MLB - Saturday, 6/30/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Saturday, 6/30/18
    2 MLB Sides Saturday

    Braves +134 (Heritage)
    Rangers -113 (Heritage)


    YTD: 237-247-13, +12.16
  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #2
    Great season, LT, keep it going, pal.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      5 MLB Plays Saturday

      5 MLB Plays Saturday

      Tigers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)
      Nationals / Phillies UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
      Braves +134 (Heritage)
      Rangers -113 (Heritage)
      Giants / Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
      Comment
      • RavensFan2k3
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-18-12
        • 17378

        #4
        How do you rate the two pitchers in the Tigers blue jays game?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
          How do you rate the two pitchers in the Tigers blue jays game?
          Close, Gaviglio right at average, Boyd very slightly below average by about 3%. Key to Under is poor Detroit offensive split, about 10% below average on road vs. righties.
          Comment
          • RavensFan2k3
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-18-12
            • 17378

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            Close, Gaviglio right at average, Boyd very slightly below average by about 3%. Key to Under is poor Detroit offensive split, about 10% below average on road vs. righties.
            I’m guessing with the 10% below average offensive split with Detroit you dont see value with Detroit?
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
              I’m guessing with the 10% below average offensive split with Detroit you dont see value with Detroit?
              No, line seems about right. I get Jays 62% (-163)
              Comment
              • rookieclapper
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-21-17
                • 129

                #8
                Liking the jays game under as well LT. The weather in Toronto is blistering hot right now, let’s get the drinks ready 🍻
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by rookieclapper
                  The weather in Toronto is blistering hot right now
                  Not the best news for the Under if roof is open but I am siding with my numbers.
                  Comment
                  • 44 Mag
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-14-13
                    • 34490

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    5 MLB Plays Saturday

                    Tigers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)
                    Nationals / Phillies UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
                    Braves +134 (Heritage)
                    Rangers -113 (Heritage)
                    Giants / Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
                    What, no under in the Cubs game, I am shocked......
                    Comment
                    • 44 Mag
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-14-13
                      • 34490

                      #11
                      Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs
                      Sat 6/30 979 Minnesota Twins A Mejia - L +1½ -150+2½ -240-1½ +200-2½ +305+1 -111 +132 Listed o11 +105o10½ -120o11½ +130o10 -140o12 +155 o5 +105 u5 -125
                      2:20PM 980 Chicago Cubs T Chatwood - R -1½ +130-2½ +200+1½ -240+2½ -365-1 -109 -142 Listed u11 -125u10½ +100u11½ -150u10 +120u12 -175 o5½ -105 u5½ -115
                      Comment
                      • 44 Mag
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-14-13
                        • 34490

                        #12
                        Under 10 1/2 +100. Less wind than yesterday.......
                        Comment
                        • snider
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-25-17
                          • 309

                          #13
                          What’s the percentage on sea/kc, LT? Thanks
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by snider
                            What’s the percentage on sea/kc, LT? Thanks
                            Seattle 67% (-203)
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 44 Mag
                              What, no under in the Cubs game, I am shocked......
                              What are you talking about? I didn't have the Under yesterday either and I even commented on BIGDAY's thread that it is tough to play an Under at Wrigley when wind is blowing out. I had Twins side,and I think statement you are thinking of is I thought Berrios would be less affected by the wind because of his low hard-contact rate and high strikeout rate.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                1 MLB Addition

                                6 MLB Plays Saturday

                                Tigers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)
                                Nationals / Phillies UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
                                Braves +134 (Heritage)
                                Rangers -113 (Heritage)
                                Giants / Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
                                Padres -120 (Heritage)
                                Comment
                                • snider
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-25-17
                                  • 309

                                  #17
                                  Wouldn’t ya say Wrigley is the only park that wind really matters?
                                  Comment
                                  • cjpenn3
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 04-09-18
                                    • 33

                                    #18
                                    What do you have for the astros/Ray's? Might be a lot to lay with Houston but verlander has been on fire forever now
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by snider
                                      Wouldn’t ya say Wrigley is the only park that wind really matters?
                                      I would not say "only" but I would say it is where it matters the MOST.
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by cjpenn3
                                        What do you have for the astros/Ray's? Might be a lot to lay with Houston but verlander has been on fire forever now
                                        Lean Rays but not enough.

