Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

**mitch51** · 03-14-15, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

03.14.15 Tracking Spring Games Today (not all filters there)

MIN +115 Won
CO +110 Won
TX +110 Lost
CLE +115 Lost

Enjoy your weekend everyone!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

2-2 +.25u

18-19-4 +.35u 48.65%

Temp 96* right now and sun will be setting in couple hours then back deck time.
Enjoy your evening everyone!

Ali & Hayduke

**Cordoba25** · 03-15-15, 02:25 AM

Hey guys. So you guys are wagering on all umpire streakers this year.. Regardless of who's pitching, poor defensive teams, ballparks , etc?

Just curious as you guys knocked it out the park last season with these and I was under the impression that part of the reason was because they were being handicapped. Am I wrong here? Did you guys come to the conclusion that you left units on the table by not betting on all available streaker games?

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by Cordoba25

Hey guys. So you guys are wagering on all umpire streakers this year.. Regardless of who's pitching, poor defensive teams, ballparks , etc?

Just curious as you guys knocked it out the park last season with these and I was under the impression that part of the reason was because they were being handicapped. Am I wrong here? Did you guys come to the conclusion that you left units on the table by not betting on all available streaker games?

Hi, Cordoba25! The Umpires Streaking, we 90% took on just the umpires stats. When you have two gas cans pitching in Houston, well you probably are not going to try to sneak an under then. Everything I have read and heard, capping umpires doesn't work but we were 68% with these deep into the season. This year we'll be capping umpires to some extent, but we also have some fancy-ass expensive analytics to help all of us out this year. It's gonna be a killer year. We'll probably have more dogs than totals but their will be plenty of both. But we'll use a combination of umpires, karma, analytic computer crap, weather, pitching, etc. We filtered out an awful lot of totals, you can't take them all even if the umpire looks good. It's a war. We don't leave anything on the table. If it's a bet it's a bet and we throw down a unit.

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

Update:

2-2 +.25u

18-19-4 +.35u 48.65%

Temp 96* right now and sun will be setting in couple hours then back deck time.
Enjoy your evening everyone!

Ali & Hayduke

With only a third of our filters up and running we are still almost at 50% with the dogs in the preseason. We are just air betting, remember that. But things look promising this year so far.

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 10:03 AM

Good mornin' everyone

Another day of tracking the spring training games without all the filters.

03.15.15

DET +105
LAA +100
LAD +100
SD +100

Enjoy your beautiful morning

Ali & Hayduke

**Cordoba25** · 03-15-15, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Hi, Cordoba25! The Umpires Streaking, we 90% took on just the umpires stats. When you have two gas cans pitching in Houston, well you probably are not going to try to sneak an under then. Everything I have read and heard, capping umpires doesn't work but we were 68% with these deep into the season. This year we'll be capping umpires to some extent, but we also have some fancy-ass expensive analytics to help all of us out this year. It's gonna be a killer year. We'll probably have more dogs than totals but their will be plenty of both. But we'll use a combination of umpires, karma, analytic computer crap, weather, pitching, etc. We filtered out an awful lot of totals, you can't take them all even if the umpire looks good. It's a war. We don't leave anything on the table. If it's a bet it's a bet and we throw down a unit.

Sounds good! I had misread your original post where you talked about flat betting all plays that fit your system and misread it for the totals, assuming you were going to blind bet all the streaker games. Good to know I read that wrong. Thx for the clarification!

You guys going to stick to the same 1 unit = 2.5% BR for the season?

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 05:11 PM

We haven't decided what our unit is going to be yet. We bet one unit on the dogs to win whatever, and we bet one unit on totals whether they are a dog or fave. Since the dogs have done so well over the past three years we are thinking of possibly hitting the dogs for two units. Everyone here has to decide what to bet, but we are straight flat bettors. A game is worth betting or it isn't. We don't have any TEN UNIT SUPER LOCK BOMBS, lol. Money management is the key to what we do here.

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Another day of tracking the spring training games without all the filters.

03.15.15

DET +105 Lost
LAA +100 Lost
LAD +100 Won
SD +100 Lost

Enjoy your beautiful morning

Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

1-3 -2.00u

19-22-4 -1.65un 46.3%

Enjoy the evening wherever you might be!

Ali & Hayduke

**Bostongambler** · 03-15-15, 06:59 PM

Good luck with ur wagers this summer

**mitch51** · 03-15-15, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by Bostongambler

Good luck with ur wagers this summer

Thanks and same to you.

**mitch51** · 03-16-15, 02:09 PM

A busy morning and Hi to all,

Morning games were ruled out so here are the afternoon spring training tracking games:

03.16.15

SF +105
CLE +110
OAK +110
TX +110

Enjoy your day!

Ali & Hayduke

**grey area** · 03-16-15, 02:23 PM

Like Texas, SF not so much.
Have a good one!

**mitch51** · 03-16-15, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

A busy morning and Hi to all,

Morning games were ruled out so here are the afternoon spring training tracking games:

03.16.15

SF +105 Lost
CLE +110 Lost
OAK +110 Lost
TX +110 Lost

Enjoy your day!

