10-0 challenge
3) nym -1.5 +140 $41 --> $98.40
3) nym -1.5 +140 $41 --> $98.40
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Comment -
SWEEP UPDATE
-After 76 series, there have been 7 sweeps by visiting teams (9.2%)
-7 of the 69 unswept home teams saved a sweep in the 3rd game of the series (10.1%)
-81.6% of all home teams have won one of their first 2 games in the series
SWEEPS: HOUSTON (2X), BALTIMORE (2X), BOSTON (4-GAME SWEEP), TORONTO, PITTSBURGH
Comment -
MIL +112
COL +104
TEX -119(See post #76)
OAK -149
PARLAY: BOS,TB +106 (both these teams are -230 individually)
Leans:
SF -161 (I'll wait to see how the early games go, but I also feel this may be overvalued)
HOU -160 (Astros probably won't get swept vs. the Pirates but I think this line is also overvalued. It's tough betting on 2 bad teams)
LAA +123 (I don't think the Angels will be swept but still a little hesitant to pull the trigger. I'll see how my other games are going and re-evaluate this matchup as well)Comment -
10-0 challenge
#4- rays -1.5 -110 $98.40 --> $187.85Comment -
Harden is replacing Feldman for the Rangers. If you didn't change it to "Action" and still want to play the Rangers, get your new bet in. I'm going to pass on this play now, since Harden is on less rest and I didn't like what I saw in him last time out (3.2 innings and 4 ER against the Yanks). Tigers suck but so do the Rangers. It's too early in the season to be gambling on a bad team vs. a bad team. I had this play as "listed" for Feldman so I'm just going to let it expire.Comment -
Man, today was a rough day for me. Not only did I go 1-2 on my picks (plus a loss with my 10-0 challenge pick), but I lost all 4 leans I had (none of which I actually pulled the trigger).
MIL +112 LOSS
COL +104 PPD
TEX -119(See post #76) SHOULD OF PLAYED
OAK -149 WIN
PARLAY: BOS,TB +106 (both these teams are -230 individually) LOSS (TB)
Leans: SF -161 (I'll wait to see how the early games go, but I also feel this may be overvalued) SHOULD OF PLAYED
HOU -160 (Astros probably won't get swept vs. the Pirates but I think this line is also overvalued. It's tough betting on 2 bad teams) SHOULD OF PLAYED
LAA +123 (I don't think the Angels will be swept but still a little hesitant to pull the trigger. I'll see how my other games are going and re-evaluate this matchup as well) SHOULD OF PLAYED
I remind myself, however, that it is still early in the season, and it's not a big deal to see teams you were leaning toward win because it should give you confidence in your ability to scout the right picks. Plus, I think I can avenge those two losses tomorrow, so we'll be right back on track.Comment -
MIL +105 (2 units)
COL -149
TB -140 (2 units)Comment -
10-0 Challenge
#1) LAD/WAS O9.5 +100
I'll admit, this one is sort of a throw away one, I'm only playing it because it's only points. My feeling is these guys owe Brock from today. I have an afternoon pick I like for this but I figured I'd try to get the ball rolling with an early game.Comment -
MIL -113 (4 units)Comment -
I just don't get it. How does a team go from sweeping on the road (granted it was Pittsburgh, but still) and outscoring them 36-1, to getting swept at home by the Cubs, of all teams!?! How do you go from scoring 20 runs in one game to 3 in the next 3 games? It's beyond me.
Whatever, Still up about 10 units on the year. Plenty of time to rebound.Comment -
I'm still making picks but work and stuff has gotten a little busy lately so I haven't had time to post my picks here. At the very least I'll keep my spreadsheet updated but I won't always post my picks here. This system is easy enough anyway, you should be able to figure out who I'm going to be picking.Comment