Mlb 5518

kingdom · 08-26-18, 12:11 PM

8/25 Results:

SEA (W) .76u
OAK (W) .65u
CLE (L) -3u
PHI (L) -2u

Current Record: 75-8 (+12.36)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u)

kingdom · 08-26-18, 12:13 PM

8/26
ATL -178 1.2u
BOS +114 2u
PHI -115 3.6u
CLE -225 4u
ARI -164 1.2u

kingdom · 08-27-18, 02:53 PM

8/26 Results:

ATL (W) .67u
PHI (W)
ARI (W) .73u
BOS (L) -2u
CLE (L) -2.2u

Current Record: 77-9 (+11.56u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u)

kingdom · 08-27-18, 02:58 PM

8/27

PHI +105 1u
COL -140 1u
ARI -170 1u

SAX27 · 08-27-18, 03:43 PM

Hey, trying to understand your YTD record, are the 9 losses your big plays that lost? Everything else is a 1 unit play?

Thanks....SAX

kingdom · 08-27-18, 04:14 PM

just like any other chase, the series losses are the L's. And the amount of units loss are the teams listed next to Loss. this is a chase system. So the W is a chase won and the L is a series loss.

kingdom · 08-27-18, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by kingdom

I have always been intrigued by the potential success of abc chase systems. I have also been concerned about the size of losses eliminating potential profit. So i have been experimenting with winning mlb teams and the expectation they will win more often than not over a series of games.

Criteria is teams winning .550 or better on the season and having lost 2 of last 3 games. With many of these teams being large favorites, the design is not always to win a full unit to minimize any potential loss. RL plays will be an option and situation dependent based on line value. There will be variables in place to again minimize potential losses. Every bet will not be designed to win a unit, but remain positive overall. Plays are unit risked. Not to win.

The amount risk is often line dependent. The idea is to win positive units. There is no one unit standard. Just an attempt to be positive in each chase and if not positive, to minimize the loss. Cleveland is an example. There wasn't a risk to win all 4 units loss in one game. They are a qualifying play and can recoup the -2.2 unit loss.

kingdom · 08-28-18, 02:47 PM

8/27 Results:

PHI (L) -1u
ARI (L) -1u
COL (L) -1u

Current Record: 77-9 (+11.56u)

kingdom · 08-28-18, 02:52 PM

8/28

PHI -160 RL 2u
CLE -110 RL 2u
BOS -130 RL 2u
ATL -125 1u
COL -130 2u
ARI -104 1u -210 RL 1u

kingdom · 08-29-18, 02:55 PM

8/28 Results:

PHI (W) .25u
CLE (W) 1.82u
COL (W) .54u
ATL (W) .8u
BOS (L) -2u
ARI (L) .52u

Current Record: 81-9 (+14.97u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u)

kingdom · 08-29-18, 02:59 PM

8/29

SEA -108 1u
BOS -155 RL 3.2u
MIL +120 RL 1u
CLE -171 1.2u
ARI -117 3u

kingdom · 08-30-18, 09:10 AM

8/29 Results:

ARI (W) 1.04u
MIL (L) -1u
CLE (L) -1.2u
SEA (L) -1u
BOS (L) -1.94u (Series Loss)

Current Record: 82-10 (+14.07u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 08-30-18, 09:19 AM

Just over a month in and +14 units which is beyond my expectation. Houston injuries hurt a bit and i mishandled the first Houston series loss and didn''t minimize the L. I assumed i would need a 10/1 ratio to stay above water but glad to see 8/1 has been holding ok. It's a lot of work and a lot of action, which is cool. Hope it stays consistent and looking forward to a full season next year.

kingdom · 08-30-18, 09:26 AM

8/30

MIL -128 2u
CLE -110 RL 2u
NYY -150 RL 1.5u
BOS -197 2u
OAK -133 1u
SEA -170 RL 1u
ARI -170 RL 1u
COL -140 1u

kingdom · 08-31-18, 01:31 PM

8/30 Results:

ARI (W) .59u
BOS (W) 1.02u
CLE (W) .60u
MIL (W) .56u
SEA (W) -.41
COL (L) -1u
OAK (L) -1u
NYY (L) -1.5u

Current Record 86-10 (+16.43u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 08-31-18, 01:41 PM

