MLB - Friday, 6/29/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Friday, 6/29/18
    1 MLB Side Friday

    Twins +109 (Heritage)


    YTD: 235-245-13, +12.26
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    4 MLB Plays Friday

    4 MLB Plays Friday

    Twins +109 (Heritage)
    Mets / Marlins OVER 7 -110 (Heritage)
    Astros / Rays UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
    Braves / Cardinals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Comment
    • KDF500
      SBR MVP
      • 02-05-13
      • 2465

      #3
      Lengthy game the night before for Minni means little LT?
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by KDF500
        Lengthy game the night before for Minni means little LT?
        Although I am not 100% sure Twins adhere to this, it is normally custom for next day's starting pitcher to travel ahead if new series starts next day. so Berrios should be rested enough and he is key to this play.
        Comment
        • Blackballer
          SBR MVP
          • 07-12-14
          • 1117

          #5
          Berrios had a dominant start his last time out by striking out 12. Cubs though want to take the momentum from their win and 7run 7th inning against the Dodgers into today's home opening stretch. Montgomery actually pitched well lately but struggled in his last outing against a streaky Reds team by allowing 4 runs over 6inn. Montgomery though not a typical starter, converted from the bullpen after the Darvish injury. Cubs' bats could get hot again from here on but Berrios is a tough opponent to face, pitching edge on Minny but offense I think in favor of Cubies. Though game to call though have to say

          Open line -115 Cubs, slightly drifted to -120 Cubs. I think the money should come in on Cubs when you consider Chicago's performance against the LAD and Minnesota playing extra innings (at least I expect the public to bet this way)
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by Blackballer
            Berrios had a dominant start his last time out by striking out 12. Cubs though want to take the momentum from their win and 7run 7th inning against the Dodgers into today's home opening stretch. Montgomery actually pitched well lately but struggled in his last outing against a streaky Reds team by allowing 4 runs over 6inn. Montgomery though not a typical starter, converted from the bullpen after the Darvish injury. Cubs' bats could get hot again from here on but Berrios is a tough opponent to face, pitching edge on Minny but offense I think in favor of Cubies. Though game to call though have to say

            Open line -115 Cubs, slightly drifted to -120 Cubs. I think the money should come in on Cubs when you consider Chicago's performance against the LAD and Minnesota playing extra innings (at least I expect the public to bet this way)
            Twins huge pitching advantage makes them auto-play for me at any + odds. I have Twins FAVORED 52% (-108).
            Comment
            • juicername
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-14-15
              • 6906

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              Although I am not 100% sure Twins adhere to this, it is normally custom for next day's starting pitcher to travel ahead if new series starts next day. so Berrios should be rested enough and he is key to this play.
              Shouldn't be much of a travel for the whole team since they've been in Chicago already playing White Sox .
              Cubs on the other hand flying in from LA.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by juicername
                Shouldn't be much of a travel for the whole team since they've been in Chicago already playing White Sox .
                Cubs on the other hand flying in from LA.
                Let me rephrase then, Berrios was in hotel long before Twins game ended.
                Comment
                • juicername
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-14-15
                  • 6906

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  Let me rephrase then, Berrios was in hotel long before Twins game ended.
                  Just meant that Berrios should be rested anyhow, and the long travel could very well affect Cubbies.
                  Only worry is a worn out pen after yesterday's game and Berrios subpar numbers on the road.
                  Comment
                  • snider
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-25-17
                    • 309

                    #10
                    Total is 9.5.. what is berrios gb:fb? Guess you consider wrigley neutralizing your pitcher if he’s extreme fb.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by snider
                      Total is 9.5.. what is berrios gb:fb? Guess you consider wrigley neutralizing your pitcher if he’s extreme fb.
                      Yes he is flyball pitcher with groundball rate of only 39.8%, BUT that gets offset by 31.7% hard contact rate and 9.52 Ks per 9.
                      Comment
                      • krk1030
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-08
                        • 17610

                        #12
                        505 game....who comes up with these start times.
                        Comment
                        • 44 Mag
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-14-13
                          • 34490

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Yes he is flyball pitcher with groundball rate of only 39.8%, BUT that gets offset by 31.7% hard contact rate and 9.52 Ks per 9.
                          Fly ball pitcher today, wind blowing out to left at 14 MPH??? Always risky at Wrigley. Just my opinion.....


