MLB Leans ~ Saturday 4/11/09

whatisit · 04-11-09, 01:43 AM

Gonna give this another try after Cubs let me down today....

Oak vs Sea ML (5 innings)

King Felix has pitched great against Oak in his career, only 7-4 against them, but the ERA is a very good 2.56 in 81 innings. Sea offense has been ok so far scoring atleast 5 runs in 5 of the 6 games, and this time going up against a inexperienced and not that good pitcher in Josh Outman, I think they can score a few runs early while Felix shuts down the Oak lineup. I know they talked about his ankle injury, but he got that in the first inning of that game and it didn't stop him from shutting down the Twins for the rest of the game.

cocknocker · 04-11-09, 02:11 AM

Head to head on this one Suicide King...

Indians+103
Nats+148
Pale Holes-105 (BIG)

danrman · 04-11-09, 03:00 AM

i like the indians also and im so w/ you on the white sox big ck.. thats the one that i saw that i liked.. dont know about the nats.. im also diggin tex,nym,sf,tb,oak

pimike · 04-11-09, 03:04 AM

PIRATES and PADRES are my two plays

GL

peterpan19 · 04-11-09, 05:40 AM

ok guys quick look at todays card and I like the following so far:
cle +111
tx, over 10 -129
cin/pit Under 5 5 Innings -118
cws +101
sea -101

Fla TT over 5 +100
cubs -1 -107
sd/sf over 6.5 -108

GL

Dexter · 04-11-09, 07:15 AM

carlos zambrano came out sharp in game 1, and i love backing aces when their team is off a loss. Big Z was dominant last year in milw shutting out the brewers for 8 inn. he has a career 3.68/1.22 era/whip vs milw. dave bush got roughed up for 6er in 7inn last year in his home start vs the cubs. his team is 1-10 over his career in games started vs the cubs.

-cubs -130 (big - 2x)

the phillies are 6-0 in games started by brett myers vs the rockies (5-0 at coors). myers has a career 3.38/1.28 vs col while delarosa has a career 11.58/2.28 in 2 starts vs the phils. i like myers to get the phils back on track in this spot.

-phillies PK

jellobiafra · 04-11-09, 07:23 AM

Alright I'm going to give my thoughts on one as well. I've only focused on one early game - the TOR/CLE matchup.

I really like the under 8 in this one. Lee and Halladay both got bounced around a little 1st time out. Well, Lee got bounced around a lot. Doc was strong until the later innings. It's going to be chilly in Cleveland today. It's an early game. I like these two factors right off the bat (pardon the pun) when thinking under.

Cleveland is DESPERATE for a win today and they have their unquestioned ACE going. Their stopper. Lee performed really well against TOR last season. He should be supremely motivated, determined and focused after getting hammered his 1st start and with his team needing him to perform so badly.

As for the Jays, well Doc is Doc. Yes, he's stronger as the season goes and April is not his best month. But he's still Doc freaking Halladay and he's capable of going 9 scoreless on any given day. I think he will be very sharp, realizing that he must be so facing a team desperate to scratch out a win any way they can. I think Doc is going to be motivated as well. He's got a little bit of red ass in him and this is a big early season matchup against the Cy Young from last season. A Cy Young trophy he could have just as easily won.

I don't think motivation is going to be a problem for either of these aces.

TOR/CLE under 8

I also like Cleveland to win at plus odds as well. Again, it's getting to the point early where they need to get a win on the board. I think Lee is going to be dominant and Cleveland will find a way to scrap out a few runs against Roy. I'm going to lock that one in too.

CLE +110

Vreston · 04-11-09, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Head to head on this one Suicide King...

Indians+103
Nats+148
Pale Holes-105 (BIG)

Pale Holes????? (you mean the Twins?)

CK shed some light please!

Thanks

Cassidy · 04-11-09, 08:55 AM

CK are you playing all 1innings today like yesterday?

repski · 04-11-09, 08:58 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

carlos zambrano came out sharp in game 1, and i love backing aces when their team is off a loss. Big Z was dominant last year in milw shutting out the brewers for 8 inn. he has a career 3.68/1.22 era/whip vs milw. dave bush got roughed up for 6er in 7inn last year in his home start vs the cubs. his team is 1-10 over his career in games started vs the cubs.

-cubs (ML) (big - 2x)

the phillies are 6-0 in games started by brett myers vs the rockies (5-0 at coors). myers has a career 3.38/1.28 vs col while delarosa has a career 11.58/2.28 in 2 starts vs the phils. i like myers to get the phils back on track in this spot.

-phillies (ML)

Dexter,
Have you been betting the first 5 innings also...or just the full game??

tought break on the Bravos last night....I had them also....but for 5 inn only..

Killer Chihuahua · 04-11-09, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by Vreston

Pale Holes????? (you mean the Twins?)

CK shed some light please!

