How do you NOT take Cliff Lee +145?

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  • stats13
    SBR MVP
    • 06-29-09
    • 1687

    #1
    How do you NOT take Cliff Lee +145?
    I mean, the guy is pitching lights out right now. How do you not take him,against anyone, anywhere, at +145?
  • 311
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-26-09
    • 265

    #2
    you have to.. but i wouldnt take it huge. yankees lineup is unreal.
    Comment
    • Vesuvius
      SBR MVP
      • 02-19-08
      • 3886

      #3
      "How do you NOT take Cliff Lee +145?"

      You take the Yankees with HorseBathia.
      Comment
      • stats13
        SBR MVP
        • 06-29-09
        • 1687

        #4
        i get that CC is awesome too. its just cliff lee is posting insane pitching numbers right now, he's pratically unhittable. this game should be closer to -110 either way imo.
        Comment
        • htfdc102
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-19-08
          • 18

          #5
          lee is something like 4-4 with a 5.04 era career vs nyy he won't be fooling them they have seen him many times, same goes for pedro thats why these lines are so high phils are way out matched here.
          Comment
          • KGambler
            SBR MVP
            • 07-09-09
            • 2404

            #6
            Originally posted by stats13
            i get that CC is awesome too. its just cliff lee is posting insane pitching numbers right now, he's pratically unhittable. this game should be closer to -110 either way imo.
            The part you are missing is that the NL is an inferior league. You are comparing apples to oranges.

            Did you see what Sabathia did in the NL?
            Comment
            • stats13
              SBR MVP
              • 06-29-09
              • 1687

              #7
              oh c'mon, hte al isn't that much better
              Comment
              • KGambler
                SBR MVP
                • 07-09-09
                • 2404

                #8
                Originally posted by stats13
                oh c'mon, hte al isn't that much better

                Yes it is.

                The AL had a bit of an "off" year in interleague play this year. They "only" went 137-114, which is the same winning percentage as an 88 win team.

                Do you compare 88 win teams with 74 win teams and say "it's close"?


                Year/Win-Loss/Win Pct/Season win equivalent

                2005 136-116 .540 87
                2006 154-98 .611 99!!!!
                2007 137-115 .544 88
                2008 149-103 .591 96!!!!
                2009 137-114 .546 88

                In baseball, these kinds of records indicate complete domination.

                And I ask you again, did you see what Sabathia did in the NL? Did you see what (insert name of any decent former AL pitcher) did when he switched leagues?

                1. Sabathia is better than Lee, and it's not close
                2. the AL East is tougher than the NL East and it's not close
                3. the AL is tougher than the NL and it's not close
                4. the 103 win Yankees are a better team than the 93 win Phillies and it's not close
                5. the Yankees are home for this game

                People who are not understanding the series and game one lines don't seem to realize points 1-4. This series is a relative mismatch. That's not to say the Phillies can't win. It's a seven game series, so anything can happen. I don't see value on the Phillies at these odds though.

                The line for Game 1 looks right on to me. Wait until you see the line for Game 2!
                Comment
                • jcygts6
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 3316

                  #9
                  yea yankees will win easily
                  DO WORK + KROW OD
                  do work! do work! do work! do work!
                  od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                  Comment
                  • BigWoolyMammoth
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-19-09
                    • 521

                    #10
                    i love the yankees here.
                    any time you can get cc in the -100's grab it by the horns and dry hump it into submission!
                    yankees 9-2.
                    Shit my bravos knocked Lee out in the 4th last time they played, I think the yankees can hit em. Lets not over think this one, the yankees are a strong play here. -490 to make $300. lets go yankees!!
                    "The music business is a cruel and shallow money trench, a long plastic hallway where thieves and pimps run free, and good men die like dogs. There's also a negative side". RIP Hunter S Thompson
                    Comment
                    • AceofSP2107
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-28-09
                      • 717

                      #11
                      phillies win 5-2
                      Comment
                      • ZBOIZ
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 06-22-08
                        • 21464

                        #12
                        Take the yankees!!!!

