Fading the Astros

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Fading the Astros
    A pessimist by birth, and growing more cynical with experience, I've come to expect the worst from the teams I root for. So what happens if you fade or follow one team for an entire season? In this case, I'm choosing to fade my beloved Astros just to see how it turns out.

    Will use closing numbers from 5Dimes for this little experiment.

    Monday, Apr 6: vs. Cubs -102; Houston loses 4-2...WIN
    Tuesday, Apr 7: vs Cubs -110, Houston wins 3-2...LOSS

    Season: 1-1, -0.10
  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #2
    Willie Bee say it isn't so.

    I expect this from some others, but not you! You can't ease the pain your heart feels with monetary gains.

    No wait, yes you can. GOOD LUCK!!
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Oh, I'm not betting every game Pan, though I am going to put a little on Lilly and the Cubbies today.
      Comment
      • shantystar
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-13-05
        • 7299

        #4
        Originally posted by Willie Bee
        Oh, I'm not betting every game Pan, though I am going to put a little on Lilly and the Cubbies today.
        i am oon cubs side.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Lilly owns them. Today is definitely a good fade day. Suprisingly though, Moehler has been adequate against the Cubbies.
          Comment
          • Bread
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-16-08
            • 23726

            #6
            Waitaminute it gets worse!!! You're playing the dreaded Cubbies vs. your beloved Stros????

            omg
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              Lilly owns them. Today is definitely a good fade day. Suprisingly though, Moehler has been adequate against the Cubbies.
              True EP. Moehler pitched pretty damn well against them on a couple of occasions last season, and he had a decent spring. If it wasn't Moehler (or Roy O), I might have entertained the run line.


              Waitaminute it gets worse!!! You're playing the dreaded Cubbies vs. your beloved Stros????

              omg
              Yes, that's true. I've already jinxed their season with some futures on the Cubs.
              Comment
              • Tsoprano
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-14-08
                • 26374

                #8
                Ass Bobby would say....the Astros are ASSSSSSS
                Comment
                • pimike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-23-08
                  • 37139

                  #9
                  HOME TEAM will get ya Willy don't play either side. STROS win your going to be mad. Not good to bet on against your teams sir


                  Comment
                  • Willie Bee
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 15726

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Tsoprano
                    Ass Bobby would say....the Astros are ASSSSSSS
                    Well of course Ass Bobby would say that. But what would T¡ts Bobby say?
                    Comment
                    • Willie Bee
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-14-06
                      • 15726

                      #11
                      Monday, Apr 6: vs. Cubs -102; Houston loses 4-2...WIN
                      Tuesday, Apr 7: vs Cubs -110, Houston wins 3-2...LOSS
                      Wednesday, Apr 8: vs. Cubs -126, Houston loses 11-6...WIN

                      Season: 2-1, +0.90
                      Comment
                      • Shortstop
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 01-02-09
                        • 27281

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Willie Bee
                        Well of course Ass Bobby would say that. But what would T¡ts Bobby say?

                        Good one Willie. Tsoprano is a failure.
                        Comment
                        • Killer Chihuahua
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-16-08
                          • 324

                          #13
                          Watch out Wille B........Cooper says they will win 90 games! Thought the MLB had drug testing? Do they test the coaches? LOL
                          Comment
                          • Willie Bee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-14-06
                            • 15726

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Killer Chihuahua
                            Watch out Wille B........Cooper says they will win 90 games! Thought the MLB had drug testing? Do they test the coaches? LOL
                            Maybe they should. We'll also see how Hurdle's remark about the Rockies having as 'deep a pitching staff as anyone in the NL West' holds true as well.
                            Comment
                            • Willie Bee
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-14-06
                              • 15726

                              #15
                              Monday, Apr 6: vs. Cubs -102; Houston loses 4-2...WIN
                              Tuesday, Apr 7: vs Cubs -110, Houston wins 3-2...LOSS
                              Wednesday, Apr 8: vs. Cubs -126, Houston loses 11-6...WIN*
                              Friday, Apr 10: Cardinals -150, Houston loses 5-3...WIN
                              Saturday, Apr 11: Cardinals


                              Season: 3-1, +1.90
                              Comment
                              • Willie Bee
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-14-06
                                • 15726

                                #16
                                I'm going to play the Cards today, got them at -130. The asterisks next to the win or loss are games I'm actually playing and fading the Astros.
                                Comment
                                • BatemanPatrickl
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-21-07
                                  • 18772

                                  #17
                                  WB I think Houston wins today. Either way, good luck. Looks like the experiment is working out so far.
                                  Comment
                                  • Willie Bee
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-14-06
                                    • 15726

                                    #18
                                    Bateman, I agree that taking Roy O on the + moneyline is probably the smarter play today, but then nobody has ever accused me of being smart
                                    Comment
                                    • jmathes
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-19-09
                                      • 2385

