Week of 4-12 MLB plays

Justin7 · 04-16-09, 04:04 PM

Stl-Chc - Stl changed pitchers to Lohse, and changed ML to -175.
I'll still play Chc at -175 with the new pitcher.

Justin7 · 04-16-09, 04:10 PM

Bah, SBR Odds are telling me different frmo the books. I'd play it with either pitcher for St.Louis, although I obviously like fading Walters more.

Justin7 · 04-18-09, 08:43 AM

From 4-17, 3-1, +2.26u.
YTD: 18-18; -0.84u

Justin7 · 04-18-09, 02:03 PM

4-18
CHC -128
SD +173
SD/PHI UND9.5 -107
Col +161

Justin7 · 04-18-09, 04:08 PM

4-19
Was +130
Was UND9.5 -110
Atl +102
Atl OV8 -102
Hou +119

LVHerbie · 04-18-09, 04:33 PM

Is Houston suppose to be -119?

Justin7 · 04-18-09, 05:11 PM

Perhaps they are "supposed" to be, but I bet them at +119

They are +117 now at Pinnacle.

j0hnnyv · 04-18-09, 05:48 PM

Houston is -125 at pinnacle right now.

SBRLINES line history:

MONEYLINES
04/17 02:18PM: +118 / -126
04/18 09:54AM: +114 / -122
04/18 10:07AM: +112 / -120
04/18 10:17AM: +110 / -118
04/18 10:31AM: +114 / -122
04/18 11:02AM: +117 / -125
04/18 11:12AM: +121 / -129
04/18 01:33PM: +116 / -124
04/18 05:42PM: +115 / -123
04/18 05:49PM: +117 / -125

I do believe you tho... They HAVE CINCI at +117 right now. you have cin +119?

BigDaddy · 04-18-09, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by j0hnnyv

Houston is -125 at pinnacle right now.

SBRLINES line history:

MONEYLINES
04/17 02:18PM: +118 / -126
04/18 09:54AM: +114 / -122
04/18 10:07AM: +112 / -120
04/18 10:17AM: +110 / -118
04/18 10:31AM: +114 / -122
04/18 11:02AM: +117 / -125
04/18 11:12AM: +121 / -129
04/18 01:33PM: +116 / -124
04/18 05:42PM: +115 / -123
04/18 05:49PM: +117 / -125

I do believe you tho... They HAVE CINCI at +117 right now. you have cin +119?

he has houston +119 for sundays game

j0hnnyv · 04-18-09, 06:02 PM

wow sorry justin. i didnt take my medicine yet today

RonPaul2008 · 04-18-09, 06:15 PM

good luck

Justin7 · 04-18-09, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

4-18
CHC -128
SD +173
SD/PHI UND9.5 -107
Col +161

2-2, +0.66u

YTD:
YTD: 20-20; -0.18u

LVHerbie · 04-19-09, 04:21 AM

Originally posted by j0hnnyv

wow sorry justin. i didnt take my medicine yet today

I missed the date of the play as well... Care to share some of your medicine?

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by Justin7

4-19
Was +130
Was UND9.5 -110
Atl +102
Atl OV8 -102
Hou +119

Was +130, now +123
Atl +102, now -109
Hou +119, now +108
Atl total... same
Was total... -105
5 plays, 24 cents movement for the best

damn, I love MLB!

pat venditto · 04-19-09, 11:28 AM

Think your bigtime justin?

+135 I win.

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by pat venditto

Think your bigtime justin?

Yes, as a matter of fact I do

RonPaul2008 · 04-19-09, 12:31 PM

good luck

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 04:36 PM

2-3, -1.03u
YTD: 22-23; -1.25u

donjuan · 04-19-09, 04:46 PM

Books need to start offering 8i lines on the Nats, clearly. Killing my br.

BeatTheJerk · 04-19-09, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by donjuan

Books need to start offering 8i lines on the Nats, clearly. Killing my br.

Why fade or play against a team who is 11-1 or play on a team who is 1-11 in the 1st place anyway ?

