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  • jaymac82980
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 3416

    #1261
    san diego -160 3 units
    cincy -130 5 units


    love cincy tonight.
    good luck
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #1262
      Dexter,

      Thanks for yesterday's A3 play.
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #1263
        no prob wilforth....none today
        Comment
        • peterpan19
          Restricted User
          • 11-02-08
          • 3377

          #1264
          I am wondering if we could somehow backtest A3...its doing superb this year, but I dont know of a site with the last 3 games whip...only season whip in the past...
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #1265
            Originally posted by Dexter
            i think that was the first time an autobet matched with an top 5 ump %.....i would have played heavier then 5x if i wasnt running bad. whatever - i'll take it.
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #1266
              Originally posted by peterpan19
              I am wondering if we could somehow backtest A3...its doing superb this year, but I dont know of a site with the last 3 games whip...only season whip in the past...
              impossible....you need to know the bullpen era rank that day as well.

              at 16-2 now....no coincidence with this being the year of the pitcher. no way it was ever this good the last few years.
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #1267
                Originally posted by Dexter
                Thur 8/19:

                (2x) padres -150
                (2x) phillies -170
                (2x) dodgers -140
                (2x) under a's 7.5 (timmons)
                Comment
                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #1268
                  Fri 8/20:

                  (2x) cards -140
                  (2x) under rays 7.5
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #1269
                    Originally posted by jaymac82980
                    san diego -160 3 units
                    cincy -130 5 units


                    love cincy tonight.
                    good luck
                    - yeah jayplay
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #1270
                      (2x) braves -140
                      Comment
                      • jaymac82980
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 3416

                        #1271
                        thanks dex.
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #1272
                          (2x) whitesox -140
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #1273
                            no a3 today
                            Comment
                            • Wilforth
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-10-08
                              • 16309

                              #1274
                              Originally posted by Dexter
                              no a3 today



                              BTW, I also like CWS but my worry is that Jackson doesn't always enjoy good run support.
                              Comment
                              • jaymac82980
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-09
                                • 3416

                                #1275
                                mets -133 2 units
                                padres under 8 (-120) 3 units
                                braves -145 2 units

                                considering making a play on padres as a nice dog later on. just not ready to pull the trigger.
                                Comment
                                • Wilforth
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-10-08
                                  • 16309

                                  #1276
                                  Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                  mets -133 2 units
                                  padres under 8 (-120) 3 units
                                  braves -145 2 units

                                  considering making a play on padres as a nice dog later on. just not ready to pull the trigger.
                                  Not a nice idea. Padres are coming off a rare road series sweep. Whenever a team accomplishes something special, the law of averages takes effect thereafter. They'll lose their first game in Milwaukee.
                                  Comment
                                  • jaymac82980
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-09
                                    • 3416

                                    #1277
                                    it should be a close game. the +1.5 rl has too much juice for me, i just like san diego for too many reasons to expect a loss.
                                    10-1 last 11.
                                    8-3 last 10 meetings with brew crew.
                                    Slightly better numbers for Leblanc in last 3 starts, but I really cant give a pitching edge to either team since recent opponents have been sub par at best (with the exception to san fran who are capable of beating decent teams)

                                    Without giving a pitching edge i like the bats/overall play of sandiego, who are one of the most consistent teams in baseball right now, much better than that of the brewers
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #1278
                                      Originally posted by Wilforth
                                      Not a nice idea. Padres are coming off a rare road series sweep. Whenever a team accomplishes something special, the law of averages takes effect thereafter. They'll lose their first game in Milwaukee.
                                      sharp post
                                      Comment
                                      • Pauulzcappin
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-23-10
                                        • 20295

                                        #1279
                                        today Dex, I myself have a play on Brewers FF5
                                        Comment
                                        • jaymac82980
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 3416

                                          #1280
                                          picked up a nice 2 units on the early play with the braves.....

                                          adding:

                                          san diego +125 4 units LOVE IT
                                          tampa -153 2 units missed this one earlier


                                          money tonight - scotty's on fire!
                                          Comment
                                          • jaymac82980
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-08-09
                                            • 3416

                                            #1281
                                            Full card tonight. (with one more added play that i can't resist - SQUARE!)

