iloseagain's' MLB thread

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  • iloseagain
    Restricted User
    • 06-29-10
    • 10681

    #141
    prob should just be taking cubs tt over.. they have been raking. Same, but not as much, with yanks hou sf and lad
    Comment
    • jeffchitown
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-16
      • 1859

      #142
      Originally posted by iloseagain
      prob should just be taking cubs tt over.. they have been raking. Same, but not as much, with yanks hou sf and lad
      Good Point I'll be on that tomorrow. I just put $20 to win $24 for tomorrow cubs RL -1.5. I will do TT when it comes available.
      Comment
      • iloseagain
        Restricted User
        • 06-29-10
        • 10681

        #143
        theyve scored 9, 6 and 10+ tonight. Not sure whos pitching for zona tomorrow, but they certainly dont have anyone good going tomorrow
        Comment
        • iloseagain
          Restricted User
          • 06-29-10
          • 10681

          #144
          colorado should win tomorrow right? Does it even matter who is pitching against SD? Col is -156. Feel like they should be -200 the way they been hitting.

          Like Eickhoff and Degrom. Under 7 looks good but prob wont touch.

          SF/LAD o8 again? Cain and Stripling.. Cain 4 ERA-5.79 ERA last 3 years. Dodgers AND sf both raking.. Why not?

          Yanks/Det o7.5 looks good. Yanks have been crushing the ball and Det has been hitting well. Det gets the DH back too so victor martinez who is 2/2 with 2 Pinch Hit HRs can get full ABs. Severino mostly good last year, but im sure he will be rusty. Zimm got hit hard last year a bunch.. Had him in fantasy, so i know this.

          KC -160.. Lots of juice, but after watching Min not be able to hit baltimore pitching, are they going to be able to hit KC pitching? Ventura is decent, and have one of the best bullpens in baseball. Will be rested too.. KC should win this first game for sure. Maybe Min tt under? Is this the game they break out for 10 though?

          Seattle line isnt up but i imagine it will be like -140.. Like seattle too. Oak cant hit for shit and Tijuan Walker pitched as well as anyone after June 1 of last year. He has amazing stuff and Oakland couldnt hit me throwing 65
          Last edited by iloseagain; 04-08-16, 12:07 AM.
          Comment
          • jeffchitown
            SBR MVP
            • 01-21-16
            • 1859

            #145
            Originally posted by iloseagain
            colorado should win tomorrow right? Does it even matter who is pitching against SD? Col is -156. Feel like they should be -200 the way they been hitting.

            Like Eickhoff and Degrom. Under 7 looks good but prob wont touch.

            SF/LAD o8 again? Cain and Stripling.. Cain 4 ERA-5.79 ERA last 3 years. Dodgers AND sf both raking.. Why not?

            Yanks/Det o7.5 looks good. Yanks have been crushing the ball and Det has been hitting well. Det gets the DH back too so victor martinez who is 2/2 with 2 Pinch Hit HRs can get full ABs. Severino mostly good last year, but im sure he will be rusty. Zimm got hit hard last year a bunch.. Had him in fantasy, so i know this.

            KC -160.. Lots of juice, but after watching Min not be able to hit baltimore pitching, are they going to be able to hit KC pitching? Ventura is decent, and have one of the best bullpens in baseball. Will be rested too.. KC should win this first game for sure.

            Seattle line isnt up but i imagine it will be like -140.. Like seattle too. Oak cant hit for shit and Tijuan Walker pitched as well as anyone after June 1 of last year. He has amazing stuff and Oakland couldnt hit me throwing 65
            Colorado should win this easiest. Also Coors field is the easiest stadium to hit home runs at I would definitely team TT tomorrow. I don't know about overall over because padres suck. I don't see padres winning this game unless they get hella lucky on the bats tomorrow. I'll probably parlay colorado and the cubs TT tomorrow with money line for both. Assuming it lets me do that not sure if there is any correlation issues.

            Holy crap yes over again in the SF LAD these pitchers look crappy. We'd have to get really unlucky to not hit it.

