MLB - Wednesday, 4/20/16

LT Profits · 04-20-16, 08:29 AM

60%ers:

White Sox 63% (-170)
Texas 61% (-156)

Vinnie Paz · 04-20-16, 09:08 AM

No play on texas then? Can get well below 156

ddadof2 · 04-20-16, 09:12 AM

Long time lurker, 1st time poster (almost, 3rd post). Just wanted to say thank you to LT for posting your picks!

Brooklyn Dick · 04-20-16, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

No play on texas then? Can get well below 156

I played it -128. Why not?

LT Profits · 04-20-16, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

No play on texas then? Can get well below 156

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

I played it -128. Why not?

I HATE the major RLM on this game with the line getting further and further away from model number, so I am staying away.

jgold254 · 04-20-16, 10:45 AM

Hey LT, does your model account for the fact that 63.2% of today's games are going to be played with an ambient ground temperature of at least 50°F? If not, it could use some major tweaking, buddy!

Yazworm91 · 04-20-16, 11:49 AM

LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.

StackinGreen · 04-20-16, 12:04 PM

LT, I love today's games, there are so many high value games in my "system" which is based on team matchups. If interested, check out my thread today.

$G

LT Profits · 04-20-16, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by Yazworm91

LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.

Yes, I only get Mets 56% (-127), so I would not knock anyone for betting Phillies although I am passing as of now.

Kinghill5 · 04-20-16, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Yazworm91

LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.

I think its less about Colon... and more about the Phillies not being able to hit even if I was pitching against them.

LT Profits · 04-20-16, 02:41 PM

1 MLB Addition

5 MLB Plays Wednesday

Marlins -101 (Heritage)
Braves +123 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals OVER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
Twins / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Padres -106 (5 Dimes)

Yazworm91 · 04-20-16, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by Kinghill5

I think its less about Colon... and more about the Phillies not being able to hit even if I was pitching against them.

Haha I can't totally disagree with that but they have some decent success against him. It's more about seeing some value on them at +144

RollinDo · 04-20-16, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

5 MLB Plays Wednesday

Marlins -101 (Heritage)
Braves +123 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals OVER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
Twins / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Padres -106 (5 Dimes)

Really like the Twins-Brewers Under tonight...going with U 9.

posey_mvp · 04-20-16, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Really like the Twins-Brewers Under tonight...going with U 9.

Just curious which book has it at 9? My books all show 8.5. Did you buy the extra .5?

RollinDo · 04-20-16, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by posey_mvp

Just curious which book has it at 9? My books all show 8.5. Did you buy the extra .5?

Yes, I did...it's -135 at 5Dimes...thinking of just playing the U 8.5, but I hate that number...would rather buy up or down honestly.

Winner_13 · 04-20-16, 05:29 PM

LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

Goodluck this season.

jgold254 · 04-20-16, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by Winner_13

LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

Goodluck this season.

Dude. Fukkin give it a rest, bro.

JassieJames · 04-20-16, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by Winner_13

LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

Goodluck this season.

I feel like I am experiencing a bad case of deja vu.

Miavia · 04-20-16, 09:54 PM

That damn Jason Grili.....Why are they keep sending him out on the mound... My lord...Just shaking my head....

jmac227 · 04-20-16, 10:32 PM

does anyone have LT's results from past seasons? I know he was +90 some odd units last season but what about seasons before?

jmac227 · 04-20-16, 10:33 PM

Do you have your results LT? its hard to know who's picks to follow in this forum

funnyb25 · 04-20-16, 10:35 PM

2015: +91.63
2014: -6.99
2013: -47.something
2012: +46.something

afgballer56 · 04-20-16, 10:39 PM

so many of the same garbage questions
everyday on this mans thread
ppl gotta lay offf
or mayb this guy should post his record of las 5 years at the end of each post

posey_mvp · 04-20-16, 11:46 PM

I made this comment in another thread but did anyone else noticed the Minn/Brewers game..

Did anyone else noticed the line movement. It was at 8.5 and over 80% of the public was on the under.. Then all the sharp money was on the over at last minute.. And even the under 8.5 was even money or +105 on some books.. Wish I saw it sooner, unfortunately was on the wrong end.

xpress · 04-21-16, 12:42 AM

epic 2013: -47.something coming

LT Profits · 04-21-16, 07:24 AM

Damn, now in the negative for the first time in 2 years (unless you count my whopping -0.05 units on opening day this year).

At least it is still only April.

LT Profits · 04-21-16, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by xpress

epic 2013: -47.something coming

2013 washed out 2012. 2015 more than made up for everything.