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                          Comment
                          • 44 Mag
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-14-13
                            • 34490

                            #14
                            Originally posted by krk1030
                            505 game....who comes up with these start times.
                            It's 4:05 CDT for them.


                            The 5:05 is EDT.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              people after work

                              use your head
                              Comment
                              • cjpenn3
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 04-09-18
                                • 33

                                #16
                                What do you show the red Sox at?
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                  Fly ball pitcher today, wind blowing out to left at 14 MPH??? Always risky at Wrigley. Just my opinion.....


                                  http://www.dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
                                  As long as most of it is not hard contact (true to his numbers), should be OK.
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cjpenn3
                                    What do you show the red Sox at?
                                    Yankees 55% (-122)
                                    Comment
                                    • 44 Mag
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 10-14-13
                                      • 34490

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      As long as most of it is not hard contact (true to his numbers), should be OK.
                                      Thanks Boss!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Mike Huntertz
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 11207

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by krk1030
                                        505 game....who comes up with these start times.
                                        The bean counters are experimenting.... trying very hard to make sure you eat at the park.

                                        Hence a lot of week day games are being played an hour earlier.

                                        No time to go home after work, have dinner and head to the game.
                                        Comment
                                        • Chupoche
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 01-13-18
                                          • 77

                                          #21
                                          COP in mets game
                                          Comment
                                          • stackz125
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-03-16
                                            • 6191

                                            #22
                                            Detriot is a winner. Add it to the list.
                                            Comment
                                            • Blackballer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-12-14
                                              • 1117

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              Twins huge pitching advantage makes them auto-play for me at any + odds. I have Twins FAVORED 52% (-108).
                                              First inning, Montgomery seems to have some control issues early on in 1st inn not a good sign. He usually is a groundball hitter, wind blows out at 12mph straight to center field, he better keep it low today otherwise Twins can cause some damage, they have 2-3 hitters in their line-up who that they can constantly hit for extra bases.
                                              Comment
                                              • 44 Mag
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-14-13
                                                • 34490

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Blackballer
                                                First inning, Montgomery seems to have some control issues early on in 1st inn not a good sign. He usually is a groundball hitter, wind blows out at 12mph straight to center field, he better keep it low today otherwise Twins can cause some damage, they have 2-3 hitters in their line-up who that they can constantly hit for extra bases.
                                                Boom!!!! Homer to left, barely, wind ????? LOL. Joe Mauer..............
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                                  Boom!!!! Homer to left, barely, wind ????? LOL. Joe Mauer..............
                                                  As long as the Twins are the team taking advantage, no complaints here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    1 Last MLB Addition

                                                    5 MLB Plays Friday

                                                    Twins +109 (Heritage)
                                                    Mets / Marlins OVER 7 -110 (Heritage)
                                                    Astros / Rays UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
                                                    Rangers -144 (Heritage)
                                                    Braves / Cardinals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cjpenn3
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 04-09-18
                                                      • 33

                                                      #27
                                                      What do you have the nats at tonight?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by cjpenn3
                                                        What do you have the nats at tonight?
                                                        Phls 54% (-117)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 44 Mag
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 10-14-13
                                                          • 34490

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits

                                                          Yes he is flyball pitcher with groundball rate of only 39.8%, BUT that gets offset by 31.7% hard contact rate and 9.52 Ks per 9.
                                                          Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                                          Fly ball pitcher today, wind blowing out to left at 14 MPH??? Always risky at Wrigley. Just my opinion.....


                                                          http://www.dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
                                                          <br>
                                                          <br>
                                                          Two Homers barely made the wall, Wind...............................Maybe ....................
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cankid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-08
                                                            • 7220

                                                            #30
                                                            Hope day treats you well LT
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              No play on Miami Over due to pitching change.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dirtycash66
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-13-12
                                                                • 2958

                                                                #32
                                                                good call on that rangers game...didnt have to sweat that
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cjpenn3
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 04-09-18
                                                                  • 33

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Like anything in the late games?
                                                                  Comment
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