Reverend's 2010 MLB
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doublej95SBR Posting Legend
- 01-26-10
- 14094
#1821Comment -
smcc716SBR Wise Guy
- 04-17-10
- 983
#1822Accuscore is free. Dont pay for it. You dont need all that other BullSheet that comes with it. And for MLB, there is a system for picking a series winner just like all the others. One play a day...stress free.
And as mentioned, as well, I have used %'s on CBB and NFL, but there are better systems for those sports. I only use it for MLB. Baseball is a statistical sport perfect for simulation probabilities...which Accuscore is based on.
And tell me about those monkey's. We are full of 'em here in LV and they are getting $19.99 a play. Go figure!!!
OK...my last post on the subject cause I know this will go on and on and on...so, oh and the MLB Accuscore system play for today already won (A) and to date; ML 14-0 and RL 14-0 since opening day. Last 17 days...only 1 C bet.
But this is Rev's 2010 MLB thread and his plays are $$. Thanks Rev!!! Come on CHC and LAD.Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#1823Does anyone here have a good understanding or give any thought to RLM in baseball. For NFL and NBA I pay attention to it but never really have in baseball until recently. Last night I noticed LAD came down from -210 to -178 on Pinny. I jumped on that line way too early but it also indicated to me that we might be on the wrong side. I really never have tracked it that closely and wonder if it's a red flag. Today I see ChiC opening at -180 and the public is all over it but the line is down to -151. That scares me quite a bit. I already locked in my bet last night so I'm committed to it and the series I was just hoping to get some opinions on the subject. ThanksComment -
doublej95SBR Posting Legend
- 01-26-10
- 14094
#1824I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.
I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.Last edited by doublej95; 05-05-10, 09:16 PM.Comment -
SawyerSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-01-09
- 7710
#1825Dodgers make me sick!Comment -
SawyerSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-01-09
- 7710
#1826Even if they win this one, I won't touch Dodgers in upcoming series 'til they get above .500
Better stick with Rays, Yanks, Twins, Cards, Phillies..Comment -
diegoelmestreSBR Wise Guy
- 12-30-09
- 510
#1827Dodgers are sucking a lot.. yesterday in one inning get outscored by 9, today on 1st brewers scores 4 runs :s Hoping a comebackComment -
chase1SBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-09
- 842
#1828Cubs will be favored tomorrow as well as LA if we have to go to C. Sure are a lot dogs covering. It shouldn't be this hard for a favorite to win...hopefully LA can pull this out so there won't be so much on the line tomorrow.Comment -
VegasPlayerSBR MVP
- 07-27-09
- 3676
#1829I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.
I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.Comment -
JW CashSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4453
#1830So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???
Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......
Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...
Do a two-line Labourche.....
LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase
LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...
What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???
Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????
Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...
You DONT NEED Game 3.....
Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....
Forget Game 3....
With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....
Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....
You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
the 2 lines.....
Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....
Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!
I really never liked C Bets anyway.......
This really, really is the way to go...............
Ciao.....Last edited by JW Cash; 05-05-10, 10:11 PM.Comment -
mister beeSBR High Roller
- 04-23-09
- 199
#1831So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???
Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......
Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...
Do a two-line Labourche.....
LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase
LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...
What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???
Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????
Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...
You DONT NEED Game 3.....
Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....
Forget Game 3....
With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....
Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....
You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
the 2 lines.....
Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....
Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!
I really never liked C Bets anyway.......
This really, really is the way to go...............
Ciao.....
this sounds interesting, but i'm having a little trouble understanding it. would you mind using a recent example to show how it's done.
thanks,
mister beeComment -
dyeguySBR Hustler
- 07-21-09
- 94
#1832I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.
I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.Comment -
chase1SBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-09
- 842
#1833So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???
Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......
Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...
Do a two-line Labourche.....
LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase
LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...
What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???
Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????
Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...
You DONT NEED Game 3.....
Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....
Forget Game 3....
With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....
Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....
You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
the 2 lines.....
Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....
Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!
I really never liked C Bets anyway.......
This really, really is the way to go...............
Ciao.....Comment -
SawyerSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-01-09
- 7710
#1834Labouchere wont work if you chase home teams.
You dont get all your loses back in labouchere.
labouchere is good for -110, +100 bets. can be dangerous if youre betting -150, -160.
I love labouchere but for ats sports like nba.Comment -
JW CashSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4453
#1835
I followed a 2 line labouchere this past year in NHL on + 1.5 pucklines....
juice is around -200 to -300.....
we finished over 100 units of profit.....