            I like the under in the detroit yanks game. Both great pitchers and its going to be really cold out in detroit. Generally I think games are lower scoring and better pitchers strike out in cold weather. I may not touch this game but under is what I would take if I did. I also think Detroit wins it but then again yanks are looking pretty good. Castro traded from the cubs is having a hell of a start for the yanks.

            I agree KC should win this but I like the twins pitching better. I'm not sure if I will touch this game. Both bats haven't proved anything so far in the first games. Now granted royals played a stellar pitching by the mets so this should be much easier for them. I may throw them in a parlay or live bet it if twins get a early lead.

            Seattle agree they should win no problem
            Comment
            • iloseagain
              Restricted User
              • 06-29-10
              • 10681

              #146
              I bet my way out of colorado game


              SF o8 -120**
              Last edited by iloseagain; 04-08-16, 10:44 AM.
              Comment
              • iloseagain
                Restricted User
                • 06-29-10
                • 10681

                #147
                Originally posted by jeffchitown
                I like the under in the detroit yanks game. Both great pitchers and its going to be really cold out in detroit. Generally I think games are lower scoring and better pitchers strike out in cold weather. I may not touch this game but under is what I would take if I did. I also think Detroit wins it but then again yanks are looking pretty good. Castro traded from the cubs is having a hell of a start for the yanks.
                zimmerman and severino? Severino has pitched 11 games in the MLB. Zimmerman has been solid, but not great by any means
                Comment
                • jeffchitown
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-16
                  • 1859

                  #148
                  Originally posted by iloseagain
                  zimmerman and severino? Severino has pitched 11 games in the MLB. Zimmerman has been solid, but not great by any means
                  Since august 5 last year severino has been pitching lights out. Spring training wasn't great but not a good measure because you never know what the pitcher is working on in the game but his last 3 starts of spring where I think they try to get a more regular season vibe pitched 3.86 era. It's fine if you don't agree I follow trends heavily. I always I look at how a player finishes a season and how he performs in spring training. I like what I see with him he looks like he could have a big year this year. This cold weather is only going to help these pitchers is my thoughts. Most people are viewing the game like you are. If I were to not look at the pitchers and just look at the teams and exclude the weather my thoughts would be wow this is going to go over. Detroit just killed it in miami and yankees bats look hot. I throw in the pitching and the cold weather I think we have a close low score matchup. So I'm going sharp here because the squares will be on the over.
                  Comment
                  • jeffchitown
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-16
                    • 1859

                    #149
                    Anyhow the under is probably the play but I will wait to see if it goes to 8.5. I locked in personally a small amount at 8 but will monitor its movement. I probably won't add anymore then I did to it. It is possible they cancel this game due to cold weather so my bet may be voided anyhow lol. I'd say if you take the over I would not go big on it. I'm not very confident in either but more confident in the under. Clearly no one knows for sure if they did we'd all be millionaires.
                    Comment
                    • jeffchitown
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-16
                      • 1859

                      #150
                      Look at astros -130 rl -1.5 +125 vs brewers. Superior pitching and astros are just better than brewers. I just put about $20 on both.
                      Comment
                      • iloseagain
                        Restricted User
                        • 06-29-10
                        • 10681

                        #151
                        Originally posted by jeffchitown
                        Look at astros -130 rl -1.5 +125 vs brewers. Superior pitching and astros are just better than brewers. I just put about $20 on both.
                        I was thinking about astros too.

                        Only reason im saying that about severino is because a lot of pitchers can come into the league and pitch good for 11 starts.. That really isnt a big enough sample size to consider a pitcher "great" or even good. You see it all the time with pitchers, they have a good run to open their career, the hitters start adjusting to what they do now that there is more tape and info on the pitcher, and boom, they arent so good anymore... We will see, I will not be touching that game most likely anyways so GL on under
                        Comment
                        • iloseagain
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-29-10
                          • 10681

                          #152
                          So, padres are actually a very strong play for this system i am following.. System didnt do well yesterday, but its a system that actually has a losing record, but since it plays all dogs, it has won over time. I will keep posting system plays to see how it turns out

                          Padres +130**
                          Zona +125*
                          Oak +150*

                          It sure spits out some ugly plays, but its been proven to win. Maybe I should wait a little longer into the season, but it shouldnt matter because everything is fitting the system thus far.

