. The record is what truly counts, but this indicates the Nationals were scoring runs for his starts. He is not a strike out pitcher and walks a runner every two innings. If he puts runners on base tonight, the Reds will score. The Reds are not going to strand 11 base runners two nights in a row.

                                                                    My prediction will be the Reds win tonight 6-3. That would go over ½ run with some books or be a push at other books. Leake will go 7 innings tonight allowing 2 runs with Brandon Phillips and Drew Stubbs leading the scoring tonight.

                                                                    Mike Leake (4-0 3.00) vs. Luis Atilano (5-1 4.70)
                                                                    Cincinnati Reds ML (-134)
                                                                    Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+120)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gshock1
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                                      • 5366

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Glad to see you on the Big Red Machine today!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mr. leisure
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-08
                                                                        • 17507

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Nice season so far buddy
                                                                        Comment
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