Thanks

White Sox

RoagBettor · 04-11-09, 08:59 AM

Pale Holes/Hose are the White Sox

repski · 04-11-09, 09:00 AM

Originally posted by Vreston

Pale Holes????? (you mean the Twins?)

CK shed some light please!

Thanks

I beleive he meant Pale Hose...White Sox

repski · 04-11-09, 09:02 AM

Guys,
keep an eye on this Marlins team...they are playing inspired ball right from the jump....they have a nice squad..

Dexter · 04-11-09, 09:13 AM

i agree repski...look out for flor. very underrated pitching. nolasco is good.

no, the whole game....what was your odds on atl for the first 5 inn?

repski · 04-11-09, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by dexter

i agree repski...look out for flor. Very underrated pitching. Nolasco is good.

No, the whole game....what was your odds on atl for the first 5 inn?

-1/2 -130

peterpan19 · 04-11-09, 10:30 AM

final card for the early games (1pm slot):
Pit 5 Innings +118
TX +152
Cle +116

GL

cocknocker · 04-11-09, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by Cassidy

CK are you playing all 1innings today like yesterday?

No not today...I am laying off of them. I will only be playing them on Wednesdays and Fridays until May 1st. I don't know why...but that's what I'll be doing

Dexter · 04-11-09, 10:51 AM

apologizes for getting into it yesterday - it's embarrassing the way i engaged him, and to have gotten a pm from a moderator is pathetic when i consider why i'm actually here. to gain and give info to win $$, and not to trash talk or for internet fame. sorry fellas....

TheLemonDropKid · 04-11-09, 10:52 AM

As CK's young baseball jedi-in-training.......I'm rolling with the following. And I would expect grand master flash to jack at least one of these plays since they are based on his hard work and research.....lol.

TOR/CLE Under 1st 5
TEX +155
TEX/DET Over 10.5
SEA/OAK Under 1st 5
FL -140
CHI/MIL Over 1st 5

repski · 04-11-09, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

apologizes for getting into it yesterday - it's embarrassing the way i engaged him, and to have gotten a pm from a moderator is pathetic when i consider why i'm actually here. to gain and give info to win $$, and not to trash talk or for internet fame. sorry fellas....

way to be the better man Dex....

TheLemonDropKid · 04-11-09, 11:39 AM

Hey guys.......call me crazy, but I would think the Bobbies would be the call in that CHI game. CHA has lost 4 in a row ATS and they have only lost 4 in a row ATS one other time this year....and they won that next game ATS.

An obvious pick to me seems to be ORL -6 against the Nets. Nobody is talking about that one either.

Also digging the GS/UTAH Under......Utah has gone Over for 7 straight games.......that just can't continue.

Thoughts?

TheLemonDropKid · 04-11-09, 11:42 AM

Ooooops.....just realized I posted this in the wrong thread....sorry....I have both open at the same time.

TheLemonDropKid · 04-11-09, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Head to head on this one Suicide King...

Indians+103
Nats+148
Pale Holes-105 (BIG)

Hey bro......all of these are 1st H bets right?

solobass · 04-11-09, 12:04 PM

todays plays

Royals +175 (fading the yankees strategy)
Dodgers +102
Padres RL +135
Angels -120

solobass · 04-11-09, 12:07 PM

off to treat the family to some minor league action, lansing lugnuts!

TAPDATBOOK · 04-11-09, 12:10 PM

My final cards:

Chicago Cubs -130 & under 8.5
Houston +110
Cinncy under 8.5
Philly +105
San Diego -165

italiano22 · 04-11-09, 12:53 PM

Cleveland sucks wtffff

suicidekings · 04-11-09, 01:00 PM

66 pitches through 3 innings. Lee will be lucky to make it through 5 innings..

tsn101 · 04-11-09, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

66 pitches through 3 innings. Lee will be lucky to make it through 5 innings..

Blue Jays worked their bullpen yesterday to, hopefully this is not a jinx, lets go Blue Jays!

jellobiafra · 04-11-09, 01:16 PM

Lee not what I thought he'd be. Hopefully I can still catch the under in this one and split.

suicidekings · 04-11-09, 01:19 PM

I capped the TOR/CLE game as a strong OVER 8 pick, thinking that Lee was going to get lit up badly, and Halladay would give up <2.. Didn't pull the trigger though because I missed the start of the game.. We'll see if that works out well for me or not... Go BlueJays!

jellobiafra · 04-11-09, 01:22 PM

I capped it under thinking Lee would be up to the challenge to rescue his team and face Halladay in a marque matchup. I knew Roy would produce. Lee let me down.

suicidekings · 04-11-09, 01:39 PM

BOS @ LAA -1.5 (+170)
- Penny has a poor track record vs LAA and Saunders is a stellar 4-0 (ERA: 2.86) against Boston in his career. Saunders has also looked great so far in the spring and his first start, while Penny appears to be healthy (finally). Also, with the exception of Youklis, the BOS bats are cold as ice to start off the year. Good opportunity for the RunLine to cash.