BeatTheJerk · 04-19-09, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

2-3, -1.03u
YTD: 22-23; -1.25u

Not impressed through about 50 plays Justin7 ..................... your gonna need to pick it up there pal lol j/k, are you gonna run this thread throughout the whole year ? If you are that would be something I would like to follow most definitely sir.

donjuan · 04-19-09, 05:05 PM

Why fade or play against a team who is 11-1 or play on a team who is 1-11 in the 1st place anyway ?

Because there was value on the Nats at the number I got.

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

Not impressed through about 50 plays Justin7 ..................... your gonna need to pick it up there pal lol j/k, are you gonna run this thread throughout the whole year ? If you are that would be something I would like to follow most definitely sir.

I'm planning on it. While I'm betting chump-change (as I can get filled on overnight lines), I still have bets on every play I put out. My hope is that at the end of the year, it will show that you can crush overnights, even if you can't win versus closing lines.

j0hnnyv · 04-19-09, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by pat venditto

Think your bigtime justin?

+135 I win.

omg patty.

pico · 04-19-09, 07:47 PM

pat needs to go to the GA

G's pks · 04-19-09, 07:50 PM

[quote=donjuan;1761820]Because there was value on the Nats at the number I got.[/quote]

Good for you! The books love guys that find value in losing!

G's pks · 04-19-09, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by pat venditto

Think your bigtime justin?

+135 I win.

I figured this might help a little more...make the call...how much of your inheritance or your parents money can you lose? Call G.A.
Gamblers Anonymous®
International Service Office
P.O. Box 17173, Los Angeles, CA 90017
(213) 386-8789 - Fax (213) 386-0030

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 07:54 PM

G's,

You should hang out in handicapper think tank for a few days before posting again.

Win or lose, Pat had a fantastic number that I'd take in a heartbeat.

G's pks · 04-19-09, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

G's,

You should hang out in handicapper think tank for a few days before posting again.

Win or lose, Pat had a fantastic number that I'd take in a heartbeat.

really you must of bet the nationals too! I know ...you saw value in the line...but forgot they were 1-10...now 1-11...

There is no value when a team stinks and is in a horrible skid! Are you guys saying you can guess the end of a losing streak? Much easier to ride a winning streak...

The handicappers think tank seems full of hot air..sorry! All my picks are posted... I am hitting in 60% area,, think tank full of experts who never post picks...

G's pks · 04-19-09, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

G's,

You should hang out in handicapper think tank for a few days before posting again.

Win or lose, Pat had a fantastic number that I'd take in a heartbeat.

keep thinking smart bets are losers....the bookies love that reasoning...

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

keep thinking smart bets are losers....the bookies love that reasoning...

Have you ever been tossed from a Sportsbooks when making losing bets?

Ever had a bet of your move the whole screen, even though you only put in a limit bet it at one place?

Ever had your limits reduced to $1 per bet, even after losing?

I assure you. If you are making "smart bets", the bookies are not laughing at you, win or lose. They're trying to decide what the hell to do with you to limit their losses.

betplom · 04-19-09, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

2-3, -1.03u
YTD: 22-23; -1.25u

So thats how the "pro's" do it.

G's pks · 04-19-09, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

Have you ever been tossed from a Sportsbooks when making losing bets?

Ever had a bet of your move the whole screen, even though you only put in a limit bet it at one place?

Ever had your limits reduced to $1 per bet, even after losing?

I assure you. If you are making "smart bets", the bookies are not laughing at you, win or lose. They're trying to decide what the hell to do with you to limit their losses.

What amazes me is how some of you feel you are playing "value".
There is only value in winning bets! There is absolutely zero value in a losing bet.... Try explaining Pat going all in on the Nationals! Come on there was no value, just a long pitiful losing record up to now.... You were talking about the hottest team in the league against the very coldest....

Justin7 · 04-19-09, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

What amazes me is how some of you feel you are playing "value".
There is only value in winning bets! There is absolutely zero value in a losing bet.... Try explaining Pat going all in on the Nationals! Come on there was no value, just a long pitiful losing record up to now.... You were talking about the hottest team in the league against the very coldest....

This is great material... You care if I plagiarize your idea, and do a video on this?