Mr. Crumbs Leans for Wednesday 6/17/09

[showtime2000]

Hoya, plays for me tonight,

Tor/Phil over 10.5
Toronto
TB (CK)


GLA

[Panekkkk]

I really wanna lay it on Philly. Richmond is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA while giving up 32 hits in 30 innings over his last 7. The Jays have won only once in the last 7 games that Richmond has pitched.

Moyer meanwhile is fairing quite nicely his last three starts: 0 walks in his last 19 innings.

Also of note, 3 pitchers lost today:

Jays today lost Halladay DL
Jannsen DL
and Scott Downs (closer) DL


Huge blow to confidence, not to mention that the Jays are now without a closer. Who's gonna close, BJ?

I'll probably hold off but there is no way that the Jays are stealing the first two on the road from last year's MLB champs. Especially after an extra-innings loss, Philly will storm back unless Richmond pitches a gem.

Update: Jays already on the board lol. What do I know!?

[Dexter]

copied over from tue...

Wed-

under cubs (Autobet - 2x) A5 *only if dempster/floyd
angels +1.5/-140(Autobet) A2
braves -150 (2x) - vazquez has a 1.77/.68 in his last 3 - owings a 4.24/1.58
nationals +1.5/+100 (Autobet) A1
tigers -130 (4x) - jackson has a 1.23/.77 in his last 3 - wellemeyer a 7.00/1.50

[Dexter]

I'm on:

DET -120


Should have booked them last night because the number has moved on me this morning. Oh well, only lost about 6 cents.

I'm reeeeeaaallly tempted to take the Nats tonight too. Gonna show some restraint though and lay off. I like the Rays too, but again I'm going to hold off of that one. Cook has been good lately. I'm just gonna stick with this one play today.

GL all!

good eye....i played this one HEAVY!

[jellobiafra]

Dex, I hope you're right on ATL tonight. Just don't be surprised if Owings throws a 4 hitter or something ridiculous like that. He just always seems to step it up vs ATL.

[Jimbo42]

Added:

KC Royals -1.5 +140

GL

[maddogmadden86]

whats good everyone! i'm rolling with the Rays and D. Price also looking for a prop bet for the over on how many walks he will throw lol, also rolling with CK and taking the Doders RL CK knows his A's and kuroda at home is good enough for me

[peterpan19]

hell was-nyy and vir-ark...noone can score in 3 innings

[Dexter]

Micah Owings (2) 3 run shot to right off Vazquez, Hairston, Hanigan scored.



you warned me jello - what a joke

[jellobiafra]

Sorry Dex. The guy is Babe Ruth pitching and hitting vs. the Braves. Unreal.

[forloveofthegame]

yes he is...took the reverse run line on it +260 first time i've done this hoping it cashes!

[jellobiafra]

From Wiki:


Owings was having an uneventful season in the major leagues in 2007, until his return to the state of Georgia to face the Atlanta Braves on August 18, 2007. In front of more than 48,000 fans, he pitched 7.0 innings, allowing three hits and three earned runs, striking out seven. However, it was his batting performance that made it a career night. Owings went 4 for 5 at the plate, including two home runs, scoring four times, and knocking in six runs.[4] He is the first pitcher with four hits, four runs and six RBI in the same game. The last pitcher in the Major Leagues to record four hits and four runs was Danny Jackson in 1988. Owings' 11 total bases are the most by a pitcher in the last 50 seasons.

[baa269]

damn TB... 0-4 in 4th Col up. comeon...

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Hey.. Is it official yet that Zach Greinke isn't that good anymore?

[Dexter]

Hey.. Is it official yet that Zach Greinke isn't that good anymore?

wow - some people expect perfection for 33 starts of the season.

if you dont think zack greinke is any good, well....no comment.

heres his line tonight:

6ip
6hits
2er
9k's/2 bb's

he sucks

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

wow - some people expect perfection for 33 starts of the season.

if you dont think zack greinke is any good, well....no comment.

heres his line tonight:

6ip
6hits
2er
9k's/2 bb's

he sucks

He obviously hasn't been as good as his start of the season. Thats just fact.

