Tuesday:
Rockies +169 (Heritage)
11-17, -1.77
Rockies +169 (Heritage)
11-17, -1.77
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5/12 Phillies +144
TT=12-15 UP .13 unitsComment -
Tues. Dog: SF - HOU (U 7.5) +125
Record: 10-7 (+3.7 U)Comment -
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Last night Yankees on the run line winner!
Record:11-9 +7.25
Today's selection:
Chicago White Sox on the rl +140
Good luck everybody!Comment -
Orioles are 0-4 in Tillmans last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays.
So this means Jays win tonight
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Don't put too much stock into line movements because 1) we nearly always don't know why and they can be caused by a lot of different things. And also remember 2) that baseball is a sport in which line movements are rather small compared to other sports. E.g. in soccer you sometimes have line movements from -125 starting to -200 or more in the end. Do you remember one single baseball game where this happened? I don't. In baseball the line movements are rather small.
Record: 11-5, +9.10 u.
12/5
Boston +110
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I can't figure out who play in general. That might be a good sign to stay away today
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1-5; -3.5u
Mariners -1.5:
****Attn****
This has to be by far my most confident play thus far of the early MLB season. Seattle started slow and appears to be heating up having won 3 in a row sweeping Oakland. Tonight they look to make it 4 in a row and I feel they have a great chance of doing just that. *Seattle sends Paxton to the mound who has been razor sharp in his last 2 starts going 7 innings in each and allowing just 2 runs in each game. San Diego counters with Ian Kennedy who has an ERA of 5.04. The problem with the Padres recently has been inconsistency on offense.*This will be San Diego's 8th straight road game and going back to the start of last season when San Diego has played 5 or more consecutive road games they are just 11-27 in the next game.*Comment -
Don't understand me wrong, but it seems your analysis is lopsided.
While you take Paxton's last 2 starts into account, you neglect that his ERA is still above 5.
On the other side you mention Kennedy's high ERA, but neglect that he had only 4 games and especially the last two of them were very good (13 IP, 3 ER).
Then you look at San Diego's road recod in 2014 with playing a few on the road in a row, but neglect that they revamped their team.
And sweeping Oakland doesn't seem too difficult these days.
Only my thoughts, wish you luck nonetheless.
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05.12.15
STL +111
13-16 +1.07uComment -
No worries, you make great points. Would you be any more convinced if I told you I just got a feeling about this game. As if a little lightening bolt struck me right at the tip of my penis, zzappp!Don't understand me wrong, but it seems your analysis is lopsided.
While you take Paxton's last 2 starts into account, you neglect that his ERA is still above 5.
On the other side you mention Kennedy's high ERA, but k that he had only 4 games and especially the last two of them were very good (13 IP, 3 ER).
Then you look at San Diego's road recod in 2014 with playing a few on the road in a row, but neglect that they revamped their team.
And sweeping Oakland doesn't seem too difficult these days.
Only my thoughts, wish you luck nonetheless.
GL tonight, I'll be tailing your Bosox play!Comment -
5/12
Brewers +105
TT: 1-2 -.7 unitsComment -
16-8 +12.40
Today's pick - Texas Rangers +117
Really wanted to go with the Marlins here but that bullpen scares me. Good luck tonight fellas.Comment -
This is not what I've seen...I have followed movement quite a bit lately...especially on totals going up a full run and the Over hitting easily...and other big faves getting bigger, and winning even the RL....maybe my sample size is small, but comparing to nhl and college hoops, mlb lines move quite a bit.
You have followed mlb longer though, so not going against what you say...just my observation...which may change as season progresses.Comment -
5/12 = Blue Jays +112
1-2 -0.56Comment -
Let's track what happens tonight...biggest line moves I've seen in these today:
Cleveland ML
Houston ML
Philly Over
TB Under
Twins +1.5Last edited by RollinDo; 05-12-15, 03:16 PM.Comment -
Well I played both picks above, but lost with the many others who played the Mets on the one we're counting...
Record: 7-5 (+3.49)
5/12 : Min Twins +130
(Gibson revenge play against Detroit - a couple solid outings since Detroit worked him last time... Twins bats have been hot last couple weeks... Better bullpen... etc) BOL to All!Comment -
Look. A total starts at 7.0 with +120 on the over. Then the total moves to 7.0 and there's the over for +120. The old over is +100. That's nothing. Don't be fooled by the numbers. They look bigger than they are. The difference isn't even 5%. In soccer you sometimes have 25% difference or drops or increases.Last edited by posey; 05-12-15, 03:45 PM.Comment -
i was all over mil ml, rl, and over8 last night, a lot of that was fading sharks terrible numbers against them tho. i tried to convince myself to play brew crew overnight but couldnt pull the trigger, kinda figured if anything i might get little better number if i slept on it. no doubt proving once again that "im no line movement expert guy".Comment
