MLB - Sunday, 8/14/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Sunday, 8/14/16
    4 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rays +102 (Bookmaker)
    Astros / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
    Phillies +122 (5 Dimes)
    Orioles / Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 (Heritage)


    YTD: 341-354-17, -5.27
  • lonegambler
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-09
    • 2151

    #2
    Giabts under i like but think yanks win severino will pitch good today and kids look good
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      60%ers:

      Mets 67% (-203)
      Cleveland 62% (-163)
      Washington 68% (-213)
      Boston 61% (-156)
      San Francisco 62% (-163)
      Dodgers 63% (-170)
      Cubs 63% (-170)
      Comment
      • hondo5
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-01-09
        • 402

        #4
        If you like Tampa then why not the under 9? Tampa not a juggernaut offensively. Guessing you like odorizzi to shut the yanks down?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by hondo5
          If you like Tampa then why not the under 9? Tampa not a juggernaut offensively. Guessing you like odorizzi to shut the yanks down?
          Model is practically right on total at 8.9, Severino rates well below average
          Comment
          • McCarthyFam
            SBR MVP
            • 07-06-11
            • 1700

            #6
            what are your thoughts on pitching matchup with white sox and marlins. what # do you get? thanks
            Comment
            • Sam Odom
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-30-05
              • 58063

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits

              YTD: 341-354-17, -5.27


              Break even very very soon !


              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                what are your thoughts on pitching matchup with white sox and marlins. what # do you get? thanks
                Despite starting pitching mismatch in favor of Sale, only White Sox 55% (-122) on the road. Points to nice Miami edges elsewhere.
                Comment
                • McCarthyFam
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-06-11
                  • 1700

                  #9
                  okay thanks. line getting a little to juicy for me now anyways. good luck today!
                  Comment
                  • RavensFan2k3
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-12
                    • 17378

                    #10
                    Damn, I played the Yankees the past two games and I think I'll be on them here too. I think Houston looks good here though
                    Comment
                    • funnyb25
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 07-09-09
                      • 39663

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                      Damn, I played the Yankees the past two games and I think I'll be on them here too. I think Houston looks good here though
                      Rays -1.5 +180

                      Yanks -1.5 +177

                      this wont end in a 1 run final...
                      Comment
                      • WalkingLuckCharm
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-07-10
                        • 4192

                        #12
                        You got serious line movement on philli not liking it
                        Comment
                        • 44 Mag
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-14-13
                          • 34490

                          #13
                          Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                          You got serious line movement on philli not liking it
                          Saw that.......
                          Comment
                          • RavensFan2k3
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-18-12
                            • 17378

                            #14
                            Originally posted by funnyb25
                            Rays -1.5 +180

                            Yanks -1.5 +177

                            this wont end in a 1 run final...
                            i might do that, but what if it does end in a 1 run game lol
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                              You got serious line movement on philli not liking it
                              I LOVE it personally since I am on right side of movement. I obviously would not like it if I had not bet the game yet.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                1 MLB Addition

                                5 MLB Plays Sunday

                                Rays +102 (Bookmaker)
                                Astros / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
                                Phillies +122 (5 Dimes)
                                Reds +104 (DSI)
                                Orioles / Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 (Heritage)
                                Comment
                                • 44 Mag
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-14-13
                                  • 34490

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                  i might do that, but what if it does end in a 1 run game lol
                                  Then here's your chance to beat Funny 25......
                                  Comment
                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-12
                                    • 17378

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by funnyb25
                                    Rays -1.5 +180

                                    Yanks -1.5 +177

                                    this wont end in a 1 run final...
                                    my book has Rays -1.5 at +151 and Yanks -1.5 at +178
                                    Comment
                                    • innovation
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-27-12
                                      • 6218

                                      #19
                                      cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

                                      you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

                                      im all over Houston today and contemplating O's
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by innovation
                                        cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

                                        you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

                                        im all over Houston today and contemplating O's
                                        I don't put as much credence in that as I do overall performance, and Cueto has been one of the best in the league this year. And yes San Fran is a more pitcher friendly park.
                                        Comment
                                        • funnyb25
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-09-09
                                          • 39663

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                          my boom has Rays -1.5 at +151 and Yanks -1.5 at +178
                                          that is fine...
                                          Comment
                                          • funnyb25
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 07-09-09
                                            • 39663

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            I don't put as much credence in that as I do overall performance, and Cueto has been one of the best in the league this year. And yes San Fran is a more pitcher friendly park.
                                            LT makes sense half of the time...this is one of the ones!
                                            Comment
                                            • klemopixx
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-02-14
                                              • 3807

                                              #23
                                              Adam Morgan (Phi) was awful the last time he was up from the minors. I think Rockies are the bet.
                                              Comment
                                              • RavensFan2k3
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-18-12
                                                • 17378

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by innovation
                                                cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

                                                you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

                                                im all over Houston today and contemplating O's
                                                Houston for me too
                                                Comment
                                                • rollie_t651
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-18-14
                                                  • 873

                                                  #25
                                                  Orioles bounce back today!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-07-10
                                                    • 4192

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    I LOVE it personally since I am on right side of movement. I obviously would not like it if I had not bet the game yet.
                                                    a 20c + drop must be -EV, no?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-07-10
                                                      • 4192

                                                      #27
                                                      i think if you were to go through your database and record the games played involved in a 20 point drop im positive youd be stuck
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                        a 20c + drop must be -EV, no?
                                                        But it makes the +122 +EV
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                          i think if you were to go through your database and record the games played involved in a 20 point drop im positive youd be stuck
                                                          That in itself means nothing, most important aspect is what price game was bet at. Goes back to what I said in Post 15. Biggest take-away is beating the closing line.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                            20 point drop im positive youd be stuck
                                                            I actually beat Pinny closer by 30 cents.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jtoler
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-17-13
                                                              • 30967

                                                              #31
                                                              Cueto gets lit up today take the over.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-07-10
                                                                • 4192

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                That in itself means nothing, most important aspect is what price game was bet at. Goes back to what I said in Post 15. Biggest take-away is beating the closing line.

                                                                Might mean nothing to your betting methods. I actually am not as knowledgable in bases and just started fading 20 pt price drops and have found it quite profitable. No coin kept mentioning it and I put it in motion. I've been at it for the whole season and it's been working
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                  Might mean nothing to your betting methods. I actually am not as knowledgable in bases and just started fading 20 pt price drops and have found it quite profitable. No coin kept mentioning it and I put it in motion. I've been at it for the whole season and it's been working
                                                                  See, you bet the opposite side AFTER the 20+ move, so that sounds fine. We both got the best of the line betting opposite sides.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-07-10
                                                                    • 4192

                                                                    #34
                                                                    ok got ya
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • funnyb25
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 07-09-09
                                                                      • 39663

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Let's get Phils home...
                                                                      Comment
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