No Rainouts Here

[TodaysAction]

7:10pm, TAM -196 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

[danrman]

i've hit my skid for this year.. 1 for last 10.. time to fade me.. my picks to fade tonight:
minn
philly
cleve
balt
wash

[JR007]

Good luck tonight

[danrman]

increased my bet on the phillies

[TodaysAction]

9:40pm, AZ, +104 b

to those on this team and wager.

[JR007]

Under just got pounded in the Cincy game

[todd24kb]

Tailing you on the Rays game, but I took the RL instead. I don't like the -196 juice. Good luck to us, TA

[TodaysAction]

Meh, guess we are on different sides today, TA.

Best of luck on your wager and I hope we are on the same page tonight.

Congrats on cashing.

TA,

What's up bud. Please talk me out of putting down 10 units on the Padres tonight bud. Game looks so good right now.

San Diego ML 5 units - San Diego RL - 5 units
Reds 10 units
Cleveland Indians risking 3 units.

BOL to us all.... big money no whammies.

My the & be with you tonight.

No blast at you LDK, but I can identify personally. I personally have done some pretty silly stuff with posts and professionally while under the influence. There is a legendary e-mail at work 4 years ago that is still brought up to this day. It's one of the reasons I don't drink anymore. 1 year since my last drink today.

Congrats on getting the first year. Hope year two goes as smooth for you.

[TodaysAction]

i've hit my skid for this year.. 1 for last 10.. time to fade me.. my picks to fade tonight:
minn
philly
cleve
balt
wash

danrman, it will pass. Everyone has streaks (bad and good), keep doing what has been working for you.

Good luck tonight

Thank you and to you as well.

increased my bet on the phillies

Under just got pounded in the Cincy game

Sorry.

Tailing you on the Rays game, but I took the RL instead. I don't like the -196 juice. Good luck to us, TA

with

[Pauulzcappin]

Thanks TA, got some plays going on now. Reds, Blue Jays, Darth Vader and Rangers RL

[TheLemonDropKid]

Wow! What an incredible group of guys on this thread. Thank you for the supportive comments regarding me showing my ass. You guys are the best.


Now let's see if I can down this whole bottle of Jack before 10pm EST.

[dvb02]

Wow! What an incredible group of guys on this thread. Thank you for the supportive comments regarding me showing my ass. You guys are the best. Now let's see if I can down this whole bottle of Jack before 10pm EST.

[todd24kb]

Now let's see if I can down this whole bottle of Jack before 10pm EST.

You're hardcore. My liver wouldn't be able to handle it. But be safe and don't bet irrationally (like me) when I'm buzzed .

[timmyboy34243]

on the d'backs as well tonight TA...

[JR007]

Here are the few teams still showing extreme (more than a 10-game differential) tendencies right now:
St. Louis 30-49 to the Under
The Cards are much more of a "pitching and defense" team than the market seems to realize. They're 11 games toward the Under at home, and 8 on the road, so this Under tendency is showing up everywhere. They do play at home in a pitcher's park, which may account for the slight differential there. Slugger Matt Holliday was in a prolonged slump too, which kept the team from lighting up the scoreboard no matter how good Albert Pujols was. I really like this pitching staff, and will look Under when the aces are on the mound.
Washington 32-49 to the Under:
Most of this is at home this year, where the Nationals have struggled to score but have posted great pitching numbers. The new ballpark was supposed to be better for pitchers than the old confines. This season it hasn't been, making Livan Hernandez look like Juan Marichal! The weather has warmed up in DC recently, but that hasn't helped scoring. Given the paucity of offensive weapons on this team, I'll keep looking Under until the pitcher's get tired.
Chicago Cubs 32-47 to the Under
It's funny, games have flown Over at Wrigley Field when the wind has been blowing out. So, the Cubbies are an EXTREME Under team when not playing in those conditions. The offense has just reeked this season, with all the high priced guys performing way below expectations. The pitching rotation is a good one, even with Carlos Zambrano keeping himself out of the mix with bad conditioning and bad behavior. You've seen some very low scores in Wrigley this week when the wind was blowing in. Oddsmakers have been slow to react here because the Cubs always seem to have a reputation of "all hit-no pitch" no matter what's actually happening on the field.
Arizona 48-31 to the Over
Only one team is extreme to the Over this year, and that's the Diamondbacks. They play in a high scoring home park, and have a disappointing pitching staff that gives up runs everywhere. They just fired the manager and GM because their team-building has left a lot to be desired lately. This is a team that's befuddled oddsmakers for a few years now. The guys behind the line always rank them as a contender, then the D-backs limp to a 70-win season and everyone wonders what happened. Maybe the new braintrust will have more success. I've learned over the years that teams often change their tendencies after a managerial switch...so I'll be watching the D-backs closely this weekend. THRU 7/3

