MLB - Wednesday, 4/20/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Wednesday, 4/20/16
    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Marlins -101 (Heritage)
    Braves +123 (Heritage)
    Twins / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Padres -106 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 33-37-1, +0.73
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    60%ers:

    White Sox 63% (-170)
    Texas 61% (-156)
    Comment
    • Vinnie Paz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-27-12
      • 12177

      #3
      No play on texas then? Can get well below 156
      Comment
      • ddadof2
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-09-14
        • 6

        #4
        Long time lurker, 1st time poster (almost, 3rd post). Just wanted to say thank you to LT for posting your picks!
        Comment
        • Brooklyn Dick
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-08
          • 1068

          #5
          Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
          No play on texas then? Can get well below 156
          I played it -128. Why not?
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
            No play on texas then? Can get well below 156
            Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

            I played it -128. Why not?
            I HATE the major RLM on this game with the line getting further and further away from model number, so I am staying away.
            Comment
            • jgold254
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-23-12
              • 886

              #7
              Hey LT, does your model account for the fact that 63.2% of today's games are going to be played with an ambient ground temperature of at least 50°F? If not, it could use some major tweaking, buddy!
              Comment
              • Yazworm91
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-13
                • 2397

                #8
                LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.
                Comment
                • StackinGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-09-10
                  • 12140

                  #9
                  LT, I love today's games, there are so many high value games in my "system" which is based on team matchups. If interested, check out my thread today.

                  $G
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Yazworm91
                    LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.
                    Yes, I only get Mets 56% (-127), so I would not knock anyone for betting Phillies although I am passing as of now.
                    Comment
                    • Kinghill5
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-09-13
                      • 120

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Yazworm91
                      LT what you got on Phillies? Colon should not be -155 against anyone.
                      I think its less about Colon... and more about the Phillies not being able to hit even if I was pitching against them.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        1 MLB Addition

                        5 MLB Plays Wednesday

                        Marlins -101 (Heritage)
                        Braves +123 (Heritage)
                        Tigers / Royals OVER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
                        Twins / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
                        Padres -106 (5 Dimes)
                        Comment
                        • Yazworm91
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-13
                          • 2397

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Kinghill5
                          I think its less about Colon... and more about the Phillies not being able to hit even if I was pitching against them.

                          Haha I can't totally disagree with that but they have some decent success against him. It's more about seeing some value on them at +144
                          Comment
                          • RollinDo
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-04-13
                            • 13322

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            5 MLB Plays Wednesday

                            Marlins -101 (Heritage)
                            Braves +123 (Heritage)
                            Tigers / Royals OVER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
                            Twins / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
                            Padres -106 (5 Dimes)
                            Really like the Twins-Brewers Under tonight...going with U 9.
                            Comment
                            • posey_mvp
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-05-16
                              • 453

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RollinDo
                              Really like the Twins-Brewers Under tonight...going with U 9.
                              Just curious which book has it at 9? My books all show 8.5. Did you buy the extra .5?
                              Comment
                              • RollinDo
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-04-13
                                • 13322

                                #16
                                Originally posted by posey_mvp
                                Just curious which book has it at 9? My books all show 8.5. Did you buy the extra .5?
                                Yes, I did...it's -135 at 5Dimes...thinking of just playing the U 8.5, but I hate that number...would rather buy up or down honestly.
                                Comment
                                • Winner_13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-04-10
                                  • 1744

                                  #17
                                  LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
                                  Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

                                  Goodluck this season.
                                  Comment
                                  • jgold254
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-23-12
                                    • 886

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Winner_13
                                    LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
                                    Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

                                    Goodluck this season.
                                    Dude. Fukkin give it a rest, bro.
                                    Comment
                                    • JassieJames
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-03-09
                                      • 988

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Winner_13
                                      LT, do you notice any difference in the MLB market this year compared to last year?
                                      Are the opening numbers closer to your lines? Are the lines moving less/more in your favor after you bet them?

                                      Goodluck this season.
                                      I feel like I am experiencing a bad case of deja vu.
                                      Comment
                                      • Miavia
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-12-15
                                        • 401

                                        #20
                                        That damn Jason Grili.....Why are they keep sending him out on the mound... My lord...Just shaking my head....
                                        Comment
                                        • jmac227
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 03-19-16
                                          • 25

                                          #21
                                          does anyone have LT's results from past seasons? I know he was +90 some odd units last season but what about seasons before?
                                          Comment
                                          • jmac227
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 03-19-16
                                            • 25

                                            #22
                                            Do you have your results LT? its hard to know who's picks to follow in this forum
                                            Comment
                                            • funnyb25
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 07-09-09
                                              • 39663

                                              #23
                                              2015: +91.63
                                              2014: -6.99
                                              2013: -47.something
                                              2012: +46.something
                                              Comment
                                              • afgballer56
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-11-14
                                                • 1312

                                                #24
                                                so many of the same garbage questions
                                                everyday on this mans thread
                                                ppl gotta lay offf
                                                or mayb this guy should post his record of las 5 years at the end of each post
                                                Comment
                                                • posey_mvp
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-05-16
                                                  • 453

                                                  #25
                                                  I made this comment in another thread but did anyone else noticed the Minn/Brewers game..

                                                  Did anyone else noticed the line movement. It was at 8.5 and over 80% of the public was on the under.. Then all the sharp money was on the over at last minute.. And even the under 8.5 was even money or +105 on some books.. Wish I saw it sooner, unfortunately was on the wrong end.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • xpress
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-01-14
                                                    • 921

                                                    #26
                                                    epic 2013: -47.something coming
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Damn, now in the negative for the first time in 2 years (unless you count my whopping -0.05 units on opening day this year).

                                                      At least it is still only April.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by xpress
                                                        epic 2013: -47.something coming
                                                        2013 washed out 2012. 2015 more than made up for everything.
                                                        Comment
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