New system trial

Panekkkk · 05-26-09, 12:28 PM

Not to be an ass,

but IMO this isn't much of a system. All you're doing is betting on a home team to rebound from a loss with a better pitcher on the mound and with decent odds. Wouldn't you want odds -120 or worse to be more confident in the win? Or is the -120 or better derived from some checking?

I would consider adding a filter that the team you are going to bet on must not have lost more than 3 in a row (including their last loss; home or away) to avoid losing streaks.

PAPSMEAR · 05-26-09, 05:45 PM

DODGERS AT -120 WAS THE FIRST SUCCESSFUL PLAY THAT WAS REPLY POSTED BY LT WHEN HE WAS DISCUSSING THE SYSTEM!!!!!!!!

SEE THREAD ABOVE - THE SYSTEM PLAY POSTED FOR 26 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Texas Rangers at +110 (@ Pinnacle) for 5 units

Kansas City Royals met criteria 1-4 but price was less than -120 therefore did not qualify.

2 points to clarify with the system:

Criteria 4 - The seasonal ERA of the "best rated pitcher" must exceed the seasonal ERA rating of his opponent to qualify

Criteria 6 - Washington National games are not excluded as an investment opportunity only wagering on the Nationals themselves should they otherwise meet criteria 1-5.

G's pks · 05-26-09, 07:40 PM

Keep it going as you win the haters will be quiet and follow... I hope this works for you. My system plays now at 1-1. But I am going by series in sets of 3. So series wise I am 1-0. GL tonight G

PAPSMEAR · 05-27-09, 03:32 AM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

DODGERS AT -120 WAS THE FIRST SUCCESSFUL PLAY THAT WAS REPLY POSTED BY LT WHEN HE WAS DISCUSSING THE SYSTEM!!!!!!!!

SEE THREAD ABOVE - THE SYSTEM PLAY POSTED FOR 26 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Texas Rangers at +110 (@ Pinnacle) for 5 units

Kansas City Royals met criteria 1-4 but price was less than -120 therefore did not qualify.

2 points to clarify with the system:

Criteria 4 - The seasonal ERA of the "best rated pitcher" must exceed the seasonal ERA rating of his opponent to qualify

Criteria 6 - Washington National games are not excluded as an investment opportunity only wagering on the Nationals themselves should they otherwise meet criteria 1-5.

WINNER (3-0) +15.3 UNITS

PAPSMEAR · 05-27-09, 03:41 AM

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 27 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Colorado Rockies @ -123 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(3-0) +15.3 units

GOOD LUCK!

Fiasco · 05-27-09, 04:32 AM

nice start

PAPSMEAR · 05-27-09, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 27 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Colorado Rockies @ -123 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(3-0) +15.3 units

GOOD LUCK!

To clarify - slight alteration of criteria 5 to lines at or better than -125 instead of -120 after considering poster input/comment!

G's pks · 05-27-09, 09:48 AM

Good luck on the Rockies...my system dropped to 1-2 unfiltered... Lost on the Angels, hopefully they give me the win tonight. I see the Angels and Rockies in the same situation tonight. Two teams trying to avoid being swept at home... GL G.

PAPSMEAR · 05-27-09, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 27 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Colorado Rockies @ -123 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(3-0) +15.3 units

GOOD LUCK!

LOSS

(3-1) +10.3 UNTIS

MexicanStallion · 05-27-09, 11:41 PM

Damn. Tough break. I liked the Rocks and saw you had this play and liked it even more. One question. Wouldn't you have lost -6.15? You were trying to win 5 units I assume and the Rocks were -123 for each unit. Anyway just asking? Good luck tomorrow

PAPSMEAR · 05-27-09, 11:48 PM

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 28 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Arizona Diamondbacks @ -122 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(3-1) +10.3 units

Rizzla · 05-28-09, 03:50 AM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Damn. Tough break.

Looked good until 6th inning, hard to fade Dodgers.. Let's go for Arizona

PAPSMEAR · 05-28-09, 04:12 AM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Damn. Tough break. I liked the Rocks and saw you had this play and liked it even more. One question. Wouldn't you have lost -6.15? You were trying to win 5 units I assume and the Rocks were -123 for each unit. Anyway just asking? Good luck tomorrow

Mex wagering 5 units not trying to win 5 units.

