2010 MLB Plays

[No coincidences]

fantasy baseball - love it.

my leagues are a $300 and $200 buy in. most we could win is like $2k per season.

derrick lee and aram are killing me. have them in both my fantasy leagues.

Seems like you have a lot more control in that arena vs. this one, but again, that's just me. My costs are similar, DEX.

[Dexter]

I think football and basketball are much easier, and they aren't easy.

I've been burned by more fluke crap in baseball than I was the rest of the year combined -- and it's only June. Bigger sample size, I know, but the problem is you never know which relief pitcher is going to be asleep in the bullpen when his number is called so that he can trot out and cough up a lead with goo in his eye and alcohol on his breath from the night before.

not sure what kind of data you use when you cap - but def look at this each day before you make a play.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable_team_stats.jsp?c_id=mlb&baseballScope=mlb&statType=2&sitSplit=grp&timeSubFrame=2010&groupByTeam=true&Submit=Submit&timeFrame=1

[Dexter]

Seems like you have a lot more control in that arena vs. this one, but again, that's just me. My costs are similar, DEX.

are you calling me a degen gambler??!!!

[shoebox]

heres where ill be Sunday

[No coincidences]

heres where ill be Sunday

Have fun, shoe! Sounds (and looks) outstanding).



You're not bringing the iPad, are you?

[No coincidences]

not sure what kind of data you use when you cap - but def look at this each day before you make a play.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable_te...it&timeFrame=1

Thanks. I use these, among others. Think I overanalyze, frankly.

[shoebox]

Have fun, shoe! Sounds (and looks) outstanding).



You're not bringing the iPad, are you?

Im getting the fukk away, no phone, no laptop, no ipad

[No coincidences]

Im getting the fukk away, no phone, no laptop, no ipad

Good for you.

Enjoy it.

[Dexter]

yeah, im trying to book a trip to bermuda with my gf but have been trying to get an original birth certificate for over a month. faxing photo id constantly, on hold today for 45min. pain in the ass. all to then order a passport. at this rate i'll be on vaca by next feb

[Dexter]

Yo Goat Milk - i got my 3rd ticket mailed to me the other day since the new car. they got me on camera for blowing a red light?!

im down 4.5x in tickets since the new maxima

[Dexter]

ok - no gf tonight. time to cap for sat

[shoebox]

yeah, im trying to book a trip to bermuda with my gf but have been trying to get an original birth certificate for over a month. faxing photo id constantly, on hold today for 45min. pain in the ass. all to then order a passport. at this rate i'll be on vaca by next feb

[Dexter]

holy shit clay buccholz with a CG/SO 40point win!

[shoebox]

Yo Goat Milk - i got my 3rd ticket mailed to me the other day since the new car. they got me on camera for blowing a red light?!

im down 4.5x in tickets since the new maxima

never pay em its BS, I have got 5 red lights and havent paid one. A company admins them not the city They have 90 days to serve you or it gets thrown out

[Dexter]

2 more runs for the over giants needed. cmon welke - widen that hitter friendly zone even more.

[Dexter]

never pay em its BS, I have got 5 red lights and havent paid one. A company admins them not the city They have 90 days to serve you or it gets thrown out

thats only $50

speeding ticket = $200 (court date coming)

parked in a bus top - ??? i ripped it up and threw it at the meter maid thats at least $150 here in BK.

[Dexter]

thank you juan uribe

[Dexter]

Jim Wolf is now 10-1 on the under...

Tim Welke 9-2 on the over

[lakerboy]

dex are you basing all your plays on umpires nowadays?

[Dexter]

under angels would have been an ump trend play for me, but wasnt around to play. davidson 9-2 on the under. lets see

[Dexter]

dex are you basing all your plays on umpires nowadays?

nope - just a piece of the puzzle..

the 3 autobets dont even factor them at all, though i will create an autobet next year when i figure something out.

but if i have an autobet that also has an ump trend, i will likely go 4-5x

notice last night i capped under phillies and played for 3x, then tonight when i noticed wolf behind the plate i added more..

[Dexter]

Sat 6/5:

(4x) under tigers 9 (A3) - play the under when both pitchers have a whip of 1.00 or < in their last 3 games. both pitchers last 3 games have to be within the last 30 days. neither of the 2 bullpens can be ranked 26th - 30th in era.

[Dexter]

(2x) yankees -120 - backing pettitte and the yanks off a loss. pettitte has an era of 3.20 in his last 5 starts in toronto (yanks 4-1) and has a whip of 1.15 in his last 3 starts. romero has a 1.38 whip last 3 and got rocked for 5er in 4ip at home last year to the yankees in a loss.

[Dexter]

(2x) redsox -1.5/-120 - bostons bats are on fire right now and they send lester to the bump on sat. he has a filthy .91 whip in his last 3 vs guthries 1.44. in his last 5 visits to balt, lester has an era of 2.61 (bos 4-1) while guthrie has a 4.50 era in his last 5 home starts vs bos.

[Dexter]

Belmont Park ~ Saturday 6/5

$20 Win/$20 Place Bets on all races except for best bets** which are $40/$40 and
$100/$100 on the Belmont Stakes****
____________________________________

Race 1: #4 Seis de Mayo (6/5)

Race 2: #2 Tapaline (9/5)

Race 3: #9 Mr. Ryder (6/1)

Race 4: #6 Zio Tony (4/1)

Race 5: #2 Manhattan Fox (3/1)**

Race 6: #3 Discreetly Mine (5/2)

Race 7: #3 Phola (3/1)

Race 8: #3 Bribon (3/1)

Race 9: #6 Amen Hallelujah (9/2)

Race 10: #1 Gio Ponti (2/1)**

Race 11: #6 Ice Box (3/1)****

Race 12: #8 Brads My Hero (6/1)

Race 13: #8 Quick Money (5/2)**

[Dexter]

(2x) dodgers -130

[No coincidences]

[Dexter]

that under tigers was a sweat in the 8th.

i could not believe that total opened at 9 last night. the only weak link in the equation was the kc bullpen.

[lakerboy]

I didnt know your a big horse guy.

[Dexter]

I didnt know your a big horse guy.

i just play the big events now a few times per year. just throwing money away in that sport (including today)

i used to play every day - no more.

i do love saratoga though and may play that whole meet. thats the one meet i seem to always do ok.

[broadway6]

nice Detroit under bet...wish i had saw that post...would have followed

[Dexter]

nice Detroit under bet...wish i had saw that post...would have followed

thx

[Dexter]

Sun 6/6:

(1x) over reds 9 (a. hernandez hitting the over at 75%)

(2x) rockies -1.5/-130

(1x) under yankees 9.5 (b. dreckman hitting the under at 80%)

(1x) under mariners 8 (t. timmons hitting the under at 75%)

(3x) over redsox (A2) - play the over when both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3 games. both pitchers last 3 games have to be within the last 30 days. neither of the 2 bullpens can be ranked 1-5 in era.

*waiting for a better total then 9.5

[shoebox]

get em dex!

[8ArIvd5]

Dam, Dexter. I got the Yanks over parlayed with Col rL. Now I'm not as sure as i was. BOL.