CK's MLB Daily Thread Leans for Sunday 5-3/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    CK's MLB Daily Thread Leans for Sunday 5-3/09
    So BigMoney calls me up last night and he asks me, "Ay man what are you gonna do with the fight?" I told him to take the under 9.5 with a knockout. He didn't want to do it. I could tell. But he did it anyway. And it hit! We were ecstatic. Easiest money made all day.

    Anyway, for today I like a few games..

    Nats/Cards under 5 1st half Lannan's pitching. Why not?
    Padres+200 False favorite here Gaudin is the real thing
    Padres-1.5 +280 RRL Crumbs Play-O-The-Day
    Wahoos-105 Lee
    Reds-1.5 +125 Cueto lost 10-2 last time. Revenge will be sweet

    Added Plays

    Texas+109
    Texas-1.5 +215
    Texas Team Total over 5 +115


    Billingsley has not won 5 games in a row in his entire career. This is more of a synergy play than anything else. Gaudin hasn't been seen by the Dodgers. I think that this is one hell of a play. I expect to be of the minority with this one. but I don't care. I'm a freak for Crumbs. Instead of waking up in the morning looking for the best favorite to take, I wake up looking for the biggest opportunites to get Crumbs. A nice +480 hit wouldn't be too bad if the Padres find a way to win by 2.
  • jellobiafra
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-08-09
    • 6291

    #2
    I like Gaudin too, but false favorite might be a stretch. Billingsley is pitching that game, no? I might give the Pads a shot, but I was leaning more towards the under here. Also going pretty heavy on the under in that CLE/DET game. Lee has been his usual self the past 3 outings. I think Verlander might have gotten right last time out vs NYY. I expect a duel tomorrow. 9 and a half seems awfully high for these two considering neither gave up a run last time out. Playing ANA getting +125 against Phil Hughes. Saunders vs. Hughes and Hughes is -150?? Whatever. Also parlayed the Cards and the Rays for a unit. Just don't see the Cards losing a series to the Nats and the Rays play BOS well and have Shields going. No opinion on the Reds. Good luck bud.

    Hey man - you got any leans on the NBA tomorrow?
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #3
      Billingsley is 2-2 in his last 4 against the Padres. The Dodgers have never faced Gaudin. Advantage Padres. I have to try it. the linemaker left too many Crumbs laying out there for me.
      Comment
      • danrman
        SBR MVP
        • 08-30-08
        • 2696

        #4
        super tease... denver -1-lakers -3 (mon).. could hedge w/ ml on dallas-houston
        Comment
        • danrman
          SBR MVP
          • 08-30-08
          • 2696

          #5
          seeing how the pads just blew another close one to the dodgers they have a serious mental block but in the world of betting this is exactly when it could change.. its a gutsy contrairian play if i've ever seen one.. the kind i like BUT THE CAVEAT THAT MAKES IT WORTH A SHOT to me is billingsley next start is against arch rival sf and barry zito fri. night at dodger stadium.. billingsley loves to dominate the giants going 4-0 career and 1-0 in 2 games this year w/ a 1.88 era... gaudin for the pads is no pushover either.. the hedge would be the dodgers parlayed w/ the over
          Comment
          • melincrea
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-20-09
            • 276

            #6
            Orioles +120 for me
            Comment
            • j0hnnyv
              SBR MVP
              • 01-06-09
              • 3620

              #7
              u a good capper and all but you got to drop the crumbs talk dog. i know u dont tell people over the phone or in person yo man take this game lets get these crumbs. LOL i never heard this anywhere else, maybe im wrong and its a common betting term.

              gl 2 u regardless
              Comment
              • danrman
                SBR MVP
                • 08-30-08
                • 2696

                #8
                Originally posted by j0hnnyv
                u a good capper and all but you got to drop the crumbs talk dog. i know u dont tell people over the phone or in person yo man take this game lets get these crumbs. LOL i never heard this anywhere else, maybe im wrong and its a common betting term.

                gl 2 u regardless
                how bout you get another fukin avitar instead of coming into our thread and telling us how to talk
                Comment
                • Vince Carter
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-15-09
                  • 498

                  #9
                  Originally posted by j0hnnyv
                  u a good capper and all but you got to drop the crumbs talk dog. i know u dont tell people over the phone or in person yo man take this game lets get these crumbs. LOL i never heard this anywhere else, maybe im wrong and its a common betting term.

                  gl 2 u regardless
                  definitely sounds a lot better than that "i got a game of the week" or "game of the year" bullshit you retards talk about
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #10
                    I'm with you on the Padres and Indians, adding:

                    NYM (-110) @ PHI, NYM RL -1.5 (+140)
                    - John Maine is the better pitcher, and has the #2 offense in the majors to support him. The Mets are 8-1 in games vs PHI that Maine has started and have won 7 of those games by 3+ runs.
                    Comment
                    • The_Kid
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-09-08
                      • 5049

                      #11
                      Taking the Angels again. When does Phil Hughes deserve a line of -150?

                      Thanks for the Saturday plays, CK. Your help and insight is appreciated.
                      Comment
                      • Rizzla
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-04-09
                        • 100

                        #12
                        Wahoos?

                        ok, white sox.. found out
                        Comment
                        • peterpan19
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-02-08
                          • 3377

                          #13
                          todays picks:
                          LAA 5 Innings... is hughes a -140 pitcher ?...no...hell give me the Angels Ace for 5 Innings today...we all know that both bullpens are horrible so you never know if the ANgels can hold the lead but I will pretty comfortable today with Saunders on the mound

                          CLE...Lee at plus money here today ?... I dont know who it was (was it Dexter) you said after the last start by Verlander he looked much better... but his could very turn into another slugfest today...