Good luck tomorrow

PAPSMEAR · 05-28-09, 04:19 AM

Originally posted by Rizzla

Looked good until 6th inning, hard to fade Dodgers.. Let's go for Arizona

To give away 5 runs in the 6th to the Dodgers is GAME OVER!

I like the system play tomorrow. Hopefully we cash it big time

Mriswith · 05-28-09, 06:12 AM

As w/ any system whose picks are based strongly on starting pitchers' stats, I'd suggest at least adding 4.5 / 5th Innings line.

bol,
Mris

MexicanStallion · 05-28-09, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

Mex wagering 5 units not trying to win 5 units.

Good luck tomorrow

Thank you for clarification. Cash today

PAPSMEAR · 05-28-09, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 28 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Arizona Diamondbacks @ -122 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(3-1) +10.3 units

WINNER!!!

(4-1) +14.4 units

rogerc · 05-29-09, 12:04 AM

Looks like a fair system eill follow along. Trying to figure out a way to back track this system.

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 12:09 AM

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 29 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Kansas City Royals @ -124 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(4-1) +14.4 units

Good luck!

alukk · 05-29-09, 12:36 AM

nice work papsmear

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 01:40 AM

Originally posted by rogerc

Looks like a fair system eill follow along. Trying to figure out a way to back track this system.

Started to do the back track but decided that the future is what counts...4-1...

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by alukk

nice work papsmear

Thanks Alukk...hopefully u r following & making some coin

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 06:16 AM

Originally posted by Panekkkk

Not to be an ass,

but IMO this isn't much of a system. All you're doing is betting on a home team to rebound from a loss with a better pitcher on the mound and with decent odds. Wouldn't you want odds -120 or worse to be more confident in the win? Or is the -120 or better derived from some checking?

I would consider adding a filter that the team you are going to bet on must not have lost more than 3 in a row (including their last loss; home or away) to avoid losing streaks.

4-1 so far Pan with system so must be doing something right...do yourself a favour and take KC tomorrow

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 08:19 AM

Off to bed - Good luck with all wagers today Gents!

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 07:43 PM

Bannister is throwing some horrible ball. Down 4 after 2. Things looking VERY grim early for KC and this sytem play

PAPSMEAR · 05-29-09, 08:21 PM

Not even half way through the 5th and willing to concede this game. 5-0 to CWS. KC are playing terrible. They can't hit shit and Bannister is getting beaten up bad.

PAPSMEAR · 05-30-09, 05:07 AM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 29 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Kansas City Royals @ -124 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(4-1) +14.4 units

Good luck!

LOSER

(4-2) +9.4 units

PAPSMEAR · 05-30-09, 06:03 AM

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 30 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Arizona Diamondbacks @ +111 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(4-2) +9.4 units

The General · 05-30-09, 06:05 AM

Nice profits

dreamjob · 05-30-09, 02:14 PM

Lost yesterday with KC but I believe you have a winner today. I'm with ya PAP lets go ARZ.

DJ

PAPSMEAR · 05-30-09, 06:14 PM

Bottom of the 11th all tied up...time to put this game away Diamondbacks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

So many opportunities to clinch it none taken so far....

jasont · 05-30-09, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

Bottom of the 11th all tied up...time to put this game away Diamondbacks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

So many opportunities to clinch it none taken so far....

nice comeback win

PAPSMEAR · 05-30-09, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

THE SYSTEM PLAY FOR 30 MAY 2009 IS:

Booked Arizona Diamondbacks @ +111 (Pinnacle) for 5 units

(4-2) +9.4 units

WINNER

(5-2) +14.95 units

Axis · 05-30-09, 06:42 PM

Nice...

I've started ... what I guess you would call a "system"...more of a way to find good games to look into...it's also quite hot right now, and it also gave me Arizona as a play today...and they scared the crap out of me..

Glad to see you're winning!!

I post all my plays in TA's thread, as well as on my SBR spreadsheet if anyone wants to check!!

Beat the books!

PAPSMEAR · 05-30-09, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by Axis

Nice...

I've started ... what I guess you would call a "system"...more of a way to find good games to look into...it's also quite hot right now, and it also gave me Arizona as a play today...and they scared the crap out of me..

Glad to see you're winning!!

I post all my plays in TA's thread, as well as on my SBR spreadsheet if anyone wants to check!!

Beat the books!

Will check it out Axis...that's what it's all about taking the green foldy stuff off the books