MLB Leans~Sunday 5/31

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:31 PM

Of course he gets a hit and drives in a run. I hate relievers. I swear.

macadams · 05-31-09, 05:33 PM

Serious drama in LA...

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:33 PM

And just like that the idiot walks in the tying run, giving up 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th after inheriting a 2 run lead.

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:34 PM

I f*ckin' hate relief pitchers...for some reason I knew that he would blow this save opportunity...

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:36 PM

Then he gives up the go ahead run to lose the game. I f*ckin' can't stand relievers...

kmarinouofm · 05-31-09, 05:38 PM

get it back on the cubs game under??

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:40 PM

This motherf*cker gives up 3 runs in the top of the 9th to steal defeat from the jaws of victory....

kmarinouofm · 05-31-09, 05:57 PM

i feel you bro... shit was def wack

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by kmarinouofm

get it back on the cubs game under??

The over has more appeal to me as the public is already on the under 70% to 30% for the over. Plus the over is even money. I can't go against that..I'm just gonna roll with the Dodgers. The Dodgers should be favored -148 to +138. They haven't been hitting the ball too well recently, but they should snap out of it against Marshall who is anything but a power pitcher. He has not done enough in his career to warrant a -140 line. That's Roy Halladay type lines. Reliever heartburn has me in the mood for a small parlay with

Dodgers+132
Dodgers/Cubs over 9.5

What a major piss off for the Mariners to lose in such horrid fashion. I know that I capped the game right. The closer was just a wet spot tonight

kmarinouofm · 05-31-09, 06:02 PM

ck do me a favor and post all the info off sportstrends for the sides, run line and over under for this game please

BTTNext · 05-31-09, 06:06 PM

I had Seattle too, and I saw the blown save coming too. What a choke...

Dodgers are going to take it tonight, Cubs can't possibly win this series. Marshall will **** up 100%, he sucks against winning teams and even more when pitching at home.

Also on the under for this game, just based on recent trends.

ram1502 · 05-31-09, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by kmarinouofm

ck do me a favor and post all the info off sportstrends for the sides, run line and over under for this game please

Well I'm not CK, but from VegasInsider I see 80% on Cubs RL, 57% on Dodgers ML, and 67% on the Under 9.5. The line has gone from Cubs -134 to Cubs -141 and it looks like the Under has hung around pretty solid at -120 (actually @ -115 in some places) even with the large majority on the Under. Hope this helps kmarinouofm.

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by kmarinouofm

ck do me a favor and post all the info off sportstrends for the sides, run line and over under for this game please

I use VegasInsider

Side (RL)

Chicago 76%
Dodgers 24%

Moneyline

Dodgers 60%
Chicago 40%

Over/Under

Over 30%
Under 70%

Movement:

Cubs opened as a -140 and now are -145

Based upon the figures, Vegas would win more money if the Dodgers win (24% RL, 60% Moneyline) and Chicago looses (76% RL and 40% Moneyline)

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 06:25 PM

Dodgers and over it is

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 06:26 PM

F*ck Aardsma

kmarinouofm · 05-31-09, 06:27 PM

thanks homie.. that is exactly what i wanted to see..and i agree with you

kmarinouofm · 05-31-09, 06:29 PM

not sure if i am gonna mess with the o/u...

but if i do it will be in a parlay with the dodgers

Dexter · 05-31-09, 08:22 PM

Game 1:

magic +6 (3x) - orlando was 2-0 vs the lakers this season including a 6 point win in la. while i think the lakers win the series, let me see them cover a number vs the 08-09 magic. a lot of us made this mistake in the last series. i'll take the generous amount of points. this line likely comes down to 5 by thur.

cocknocker · 05-31-09, 08:43 PM

We will be on opposite sides of the fence on game one, Dex. I have to go with the team that was the runner up last year.

TheLemonDropKid · 05-31-09, 09:00 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

We will be on opposite sides of the fence on game one, Dex. I have to go with the team that was the runner up last year.

Life just seems to be more complete when you're around.

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 09:08 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

in the mood for a small parlay with

Dodgers+132
Dodgers/Cubs over 9.5

What a major piss off for the Mariners to lose in such horrid fashion. I know that I capped the game right. The closer was just a wet spot tonight

Taking the sting off that earlier ugly beat a little bit?

