Mr. Crumbs Leans for Thursday 5/21/09

[cocknocker]

For today's action I like the following games. I am piling a lot more money onto these games than I usually do because I finally found three games that I liked so much that I couldn't rate one over the other:


Twinkies-110 HEAVY (False favorite in this game)
Arizona-120 HEAVY (Scherzer gets rewarded with run production. Miller sucks)
Arizona-1.5 +140 Crumbs Play-O-The-Day
Angels-105 HEAVY(Bedard's first game back from injury, Angels shutout last night)


And don't panic JM players, I am now joining in on the "C" today, also HEAVY

[Famou$ $wag]

sorry CK but what is the "C" play exactly and JM players? not just what team but what does it mean

[melincrea]

Wow.. out of no where, three heavy plays!

Good luck to us on those! I had a bad day yesterday, having bought 3 points on Cleveland...

Yes, and what IS the "C" play?


My plays for today:

Nats 3u -120
Tor 3u +170
Tor/Bos Under 10.5 1.5u +110
Balt/Yanks Under 10.5 2u +105
SF 4u -135

[cs11787]

Wattup CK just droppin in on the baseball thread to say wattup! Man we got burned on the "A" and "B" plays. I sure hope the "C" hits! For those of you who are asking about the "letter" plays, its something thats really not supposed to be discussed into detail in this forum. So if you have questions about it you can PM CK or me Ill be happy to explain it to you. I got that outta the way for you CK, I know youver probably been asked that question 1,000,000,000,000,000 times!!!

EDIT: Actually dont pm CK Im sure he has his hands full. PM Johnmorr he can explain it best.

[The_Kid]

Baltimore Orioles +260

I know Eaton is a gascan but you'd be crazy to lay -300 on a 5 inning pitcher in Joba Chamberlain. If Baltimore can make Joba work early and get to the Yankees pen, I like my chances. I think Baltimore's offense can definitely keep them in this game. The Yankees are probably the hottest team in baseball but no one deserves a line like this. More crumbs on top of those HEAVY plays. Good luck!

[Pajda]

CK is play "C" run line or straight up money line?

[Cassidy]

CK, the JM heavy bet, wouldn't cancel the other one from you? i say, in order to save money.. unless you get positive line in one of both sides, both bets together would be giving money to books (playing - lines). Thats unless the heavys sizes on each one wont be for the same amount, in that case you would play just the difference. I mean all this from a logical and mathemathical point of view.

[Rizzla]

CK is play "C" run line or straight up money line?

RL

I like Arizona, and i'm adding Red Sox RL as well after the show yesterday, also thinking about CIN Reds as well.
Btw, CK thanx for your point on Tigers, made me go even after The Cavs drama!

[The_Kid]

CK, the JM heavy bet, wouldn't cancel the other one from you?

The JM bet would be on the Rangers. That would be a totally separate bet from his other HEAVY plays.

[Jimbo42]

What up!

Booked:

Philadelphia -120

Colorado +100

St. Louis -140
St. Louis -1.5 +150

GL

[Jimbo42]

Added:

Milwaukee +125

GL

[Tennispro]

Oke here we go again my fellow gamblords today i am going to pick the jm c bet Texas Rangers.
I am not a big fan of system plays but today i actually like Texas so i am going to give it a try.
GL

[pako74]

Booked
Baltimore +260
Arizona -120 and rrl +140 (cks pick)
Pale hose -110
Texas c bet.
Damn I shouldn't have bet the b bet.

[Dragon]

For today's action I like the following games. I am piling a lot more money onto these games than I usually do because I finally found three games that I liked so much that I couldn't rate one over the other:


Twinkies-110 HEAVY (False favorite in this game)
Arizona-120 HEAVY (Scherzer gets rewarded with run production. Miller sucks)
Arizona-1.5 +140 Crumbs Play-O-The-Day
Angels-105 HEAVY(Bedard's first game back from injury, Angels shutout last night)


And don't panic JM players, I am now joining in on the "C" today, also HEAVY

LOST

[peterpan19]

LOST

??...do I really have to say more ?.....

[macadams]

??...do I really have to say more ?.....

Someone's going on the DL

[jellobiafra]

CK --

You laying all that juice on TEX RL or just playing it straight? Not like you to be giving away a bunch of crumbs.



Side note:

Tennispro is a great addition to this thread!

[MrMonkey]

??...do I really have to say more ?.....

Good call Pete! You don't, I do! Monkey might be slow, but learning fast you can't win Pete with these guys on the internet! Ok, maybe the man is having a few rough days of it but once told the bases is a very long season!

My God, the guy comes to play everyday no matter how he wakes up feeling! The people need to be feed, whether it's filet mignon, chuck steak, or come back empty handed at least he gave it a go! The haters with the couple picks here and there won't sustained the people! We need a fat Oven Stuffer not a tiny cornish hen!

Seriously haters, try showing up with picks every day and see how much pressure you will feel attempting it! I must be the moron, these people really enjoy being loathed!

Also, I have a job and don't need this to support myself, but before you hate next time remember for some people here this is their job and it's their only means of feeding themselves!

