on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day System

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/17/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 5 * 33.34
(B) 6 * 33.34
(C)

REGULAR FOR 05/17/2025

(B) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 3.34U
(B) San Diego -180 to win 3.34U

Filtered

(B) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 3.34U

5/2

(A) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 5U

[skyscrapers]

Gotta say, this system requires a lot of perseverance and self-control because it is frustratingly painful to watch these heavy favorite teams not winning...sometimes not even close.

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/18/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 8 * 46.15
(B)
(C) 6 * 46.15

REGULAR FOR 05/18/2025

(C) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 4.62U
(C) San Diego -138 to win 4.62U

Filtered

(C) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 4.62U

5/2

(B) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 7.95U

[loutrigs]

[QUOTE=grecycle99;n29875331]UPDATED for 05/18/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 8 * 46.15
(B)
(C) 6 * 46.15

REGULAR FOR 05/18/2025

(C) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 4.62U
(C) San Diego -136 to win 4.62U

Filtered

(C) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 4.62U

5/2

(B) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 7.95U[/

QUOTE]


Best system in the world guys lost 60 thousand

[daneault23]

Wow the Dodgers have really been terrible lately. Padres not much better. Man what a tough day. Let's work our way out of this hole soon.

[skyscrapers]

Sucks to have taken a big hit today but the system seems to be solid over the last several years. I went back and gathered the final season numbers for all to easily see.

All systems:
2024: (288-12) +240.99u
2023: (336-32) +46.65u
2022: (279-32) -337.53u
2021: (356-24) +114.72u
2020: (123-7) +115.09u
2019: (453-22) +390.13u
2018: (330-31) +207.67u
Total: (2,165-160) +777.72u

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/19/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 65-4; Profit: 8.49 units
Filtered System: 14-1; Profit: 3.91 units
5/2 chase: 6-1; profit: 8.82 units

Total (3 systems) : 85-6; Profit: 21.22 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U, LA Dodgers -12.63U, San Diego -15.89U, Filtered System : LA Dodgers -12.63U, 5/2 Chase : LA Dodgers -15.18U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 43-26; 8-7; 4-3
Game 2 (B) win = 15-11; 4-3; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 7-4; 2-1

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 18 * 55.45
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 05/19/2025

(A) LA Dodgers -155 to win 5.55U
(A) Minnesota -147 to win 5.55U
(A) St Louis -159 to win 5.55U

Filtered

(A) LA Dodgers -155 to win 5.55U

5/2

No Play

[daneault23]

Edited since Dodgers ML came back down to the -130's from -140's. I was going to say they could be a Regular A and Filtered A tonight.

Minnesota is also very close to a play vs Cleveland at -144.

[stevenash]

It pains me to even type this out, but the Dodgers are getting close to a play tonight vs Dbacks. At -143 right now. If it is a play, it would also be a Filtered A play since the total is 10.

I see plenty of value the other way with the Snakes @+140 (give or take, depending on where you shop)
Here's why.

Dave Roberts is scrambling for pitching with two starters on the IL.

Landon Knack, the Dodgers 'opener' tonight is a spot starter/long reliever RHP who can't get right swinging hitters out, and Arizona *crushes* RHP, especially Carrol, Marte, Suarez, and Josh Naylor.
Even Arizona's nine hitter, SS Perdomo hits RHP well.
I don't see Knack getting through four innings tonight.

Arizona's starter, Brandon Pfaadt (6-3 3.73) which aren't that bad numbers considering he pitches in a division that rakes like crazy, especially the Dodgers and the Padres.

This more than likely will be a bullpen game, the Dodgers lead the majors in bullpen usage, in 47 games, they've used 174 relievers (about 3.5 relievers per game) they're already worn down.
LA's starters as a unit only average 4.6 innings pitched, the least in the majors.

I'm on Arizona 1* +140
Problem with fading LA is Ohtani, Mookie, and Freeman are scary, but so are the Arizona sticks.
This one should go at least 3 1/2 hours; there will be pitching changes and a lot of baserunners.
I got Arizona winning 7-4, something like that.

