A Score in the First Inning Stats....

**Shortstop** · 04-18-10, 01:46 AM

Thanks Jersey, this is good stuff!

**Shortstop** · 04-18-10, 01:47 AM

I have been noticing that first inning scoring involving the Buccos was common, here is the proof!

**THE PROFIT** · 04-18-10, 01:49 AM

Thanks alot man. I play it alot. It really goes in streaks is whats funny. One day 70% will score 1st inning, next day completely opposite. Today only one early game had a score, all late games but one didnt. The only one I played today was no score in 1st in Astros game.

**THE PROFIT** · 04-18-10, 01:51 AM

so I assume you will keep this updated. Do you care to keep this thread going & post the update daily?

**shawnjohn5** · 04-18-10, 01:59 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

A Score in the First Inning Stats.... I'm tracking "A Score in the 1st Inning" stats, for those who like to play this prop. Pittsburgh has scored in the 1st inning in 7 of their first 11 games, and unbelievably, the Cubs have yet to give up a 1st inning run!

Jersey the tracking is appreciated however INACCURATE. I know it takes a lot of time and effort to put one of these together but when you say the cubs have yet to give up a 1st inning run?? YOU are INCORRECT MY FRIEND, this struck a nerve right off the bat because I took the cubs first 5 innings april 6th and they got LIT UP. I was excited cuz Marlon Byrd hit a 3 run bomb in the first, and i figured with Zambrano pitching I was in good shape, until he gave up not only 1 run in the FIRST inning but SIX RUNS in a 16-5 loss to the Braves.... http://espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=300405115 again the tracking is appreciated but if not ACCURATE can possibly influence someone to wager a certain way and COST them money!!!!!!

**JerseyShop101** · 04-18-10, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by shawnjohn5

Jersey the tracking is appreciated however INACCURATE. I know it takes a lot of time and effort to put one of these together but when you say the cubs have yet to give up a 1st inning run?? YOU are INCORRECT MY FRIEND, this struck a nerve right off the bat because I took the cubs first 5 innings april 6th and they got LIT UP. I was excited cuz Marlon Byrd hit a 3 run bomb in the first, and i figured with Zambrano pitching I was in good shape, until he gave up not only 1 run in the FIRST inning but SIX RUNS in a 16-5 loss to the Braves.... http://espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=300405115 again the tracking is appreciated but if not ACCURATE can possibly influence someone to wager a certain way and COST them money!!!!!!

Your absolutely right. I failed to make the annotation for when BOTH teams score in the same game. I apologize. Thank you for alerting me to this.

Back to the drawing board, will update the list shortly...............

**THE PROFIT** · 04-18-10, 03:01 AM

thanks for catching that shawnjohn, I thought it looked funny.

Jerseyshop, easy mistake bro, thanks again for putting it together, you'll get it right, definitely a nice tool to have.

Nothing like winning 10 minutes into the game!!!

**Ramasenka** · 04-18-10, 03:44 AM

Useful job

**DrStale** · 04-18-10, 04:17 AM

Much appreciated, good work.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-18-10, 04:38 AM

Ok, here's what I got:

**JerseyShop101** · 04-18-10, 10:20 AM

Going with teams playing each other that are 55% and up for the YES, and teams 45% and under for the NO.

Today's plays will be:

A Score in the 1st Inning YES
FLA(58%)/PHILLY(75%)

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
COL(45%)/ATL(36%)
HOU(36%)/CHICAGO(27%)
KC(45%)/MINN(42%)

I'm waiting for the lines to come out.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-18-10, 10:51 AM

Today's plays:

A Score in the 1st Inning YES
FLA(58%)/PHILLY(75%) -130

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
COL(45%)/ATL(36%) -120
HOU(36%)/CHICAGO(27%) -145
KC(45%)/MINN(42%) +100

**betme** · 04-18-10, 11:11 AM

Ive been playing this prop too but what i look is NO SCORE in first, and its been pretty good
im just looking at two starter With a low ERA around 3 - 4 or less, than i look at the stats of each pitcher match up with the hitter
today i kinda leans KC/MIN NO SCORE both starter era below 3 not sure why they are at even money
i might play for .5 unit
gl

**Jones10** · 04-18-10, 11:18 AM

Like the info....GL

**tanner40** · 04-18-10, 11:27 AM

One of my buddies thought it would be easy money to bet no on first inning runs...and then he tried chasing it.

He lost a lot of money doing that.

**THE PROFIT** · 04-18-10, 11:28 AM

for your %, is that them scoring or average of them scoring & allowing?

**d2bets** · 04-18-10, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

A Score in the First Inning Stats....

I'm tracking "A Score in the 1st Inning" stats, for those who like to play this prop.