As with his daily NBA forum, CK always looked for other people's opinions! How many times did he say "A your right, good angle", "B, didn't see that, going your way now etc. etc. etc." The only way this works is with give and take! What other way could a large group of people communicate this easily on SBR, for free to boot!

As long as CK's wallet has more in it at the end of the day when he goes to bed than when he put it in his pocket to start the day, it's doesn't matter how it got there! He doesn't have mommy or daddy to reload it!

You don't see CK pasting a copy of his NBA challenge record everywhere he goes! Hopefully he won't leave SBR anytime soon!
The positive people have to all step forward like Pete and show support to combat these! Monkey extremely persistent and relenting for the right thing to be done! Also, thank you D, we now have the picks you're making tonight! Good luck to all!

MrMonkey

[showtime2000]

Considering the double header yesterday and the extra innings between Arizona/Florida, the bullpen's have been over used, i will be playing the Over between these 2 clubs.

Ariz/Florida over 9
Arizona (CK)

[peterpan19]

showtime
as I am a Dbacks fan too...I can tell you that their Offense is clicking right now...and Scherzer has the stuff to pitch 6 solid Innings...I really would love to see a win here today for my Dbacks... plus this team will play for Scott's wife again tonight...god bless her...

[ragiche]

Plays for today:

Early games:

Tex ML (5x)

Cin ML (5x)

Oak RRL (3x)

Min ML (3x)

Late Games:

Laa ML (5x)

Ari RL (5x)

Hou RL (3x)

Sfo ML (3x)

Atl RL (3x)


Here you go guys BOL

[macadams]

SF -1.5 Lincecum's shutdown + SF not get swept + single the friars to death + peavy news, the air is out the balloon

FLA -1.5 Ain't gonna work on FLAddies farm no more, Miller will be improved and FLA bats improving again

TEX -1.5 Huge pitching plus, their heads will be in it

HOU -1.5 Pitching edge, huge lift from yesterday, one of MLB's major home field advantages

Puh, that's a significant injury for atlanta, that's too bad for them...

[jellobiafra]

TEX -1.5 Huge pitching plus

I must be mistaken, because I thought for sure Edwin Jackson was pitching today.


3-2 with a 2.42 if you need him. 1 run allowed in his last 2 starts (14 innings). Huge pitching advantage for Texas? Really?

Really??

[SlicWilly3]

So far rolling with:

Cincy -105 (1st 5)
TB -1/2 -130 (1st 5)
KC -1/2 -145 (1st 5)

[cocknocker]

CK --

You laying all that juice on TEX RL or just playing it straight? Not like you to be giving away a bunch of crumbs.



Side note:

Tennispro is a great addition to this thread!

I never play any line of -135 or more. If the +1.5 line is more than -135, then I play the moneyline only. I don't like to pay -170 juice unless I am getting points in basketball or football.

And yes, tennispro is great for the morale!

[Smogs]

I've gone for -

LA Angels and Arizona

Both have good line movement, good odds and stats and trends on their side.

Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter

Mariners are 1-4 in Bedards last 5 home starts
Mariners are 3-12 in their last 15 overall.

Plus, Joe Saunders is 5-0 in his last 5 against Seattle.
Bedard is 2-3 and that includes starts for Baltimore

Scherzer is going to make back some of that lost money that D'Back backers have lost this season. One win will be followed by two and promising line movement has helped.
However, this is a harder pick because Florida have a 17-8 record at home to Ari.
This play is more off the momentum that Scherzer will create.

Marlins are 2-6 in Millers last 8 starts


* Also taking Lakers 1Q and the over 210.5 in a double that pays 5/2 but i am wondering whether to just play the two as singles and if one loses i only lose 10p on the pound.

Couldn't take Detroit or Minny, they just don't give me any confidence

[macadams]

I must be mistaken, because I thought for sure Edwin Jackson was pitching today.


3-2 with a 2.42 if you need him. 1 run allowed in his last 2 starts (14 innings). Huge pitching advantage for Texas? Really?

Really??

No, you're right, of course, I work out notes on notepad when going from page to page looking at the games and then I create posts pasting from there. My bad.

[thegenix]

Tailing all these plays today. And the "C" bet of course.

[Jimbo42]

added:

Tampa Bay -1.5 +100

GL

[peterpan19]

TX cant score and DET can...insane....

[tbill11]

Anyone on the A's today? Looks like they're heating up and they've got the "ace" Braden on the hill at +175 against Garza, who they already beat in this exact same matchup at home earlier this year. Might have some value in that pick...

[peterpan19]

tbill11
well I think the A's might have a chance...but I think TB will win this one here today...can they loose 3 at home against them ?...I say no...I am not taking the ML but I would play the TB RL if I had to...and as it is a rematch I think Garza will make the proper adjustments and win this one today at home...or at least give the Rays 7 solid Innings...

[melincrea]

TX cant score and DET can...insane....

Sure hope it's a JM "C" play for a reason...

[peterpan19]

lets just hope Jackson only has 1 more Inning in him or maybe even less...and lets hope the DET pen does what it should do...suck...LETS GO TEXAS...I mean I only have a couple of good old Benjamin Franklin's on the game...but still...would hate to loose it

[melincrea]

I went heavy on it... let's hope that Heavy is a good one.