[danrman]

im loading up on seattle so i strongly advise taking the yankees

[todd24kb]

im loading up on seattle so i strongly advise taking the yankees

Are you saying you're on a cold streak? I just took Yankees -160 live in-running bet.

[Gee]

Great call on Zona! i parlayed them with the o/9.5. looking very good after only 4.

also have Yanks under/7.5. dodgers o/7 and yanks/dodgers in a parlay!

[jolmscheid]

Hey ta. Do you place your bets to win that amount or risk that amount. And also what percent of bankroll do you use for one unit. We should never place more than 5% on any one game right. Thanks and look forwars to your reply

[smcc716]

Hey ta. Do you place your bets to win that amount or risk that amount. And also what percent of bankroll do you use for one unit. We should never place more than 5% on any one game right. Thanks and look forwars to your reply

Bets to win the amount on the favorites and bets that amount for dogs!

[TodaysAction]

Just bring this post forward (from page 7):

Future Tickets From 03.08.10
1411, CLE or DET win AL Central, +170,
-------------------------------------------
1461, STL win NL Central, -135,
------------------------------------------
1472, CO win NL West,
-----------------------------------------
2017, CO over 84' wins,
-------------------------------------------
2019, DET over 81' wins,

[dvb02]

another great job TA!

[TodaysAction]

Bringing this one forward as well (from page 24, post #805 dated 04.04.10):

Here is something new for this year's thread.

While I don't believe in giving a projected order of finish, I believe it is reasonable to list potential playoff teams and track their progress during the season. This post will be revisited at the All-Star break and/or trading deadline with fine tuning as needed.
Teams are listed in alphabetical order.

2010 Playoff Quality Teams
ALE: BOS, NYY, TAM
ALC: CWS, DET, MN
ALW: LAA, TX
NLE: ATL, PHI
NLC: CUBS, STL
NLW: CO, LAD, SF

[dodger33]

Can you do anything wrong Terry?? Keep up the green!

[TodaysAction]

Hey ta. Do you place your bets to win that amount or risk that amount. And also what percent of bankroll do you use for one unit. We should never place more than 5% on any one game right. Thanks and look forwars to your reply

Dogs risk, favs played to win. 1 unit = $100 USD. I list what I have in play, if it goes over 5% it goes over.

[TodaysAction]

Here are the few teams still showing extreme (more than a 10-game differential) tendencies right now:
St. Louis 30-49 to the Under
The Cards are much more of a "pitching and defense" team than the market seems to realize. They're 11 games toward the Under at home, and 8 on the road, so this Under tendency is showing up everywhere. They do play at home in a pitcher's park, which may account for the slight differential there. Slugger Matt Holliday was in a prolonged slump too, which kept the team from lighting up the scoreboard no matter how good Albert Pujols was. I really like this pitching staff, and will look Under when the aces are on the mound.
Washington 32-49 to the Under:
Most of this is at home this year, where the Nationals have struggled to score but have posted great pitching numbers. The new ballpark was supposed to be better for pitchers than the old confines. This season it hasn't been, making Livan Hernandez look like Juan Marichal! The weather has warmed up in DC recently, but that hasn't helped scoring. Given the paucity of offensive weapons on this team, I'll keep looking Under until the pitcher's get tired.
Chicago Cubs 32-47 to the Under
It's funny, games have flown Over at Wrigley Field when the wind has been blowing out. So, the Cubbies are an EXTREME Under team when not playing in those conditions. The offense has just reeked this season, with all the high priced guys performing way below expectations. The pitching rotation is a good one, even with Carlos Zambrano keeping himself out of the mix with bad conditioning and bad behavior. You've seen some very low scores in Wrigley this week when the wind was blowing in. Oddsmakers have been slow to react here because the Cubs always seem to have a reputation of "all hit-no pitch" no matter what's actually happening on the field.
Arizona 48-31 to the Over
Only one team is extreme to the Over this year, and that's the Diamondbacks. They play in a high scoring home park, and have a disappointing pitching staff that gives up runs everywhere. They just fired the manager and GM because their team-building has left a lot to be desired lately. This is a team that's befuddled oddsmakers for a few years now. The guys behind the line always rank them as a contender, then the D-backs limp to a 70-win season and everyone wonders what happened. Maybe the new braintrust will have more success. I've learned over the years that teams often change their tendencies after a managerial switch...so I'll be watching the D-backs closely this weekend. THRU 7/3