.....soooooooooo, yeah I say .....it will work for over a -150 line.....Comment -
cheaporangesSBR Hustler
- 08-01-09
- 72
#1836hey ramper62.i got the accuscore winners edge package and must admit i think i wasted my money.they keep pestering me to buy the advisor package.way too expensive and not worth it.
pretty please tell us your system.it would be awesome if u could tell us the criteria for choosing games.help a brother make some moneyComment -
mizzoujohnSBR High Roller
- 03-16-10
- 155
#1837I'm done betting mediocre teams like LAD... They are 11-15 for Pete's sake...Comment -
mister beeSBR High Roller
- 04-23-09
- 199
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reverendSBR Wise Guy
- 06-01-09
- 880
#1839Wednesday May 5:
Series System:
B Bet: Dodgers (ML)
Situational System:
B Bet: Cubs (ML)
*The Dodgers should win today, but in the event that they dont, I may be closing the chase on the B bet
*The FAV play should have been on the Yankees, but I was late posting, so I will no post a FAV play today
B Bet: Dodgers (ML) Risking 5.95 Units to Win 3.5 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)
B Bet: Cubs (ML) Risking 3.53 Units to Win 2.28 Units (1 Unit Profit)
Wednesday May 5:
Series Systems: 0-0
Pending Chases: 2
*Currently we are down 7.95 Units on the Dodgers and 4.81 Units on the Cubs.
*I like the Cubs matchup tomorrow on the C Bet.
*The Dodgers game is a coin flip.
*We will have a new series starting tomorrow on the TWINSComment -
jnickell100SBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 4305
#1840Ya not to rub it in but i said this a couple days ago. Right now its bets to fade the dodgers. You can find much better value elsewhere other than the dodger every night at -200. Their pitching is horrible right now and their bats are mediocre right now as well.Comment -
chase1SBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-09
- 842
#1841Your taking a system loss and and -7.95 units on LA? I agree better to cut your loses. No sense in throwing good money after bad.Comment -
diegoelmestreSBR Wise Guy
- 12-30-09
- 510
#1842bad day today :sComment -
Betting GuruSBR Wise Guy
- 11-24-09
- 648
#1843Still believe in the System! Rolling with Dodgers in 3rd GameComment -
ackescottRestricted User
- 09-19-09
- 338
#1844New day tomorrow!!Comment -
SawyerSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-01-09
- 7710
#1845Twins looks like a much better chase then Dodgers. I was chasing Dodgers toobut I realized that I made a mistake. I won't touch Dodgers 'til they get above .500. Dodgers suck, I hate dodgers!!
Comment -
cala56SBR MVP
- 02-25-10
- 4231
#1846i will keep youComment -
Adebayor365SBR Wise Guy
- 04-23-10
- 603
#1847GL
Comment -
arizona40SBR Hustler
- 05-03-10
- 73
#1848I still like the Cubs in the "C" bet today, still unsure about the Dodgers, but I have said it before, If you are here you are somewhat believer in what REV is doing so you make the bets, stay with the system and cheer on your teams. It is a long season and the good days will far outweigh the bad ones IMO.
Cheers.Comment -
DDTSBR MVP
- 03-22-09
- 3757
#1849I didn't touch the Dodgers and I'm glad!Comment -
dyeguySBR Hustler
- 07-21-09
- 94
#1850I still like the Cubs in the "C" bet today, still unsure about the Dodgers, but I have said it before, If you are here you are somewhat believer in what REV is doing so you make the bets, stay with the system and cheer on your teams. It is a long season and the good days will far outweigh the bad ones IMO.
Cheers.Comment -
ramper62SBR Rookie
- 10-26-09
- 40
#1851Need 25 posts here.
Ok CHC & LAD.Comment -
reverendSBR Wise Guy
- 06-01-09
- 880
#1852Thursday May 6:
Series System:
A Bet: Twins (ML) Risking 3.15 Units to Win 1.5 Units
C Bet: Dodgers (?) Currently down 7.95 Units on the Series
Situational System:
C Bet: Cubs (ML) Risking 11.2 Units to Win 6.82 Units (2 Units Profit)
FAV System:
A Bet: Phillies (-1 RL) Risking X Units to Win 2 Units
*I am still undecided on the Dodgers C bet. If I do play it, it will be to either win back my losses only or possibly win back half my losses. I will try and post before gametime.
*I really favor the Cubs today, and love the Twins series with their pitching match-upsComment -
docvinnySBR Sharp
- 11-21-09
- 386
#1853The dodgers game has me really worried, may fade this oneComment -
reverendSBR Wise Guy
- 06-01-09
- 880
#1854I agree with you. The Dodgers are playing uninspired baseball right now, and it doesnt help when your starters give up 13 runs in the first 2 innings of the past 2 games. I saw a recent stat there the Dodgers have only been swept once in their last 47 home series. So, maybe they will fight for the win today. But as always, only risk your bankroll if you are ok with a potential loss. There will be many more quality series going forward...Comment -
Ferrarodc23SBR Rookie
- 04-22-10
- 43
#1855Yadier AND Ludwick both out of the starting lineups for the Cards today. That makes me love Rev's Play on the Phils.Comment
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