Fellas, I'm like a coiled rattlesnake right now waiting on this Irvine/UVA line. Irvine is currently up 13-3 over SDSU in the 8th. The fact that they are curb stomping (a terrible team sans Strasburg on the mound) makes me think this line might come back even juicier than I ever imagined. I'm ready to strike. Give me that -120 muthaf'ers....

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 09:10 PM

I'm with you jello waiting for the line to drop. Hope Pinny's got it.

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 09:14 PM

I would cap it at -160, fwiw. That's a fair line.

Jimbo42 · 05-31-09, 09:17 PM

Jello, how many times per day do you change your avatar??

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 09:18 PM

About once....maybe once every couple. I kinda like this one though. Bad Brains. One of my favorites.

They just said UVA is the road team tonight. Even better odds....

Phil Nevin (in the booth) went out on a limb and said he thinks the #1 team will take UVA to tomorrow.

Guess that settles it.

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

About once....maybe once every couple. I kinda like this one though. Bad Brains. One of my favorites.

They just said UVA is the road team tonight. Even better odds....

Phil Nevin (in the booth) went out on a limb and said he thinks the #1 team will take UVA to tomorrow.

Guess that settles it.

You got a line up yet?

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 09:24 PM

Game isn't over yet. 1 out in the 9th. I expect the line 5 minutes after. Get your hammer ready.

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 09:26 PM

I could use a nice win after Pitts' loss. I guess Det just has their number. Though Pitt could take it to 'em....

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 09:43 PM

Anythin?

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 09:45 PM

No! I'm getting pissed. Just called BetJam and they said they expect it soon

Game time is 11:16. I don't think it's gonna happen.

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 09:47 PM

Yeah it's not looking good.

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 10:13 PM

It's not gonna happen. Damn. I've called them a couple times. I even tried to get them to make a line for me. They weren't biting. LOL.

The more I think about it, what's the incentive here for a book to rush a line like this out? They don't know shit about handicapping it, who's Irvine pitching? They don't know. I don't know. Hell, does Irvine even know? It's not like there's a bunch of money lining up on both sides of this anyway. Any betting this game would probably be laying in wait like me waiting to pound a soft UVA line.

I guess anybody that was planning on hitting this should just root for Irvine and count that as a win. Not losing is a win, right? It is in this game we play. I'll be pulling for my hoos to make their first Super ever. Heady times for Virginia baseball. UVA - the real Wahoos.

Panekkkk · 05-31-09, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

It's not gonna happen. Damn. I've called them a couple times. I even tried to get them to make a line for me. They weren't biting. LOL.

The more I think about it, what's the incentive here for a book to rush a line like this out? They don't know shit about handicapping it, who's Irvine pitching? They don't know. I don't know. Hell, does Irvine even know? It's not like there's a bunch of money lining up on both sides of this anyway. Any betting this game would probably be laying in wait like me waiting to pound a soft UVA line.

I guess anybody that was planning on hitting this should just root for Irvine and count that as a win. Not losing is a win, right? It is in this game we play. I'll be pulling for my hoos to make their first Super ever. Heady times for Virginia baseball. UVA - the real Wahoos.

Hah ah well, it woulda been nice. Nite.

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 10:20 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

I don't like the fact that these two have played to the under 3 straight times this weekend. And I was really having a battle with myself over whether to just sit tight at 2-0 for the day (had Sharapova -115) and wait for that UVA line to come out around 10pm or to look again for something on this game. But every indicator I've been using to cap my unders lately are present here as well. Knowing I might be pressing my luck on the unders (and despite the fact that they've played to the under those 3 straight games against each other), the number here was too high for me to pass on. I went ahead and booked:

LAD/CHC u9.5 -125

BOL everyone

I feel kind of like you SEA backers did after that game today. I capped it right, imo. Instead of it blowing up in the 9th though, it blew up in the 1st. 5 runs on broken bats and bloops in the 1st and the game finishes at 10 runs...

I am not deterred.

Dexter · 05-31-09, 10:43 PM

mon 6/1-

yankees (RL - 2x) - playing the yankees off a loss and to take the series vs a pitcher who should be in triple a.