Real nice season trending JR007 post. I know it's a lot of work, but have you done this with the other teams and would you be willing to updating this information or e-mail it to me, so I can run a set of my numbers with this to see if we can find some free-money? If not, it's not a problem nor an issue.

[TodaysAction]

Can you do anything wrong Terry?? Keep up the green!

Good evening dodger33,

Wanted to make certain, you received response from me, if not I'll resend it before logging off. Yes, like everyone else. Here's one, the long irons have been making it a habit of not staying on the fairway this season - when in previous years they were straight as an arrow. Oh well, still shoot 45-50 no matter the course. Thank you and nice new avatar, very timely.

[TodaysAction]

Thursday's log rolled out 2 cashers and 1 burner adding 2.04 units to the accounts.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Congrats to those who cashed.
Condolences to those who didn't.
Evening games Friday.
Siggy will be updated shortly.

[TodaysAction]

July Challenge Log

• 1st: 1-5-0, 16.67%, -6.82 units, 1-5-0, 16.67%, -6.82 units
• 2nd: 5-2-1, 71.43%, +10.76 units, 6-7-1, 46.15%, +3.94 units
• 3rd: 4-0-0, 100.00%, +14.00 units, 10-7-1, 58.82%, +17.94 units
• 4th: 2-0-0, 100.00%, +3.20 units, 12-7-1, 63.16%, +21.14 units
• 5th: 1-0-0, 100.00%, +4.00 units, 13-7-1, 65%, +25.14 units
• 6th: 3-0-0, 100.00%, +3.00 units, 16-7-1, 69.57%, +28.14 units
• 7th: 1-1-0, 50.00%, -0.02 units, 17-8-1, 68.00%, +28.12 units
• 8th: 2-1-0, 66.67%, +2.04 units, 19-9-1, 67.86%, +30.16 units
  

[Pauulzcappin]

Good job, TA

[danrman]

Are you saying you're on a cold streak? I just took Yankees -160 live in-running bet.

absolutely.. each season i will go stone cold for a couple weeks... i havent had the bad streak until about the middle of this week and then yesterday it was obvious it had arrived.. i had a couple of wins today but in general it was a losing day... tried to get some back w/ seattle but it was typical of what happens when your in a bad streak... they had scored 1 run but w/ men on 2nd and 3rd and no one out, they couldnt score and of course playing the yankees its going to come back to haunt you... w/ 1st base open they pitched to former mariner a-rod and im sure you know what happened...
fri. im limiting myself to 1 game that i pick... if you want to fade my 1 pick.. im picking st. louis.. so play houston.. we all go through bad spells.. i've been really fortunate mine didnt hit till this week.. i almost made it to the all-star break.. when i was younger it used to make me mad.. but really its just inevitable if you play w/ numbers.. the toughest thing is cutting back and not chasing.. if you find that you are a chaser, then you might not have the right makeup for a gambler long term... cheers~~

[Pauulzcappin]

Don't lay all that chalk on the road, especially against Bud Norris the Card's killer.

[dodger33]

Good evening dodger33, Wanted to make certain, you received response from me, if not I'll resend it before logging off. Yes, like everyone else. Here's one, the long irons have been making it a habit of not staying on the fairway this season - when in previous years they were straight as an arrow. Oh well, still shoot 45-50 no matter the course. Thank you and nice new avatar, very timely.

I did i am sorry. I shouldn't even be on here right now but its so hard to stay away. Thank you for sharing your story, I am going to send another email tomorrow. I have a really big test tomorrow and I have been spending every free second away from work studying.

[sweethook]

very nice sir, in the $$

[Full Time Hobo]

Nice day for you
Keep up the good work TA