Reverend's 2010 MLB

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  • doublej95
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-26-10
    • 14094

    #1821
    Originally posted by dogs1972
    Sob! Cubs! This is a real familure feeling.

    Pitching match up tomorrow favors the Cubbies so hopefully they can get some runs scored against Burres. Pirates are 2-6 this year in game three match ups. So hopefully the Cubbies will cash the C Bet for you guys tomorrow.
    Comment
    • smcc716
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-17-10
      • 983

      #1822
      Originally posted by ramper62
      Accuscore is free. Dont pay for it. You dont need all that other BullSheet that comes with it. And for MLB, there is a system for picking a series winner just like all the others. One play a day...stress free.

      And as mentioned, as well, I have used %'s on CBB and NFL, but there are better systems for those sports. I only use it for MLB. Baseball is a statistical sport perfect for simulation probabilities...which Accuscore is based on.

      And tell me about those monkey's. We are full of 'em here in LV and they are getting $19.99 a play. Go figure!!!

      OK...my last post on the subject cause I know this will go on and on and on...so, oh and the MLB Accuscore system play for today already won (A) and to date; ML 14-0 and RL 14-0 since opening day. Last 17 days...only 1 C bet.

      But this is Rev's 2010 MLB thread and his plays are $$. Thanks Rev!!! Come on CHC and LAD.
      Ramp...how does their system work compared to this one? I have Accuscore access through ESPN. Do you just play the highest percentages daily for the ML and RL? Do you chase after a loss with highest percent the next day? Thanks!
      Comment
      • GGPLAYER
        SBR MVP
        • 03-26-09
        • 2981

        #1823
        Originally posted by GGPLAYER
        Does anyone here have a good understanding or give any thought to RLM in baseball. For NFL and NBA I pay attention to it but never really have in baseball until recently. Last night I noticed LAD came down from -210 to -178 on Pinny. I jumped on that line way too early but it also indicated to me that we might be on the wrong side. I really never have tracked it that closely and wonder if it's a red flag. Today I see ChiC opening at -180 and the public is all over it but the line is down to -151. That scares me quite a bit. I already locked in my bet last night so I'm committed to it and the series I was just hoping to get some opinions on the subject. Thanks
        Had that bad feeling was for a reason. This is not good. Chi C is not a good team. This is too much like Houston. Someone here says the pitching match-up is better tomorrow. But they just lost to a guy who was 0-5 with a 12 ERA. Got to put up more than 2 runs. I really hope LAD gets it done tonight because I'm not sure I can handle 2 C bets. Hate to sound negative but this is more frustration coming out of me more than anything. I will just stress again we should be very selective and leary of a road team.
        Comment
        • doublej95
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-26-10
          • 14094

          #1824
          I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.

          I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.
          Last edited by doublej95; 05-05-10, 09:16 PM.
          Comment
          • Sawyer
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-01-09
            • 7710

            #1825
            Dodgers make me sick!
            Comment
            • Sawyer
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-01-09
              • 7710

              #1826
              Even if they win this one, I won't touch Dodgers in upcoming series 'til they get above .500

              Better stick with Rays, Yanks, Twins, Cards, Phillies..
              Comment
              • diegoelmestre
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-30-09
                • 510

                #1827
                Dodgers are sucking a lot.. yesterday in one inning get outscored by 9, today on 1st brewers scores 4 runs :s Hoping a comeback
                Comment
                • chase1
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-02-09
                  • 842

                  #1828
                  Cubs will be favored tomorrow as well as LA if we have to go to C. Sure are a lot dogs covering. It shouldn't be this hard for a favorite to win...hopefully LA can pull this out so there won't be so much on the line tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • VegasPlayer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-27-09
                    • 3676

                    #1829
                    Originally posted by doublej95
                    I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.

                    I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.
                    Yup, If yur gonna chase, then chase. No whining
                    Comment
                    • JW Cash
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4453

                      #1830
                      So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???


                      Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......


                      Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...


                      Do a two-line Labourche.....

                      LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase

                      LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...


                      What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???

                      Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????

                      Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...


                      You DONT NEED Game 3.....

                      Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....

                      Forget Game 3....

                      With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
                      having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....

                      Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....

                      You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
                      the 2 lines.....

                      Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....

                      Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!

                      I really never liked C Bets anyway.......


                      This really, really is the way to go...............



                      Ciao.....
                      Last edited by JW Cash; 05-05-10, 10:11 PM.
                      Comment
                      • mister bee
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 04-23-09
                        • 199

                        #1831
                        Originally posted by JW Cash
                        So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???


                        Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......


                        Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...


                        Do a two-line Labourche.....

                        LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase

                        LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...


                        What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???

                        Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????

                        Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...


                        You DONT NEED Game 3.....

                        Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....

                        Forget Game 3....

                        With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
                        having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....

                        Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....

                        You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
                        the 2 lines.....

                        Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....

                        Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!

                        I really never liked C Bets anyway.......


                        This really, really is the way to go...............