[daneault23]

I see plenty of value the other way with the Snakes @+140 (give or take, depending on where you shop)
Here's why.

Dave Roberts is scrambling for pitching with two starters on the IL.

Landon Knack, the Dodgers 'opener' tonight is a spot starter/long reliever RHP who can't get right swinging hitters out, and Arizona *crushes* RHP, especially Carrol, Marte, Suarez, and Josh Naylor.
Even Arizona's nine hitter, SS Perdomo hits RHP well.
I don't see Knack getting through four innings tonight.

Arizona's starter, Brandon Pfaadt (6-3 3.73) which aren't that bad numbers considering he pitches in a division that rakes like crazy, especially the Dodgers and the Padres.

This more than likely will be a bullpen game, the Dodgers lead the majors in bullpen usage, in 47 games, they've used 174 relievers (about 3.5 relievers per game) they're already worn down.
LA's starters as a unit only average 4.6 innings pitched, the least in the majors.

I'm on Arizona 1* +140
Problem with fading LA is Ohtani, Mookie, and Freeman are scary, but so are the Arizona sticks.
This one should go at least 3 1/2 hours; there will be pitching changes and a lot of baserunners.
I got Arizona winning 7-4, something like that.

Can't disagree with any of that. I know this thread is about the system, and not so much about the matchups, but agree that the Dodgers are probably overvalued given all the issues they've been having lately.

[daneault23]

FYI in case anyone cares, it looks like Minny ended around -147 so I believe it should be a Regular A play. Game just started.

[grecycle99]

FYI in case anyone cares, it looks like Minny ended around -147 so I believe it should be a Regular A play. Game just started.

Yes it was added earlier thanks

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/20/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 65-4; Profit: 8.49 units
Filtered System: 14-1; Profit: 3.91 units
5/2 chase: 6-1; profit: 8.82 units

Total (3 systems) : 85-6; Profit: 21.22 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U, LA Dodgers -12.63U, San Diego -15.89U, Filtered System : LA Dodgers -12.63U, 5/2 Chase : LA Dodgers -15.18U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 43-26; 8-7; 4-3
Game 2 (B) win = 15-11; 4-3; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 7-4; 2-1

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 18 * 68.41
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 05/20/2025

(A) NY Yankees RL -100 to win 6.85U
(B) LA Dodgers RL -115 to win 6.85U
(A) Minnesota PPD to win 5.55U

Filtered

(A) NY Yankees RL -100 to win 6.85U
(B) LA Dodgers RL -115 to win 6.85U

5/2

(A) LA Dodgers RL -115 to win 5U

[skyscrapers]

My bet for Minny was refunded because the game was suspended yesterday but there's no way to bet the continuation of the suspended game today. Hoping I'll have the option to bet it live later.

[daneault23]

My bet for Minny was refunded because the game was suspended yesterday but there's no way to bet the continuation of the suspended game today. Hoping I'll have the option to bet it live later.

Same with me. With them resuming the game tomorrow up 2-1 I may sit this one out because I'd get worse odds than pregame, unless Cleveland goes ahead quickly after the game resumes.

[skyscrapers]

Same with me. With them resuming the game tomorrow up 2-1 I may sit this one out because I'd get worse odds than pregame, unless Cleveland goes ahead quickly after the game resumes.

I guess we won't have to worry about this series anymore. Both the suspended game and the originally scheduled game today is postponed. The suspended game will be played tomorrow with the originally scheduled Wed game but the Tues game will be played in September. So it ended up to be a 2-game series if it even happens at all!!

[stevenash]

Good work in here.

[daneault23]

Here we go again with those Dodgers and C bets. Feel bad for the Dodgers SP. He pitched a great game and didn't get the W. I actually haven't played the Dodgers series yet. Debating on if I want to jump in for tomorrow's bet.