MLB - Saturday, 5/13/17

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Sides Saturday

Twins +135 (Heritage)
Mets -103 (Heritage)
Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 151-140-10, +18.84

Totals Coming

[Roscoe_Word]

Good cappin, brother!

The model has enough data (on those guys) to kick out Berrios and Williams, T?

If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

With ya on Colo...nice lookin home pup there.

GL !!

[LT Profits]

Good cappin, brother!

The model has enough data (on those guys) to kick out Berrios and Williams, T?

If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

With ya on Colo...nice lookin home pup there.

GL !!

I have couple of methods for guys with limited MLB experience, aside for minor league history, ZiPS and PECOTA are your friends.

[LT Profits]

8 MLB Plays Saturday

8 MLB Plays Saturday

Twins +135 (Heritage)
Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Mets -103 (Heritage)
Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)

[Roscoe_Word]

I have couple of methods for guys with limited MLB experience, aside for minor league history, ZiPS and PECOTA are your friends.

[stackz125]

Cards?

[LT Profits]

Cards?

No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.

[doitnow]

Lt, what's the model spitting out for totals in cubs/cards? Thank you

[stackz125]

No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.

Oh wow

Would you consider Tampa+1.5 at +105

[FUqer]

No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.

I wanted to play against the Cards vs a Lefty so bad last night when I thought Wacha was starting, then I heard Rizzo is sitting out and now Martinez is starting. Not so sure about Lester recently either. There is also Home teams on Saturday and Cardinals in 2nd game of series in the back of my mind also.

[crackerjack]

What do you think of Reds/Giants over 8.5? In a drunken and pissed off state (needed one HRE in the Angels game to win a big bet) I went all in on this one. Moore stinks so bad and Reds pitcher isn't good either. Don't know how the 17 inning game will impact this bet...it was placed before I knew they'd be playing so long and now I'm sweating bullets.

[LT Profits]

Oh wow

Would you consider Tampa+1.5 at +105

I would not, I have Sale at a Kershaw-like 73% (-270) on ML. I would actually consider Boston -1.5 at +110 or more, but I highly doubt it gets there.

[LT Profits]

Lt, what's the model spitting out for totals in cubs/cards? Thank you

7.1

[LT Profits]

What do you think of Reds/Giants over 8.5? In a drunken and pissed off state (needed one HRE in the Angels game to win a big bet) I went all in on this one. Moore stinks so bad and Reds pitcher isn't good either. Don't know how the 17 inning game will impact this bet...it was placed before I knew they'd be playing so long and now I'm sweating bullets.

Model is at 8.4

BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.

[GREGORY]

I like the Pirates today LT....live dog! BOL today

[crackerjack]

Model is at 8.4

BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.

I'm going to be sick

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

9 MLB Plays Saturday

Cubs / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Twins +135 (Heritage)
Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Mets -103 (Heritage)
Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)

[LT Profits]

After taking Kris Bryant out of lineup and replacing him with Jeimer Candelario:

Cubs 53% (-113), 6.6

[grey area]

GL today this month has turned me off of bases some what but did crush 3 books with max on Nashville last night and today I did one max on Mets +1.5 retarded juice, no risk no reward lol

[LT Profits]

Another MLB Addition

10 MLB Plays Saturday

Cubs / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Twins +135 (Heritage)
Phillies +157 (Heritage)
Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Mets -103 (Heritage)
Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)

[crackerjack]

Model is at 8.4

BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.

It's back to 8.5 -120...I feel better about it but still really nervous. Steam bets while intoxicated never pay off.

[grey area]

not sure on totals steam fake or not but shut down the day when got your winners already

[grey area]

Cards and Giants should hold no great come back odds live

[grey area]

Feel Tribe to win by one

[grey area]

pot shots if all hold as of now reach phi mia lad or arz small only need one

[eddycash]

Stop talking so much dude

[grey area]

just making dude