Anyways.. Did the Rays just get robbed of a HR? I'm watching the gamecast and looks as so..

[Dexter]

Thur-

over mets - berken has a 8.59/1.70in his last 3, and i simply dont trust livan in camden yards.
redsox (RL - Autobet -3x) A3
under dbacks (Autobet - 3x) A5

[Dexter]

He obviously hasn't been as good as his start of the season. Thats just fact.

Anyways.. Did the Rays just get robbed of a HR? I'm watching the gamecast and looks as so..

of course - johan santana has also regressed after his awesome start. it happens to most all pitchers at some point during the season. greinke has proven that he is a legit ace. hes flown under the radar in kc, but go take a look at his career numbers as a starter. his only bad year was his second season when most pitchers do regress for whatever reason - plus he was dealing with emotional issues then took the next season off.

point being - dont write him off. use this mini slump to potentially find some better value on him in the right spot.

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

I need one of the Rays or Stros to come back and win to stay alive tonight.

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

of course - johan santana has also regressed after his awesome start. it happens to most all pitchers at some point during the season. greinke has proven that he is a legit ace. hes flown under the radar in kc, but go take a look at his career numbers as a starter. his only bad year was his second season when most pitchers do regress for whatever reason - plus he was dealing with emotional issues then took the next season off.

point being - dont write him off. use this mini slump to potentially find some better value on him in the right spot.

Okay. For the record I never said he sucked.

[shoebox]

If the bucs cash tonite I might just play them BIG the rest of the season......got a pretty good feel for this club...

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Dodgers leave the bases loaded in the first. 1-0 A's still.

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Michael Bourn.. smh. First he bunts into a fielders choice then gets caught stealing second.. Of course Keppinger promptly sends a single into center field.. Bottom 9 now..

[Jimbo42]

I am in the middle of a rough run this week....ugh...
I have been tearing it up since first week in May and it has all gone south this week... Using my same systems and capping same way...aargh...

[Panekkkk]

Why the f%#k did MIL leave McClung in to finish the 9th instead of bringing in Hoffman... Then they bring Hoffman in after 3 batters get on... I swear if they blow a 4-run lead...

[Panekkkk]

Sigh..................

Un****ingbelievable.

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Why the f%#k did MIL leave McClung in to finish the 9th instead of bringing in Hoffman... They bring him in after 3 batters get on... I swear if they blow a 4-run lead...

Amazing isn't it?

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

I swear one play of mine starts go wrong EVERY play starts go wrong. The Dodgers seem to be trying to NOT score runs.. Left the bases loaded.. Kemp thrown at home.. Rajai Davis HR makes it 2-0..

Cleveland puts up a 4 spot in the bottom of the 9th..

Is it possible the Rockies blow a 2 run lead in the bottom of the 9th?

[Panekkkk]

Amazing isn't it?

Yeah it just makes you really wonder what managers are thinking sometimes. I saw it coming the second they put Hoffman in. What was about to become a very profitable night now might not

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Well.. Dodgers have to score 6 runs now for us to cash. Another A's long ball. 4-0 A's.

[Panekkkk]

Well.. Dodgers have to score 6 runs now for us to cash. Another A's long ball. 4-0 A's.

Let's keep that hope alive!

[repski]

If the bucs cash tonite I might just play them BIG the rest of the season......got a pretty good feel for this club...

I was thinking the same thing..they're playing great inspired ball...and your always gonna get a square price..

[JumpoffJoeBeezy]

Its all over! clap clap clap clap clap!

Its all over! clap clap clap clap clap!

[shoebox]

I was thinking the same thing..they're playing great inspired ball...and your always gonna get a square price..

Been hitting the bucs @80% this season with tremendous value.....looking for the same for the rest of the season.....this club gets the job done, always a live doggy

[The_Kid]

Been hitting the bucs @80% this season with tremendous value.....looking for the same for the rest of the season.....this club gets the job done, always a live doggy

Nice job, shoe. No way Liriano deserved a -200 line today.