                                      #19
                                      I hope you are aware that the Astros were +22 units last year. They started off the season 3-7 for their first 10 games then turned it around. The lines were deflated all season and they will be again this year. Lets hope I don't lose my posting privileges for giving my opinion. Being from Houston I have to go for my team. Good luck!
                                      Comment
                                      • BatemanPatrickl
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 06-21-07
                                        • 18772

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                        Bateman, I agree that taking Roy O on the + moneyline is probably the smarter play today, but then nobody has ever accused me of being smart
                                        We all know you are smart WB. Don't play that Forest Gump card with me!
                                        Comment
                                        • Willie Bee
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-14-06
                                          • 15726

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jmathes
                                          I hope you are aware that the Astros were +22 units last year. They started off the season 3-7 for their first 10 games then turned it around. The lines were deflated all season and they will be again this year. Lets hope I don't lose my posting privileges for giving my opinion. Being from Houston I have to go for my team. Good luck!
                                          I'm a lifelong fan, mathes. Our family moved to Houston in '62 when the team was just beginning. Just a very pessimistic fan. And I'm certain you're right, that at some point this year fading them every game will send you to the poor house.

                                          You say you're from there, no longer in the area? We moved away for good -- from our little burbhouse in Sweet City on the SW side -- seven years ago and landed here in the bee-youtiful Texas Hill Country.
                                          Comment
                                          • Willie Bee
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-14-06
                                            • 15726

                                            #22
                                            Monday, Apr 6: vs. Cubs -102; Houston loses 4-2...WIN
                                            Tuesday, Apr 7: vs Cubs -110, Houston wins 3-2...LOSS
                                            Wednesday, Apr 8: vs. Cubs -126, Houston loses 11-6...WIN*
                                            Friday, Apr 10: Cardinals -150, Houston loses 5-3...WIN
                                            Saturday, Apr 11: Cardinals -130, Houston loses 11-2...WIN*


                                            Season: 4-1, +2.90
                                            Comment
                                            • Willie Bee
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-14-06
                                              • 15726

                                              #23
                                              Monday, Apr 6: vs. Cubs -102; Houston loses 4-2...WIN
                                              Tuesday, Apr 7: vs Cubs -110, Houston wins 3-2...LOSS
                                              Wednesday, Apr 8: vs. Cubs -126, Houston loses 11-6...WIN*
                                              Friday, Apr 10: Cardinals -150, Houston loses 5-3...WIN
                                              Saturday, Apr 11: Cardinals -130, Houston loses 11-2...WIN*
                                              Sunday, Apr 12: Cardinals -137, Houston loses 3-0...WIN


                                              Season: 5-1, +3.90
                                              Comment
                                              • pimike
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-23-08
                                                • 37139

                                                #24



                                                Good but deep inside must be heart breaking sir
                                                Comment
                                                • BobHarvey
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-08-08
                                                  • 3987

                                                  #25
                                                  Good stuff.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Willie Bee
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-14-06
                                                    • 15726

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pimike


                                                    Good but deep inside must be heart breaking sir
                                                    Sure, I'd prefer Houston was 6-0 instead of 1-5. But they busted my heart enough over the past 47+ seasons that there's not much left to break now. Not to mention, I've seen these slow starts get turned around before. It's a fcukin' game, and I refuse to allow some 50-odd year old manager and a bunch of millionaires in stirrup socks decide whether or not I'm going to have a good day.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Madetowin
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-07-09
                                                      • 1373

                                                      #27
                                                      Taking Pitt today seems like a play also
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AMBlai01
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-16-08
                                                        • 5882

                                                        #28
                                                        I hope you are actually betting these Willie...Looks like you might make some serious cash...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SexyMit
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-12-06
                                                          • 6139

                                                          #29
                                                          Believe it or not I am kind of leaning Astros today! Don't know why but that is what I like!
                                                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Willie Bee
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-14-06
                                                            • 15726

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by AMBlai01
                                                            I hope you are actually betting these Willie...Looks like you might make some serious cash...
                                                            Have only played the two with the asterisks by them. Really just wanted to keep a thread going on my guys to see how the season goes on the betting boards. I'm sure that in time, they will take money from my pocket
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Chi_archie
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-22-08
                                                              • 63167

                                                              #31
                                                              Willie is Moehler washed up? finished the season badly last year..... but he had a decent spring.....

                                                              any news from houston after his first start flop?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tacomax
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 9619

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                                                It's a fcukin' game, and I refuse to allow some 50-odd year old manager and a bunch of millionaires in stirrup socks decide whether or not I'm going to have a good day.
                                                                They do though, don't they? Admitting it is the first step.
                                                                Originally posted by pags11
                                                                SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                                                                Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                                                I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                                                                Originally posted by curious
                                                                taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Madetowin
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-07-09
                                                                  • 1373

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Anything can happen but I hope pitt takes it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good pitching always beats the Astros down. Same old story Willie. Duke probably keeps them in check today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Madetowin
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-07-09
                                                                      • 1373

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm not going to lie if EaglesPhan started a cult I would prob follow him.
                                                                      Comment
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