Pittsburgh has scored in the 1st inning in 7 of their first 11 games, and unbelievably, the Cubs have yet to give up a 1st inning run!

Jersey, Cubs gave up 6 first inning runs in their very first game of the season.

**therber2** · 04-18-10, 11:44 AM

Great stuff Jersey

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

Today's plays:

A Score in the 1st Inning YES
FLA(58%)/PHILLY(75%) -130

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
COL(45%)/ATL(36%) -120
HOU(36%)/CHICAGO(27%) -145
KC(45%)/MINN(42%) +100

Based on other forms of capping I am in agreement with all except KC and MINN. COL and ATL could go either way I think.

My formula for over under and 1st inn prop is roughly this:
Wind direction + Starting pitchers' career to 3 day ERA/WHIP difference (so hot or cold) + team slugging rates and batting avg. + run production rating by innings played + runs allowed by innings played.

Anyways, I know you are just tracking one thing; major kudos for doing this! Hope this goes well.

**THE PROFIT** · 04-18-10, 01:09 PM

well, it didnt work for phil/fla

**JerseyShop101** · 04-19-10, 06:18 AM

Originally posted by therber2

Based on other forms of capping I am in agreement with all except KC and MINN. COL and ATL could go either way I think.

My formula for over under and 1st inn prop is roughly this:
Wind direction + Starting pitchers' career to 3 day ERA/WHIP difference (so hot or cold) + team slugging rates and batting avg. + run production rating by innings played + runs allowed by innings played.

Anyways, I know you are just tracking one thing; major kudos for doing this! Hope this goes well.

This is great info, not only for just this 1st inning prop but for the 1st 5 and game side and total as well. Thank you, and thanks for the points!

**JerseyShop101** · 04-19-10, 06:22 AM

I hope you guys did better...

A Score in the 1st Inning YES
FLA(58%)/PHILLY(75%) -130 LOST

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
COL(45%)/ATL(36%) -120 LOST
HOU(36%)/CHICAGO(27%) -145 WON
KC(45%)/MINN(42%) +100 LOST

1-3 -2.50

I would of been better off just taking the NO for the bottom 4 teams yesterday as they went 3-1.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-19-10, 06:29 AM

[ATTACH]11207[/ATTACH]

Monday's Play:

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
SF(33%)/San Diego(42%)

**runnershane14** · 04-19-10, 07:07 AM

Good luck to you..I tried to do something similar last year and could not find anything that worked, just too much juice.

**therber2** · 04-19-10, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

This is great info, not only for just this 1st inning prop but for the 1st 5 and game side and total as well. Thank you, and thanks for the points!

No problem Jersey. I've been inspired by your findings since you were posting here last season. You are definately a top notch thinker here. I'm posting over at "The Big Card" taking some runs at the formula and some other new factors if you care to stop by any time.

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

Monday's Play:

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
SF(33%)/San Diego(42%)

This is iffy, but I'd lean towards No as well. Better bet IMO would be SF to score first or for SF team total to go over.

**ahhlenn** · 04-19-10, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

[ATTACH]11207[/ATTACH]

Monday's Play:

A Score in the 1st Inning NO
SF(33%)/San Diego(42%)

is this play official? is yes, what are the units you're putting on this? just wondering out of curiosity...GL

**Wilforth** · 04-19-10, 10:57 AM

Thanks a lot for this service. I also think the Marlins will soon go up the table in runs in the 1st inning.

**floridagolfer** · 04-19-10, 04:54 PM

That chart is great. Thanks, Jersey. I think a lot of people are hoping it's updated regularly.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-20-10, 10:29 AM

I think I'll just stick with the chart for you guys, lol....

**shawnjohn5** · 04-20-10, 03:55 PM

The chart rocks man, keep up the good work!!!

**terrortwylight** · 04-20-10, 03:59 PM

jersey, if you keep the chart updated i'd have no problem giving you points regularly.. what do you think?

**MUHerd37** · 04-20-10, 04:00 PM

Nice job here. I used to play this prop a lot and got killed until last year. Last year I just stayed with the Detroit Tigers games and always bet no. I used the martingale system and it was successful all of last year. It got scary at times when I had to bet big but it always worked.

**terrortwylight** · 04-20-10, 04:58 PM

i went ahead and threw some pts your way.. seeing as you've already done up a few of these updated charts i guess you must enjoy it to some extent, haha..

i'm gonna start using it a lil tonight, i'll let you know how it goes.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-20-10, 07:51 PM

Thanks for the points terror and jessy!

I hope everone is doing well tonight!

The top 7 on the chart is 5-1 with the Arizona game later.
And the No leader Cubs, comes through again with no score.

**terrortwylight** · 04-20-10, 07:53 PM

i cashed on NO w/ cubs!!

what do you mean by top 7 is 5-1?