                        Ciao.....
                        hey cash,
                        this sounds interesting, but i'm having a little trouble understanding it. would you mind using a recent example to show how it's done.

                        thanks,
                        mister bee
                        Comment
                        • dyeguy
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 07-21-09
                          • 94

                          #1832
                          Originally posted by doublej95
                          I was just trying to give some positives for tomorrows C Bet for you guys that are on it. It's better than coming here and posting the whining that everyone does when a system series comes to a C Bet. C bets are a part of this game if it's to much for some to stomach then you should not be doing chase systems.

                          I have not been playing road teams and have been laying off of series where both teams have losing records. I think it's still early to determine which sub 500 teams are the worse one's. This helps me avoid weaker system series and play the ones with more vaule.
                          Couldn't agree more. I have been laying off the same types of series as you mentioned and just betting more on the stronger plays. Tomorrow is Baltimore at Minnesota and that's the only series I'm betting.
                          Comment
                          • chase1
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-02-09
                            • 842

                            #1833
                            Originally posted by JW Cash
                            So.....how do you take the stress away from C Bets???


                            Just dont do them.....just say NO ! Kick the C Bet right out the door.......


                            Best low risk money management strategy is simply this...


                            Do a two-line Labourche.....

                            LINE 1 ...is Game 1 of a what would be a 3 game chase

                            LINE 2 ...is Game 2 of a what would be a 3 game chase...


                            What about Game 3 of a 3 game chase.???

                            Forget it...who needs it....WHO likes C bets????????????????

                            Game 1 and Game 2 win a high pct of the time.......and that fits the labourche well...


                            You DONT NEED Game 3.....

                            Heck, if you chase a Game 3 and LOSE...you gave back a huge amount of profit... that is not smart....

                            Forget Game 3....

                            With a 2 line Labourche...you are getting your losses back along with Profit without
                            having to chase and doubling up..........and thats whats it all about at the end of the day....

                            Its how many Units you have at the end of every month....

                            You will add the power of compounding profit with Labourche everytime you clear
                            the 2 lines.....

                            Clear 2 lines and increase your base wager by 2 or 4%.....

                            Again...no chasing....no doubling up.....and most importantly....NO DREADED C BET!

                            I really never liked C Bets anyway.......


                            This really, really is the way to go...............



                            Ciao.....
                            Labourche might work but correct me if I'm wrong here in that in this series it looks awful. Wouldn't we already be in the hole even more by putting most of our money on CHI and LA early considering they are 0-3 and quite possibly 0-4 after tonight? Seems like it only works if you win the games early and in this case we haven't.
                            Comment
                            • Sawyer
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-01-09
                              • 7710

                              #1834
                              Labouchere wont work if you chase home teams.
                              You dont get all your loses back in labouchere.
                              labouchere is good for -110, +100 bets. can be dangerous if youre betting -150, -160.

                              I love labouchere but for ats sports like nba.
                              Comment
                              • JW Cash
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-08
                                • 4453

                                #1835
                                Originally posted by Sawyer
                                Labouchere wont work if you chase home teams.
                                You dont get all your loses back in labouchere.
                                labouchere is good for -110, +100 bets. can be dangerous if youre betting -150, -160.

                                I love labouchere but for ats sports like nba.


                                I followed a 2 line labouchere this past year in NHL on + 1.5 pucklines....

                                juice is around -200 to -300.....


                                we finished over 100 units of profit.....

                                .....soooooooooo, yeah I say .....it will work for over a -150 line.....
                                Comment
                                • cheaporanges
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 08-01-09
                                  • 72

                                  #1836
                                  hey ramper62.i got the accuscore winners edge package and must admit i think i wasted my money.they keep pestering me to buy the advisor package.way too expensive and not worth it.
                                  pretty please tell us your system.it would be awesome if u could tell us the criteria for choosing games.help a brother make some money
                                  Comment
                                  • mizzoujohn
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-16-10
                                    • 155

                                    #1837
                                    I'm done betting mediocre teams like LAD... They are 11-15 for Pete's sake...
                                    Comment
                                    • mister bee
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 04-23-09
                                      • 199

                                      #1838
                                      Originally posted by mizzoujohn
                                      I'm done betting mediocre teams like LAD... They are 11-15 for Pete's sake...
                                      +1. felt that way after the astros last week. dodgers are now on the list. the chases are working great with good teams (ny, tb, stl, etc..) no more bad teams.
                                      Comment
                                      • reverend
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 06-01-09
                                        • 880

                                        #1839
                                        Originally posted by reverend
                                        Wednesday May 5:


                                        Series System:

                                        B Bet: Dodgers (ML)


                                        Situational System:

                                        B Bet: Cubs (ML)


                                        *The Dodgers should win today, but in the event that they dont, I may be closing the chase on the B bet

                                        *The FAV play should have been on the Yankees, but I was late posting, so I will no post a FAV play today
                                        I wanted to list the units bet today to keep the record straight.