                          STL -1
                          ...Cardinals will win the series with their Ace on the mound here today...


                          Mets
                          Maine's start to the season was maybe not so good... but he always pitched well against Phi...plus we have Blanton on the other side here today, who pretty much sucked so far...give me the plus in this one...
                          postponed

                          KC/Min Over 8.5
                          both starters struggled as of late...Meche is not a 100% and Baker... he just sucks this year so far...add in that both teams bats are hot right now I truly beleive that this game will go over...

                          GL
                          Comment
                          • peterpan19
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-02-08
                            • 3377

                            #14
                            rizzla

                            wahoos = Indians
                            Comment
                            • showtime2000
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-09-08
                              • 1054

                              #15
                              Not sure who posted this at the beginning of the season, "take the TT under for the SF Giants 1st 5 innings". Went back and looked into it and so far it's 18-4.
                              Comment
                              • Jimbo42
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 2076

                                #16
                                Originally posted by showtime2000
                                Not sure who posted this at the beginning of the season, "take the TT under for the SF Giants 1st 5 innings". Went back and looked into it and so far it's 18-4.
                                Showtime, that's a gem bro! You know it won't last, but can you imagine all month long just sitting back in you easy chair and phoning in your same play to the sportsbook....The money just rolling in... If life could be so grand!
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Rizzla
                                  Wahoos?

                                  ok, white sox.. found out
                                  Nope wrong again. The Wahoos are the Cleveland Indians!
                                  Comment
                                  • jellobiafra
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-08-09
                                    • 6291

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                    Nope wrong again. The Wahoos are the Cleveland Indians!
                                    And the Virginia Cavaliers. Go Hoos!
                                    Comment
                                    • ger25pic25
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-19-09
                                      • 373

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by showtime2000
                                      Not sure who posted this at the beginning of the season, "take the TT under for the SF Giants 1st 5 innings". Went back and looked into it and so far it's 18-4.

                                      In which book can you play this? I'm in Betus and they don't offer it
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962

                                        #20
                                        Damn... Mets/Phillies appears to be postponed already.
                                        Comment
                                        • Jimbo42
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 2076

                                          #21
                                          Early games:

                                          Booked:
                                          Houston -110
                                          Baltimore +102
                                          NY Yankees -1.5 runs +130
                                          (when a team loses at home at -200 or bigger they come out firing next game)

                                          GL all
                                          Comment
                                          • Flyers09
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-13-09
                                            • 3666

                                            #22
                                            phillies game might be post poned...heads up
                                            Comment
                                            • Flyers09
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-13-09
                                              • 3666

                                              #23
                                              nvm it is, and expect it to be cancelled....a lot of rain out here
                                              Comment
                                              • Jimbo42
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 2076

                                                #24
                                                Added:
                                                Florida +130 ( Zambrano due to be a little off)
                                                Comment
                                                • ragiche
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-08
                                                  • 3110

                                                  #25
                                                  OK already made up my mind.Plays for today are:

                                                  Hou PK (3x) (W)

                                                  Sdg RRL (3x)

                                                  Cle RL (3x) (L)

                                                  Cin RL (3x) (W)

                                                  Oak ML (3x)

                                                  Tor RL (3x) (W)

                                                  Laa ML (3x) (PPD)

                                                  Bos ML (3x) (L)

                                                  GL all.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #26
                                                    nm....i see what ur getting at
                                                    Comment
                                                    • laxdjock
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                      • 4074

                                                      #27
                                                      ML and RRL, 2 seperate bets.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #28
                                                        lots of value in the total of 9.5 between verlander and lee on sunday. both looked exceptional in their last start, and verlander was back to his old self.

                                                        -under indians 9.5/-120 (4x)

                                                        hughes has looked like a new pitcher in his minor league outings, plus start #1 vs the tigers. look for the yankees to get back on track sunday.

                                                        -yankees -150 (1x)

                                                        just gonna keep riding billingsley this year. the dodgers have won all 5 of his starts by an avg margin of 4 runs per game.

                                                        -dodgers -1.5/+100 (2x)

                                                        -nuggets -6 (3x)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • danrman
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-30-08
                                                          • 2696

                                                          #29
                                                          play the marlins!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #30
                                                            mets/phils cancelled
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kmarinouofm
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 8437

                                                              #31
                                                              ok guys a few for today

                                                              taking the Red (ck pick)
                                                              cardinals over 4.5 team total
                                                              marlins over 4 (fish get some revenge and play tough today to avoid the sweep)
                                                              Indians over 4
                                                              Comment
                                                              • danrman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-30-08
                                                                • 2696

                                                                #32
                                                                dodgers line has fallin all the way to la-202... sd is gonna win!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • laxdjock
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-15-07
                                                                  • 4074

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Indians TT is 4.5...blah. I took it bc I think Hughes and their BP gets eaten up.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • laxdjock
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-15-07
                                                                    • 4074

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by danrman
                                                                    seeing how the pads just blew another close one to the dodgers ....
                                                                    And screwed me again. blah. I still took the RRL +310 (2 units) and 1 unit on the ML, +186 or so.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • laxdjock
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                                      • 4074

                                                                      #35
                                                                      KAN/MIN score 1st inn yes -110, 1 unit
                                                                      CIN -1½ +135, 1 unit
                                                                      LAA +133, 1 unit
                                                                      LAA 1st 5 Innings +135, 1 unit
                                                                      CLE Over 4½ +105, 1 unit
                                                                      CLE ML -105, 1 unit
                                                                      SD -1½ +310, 2 units
                                                                      SD ML +186, 1 unit
                                                                      Comment
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