                                            Cincy Cards +100 2 units (this play added)
                                            mets -133 2 units
                                            padres under 8 (-120) 3 units
                                            braves -145 2 units (winner)
                                            san diego +125 4 units LOVE IT
                                            tampa -153 2 units missed this one earlier
                                            Comment
                                            • miyakuza
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-03-10
                                              • 1411

                                              #1282
                                              SD is a sucker bet today.
                                              Comment
                                              • jaymac82980
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-08-09
                                                • 3416

                                                #1283
                                                Originally posted by miyakuza
                                                SD is a sucker bet today.
                                                one of mlb's most consistent teams is NEVER a sucker bet. but good luck on your posted plays.......
                                                Comment
                                                • miyakuza
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-03-10
                                                  • 1411

                                                  #1284
                                                  When they are + money on the road after just making a sweep on the road.. Im on the other side of this one buddy.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #1285
                                                    yeah jay...wilforths got me thinkin of makin a play on milw....i dont like that spot for sd
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wilforth
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 05-10-08
                                                      • 16309

                                                      #1286
                                                      Dexter,

                                                      Reds +102 look good in LA.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jaymac82980
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-08-09
                                                        • 3416

                                                        #1287
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        yeah jay...wilforths got me thinkin of makin a play on milw....i dont like that spot for sd
                                                        do what your gut tells you. He has some "sharp" observations, I'll agree. However, the pads are a solid team. I dont like to bet on the "due for a let down" thought process. I see a great team playing a crappy team and not only is there no chalk but i get plus money if the pads win. I can't pass it up. As stated before, I dont give a pitching edge to either team since they both got a good hurler on the mound today. So I ask you this, pitching aside, do you think the brewers are the better team?

                                                        good luck whatever you pick. to you and wilforth. that other joker just visits threads and tells people he doesnt like their pick, and thats it. haha.

                                                        Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                        Dexter,

                                                        Reds +102 look good in LA.

                                                        I'm all over that cincy line like mike tyson on a venereal disease! good luck there too. we can root for the reds together there. They are a shitty team that beats crappy teams, tonight should be no different.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #1288
                                                          Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                          do what your gut tells you. He has some "sharp" observations, I'll agree. However, the pads are a solid team. I dont like to bet on the "due for a let down" thought process. I see a great team playing a crappy team and not only is there no chalk but i get plus money if the pads win. I can't pass it up. As stated before, I dont give a pitching edge to either team since they both got a good hurler on the mound today. So I ask you this, pitching aside, do you think the brewers are the better team?

                                                          good luck whatever you pick. to you and wilforth. that other joker just visits threads and tells people he doesnt like their pick, and thats it. haha.




                                                          I'm all over that cincy line like mike tyson on a venereal disease! good luck there too. we can root for the reds together there. They are a shitty team that beats crappy teams, tonight should be no different.
                                                          its a 162 game season - of course the brewers arent the better team, but it just seems like a good spot for a letdown, and im a big letdown guy as most know.

                                                          i should have pounded oak last night with the cross country trip, and big series win over tex...i missed that play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jaymac82980
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-08-09
                                                            • 3416

                                                            #1289
                                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                                            its a 162 game season - of course the brewers arent the better team, but it just seems like a good spot for a letdown, and im a big letdown guy as most know.

                                                            i should have pounded oak last night with the cross country trip, and big series win over tex...i missed that play
                                                            Don't sell yourself short buddy, you havent let me down. you're good enough...smart enough...and dog gone it, people like you!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dexter
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-24-08
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #1290
                                                              Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                              Dexter,

                                                              Reds +102 look good in LA.
                                                              i could never make a play on a pitcher off such a long layoff - unless you have info that hes been sharp on the side and is ready to throw 100 pitches.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-23-10
                                                                • 20295

                                                                #1291
                                                                I think Cincinnati is a better play tomorrow.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dexter
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                                  Don't sell yourself short buddy, you havent let me down. you're good enough...smart enough...and dog gone it, people like you!
                                                                  people like me in cyberspace??? yesssssss!!!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    (1x) under yankees 8 (gibson)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jaymac82980
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-08-09
                                                                      • 3416

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Originally posted by Dexter
                                                                      i could never make a play on a pitcher off such a long layoff - unless you have info that hes been sharp on the side and is ready to throw 100 pitches.
                                                                      Bailey pitched 6 innings against florida on aug 15 and only gave up 3 hits with no runs. I'm sure he'll get some run support from his team that shouldnt have too tough a time putting together some runs off of Monasterios who has a 6.43 era in his last 3 (14 innings total) and none of those picking up a win for himself. (lets try to forget that those games were against superior teams - one being san diego... OOPS!)

                                                                      Anyways, I heard Carlos was out in Jersey last weekend hanging with some chick that calls herself, "Snooki", and word on the street is he has had trouble focusing on his pitching while waiting for the pending results from something he is calling, "the cotton swab on discomfort".

                                                                      Cincy sound good now?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dexter
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                                        • 25829

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        oh...missed that aug start.

                                                                        haha....no
                                                                        Comment
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