                                        B Bet: Dodgers (ML) Risking 5.95 Units to Win 3.5 Units (1.5 Unit Profit)

                                        B Bet: Cubs (ML) Risking 3.53 Units to Win 2.28 Units (1 Unit Profit)


                                        Wednesday May 5:

                                        Series Systems: 0-0

                                        Pending Chases: 2


                                        *Currently we are down 7.95 Units on the Dodgers and 4.81 Units on the Cubs.

                                        *I like the Cubs matchup tomorrow on the C Bet.

                                        *The Dodgers game is a coin flip.

                                        *We will have a new series starting tomorrow on the TWINS
                                        Comment
                                        • jnickell100
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 4305

                                          #1840
                                          Ya not to rub it in but i said this a couple days ago. Right now its bets to fade the dodgers. You can find much better value elsewhere other than the dodger every night at -200. Their pitching is horrible right now and their bats are mediocre right now as well.
                                          Comment
                                          • chase1
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-02-09
                                            • 842

                                            #1841
                                            Your taking a system loss and and -7.95 units on LA? I agree better to cut your loses. No sense in throwing good money after bad.
                                            Comment
                                            • diegoelmestre
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-30-09
                                              • 510

                                              #1842
                                              bad day today :s
                                              Comment
                                              • Betting Guru
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-24-09
                                                • 648

                                                #1843
                                                Still believe in the System! Rolling with Dodgers in 3rd Game
                                                Comment
                                                • ackescott
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-19-09
                                                  • 338

                                                  #1844
                                                  New day tomorrow!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sawyer
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                    • 7710

                                                    #1845
                                                    Twins looks like a much better chase then Dodgers. I was chasing Dodgers too but I realized that I made a mistake. I won't touch Dodgers 'til they get above .500. Dodgers suck, I hate dodgers!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cala56
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-25-10
                                                      • 4231

                                                      #1846
                                                      i will keep you
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Adebayor365
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 04-23-10
                                                        • 603

                                                        #1847
                                                        GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • arizona40
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 05-03-10
                                                          • 73

                                                          #1848
                                                          I still like the Cubs in the "C" bet today, still unsure about the Dodgers, but I have said it before, If you are here you are somewhat believer in what REV is doing so you make the bets, stay with the system and cheer on your teams. It is a long season and the good days will far outweigh the bad ones IMO.

                                                          Cheers.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DDT
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-22-09
                                                            • 3757

                                                            #1849
                                                            I didn't touch the Dodgers and I'm glad!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dyeguy
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 07-21-09
                                                              • 94

                                                              #1850
                                                              Originally posted by arizona40
                                                              I still like the Cubs in the "C" bet today, still unsure about the Dodgers, but I have said it before, If you are here you are somewhat believer in what REV is doing so you make the bets, stay with the system and cheer on your teams. It is a long season and the good days will far outweigh the bad ones IMO.

                                                              Cheers.
                                                              There are times to stick with a system and then times when you have to see where you made a mistake or when the writing is on the wall. If I were betting on the Yankees on a C bet against Baltimore and I liked the pitching matchup I would stick with the system but I would never just followa system blindly. I've saved myself thousands of $ by laying off C bets that lost.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ramper62
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 10-26-09
                                                                • 40

                                                                #1851
                                                                Need 25 posts here.

                                                                Ok CHC & LAD.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • reverend
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 06-01-09
                                                                  • 880

                                                                  #1852
                                                                  Thursday May 6:


                                                                  Series System:

                                                                  A Bet: Twins (ML) Risking 3.15 Units to Win 1.5 Units

                                                                  C Bet: Dodgers (?) Currently down 7.95 Units on the Series


                                                                  Situational System:

                                                                  C Bet: Cubs (ML) Risking 11.2 Units to Win 6.82 Units (2 Units Profit)


                                                                  FAV System:

                                                                  A Bet: Phillies (-1 RL) Risking X Units to Win 2 Units


                                                                  *I am still undecided on the Dodgers C bet. If I do play it, it will be to either win back my losses only or possibly win back half my losses. I will try and post before gametime.
                                                                  *I really favor the Cubs today, and love the Twins series with their pitching match-ups
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • docvinny
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-21-09
                                                                    • 386

                                                                    #1853
                                                                    The dodgers game has me really worried, may fade this one
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • reverend
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                                      • 880

                                                                      #1854
                                                                      Originally posted by docvinny
                                                                      The dodgers game has me really worried, may fade this one
                                                                      I agree with you. The Dodgers are playing uninspired baseball right now, and it doesnt help when your starters give up 13 runs in the first 2 innings of the past 2 games. I saw a recent stat there the Dodgers have only been swept once in their last 47 home series. So, maybe they will fight for the win today. But as always, only risk your bankroll if you are ok with a potential loss. There will be many more quality series going forward...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Ferrarodc23
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 04-22-10
                                                                        • 43

                                                                        #1855
                                                                        Yadier AND Ludwick both out of the starting lineups for the Cards today. That makes me love Rev's Play on the Phils.
                                                                        Comment
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