Sawyer's MLB Total Plays Thread

cheaporanges · 05-16-10, 12:20 AM

sorry meant to say - Arizona and indians scoring 5 & 8 in the 9th

alex123 · 05-16-10, 12:26 AM

Great day Sawyer. Awesome!

Originally posted by Sawyer

pimike · 05-16-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

Guys, we got a 300* Rating Play for tomorrow!

MLB 5/16 Brewers vs Phillies Over 9½ -115 (Hamels vs Davis)

Good Luck Sawyer!

heywoodu · 05-16-10, 01:25 AM

I'm on the Over 10 for this one, @ 2.02 though I saw it even @ 2.08, but just at books where I dont have money at the moment...

THE PROFIT · 05-16-10, 01:57 AM

Id rather have it at 10 for plus money. It has to get to 10 to win anyway. If the fukin game is gonna be that close I'll take a push at +money and chalk it up to a bad bet

KATCHASE · 05-16-10, 02:19 AM

Originally posted by Sawyer

All plays are based on a computer program I developped. %100 Pure Mechanical, No Emotions! So I can bet like a robot, LoL!

Love it! Can't wait to see more results!!

SolidDala · 05-16-10, 03:07 AM

Been following a couple of your totals since the NBA season, you're the man in totals mate

BOL tonight

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 08:45 AM

5/15 Recap

Originally posted by Sawyer

Plays 200+

CARDS VS REDS UNDER 7½ +100 (250*) WINNER
ASTROS VS GIANTS UNDER 6½ -111 (225*) WINNER

Plays Under 200 Rating

METS VS MARLINS UNDER 9½ -107 (150*) LOST
BREW CREW VS PHILLIES OVER 9½ -113 (125*) WINNER
DODGERS VS PADRES UNDER 6½ +118 (125*) WINNER
TWINS VS YANKS UNDER 9 -109 (100*) WINNER
INDIANS VS ORIOLES UNDER 8½ +100 (100*) LOST
D'BACKS VS BRAVES UNDER 8½ -117 (100*) LOST

5/15 Recap (Posted Plays Only)

250 1-0
225 1-0
150 0-1
125 2-0
100 1-2

Overall Record (Plays before 5/15 are not posted in SBR)

300 Rating Plays 1-0
275 Rating Plays 1-1
250 Rating Plays 1-0
225 Rating Plays 4-1
200 Rating Plays 8-1
175 Rating Plays 2-2
150 Rating Plays 5-3
125 Rating Plays 5-5
100 Rating Plays 9-5

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 08:48 AM

MLB 5/16

Plays Above 200*

PHI-MIL OVER 9½ 300*(You can pick Over 10 as well)

Plays Under 200*

NYM-FLA UNDER 8½ 175*
NYY-MIN OVER 10½ 125*
STL-CIN UNDER 8 125*
SEA-TB OVER 7 100*
WAS-COL UNDER 9½ 100*

GL!

heywoodu · 05-16-10, 09:19 AM

Im taking the 175+ games, thanks and best of luck

doublej95 · 05-16-10, 09:23 AM

Sawyer if you never picked one game that won it would not matter to me the pictures you post are winners.

mann2chc · 05-16-10, 09:27 AM

i luv the phil/mil over and the wash/col under today... GL!!!!

birdmanweezy · 05-16-10, 09:40 AM

looking good keep it up

supplykim · 05-16-10, 10:01 AM

Good luck today!

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 01:19 PM

Thank you guys, Let's rock!

Pauulzcappin · 05-16-10, 01:31 PM

I was looking for this thread earlier and didn't find it

Already had the over on ESPN game, will tail on WAsh-Col, BOL.

Jive · 05-16-10, 01:51 PM

Hey Sawyer, does the pitching change for the Brewers affect your rating on the game any?

Naz18 · 05-16-10, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by Jive

Hey Sawyer, does the pitching change for the Brewers affect your rating on the game any?

Bump

SolidDala · 05-16-10, 04:32 PM

Gonna pass on this, Davis has 7.56 ERA and replacer Bush has 4.24 ERA...

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by Jive

Hey Sawyer, does the pitching change for the Brewers affect your rating on the game any?

Yes, it effects rating..

Rating is 350* right now, LoL!

Even better..

Let's cash this Over!

THE PROFIT · 05-16-10, 04:50 PM

So this makes it a higher rating??? His ERA is 3 runs less than the original pitcher, just curious how that can make it a BETTER play

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

PHI-MIL OVER 9½ 300*

Pitcher Change in Milwaukee vs Philadelphia Game!

Pick: Phillies vs Brewers (Bush vs Hamels) Over 10 Runs @ +107

Wow, Rating is 350 right now! First 350 of the season..

GL everyone!

THE PROFIT · 05-16-10, 04:53 PM

do you care to answer my question? Just curious about this

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

So this makes it a higher rating??? His ERA is 3 runs less than the original pitcher, just curious how that can make it a BETTER play

ERA is a little bit misleading stat in my opinion. Take my advice, don't focus on ERA too much.. It can be misleading sometimes..

In addition, Over is 4-1 in Bush's last 5 home starts vs. Phillies and 7-2 in Bush's last 9 starts vs. Phillies. Not to mention, Phillies are batting .306 vs Bush.

GL Everyone!

SolidDala · 05-16-10, 05:24 PM

Wow, well then Over it is!

Sawyer · 05-16-10, 05:26 PM

Just cashed NBA Total (Celtics vs Magic), let's nail this baseball total too!

statnerds · 05-16-10, 06:18 PM

go get 'em Sawyer

on it as well, looking to finish a 4-2 MLB day and a plus Unit day in football.

GL to us

Jive · 05-16-10, 08:40 PM

Man, we are getting a lot of tough breaks against us this game.

JohnnyD4916 · 05-16-10, 08:58 PM

Alot of runners being left on bases we need some runs

sapidoc · 05-16-10, 09:00 PM

Siiiiiiick

THE PROFIT · 05-16-10, 10:35 PM

I went larger than I should have on that. Fuuuuk!

cyclonebell · 05-16-10, 10:40 PM

Wow, 20 hits and 2 errors only makes 6 total runs? Wtf. We were on the right side though, bad luck!

Pauulzcappin · 05-16-10, 10:40 PM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

I went larger than I should have on that. Fuuuuk!

I'd second that, except for the fact it was A LOT LARGER.

It was a bad beat though, on the other 90% of this kind of bets we'll win.

Jive · 05-17-10, 10:26 AM

That was definitely a frustrating Sunday night game for those with the over. I won't complain too much because I think if you make that bet 10 times you win 7 or 8. Just a lot of unfortunate bounces and breaks (like the ball bouncing over the wall to cost at least one run), great defensive plays, and dudes left on base. That's why they call it gambling.

I look forward to your numbers for tonight, Sawyer. Win me some points so I can share them with you! I don't even have enough SBR points to place a minimum wager on the Braves today!

No coincidences · 05-17-10, 10:40 AM

Baseball totals = crapshoot.

Still, an awesome job, Sawyer. If there's anyone I would trust with MLB totals, it'd be you.