                                        Houston 59% (-144)

                                        My line is based on Stanek-Andriese
                                        Comment
                                        • 44 Mag
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 10-14-13
                                          • 34490

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          What are you talking about? I didn't have the Under yesterday either and I even commented on BIGDAY's thread that it is tough to play an Under at Wrigley when wind is blowing out. I had Twins side,and I think statement you are thinking of is I thought Berrios would be less affected by the wind because of his low hard-contact rate and high strikeout rate.
                                          Yes he is flyball pitcher with groundball rate of only 39.8%, BUT that gets offset by 31.7% hard contact rate and 9.52 Ks per 9.

                                          What the hell does this mean from yesterday???????

                                          This was after I specifically mentioned the wind straight to left at 14 mph. Then you made several references in the other thread?????
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                            Yes he is flyball pitcher with groundball rate of only 39.8%, BUT that gets offset by 31.7% hard contact rate and 9.52 Ks per 9.

                                            What the hell does this mean from yesterday???????

                                            This was after I specifically mentioned the wind straight to left at 14 mph. Then you made several references in the other thread?????
                                            Right, so what exactly is the issue? I never said I liked the Under and I even said Under was basically unplayable with wind blowing out. Quote you referenced was my reason for supporting Twins, because I felt Berrios would be less affected by the wind that other pitchers.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by snider
                                              Wouldn’t ya say Wrigley is the only park that wind really matters?
                                              I miss the days when rangers stadium had that “wind tunnel” effect when the wind blew in hard from right. Think it had more effect then even in wrigley but then those pricks did something to block the wind and ruined a good thing.
                                              Comment
                                              • snider
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-25-17
                                                • 309

                                                #24
                                                44 that quote precedes your talk about straight winds
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by snider
                                                  Wouldn’t ya say Wrigley is the only park that wind really matters?
                                                  Absolutely not. Matters in any park that doesn't have a roof. Wind can easily make a difference of +/- 5% in a number of parks.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    I would not say "only" but I would say it is where it matters the MOST.
                                                    Bingo
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 44 Mag
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 10-14-13
                                                      • 34490

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      Right, so what exactly is the issue? I never said I liked the Under and I even said Under was basically unplayable with wind blowing out. Quote you referenced was my reason for supporting Twins, because I felt Berrios would be less affected by the wind that other pitchers.
                                                      Your the Best !!!!! Thanks again Boss.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • winnersbyjuan
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 06-29-18
                                                        • 142

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by cjpenn3
                                                        What do you have for the astros/Ray's? Might be a lot to lay with Houston but verlander has been on fire forever now
                                                        I went with them. That didn't work out. LoL.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          Always good information in this thread keep up the excellent work all involved
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by winnersbyjuan
                                                            I went with them. That didn't work out. LoL.
                                                            Man, tampons just too tough a out to be against them laying huge prices. Not saying you should always bet them but there no way id fade them laying -150 or more.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Blackballer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-12-14
                                                              • 1117

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                              2 MLB Sides Saturday

                                                              Braves +134 (Heritage)
                                                              Rangers -113 (Heritage)


                                                              YTD: 237-247-13, +12.16
                                                              In Colon we trust!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                Man, tampons just too tough a out to be against them laying huge prices. Not saying you should always bet them but there no way id fade them laying -150 or more.
                                                                Kevin Cash for Manager of the Year! They are doing it with two legit starters right now and they will at least temporarily go back to three Bullpen Days per rotation with Font landing on DL and Andriese again delegated to "second" pitcher.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                  Kevin Cash for Manager of the Year! They are doing it with two legit starters right now and they will at least temporarily go back to three Bullpen Days per rotation with Font landing on DL and Andriese again delegated to "second" pitcher.
                                                                  No doubt, nobody is doing more with less than that guy. I’d kill for cards to have a manager with half his brain!! Lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cjpenn3
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 04-09-18
                                                                    • 33

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    Man, tampons just too tough a out to be against them laying huge prices. Not saying you should always bet them but there no way id fade them laying -150 or more.
                                                                    Ya I went against them tonight. Wasnt expecting the Detroit version of Verlander tonight. That Ray's team has been grinding out wins.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      No doubt, nobody is doing more with less than that guy. I’d kill for cards to have a manager with half his brain!! Lol
                                                                      Learned his stuff in a great organization...
                                                                      Comment
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