                          Other plays
                          SF o8 -120**
                          Cle -135*
                          Sox/Jays o8.5 -115**
                          Cubs TT o4.5 -125**
                          Last edited by iloseagain; 04-08-16, 10:46 AM.
                          Comment
                          • iloseagain
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-29-10
                            • 10681

                            #153
                            System plays on 4/7
                            1-3 -4.8x

                            System Plays total
                            1-3 -4.8x

                            Other plays
                            2-1 -0.2x


                            Overall 12-26 -25.1 units
                            Comment
                            • RollinDo
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-04-13
                              • 13322

                              #154
                              Stroman for Jays is 4-0 lifetime vs BoSox...Kelly is not a great road pitcher...looking at Jays, but so juiced
                              Comment
                              • iloseagain
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-29-10
                                • 10681

                                #155
                                1h Mets -0.5 -160 0.5x
                                Comment
                                • iloseagain
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-29-10
                                  • 10681

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by RollinDo
                                  Stroman for Jays is 4-0 lifetime vs BoSox...Kelly is not a great road pitcher...looking at Jays, but so juiced
                                  Yup.. Going to continue to take red sox overs until they prove they can pitch
                                  Comment
                                  • ship2volk
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-05-16
                                    • 132

                                    #157
                                    Mets line is so juices, gonna have to go with run line

                                    Mets rl -1.5 -120*

                                    Not touching the Yanks game (looks fishy) but the over looking like the play here
                                    Comment
                                    • iloseagain
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-29-10
                                      • 10681

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by ship2volk
                                      Mets line is so juices, gonna have to go with run line

                                      Mets rl -1.5 -120*

                                      Not touching the Yanks game (looks fishy) but the over looking like the play here
                                      this will be the game the phils hit somehow, watch..
                                      Comment
                                      • ship2volk
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-05-16
                                        • 132

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by iloseagain
                                        this will be the game the phils hit somehow, watch..
                                        im gonna cry
                                        Comment
                                        • iloseagain
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-29-10
                                          • 10681

                                          #160
                                          either that or mets win 1-0
                                          Comment
                                          • iloseagain
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-29-10
                                            • 10681

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by jeffchitown
                                            Anyhow the under is probably the play but I will wait to see if it goes to 8.5. I locked in personally a small amount at 8 but will monitor its movement. I probably won't add anymore then I did to it. It is possible they cancel this game due to cold weather so my bet may be voided anyhow lol. I'd say if you take the over I would not go big on it. I'm not very confident in either but more confident in the under. Clearly no one knows for sure if they did we'd all be millionaires.
                                            nice call on under.. severino got rocked but i didnt expect zimm to throw gem against those hot yanks bats.. maybe weather played a factor
                                            Comment
                                            • jeffchitown
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-21-16
                                              • 1859

                                              #162
                                              Thanks!! Yeah severino didnt do as well as i thought he would. He still didnt walk anyone and had 5 strikeouts. I wouldnt say he was rocked just a lot of lucky hits. He was definitely not good but i thought did okay watching him. Definitely did worse then i thought he would do. In my head i predicted tigers would win 4 to 2 so the game was even lower scoring then i thought it would be.
                                              Comment
                                              • RollinDo
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-04-13
                                                • 13322

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                nice call on under.. severino got rocked but i didnt expect zimm to throw gem against those hot yanks bats.. maybe weather played a factor
                                                Man - I thought the Mets game had a better chance of the Under than the Tigers...expected like a 6-4 game in MoTown today.
                                                Just goes to show these totals are pretty tricky early on...though I don't remember such extremes the last 2 seasons in April.
                                                Comment
                                                • ship2volk
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 04-05-16
                                                  • 132

                                                  #164
                                                  Mets rl -1.5 -120*

                                                  ytd 8-6 +.87u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • iloseagain
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-29-10
                                                    • 10681

