MLB - Saturday, 5/13/17

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Saturday, 5/13/17
    4 MLB Sides Saturday

    Twins +135 (Heritage)
    Mets -103 (Heritage)
    Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
    Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 151-140-10, +18.84

    Totals Coming
  • Roscoe_Word
    SBR MVP
    • 02-28-12
    • 3999

    #2
    Good cappin, brother!

    The model has enough data (on those guys) to kick out Berrios and Williams, T?

    If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

    With ya on Colo...nice lookin home pup there.

    GL !!
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by Roscoe_Word
      Good cappin, brother!

      The model has enough data (on those guys) to kick out Berrios and Williams, T?

      If it ain't broke, don't fix it!

      With ya on Colo...nice lookin home pup there.

      GL !!
      I have couple of methods for guys with limited MLB experience, aside for minor league history, ZiPS and PECOTA are your friends.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        8 MLB Plays Saturday

        8 MLB Plays Saturday

        Twins +135 (Heritage)
        Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
        Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
        Mets -103 (Heritage)
        Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
        Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
        Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
        Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)
        Comment
        • Roscoe_Word
          SBR MVP
          • 02-28-12
          • 3999

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          I have couple of methods for guys with limited MLB experience, aside for minor league history, ZiPS and PECOTA are your friends.
          Comment
          • stackz125
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-03-16
            • 6191

            #6
            Cards?
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by stackz125
              Cards?
              No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.
              Comment
              • doitnow
                SBR MVP
                • 09-27-16
                • 2584

                #8
                Lt, what's the model spitting out for totals in cubs/cards? Thank you
                Comment
                • stackz125
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-16
                  • 6191

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.
                  Oh wow

                  Would you consider Tampa+1.5 at +105
                  Comment
                  • FUqer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-15
                    • 3968

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    No, model has Cubs 55% (-122). Notice that I didn't play them though.
                    I wanted to play against the Cards vs a Lefty so bad last night when I thought Wacha was starting, then I heard Rizzo is sitting out and now Martinez is starting. Not so sure about Lester recently either. There is also Home teams on Saturday and Cardinals in 2nd game of series in the back of my mind also.
                    Comment
                    • crackerjack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-06
                      • 3366

                      #11
                      What do you think of Reds/Giants over 8.5? In a drunken and pissed off state (needed one HRE in the Angels game to win a big bet) I went all in on this one. Moore stinks so bad and Reds pitcher isn't good either. Don't know how the 17 inning game will impact this bet...it was placed before I knew they'd be playing so long and now I'm sweating bullets.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stackz125
                        Oh wow

                        Would you consider Tampa+1.5 at +105
                        I would not, I have Sale at a Kershaw-like 73% (-270) on ML. I would actually consider Boston -1.5 at +110 or more, but I highly doubt it gets there.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by doitnow
                          Lt, what's the model spitting out for totals in cubs/cards? Thank you
                          7.1
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by crackerjack
                            What do you think of Reds/Giants over 8.5? In a drunken and pissed off state (needed one HRE in the Angels game to win a big bet) I went all in on this one. Moore stinks so bad and Reds pitcher isn't good either. Don't know how the 17 inning game will impact this bet...it was placed before I knew they'd be playing so long and now I'm sweating bullets.
                            Model is at 8.4

                            BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.
                            Comment
                            • GREGORY
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-05-10
                              • 321

                              #15
                              I like the Pirates today LT....live dog! BOL today
                              Comment
                              • crackerjack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-06
                                • 3366

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                Model is at 8.4

                                BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.
                                I'm going to be sick
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  1 MLB Addition

                                  9 MLB Plays Saturday

                                  Cubs / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                  Twins +135 (Heritage)
                                  Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                  Mets -103 (Heritage)
                                  Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
                                  Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
                                  Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                  Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    After taking Kris Bryant out of lineup and replacing him with Jeimer Candelario:

                                    Cubs 53% (-113), 6.6
                                    Comment
                                    • grey area
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-17-14
                                      • 1187

                                      #19
                                      GL today this month has turned me off of bases some what but did crush 3 books with max on Nashville last night and today I did one max on Mets +1.5 retarded juice, no risk no reward lol
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Another MLB Addition

                                        10 MLB Plays Saturday

                                        Cubs / Cardinals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                        Twins +135 (Heritage)
                                        Phillies +157 (Heritage)
                                        Padres / White Sox UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
                                        Braves / Marlins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                        Mets -103 (Heritage)
                                        Athletics / Rangers UNDER 10 -120 (5 Dimes)
                                        Rockies +109 (5 Dimes)
                                        Dodgers / Rockies UNDER 11 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                        Pirates +145 (Bookmaker)
                                        Comment
                                        • crackerjack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-06
                                          • 3366

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Model is at 8.4

                                          BTW, total is down to 8 at most places.
                                          It's back to 8.5 -120...I feel better about it but still really nervous. Steam bets while intoxicated never pay off.
                                          Comment
                                          • grey area
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-17-14
                                            • 1187

                                            #22
                                            not sure on totals steam fake or not but shut down the day when got your winners already
                                            Comment
                                            • grey area
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-17-14
                                              • 1187

                                              #23
                                              Cards and Giants should hold no great come back odds live
                                              Comment
                                              • grey area
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-17-14
                                                • 1187

                                                #24
                                                Feel Tribe to win by one
                                                Comment
                                                • grey area
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-17-14
                                                  • 1187

                                                  #25
                                                  pot shots if all hold as of now reach phi mia lad or arz small only need one
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eddycash
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-06-13
                                                    • 4527

                                                    #26
                                                    Stop talking so much dude
                                                    Comment
                                                    • grey area
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-17-14
                                                      • 1187

                                                      #27
                                                      just making dude
                                                      Comment
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