                        Lang is on the phillies
                        Comment
                        • JayC
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 10-06-09
                          • 59

                          #13
                          Small bet on phillies ML
                          Comment
                          • rickbo528
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-22-08
                            • 1842

                            #14
                            Nothing about this is gonna be easy for the Yankees. Yes they should be favored but if you look at it honestly besides A-Rod who on the Yanks is really swinging a hot bat right now. Texiara at times looks lost right now. Other than the 10-1 blowout the Angels really hung in there and actually outplayed them at times. I think the Phillies are actually hitting better right now. I watched every inning of all the games so far and if was a pitcher what middle 4 of a lineup is more dangerous for me. Utley,Howard,Werth & Ibanez or Texiara, A-Rod, Matsui & Posada. I know how this sounds but if Philly gets anything from Rollins & Victorino the Yanks are in real trouble. Just my 2 cents worth.
                            Comment
                            • Bruno87
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-21-08
                              • 150

                              #15
                              I like yankees today too...
                              Comment
                              • stats13
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-29-09
                                • 1687

                                #16
                                put it this way. i got a small bet on philly tonight +145. i couldnt see laying odds on the yanks tonight. either no play or phils, imo
                                Comment
                                • mp5070
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-13-08
                                  • 5446

                                  #17
                                  GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!....GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!......GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                                  Yeah.
                                  Comment
                                  • Mikail
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-19-09
                                    • 21689

                                    #18
                                    Phillies ML
                                    Comment
                                    • cubswin
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-28-09
                                      • 918

                                      #19
                                      Im on the Phils game 1
                                      Comment
                                      • Brakon00
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 10-27-09
                                        • 1536

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Mikail
                                        Phillies ML
                                        Comment
                                        • oopfish
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-22-07
                                          • 381

                                          #21
                                          Phils Phils+165
                                          Comment
                                          • brock
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-07-08
                                            • 8250

                                            #22
                                            Got to take the + for some action.
                                            Comment
                                            • pokernut9999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-07
                                              • 12757

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by KGambler
                                              The part you are missing is that the NL is an inferior league. You are comparing apples to oranges.

                                              Did you see what Sabathia did in the NL?


                                              Lee was 22-3 with a 2.52 ERA last year in the AL

                                              This year his ERA in the AL was 3.14 which would have been the 4th best in the AL
                                              Comment
                                              • unde0087
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-27-08
                                                • 28952

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by stats13
                                                I mean, the guy is pitching lights out right now. How do you not take him,against anyone, anywhere, at +145?
                                                because.........

                                                1) Sabathia has been just as impressive
                                                2) Yanks lineup is the best in baseball
                                                3) Yanks bullpen has the best closer in baseball
                                                Comment
                                                • ringemup
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-24-08
                                                  • 2112

                                                  #25
                                                  This one is a tougher call than it looks. based on the yankees play of late it looks like this game would favor the yankees. but if anything ill call for a play on the phillies
                                                  here with a guy who won the AL Cy Young a year ago in C. Lee and although sabathia has been tough and yankees have the home field n they have yet to lose a game at home in the postseason, baseball is a dynamic game n theres a good chance
                                                  they lose their first one here. looking at the pitching matchups early in the series game 1 is critical for the phillies to grab because none of the other matchups favor the phillies. for a hot-hitting team like the phillies having the extra DH in the lineup could bolster their offense even more. being the defending WS champs i look for the phillies to open sum eyes with a close win here. Go with the Phils here n GL.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MJFtheGenius
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-31-07
                                                    • 7257

                                                    #26
                                                    lol bc there gona lose??
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KingCrimson21
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 216

                                                      #27
                                                      Go Phillies.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stats13
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-29-09
                                                        • 1687

                                                        #28
                                                        i so wanna bump this thread but dont want to jinx it

                                                        oops
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ZBOIZ
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-22-08
                                                          • 21464

                                                          #29
                                                          Looking good stats
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mikail
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-19-09
                                                            • 21689

                                                            #30
                                                            Cliff Lee does it again!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pimike
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-23-08
                                                              • 37139

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Mikail
                                                              Cliff Lee does it again!
                                                              Hat a true Pro, he had no jitters at all calm cool and collect
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheQ
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 10-03-09
                                                                • 91

                                                                #32
                                                                cliff f'n lee
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stats13
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-29-09
                                                                  • 1687

                                                                  #33
                                                                  megavalue cashes. if you bet the yanks tonight, yous a sucka fool, no ifs ands or buts about it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stats13
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-29-09
                                                                    • 1687

                                                                    #34
                                                                    seriously where did all the haters go?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mikail
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-19-09
                                                                      • 21689

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by stats13
                                                                      seriously where did all the haters go?
                                                                      They are licking their wounds and pouting!
                                                                      Comment
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