Baseball 2016

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  • CappinTerp
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-26-09
    • 9650

    #1
    Baseball 2016
    Hey guys,hope all is well out there. Going to do another thread this season. For the newer cappers at SBR: I power weight the games between 1 - 6 units, with 6 unit games being very rare.( prob 4-5 games for the season) I will do a write up on the games that are 3-6 units. All games will be listed pitchers. I bet a lot of dogs,when I bet a fav. I really don't like laying much more than - 135! When it comes to totals, for the most part,prefer to look at unders for AL games and overs for NL games. See no need to bet more than 2 units on a game until early May. Ideas,thoughts, are welcomed.Win or loose will up date record on Daily basis. And as always feel free to tail,fade or pass............Hope all have a profitable season!!.......................GL
  • EXhoosier10
    SBR MVP
    • 07-06-09
    • 3122

    #2
    Comment
    • CappinTerp
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-26-09
      • 9650

      #3
      Balt. / Minn. - under 9 -110....1 unit.................................... ....gl
      Comment
      • CappinTerp
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 9650

        #4
        REVERSE: SEA -105 and OVER 8.5 -115(same)....1 unit

        LAD / SD - UNDER 7.5 -115................................1.5 UNITS................................... ........GL


        MLB: 1-0
        YTD: +1.00 UNITS
        Comment
        • CappinTerp
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-26-09
          • 9650

          #5
          ​clev. -105 ff...................1 unit.................................... ......gl
          Comment
          • CappinTerp
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-26-09
            • 9650

            #6
            Hey guys, just something to mention since it came up. Had a push today with Clev. FF. For the purpose of record keeping any push or tie,will not be part of the won,loss record............................BOL
            Comment
            • CappinTerp
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-26-09
              • 9650

              #7
              SEA / TX - OVER 9.5 -110....2 UNITS - Lewis in 17 starts at home (last year) has a 5.07 ERA.Miley in just 2 starts there has a 4.63 ERA,this will be his 1 st start for SEA. Both teams have the bats.....worth a small play.................................... gl






              Hit the reverse and total play on LAD/SD,Push on Tribe total, for a 3-0 day,+5.50 units.





              MLB: 4-0
              YTD: +6.50 UNITS
              Comment
              • CappinTerp
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-26-09
                • 9650

                #8
                Anybody out there on ATL. +180 ??? Yea,know Braves are bad and have lost 15 of last 20 games vs Nats. But Strasburg has a high 4.79 ERA in 9 starts at Turner Field. Can not pull trigger,ideas guys ??
                Comment
                • slam77
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-16-13
                  • 1985

                  #9
                  Originally posted by CappinTerp
                  Anybody out there on ATL. +180 ??? Yea,know Braves are bad and have lost 15 of last 20 games vs Nats. But Strasburg has a high 4.79 ERA in 9 starts at Turner Field. Can not pull trigger,ideas guys ??
                  I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.
                  Comment
                  • Smutbucket
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-14-08
                    • 3996

                    #10
                    I was eyeing the braves team total over 3 quite heavily...but decided to lay off...word is strasburg is dealing right now and in great form....last year when he came back from injury he faced the braves twice and shut them out twice, thats what off put me
                    Comment
                    • CappinTerp
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 9650

                      #11
                      Originally posted by slam77

                      I'm on them. Strasburg is 8-11 career vs Bravos. 3.77 era though which isn't awful. Strictly a value play here for me as Norris is 2-1 vs Nats. If braves were +160 or lower it wouldn't be a play. However, I'm 4-7 to start this year, so tread my intelligence lightly.
                      Originally posted by Smutbucket
                      I was eyeing the braves team total over 3 quite heavily...but decided to lay off...word is strasburg is dealing right now and in great form....last year when he came back from injury he faced the braves twice and shut them out twice, thats what off put me
                      <br>
                      <br>yea guys one thing about Strausburg he is over rated and there for over priced. Both you guys thanks 4 the feedback....still don't know may pass.....................guys lets make money this year!!!
                      Comment
                      • CappinTerp
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 9650

                        #12
                        Smutbucked I go 2 ur thread....I don't know how u do it with using saber metrics,it seem so hard (2 me) 2 know what comes into play.!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • MecStar
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-31-11
                          • 478

                          #13
                          CappinTerp = Monsta !!!! Over comes threw
                          Comment
                          • CappinTerp
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 9650

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MecStar
                            CappinTerp = Monsta !!!! Over comes threw
                            Yea, but would have,should have, could have.................................... ..I was 2 tepid...I WAS going 2 do a 2 unit reverse: SEA+ OVER,would have made 8 units!!
                            Comment
                            • MecStar
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-31-11
                              • 478

                              #15
                              Plenty of time brotha plenty of time !!!! Let's enjoy that win and keep rolling!!! Anything later to hammer ?
                              Comment
                              • CappinTerp
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 9650

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MecStar
                                Plenty of time brotha plenty of time !!!! Let's enjoy that win and keep rolling!!! Anything later to hammer ?
                                You r right on!! did u know,when there is a full slate of games on a day,there r over 250 + 2 bet baseball!!!!
                                Comment
                                • MecStar
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-31-11
                                  • 478

                                  #17
                                  What u think bout the cards ? Can't see that team getting swept
                                  Comment
                                  • CappinTerp
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 9650

