on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day System

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/17/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 5 * 33.34
(B) 6 * 33.34
(C)

REGULAR FOR 05/17/2025

(B) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 3.34U
(B) San Diego -180 to win 3.34U

Filtered

(B) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 3.34U

5/2

(A) LA Dodgers RL -119 to win 5U

[skyscrapers]

Gotta say, this system requires a lot of perseverance and self-control because it is frustratingly painful to watch these heavy favorite teams not winning...sometimes not even close.

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/18/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 8 * 46.15
(B)
(C) 6 * 46.15

REGULAR FOR 05/18/2025

(C) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 4.62U
(C) San Diego -138 to win 4.62U

Filtered

(C) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 4.62U

5/2

(B) LA Dodgers RL -116 to win 7.95U

[loutrigs]

[QUOTE=grecycle99;n29875331]UPDATED for 05/18/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 61-2; Profit: 28.80 units
Filtered System: 13-0; Profit: 12.39 units
5/2 chase: 6-0; profit: 24 units

Total (3 systems) : 80-2; Profit: 65.19 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 39-24; 7-6; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-9; 4-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 8 * 46.15
(B)
(C) 6 * 46.15

REGULAR FOR 05/18/2025

(C) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 4.62U
(C) San Diego -136 to win 4.62U

Filtered

(C) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 4.62U

5/2

(B) LA Dodgers RL -118 to win 7.95U[/

QUOTE]


Best system in the world guys lost 60 thousand

[daneault23]

Wow the Dodgers have really been terrible lately. Padres not much better. Man what a tough day. Let's work our way out of this hole soon.

[skyscrapers]

Sucks to have taken a big hit today but the system seems to be solid over the last several years. I went back and gathered the final season numbers for all to easily see.

All systems:
2024: (288-12) +240.99u
2023: (336-32) +46.65u
2022: (279-32) -337.53u
2021: (356-24) +114.72u
2020: (123-7) +115.09u
2019: (453-22) +390.13u
2018: (330-31) +207.67u
Total: (2,165-160) +777.72u

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 05/19/2025

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 65-4; Profit: 8.49 units
Filtered System: 14-1; Profit: 3.91 units
5/2 chase: 6-1; profit: 8.82 units

Total (3 systems) : 85-6; Profit: 21.22 unit (Series chase lost : Regular : Tampa Bay -18.22U, Detroit -5.12U, LA Dodgers -12.63U, San Diego -15.89U, Filtered System : LA Dodgers -12.63U, 5/2 Chase : LA Dodgers -15.18U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 43-26; 8-7; 4-3
Game 2 (B) win = 15-11; 4-3; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 7-4; 2-1

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 18 * 55.45
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 05/19/2025

(A) LA Dodgers -145 to win 5.55U
(A) Minnesota -147 to win 5.55U
(A) St Louis -159 to win 5.55U

Filtered

(A) LA Dodgers -145 to win 5.55U

5/2

No Play

[daneault23]

Edited since Dodgers ML came back down to the -130's from -140's. I was going to say they could be a Regular A and Filtered A tonight.

Minnesota is also very close to a play vs Cleveland at -144.

[stevenash]

It pains me to even type this out, but the Dodgers are getting close to a play tonight vs Dbacks. At -143 right now. If it is a play, it would also be a Filtered A play since the total is 10.

I see plenty of value the other way with the Snakes @+140 (give or take, depending on where you shop)
Here's why.

Dave Roberts is scrambling for pitching with two starters on the IL.

Landon Knack, the Dodgers 'opener' tonight is a spot starter/long reliever RHP who can't get right swinging hitters out, and Arizona *crushes* RHP, especially Carrol, Marte, Suarez, and Josh Naylor.
Even Arizona's nine hitter, SS Perdomo hits RHP well.
I don't see Knack getting through four innings tonight.

Arizona's starter, Brandon Pfaadt (6-3 3.73) which aren't that bad numbers considering he pitches in a division that rakes like crazy, especially the Dodgers and the Padres.

This more than likely will be a bullpen game, the Dodgers lead the majors in bullpen usage, in 47 games, they've used 174 relievers (about 3.5 relievers per game) they're already worn down.
LA's starters as a unit only average 4.6 innings pitched, the least in the majors.

I'm on Arizona 1* +140
Problem with fading LA is Ohtani, Mookie, and Freeman are scary, but so are the Arizona sticks.
This one should go at least 3 1/2 hours; there will be pitching changes and a lot of baserunners.
I got Arizona winning 7-4, something like that.

[daneault23]

I see plenty of value the other way with the Snakes @+140 (give or take, depending on where you shop)
Here's why.

Dave Roberts is scrambling for pitching with two starters on the IL.

Landon Knack, the Dodgers 'opener' tonight is a spot starter/long reliever RHP who can't get right swinging hitters out, and Arizona *crushes* RHP, especially Carrol, Marte, Suarez, and Josh Naylor.
Even Arizona's nine hitter, SS Perdomo hits RHP well.
I don't see Knack getting through four innings tonight.

Arizona's starter, Brandon Pfaadt (6-3 3.73) which aren't that bad numbers considering he pitches in a division that rakes like crazy, especially the Dodgers and the Padres.

This more than likely will be a bullpen game, the Dodgers lead the majors in bullpen usage, in 47 games, they've used 174 relievers (about 3.5 relievers per game) they're already worn down.
LA's starters as a unit only average 4.6 innings pitched, the least in the majors.

I'm on Arizona 1* +140
Problem with fading LA is Ohtani, Mookie, and Freeman are scary, but so are the Arizona sticks.
This one should go at least 3 1/2 hours; there will be pitching changes and a lot of baserunners.
I got Arizona winning 7-4, something like that.

Can't disagree with any of that. I know this thread is about the system, and not so much about the matchups, but agree that the Dodgers are probably overvalued given all the issues they've been having lately.

[daneault23]

FYI in case anyone cares, it looks like Minny ended around -147 so I believe it should be a Regular A play. Game just started.

[grecycle99]

FYI in case anyone cares, it looks like Minny ended around -147 so I believe it should be a Regular A play. Game just started.

Yes it was added earlier thanks