Ali & Hayduke

Update: Dogs are hard to win when all the filters are not there. We were curious to see what preseason would show in tracking.

0-4 -4.00u

19-26-4 -5.65u 42.2%

Have a super evening!

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-17-15, 11:17 AM

Morning everyone

Our 3# Lit'l Lacy got groomed this morning. She's Fawn/white and a

chihuahua like Jack.

On with the tracking spring training games today:

03.17.15

MIN +120
ATL +120
HOU +115
AZ +115
SEA +100
CIN +105

Enjoying your St. Patty's Day

Ali & Hayduke

**funnyman** · 03-17-15, 06:37 PM

Great day!

**mitch51** · 03-17-15, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

On with the tracking spring training games today:

03.17.15

MIN +120 Won
ATL +120 Won
HOU +115 Won
AZ +115 Won
SEA +100 Push
CIN +105 Won

Enjoying your St. Patty's Day

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

5-0-1 +5.75u

24-26-5 +.10u 48%

A nice turnaround after yesterday. Enjoy the evening all.

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-17-15, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by funnyman

Great day!

Thanks, funnyman. It seems like you are either 5-0 with the dogs or 0-5. Not a stable way of betting, but effective. We are trying to get them to 50% here but it's tough with no filters. It'll be easier as time goes by.

**mitch51** · 03-18-15, 10:59 AM

Good morning everyone

Hope we get that rain today but will believe it when we see it.

Today's tracking spring training games (with some filters not available yet):

03.18.15

OAK +110
CHI +105
CWS +100
MIL +105

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-18-15, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Today's tracking spring training games (with some filters not available yet):

03.18.15

OAK +110 Lost
CHI +105 Won
CWS +100 Won
MIL +105 Won

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

3-1 +2.10u

27-27-5 +2.20u 50%

Nice day and enjoy your night!

Ali & Hayduke

**funnyman** · 03-18-15, 08:03 PM

Rounding into form for the regular season.Should be fun ... and profitable.

**mitch51** · 03-19-15, 10:23 AM

We're getting there, slowly but surely. Right where we wanna be right now. It's tough trying to cap dogs with no filters. Try running your car with no filters. It's like that.

**mitch51** · 03-19-15, 10:30 AM

Partly sunn

morning everyone!

Interesting tracking spring training for the first time to see what the DOGS can do.

03.19.15

BOS +100
PITS +110
SF +100
TX +100
PHI +110
CLE +110

Enjoy your day!

Ali & Hayduke

**grey area** · 03-19-15, 11:16 AM

BOL on your paper and more importantly the non paper plays.
The Utah line moved since I put in at 6.5 to 7.5 on my book

**mitch51** · 03-19-15, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by grey area

BOL on your paper and more importantly the non paper plays.
The Utah line moved since I put in at 6.5 to 7.5 on my book

Line moved before I could hit the book, I had to pass. Nice you got that line.

**grey area** · 03-19-15, 02:01 PM

Couple my guys on UCLA game and 1st half as they see this being the first upset of the tourney

**mitch51** · 03-19-15, 03:34 PM

I see the TX spring training game got cancelled.

**grey area** · 03-19-15, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

I see the TX spring training game got cancelled.

Maybe a good thing for me, was against you on that one.

**mitch51** · 03-20-15, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

Interesting tracking spring training for the first time to see what the DOGS can do.

03.19.15

BOS +100 Lost
PITS +110 Lost
SF +100 Won
TX +100 cancelled
PHI +110 Won
CLE +110 Lost

Enjoy your day!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

2-3 -.90u

29-30-5 +1.30u 49.15%

Good night...back deck time

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-20-15, 10:31 AM

Morning and sunn

here

03.20.15 Spring Training tracking games:

BAL +100
NYY +100
ATL +105
CIN +105

TGIF have fun today!

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-21-15, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

03.20.15 Spring Training tracking games:

BAL +100 Won
NYY +100 Won
ATL +105 Lost
CIN +105 Won

TGIF have fun today!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

3-1 +2.05u

32-31-5 +3.35u 50.79%

Back deck time and good night

Ali & Hayduke

**mitch51** · 03-21-15, 09:34 AM

Looks like the dogs are warming up a little. It's tough not to bet real money yet but you gotta stick with the game plan. They are up over 50%, that's always our goal.

**funnyman** · 03-21-15, 09:44 AM

Discipline is the key.

**mitch51** · 03-21-15, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by funnyman

Discipline is the key.

Exactly.

**amitaf0** · 03-21-15, 10:53 AM

new member, I will follow you this season mlb. Good luck

**mitch51** · 03-21-15, 11:06 AM

Originally posted by amitaf0

new member, I will follow you this season mlb. Good luck

Welcome aboard! I think if you follow these picks after the season starts you'll be happy at the end of the season. Gonna be some ups and downs because they are dogs but they have been very profitable for the past three years.

Love those dogs, they look like fun.