8/30
ATL -124 1u
NYY -160 RL 2.5u
HOU +110 RL 1u
SEA -170 RL 1u
OAK -135 1.5u
COL -117 2u

kingdom · 09-01-18, 02:35 PM

8/30 Results:

NYY (W) .06
OAK (W) .11
ATL (L) -1u
HOU (L) -1u
SEA (L) -1u
COL (L) -2u

Current Record: 88-10 (+16.6u)

kingdom · 09-01-18, 02:40 PM

9/1

NYY -340 2u
CHC -137 1u
ATL -135 2u
HOU -175 2u
COL +115 RL 3u
SEA -117 2u
OAK -150 RL 1u

kingdom · 09-02-18, 11:34 AM

Awesome day and sweep. 5 of the 7 were come from behind wins including COL to win a c bet on RL and Oak to make a RL comeback, but Sea still getting the W in a b bet. all worked out. We rolling.

kingdom · 09-02-18, 11:45 AM

9/1 Results:

NYY (W) .59u
SEA (W) .30u
COL (W) .45u
ATL (W) .48u
HOU (W) .14u
CHC (W) .73u
OAK (W) .67u

Current Record 95-10 (+19.96u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-02-18, 11:55 AM

9/2

OAK -130 .5u
ARI +161 1u
COL -142 .5u
ATL -142 1u
HOU -180 1u

kingdom · 09-03-18, 11:51 AM

9/2 Results:

OAK (W) .38u
COL (W) .35u
ATL (W) .70u
HOU (W) .56u
ARI (L) -1u

Current Record: 99-10 (+21.95u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-03-18, 11:54 AM

9/3

STL +171 1u
BOS -121 1u
CLE -185 1u
ARI -245 2u
SEA +100 RL 1u

kingdom · 09-04-18, 08:02 AM

9/3 Results:

BOS (W) .83u
STL (L) -1u
CLE (L) -1u
ARI (L) -2u
SEA (L) -1u

Current Record: 100-10 (+22.78u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-04-18, 01:26 PM

9/4

STL +105 2u
CLE -115 RL 2u
ARI +125 RL 3u
NYY -118 1u
SEA +105 RL 2u

kingdom · 09-05-18, 08:11 AM

9/4 Results:

STL (W) 1.1u
CLE (W) .74u
ARI (W) .75u
NYY (W) .85u
SEA(L) -2u

Current Record: 104-10 (+26.22u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-05-18, 08:20 AM

9/5

ATL -165 RL 1u
CLE -330 2u

Early games. More to come when i figure out later plays.

kingdom · 09-05-18, 04:21 PM

9/5

STL +108 1u
CHC -200 RL 1u
NYY -160 1u
SEA -110 RL 3.5u

kingdom · 09-06-18, 10:27 AM

9/5 Results:

STL (W) 1.08
CHC (W) .5u
SEA (W) .18u
ATL (W) .61u
CLE (W) .61u
NYY (L) -1u

Current Record: 109-10 (29.20u) AKA Red Hot

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-06-18, 10:40 AM

9/7

ATL +152 1u
ARI +140 1u

kingdom · 09-07-18, 08:19 AM

9/6 Results:

ATL (W) 1.52u
ARI (L) -1u

Current Record: 110-10 (+30.72u)

kingdom · 09-07-18, 08:27 AM

28 Series wins in a row (+16.65u) and that's just since 8/30. Seems like in September these teams are playing hard for the wins and these plays are reaping the benefits. Hope things hold up with call ups during this month. The action has been pretty awesome and fun.

kingdom · 09-07-18, 11:16 AM

9/7

LAD -140 1u
ATL -150 RL 1u
ARI +140 RL 1u
NYY -210 RL 2.1u

kingdom · 09-08-18, 09:07 AM

9/7 Results:

LAD (W) .71u
ARI (W) .40u
NYY (W)
ATL (L) -1u

Current Record: 112-10 (+31.83u)

Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

kingdom · 09-08-18, 09:19 AM

9/8

ATL +117 1u -175 RL 1u
NYY -112 .5u
SEA -150 RL 1u