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                    Man - I thought the Mets game had a better chance of the Under than the Tigers...expected like a 6-4 game in MoTown today.
                                                    Just goes to show these totals are pretty tricky early on...though I don't remember such extremes the last 2 seasons in April.
                                                    thought ets would go under for sure
                                                    Originally posted by ship2volk
                                                    Mets rl -1.5 -120*

                                                    ytd 8-6 +.87u
                                                    nice hit. whenever i play RLs, i lose.. Ive tried to stay away from them, but the mets are legit and philly is really bad, so they may sweep the series and cover the RL every game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #166
                                                      Yeah nice hit man, I never play rl w/ home teams, scared of losing that half inning
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iloseagain
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 06-29-10
                                                        • 10681

                                                        #167
                                                        System Plays
                                                        Padres +130**
                                                        Zona +125*
                                                        Oak +150*

                                                        Other plays
                                                        SF o8 -120**
                                                        Cle -135*
                                                        Sox/Jays o8.5 -115**
                                                        Cubs TT o4.5 -125**
                                                        1h Mets -0.5 -160 0.5x
                                                        Add
                                                        KC -1 -108** PUSH
                                                        Parlay Tor/Sea 1x to win 1.7x
                                                        Last edited by iloseagain; 04-08-16, 11:36 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iloseagain
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-29-10
                                                          • 10681

                                                          #168
                                                          whoa whoa whoa is that a 3-0 start to the day?!?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ship2volk
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 04-05-16
                                                            • 132

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                            Yeah nice hit man, I never play rl w/ home teams, scared of losing that half inning
                                                            I usually don't touch rl but the ml was juiced to 220, no way I was playing that
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ship2volk
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-05-16
                                                              • 132

                                                              #170
                                                              Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                              whoa whoa whoa is that a 3-0 start to the day?!?
                                                              Let's keep rolling
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ship2volk
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 04-05-16
                                                                • 132

                                                                #171
                                                                Not looking at any bets for tonight, but I missed Zona.

                                                                Back at it tomorrow
                                                                Comment
                                                                • iloseagain
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-29-10
                                                                  • 10681

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Sox jays over easy winner too
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • iloseagain
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-29-10
                                                                    • 10681

                                                                    #173
                                                                    updated up there but gonna re post instead

                                                                    System Plays
                                                                    Padres +130**
                                                                    Zona +125*
                                                                    Oak +150*

                                                                    Other plays
                                                                    SF o8 -120**
                                                                    Cle -135*
                                                                    Sox/Jays o8.5 -115**
                                                                    Cubs TT o4.5 -125**
                                                                    1h Mets -0.5 -160 0.5x

                                                                    Add
                                                                    KC -1 -108** PUSH
                                                                    Parlay Tor/Sea 1x to win 1.7x


                                                                    System plays 4/8
                                                                    3-0 +4 units

                                                                    Other plays 4/8
                                                                    3-2 -2.9



                                                                    System Plays total

                                                                    4-3 -0.8x

                                                                    Overall 18-28 -24 units
                                                                    Last edited by iloseagain; 04-09-16, 12:14 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ship2volk
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 04-05-16
                                                                      • 132

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                                      updated up there but gonna re post instead

                                                                      System Plays
                                                                      Padres +130**
                                                                      Zona +125*
                                                                      Oak +150*

                                                                      Other plays
                                                                      SF o8 -120**
                                                                      Cle -135*
                                                                      Sox/Jays o8.5 -115**
                                                                      Cubs TT o4.5 -125**
                                                                      1h Mets -0.5 -160 0.5x

                                                                      Add
                                                                      KC -1 -108** PUSH
                                                                      Parlay Tor/Sea 1x to win 1.7x


                                                                      System plays 4/8
                                                                      3-0 +4 units

                                                                      Other plays 4/8
                                                                      3-2 -2.9



                                                                      System Plays total

                                                                      4-3 -0.8x

                                                                      Overall 18-28 -24 units
                                                                      lets keep it going
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                                        • 52143

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Gl buddy
                                                                        Comment
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