2015 MLB plays

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Crew hit Hamels over .300 as a team, Fish is terrible I agree but start arguably a better pitcher.

Exactly. So why +138?

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Card sucks. Lean Boston and Cubs. That's about all I see. Maybe Cleveland a long time ago # wise. Not at the current price, though.

Cards suck??? UNRAEL

Having said that, if they don't lose tonight, they won't lose till the rest of the season.

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Exactly. So why +138?

I got +115.

BigDofBA · 06-30-15, 05:59 PM

Card not Cards v

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 05:59 PM

BOS +132 (2U to win 2.64)
CHC -116 (2.32U to win 2)
MIL +117 (2U to win 2.34)

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Cards suck??? UNRAEL

Having said that, if they don't lose tonight, they won't lose till the rest of the season.

The card, not "Cards."

What makes you think they would lose tonight?

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 06:03 PM

My bad, Sale + Interleague should be tougher than the Cubs but STL at home is practically unbeatable.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

My bad, Sale + Interleague should be tougher than the Cubs but STL at home is practically unbeatable.

I wouldn't bet any team at less than +125 vs. StL at home anymore.

Even then, it's just not worth it.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 06:05 PM

PIT FF -115 (3.45U to win 3)

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I wouldn't bet any team at less than +125 vs. StL at home anymore.

Even then, it's just not worth it.

100% true.

BigDofBA · 06-30-15, 06:06 PM

I'm on the following:

Red Sox
Mets
Indians
Marlins
White Sox

Been doing well last few days...hope I don't give some back tonight.

GL fellas.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 06:14 PM

Tried to add Nationals, but just missed the first pitch. Damn.

tatddy · 06-30-15, 06:21 PM

No Coin gl pal. Stop beating yourself up worrying about lines. I know it's worked the past few years but you gotta adjust everything every week. Make your own probabilities and if the value of the vegas line provides value just bet and move on.

Also if you're going to take "vegas side" then do it every time. As in, Vegas couldn't have screamed any louder that the Oak As were the play yesterday would have thought you put 10 units on them.

Not that you need my help you always win in the end. Just seem stressed out pal.

RavensFan2k3 · 06-30-15, 06:26 PM

Boston up 2-0 and haven't even got a hit yet

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

No Coin gl pal. Stop beating yourself up worrying about lines. I know it's worked the past few years but you gotta adjust everything every week. Make your own probabilities and if the value of the vegas line provides value just bet and move on.

Also if you're going to take "vegas side" then do it every time. As in, Vegas couldn't have screamed any louder that the Oak As were the play yesterday would have thought you put 10 units on them.

Not that you need my help you always win in the end. Just seem stressed out pal.

What's up my friend. Belated congrats on the Warriors.

Agree the A's were the play on paper yesterday, but they were also the play on paper every game during the KC series -- and they got swept. Vegas is getting too nerdy with their lines these days -- much like their obsession with Ken Pomeroy in college hoops. Oddsmakers are crunching too many numbers and being too analytical vs. logical, which has really thrown me for a loop. I've never had more personal lines disagree with theirs before. Not even close.

Anyway, thanks for checking in. Always appreciate the insight.

tatddy · 06-30-15, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

What's up my friend. Belated congrats on the Warriors.

Agree the A's were the play on paper yesterday, but they were also the play on paper every game during the KC series -- and they got swept. Vegas is getting too nerdy with their lines these days -- much like their obsession with Ken Pomeroy in college hoops. Oddsmakers are crunching too many numbers and being too analytical vs. logical, which has really thrown me for a loop. I've never had more personal lines disagree with theirs before. Not even close.

Anyway, thanks for checking in. Always appreciate the insight.

I only think the As were the play on paper on Sunday and they should have won that game if it were not for a 3 run error. Nothing wrong with asking the question. I asked the question yesterday "why the hell are the Royals +120+?" Then I dug deeper and figured out the answer.

As the the Marlins? There is no reason they should be -125. No angle no reason. There are reasons why the Giants aren't big favorites as in the "travel" and Vogeys inconsistency but the line was nevertheless off. Obv line is adjusted for Aoki being out in addition to Pence.

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 06:37 PM

A's were a great play yesterday, was my top play RL at +133 and was an easy winner all the way.

CanuckG · 06-30-15, 06:47 PM

Worth fading Sale with the #1 team tonight?

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Worth fading Sale with the #1 team tonight?

Down to almost no bankroll because of the Cardinals, so I'm the wrong guy to ask.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 07:34 PM

I'm sure the Cardinals will lose 8-0 tonight now that I've stopped fading them.

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 07:39 PM

Loaded for CWS with 0 outs, K and a DP by Cards

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Loaded for CWS with 0 outs, K and a DP by Cards

Typical, especially for Lance Lynn. He should pitch with a magic wand in his off-hand instead of a glove.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 07:55 PM

Giants only down 4-3 in the 6th, yet they're +310 live.

WTF is going on with this game? Something stinks.

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 08:02 PM

Houston is UNRAEL team this year, what a turnaround, much respect

leetreaper · 06-30-15, 08:26 PM

Home run Grinchuk

tatddy · 06-30-15, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Giants only down 4-3 in the 6th, yet they're +310 live.

WTF is going on with this game? Something stinks.

Vegas must have known that Carter Capps was coming in. Not sure how this guy is continually allowed to throw with an illegal motion at 99 mph. Foot is 18 inches in front of the rubber when he plants.

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No coincidences · 06-30-15, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Vegas must have known that Carter Capps was coming in. Not sure how this guy is continually allowed to throw with an illegal motion at 99 mph. Foot is 18 inches in front of the rubber when he plants.

Just a weird game all around. No reason for the Giants to be +310 in the 6th inning of a 1-run game. Just sayin'....

BigDofBA · 06-30-15, 08:40 PM

Any thoughts on the late games?

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Any thoughts on the late games?

Not really. Maybe Angels?

GT21Megatron · 06-30-15, 08:47 PM

Coin gonna have this thread back positive when it's all said and done. I can promise you this.....needs to layoff the cards all together but it's gonna happen

BigDofBA · 06-30-15, 08:50 PM

I was thinking Angels and Mariners.

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 08:51 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Coin gonna have this thread back positive when it's all said and done. I can promise you this.....needs to layoff the cards all together but it's gonna happen

Appreciate it. Hope you're right.

GT21Megatron · 06-30-15, 08:51 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I was thinking Angels and Mariners.

A's 5-13 against lefties? And I get + money?

GT21Megatron · 06-30-15, 08:53 PM

A's scored 100 last night also........I don't get how you pass this up with the better hitters on Colorado

No coincidences · 06-30-15, 08:55 PM

Giants got that game over with in a hurry.