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MecStar
                                    What u think bout the cards ? Can't see that team getting swept
                                    Got no option on Cards. See no other plays tonight.Just going to ring the register. And call it a day,don't want to press or give anything back........As they say, no one goes broke taking a profit!!!............................... .......................gl
                                    Comment
                                    • MecStar
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-31-11
                                      • 478

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                      Got no option on Cards. See no other plays tonight.Just going to ring the register. And call it a day,don't want to press or give anything back........As they say, no one goes broke taking a profit!!!............................... .......................gl
                                      AMEN TO THAT... tomorrow another day to get this money keep rolling and always appreciated for your winners 👍🏻
                                      Comment
                                      • Smutbucket
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-14-08
                                        • 3996

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                        Smutbucked I go 2 ur thread....I don't know how u do it with using saber metrics,it seem so hard (2 me) 2 know what comes into play.!!!!!
                                        Ya its tricky, always kinda adapting and evolving tickering to find out what works best, sucks cuz I really struggled last year for the first time and all the time put into it can be disheartening....

                                        anyways keep killing it dude! glad to see ya back. what was that streak you had in spring training a few years back ? 13/14 in a row?!? UNREAL!
                                        Comment
                                        • CappinTerp
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 9650

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                          Ya its tricky, always kinda adapting and evolving tickering to find out what works best, sucks cuz I really struggled last year for the first time and all the time put into it can be disheartening....

                                          anyways keep killing it dude! glad to see ya back. what was that streak you had in spring training a few years back ? 13/14 in a row?!? UNREAL!
                                          Well with all that data to consume,ur a better man than me, I would not know whats worth,what ?.....Yea, 3 years ago I started out baseball going 15 - 0 !!...A little luck never hurts!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • CappinTerp
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 9650

                                            #22
                                            PHIL + 116 FF...2 UNITS - Both teams will be bad this year. Reds starter Stephenson will make his Major League debut!! This guy was the Reds first round pick back in 2011, he was even cut from spring training roster last month!!! But was told to be ready,Homer Bailey can not go today,so Stephenson with his 9.58 ERA,this spring,will get a spot start. Don't trust Phil. bullpen,that is why the bet is for the first five innings. Vet. Morton making 1st start with new team. I can hear the Reds starter knees shaking already!!...We will see what happens................................. .............GL

                                            MLB: 5-0
                                            YTD: +8.50 UNITS
                                            Comment
                                            • CappinTerp
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 9650

                                              #23
                                              Lost the first game of the season yesterday, and plenty more where that came from!

                                              DET -111....2 UNITS
                                              SD + 124....1.5 UNITS
                                              CLEV/CWS UNDER 8 +100...........1 UNIT.................................... ....GL


                                              MLB:5-1
                                              YTD: + 6.50 UNITS
                                              Comment
                                              • trobin31
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-09-14
                                                • 9853

                                                #24
                                                Nice start terp
                                                Comment
                                                • Aye J Mac
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-13-12
                                                  • 5424

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice going bro
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CappinTerp
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 9650

                                                    #26
                                                    Gotta run, prob. back later....good luck guys!



                                                    R.SOX +114......1.5 UNITS
                                                    CLEV/CWS - UNDER 7 -20........1 UNIT


                                                    MLB:7-1
                                                    YTD:+10.36 UNITS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Conqueror
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                      • 16778

                                                      #27
                                                      Wow! Great run.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RavensFan2k3
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-18-12
                                                        • 17378

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                                        Gotta run, prob. back later....good luck guys!



                                                        R.SOX +114......1.5 UNITS
                                                        CLEV/CWS - UNDER 7 -20........1 UNIT


                                                        MLB:7-1
                                                        YTD:+10.36 UNITS
                                                        Damn, Rick Porcello is garbage, but you're the man. Best of luck buddy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CappinTerp
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 9650

                                                          #29
                                                          Hey Raven,how is it going for you??...Yea Porcello had a bad season LY, and has a career 5.29 ERA vs Jays.Don't understand why the line is not higher??.............we will see what happens...................BOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Aye J Mac
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 07-13-12
                                                            • 5424

                                                            #30
                                                            Goodluck bro
                                                            Comment
                                                            • CappinTerp
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 9650

                                                              #31
                                                              Hey, trobin,Aye,conqueror, thanks for the feedback. I do all this work(win or loose) and share it with everyone,it is a good thing,knowing that someone appreciate's it!..................................BOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Aye J Mac
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-13-12
                                                                • 5424

                                                                #32
                                                                Any plays left for today?? What's your play on SF vs Dodgers
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CappinTerp
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 9650

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Will not play the LAD game,still looking at others.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-18-12
                                                                    • 17378

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                                                    Hey Raven,how is it going for you??...Yea Porcello had a bad season LY, and has a career 5.29 ERA vs Jays.Don't understand why the line is not higher??.............we will see what happens...................BOL
                                                                    Hence why I say you're the man...excellent call. I didn't play it, but I was on Cinci
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CappinTerp
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                                      • 9650

                                                                      #35

                                                                      laa/tx - over 8-120................2 units.................................gl


                                                                      mlb:8-2
                                                                      ytd:+10.87 units................FYI- Weaver may have a "dead arm" and still struggling to find his velocity,Perez is wild and has control problems.



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